Best practices for complying with forced labor regulations
It can be tricky to ensure that forced labor is not being used somewhere in your supply chain. The following are some ways that companies can increase their supply chain transparency and comply with government regulations.
In January 2021, the popular clothing brand Uniqlo was surprised to learn that U.S. Customs and Border Patrol (CBP) had blockeda shipment of its shirts from entry at the Port of Los Angeles. Customs officials suspected that the shirts were made from cotton picked by forced labor in the Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region (XUAR) of China.
While six of the seven styles didn’t have cotton in them and were eventually released, the seventh did. Uniqlo tried to prove that cotton was not produced in any part by forced labor, but when it did so its evidence was unconvincing. Uniqlo was unable to fully list its production steps and furnish a full production record for the shirts. Because the apparel retailer couldn’t provide real transparency into the source of that shirt and its cotton, the shipment was not released, and Uniqlo and its parent company, Fast Retailing, took a financial and reputational hit.
Uniqlo’s experience five years ago is indicative of a new wave of regulations and initiatives that have begun to crop up around the supply chain in the last few years. These regulations generally have one of two goals: to strengthen the resilience of the U.S. supply chain or to protect the environment and people.
Since then, the regulatory focus on curbing forced labor in the supply chain has only increased. For example, one of the 30 actions that the Biden Administration announced in November 2023 to strengthen supply chains was risk mapping for labor rights abuses that will be done under the auspices of the Department of Labor (DOL).
In the past, sanctions and laws prohibiting the importation of goods produced with forced labor were only weakly enforced. But since the passage of the UFLA, Customs has been rigorous in its scrutiny. It’s particularly important for the textile and apparel industries to pay close attention to the source of their clothes and materials, due to China’s heavy presence in those industries’ supply chains. Currently 20% of the world’s cotton comes from China, and 90% of **ital{that} cotton comes from the Xinjiang region.
In the face of this increasing scrutiny, the question then becomes: How can U.S. companies ensure their supply chains are reducing the risks of noncompliance with the UFLPA, and can those best practices be relied on for similar regulations in the future?
The what and why of the UFLPA
It’s no secret that forced labor has been used throughout human history. Despite every generation pushing back harder against its use than the generations that came before, such practices remain a thorn in the side of those who want to do business ethically. The practice has proven difficult to fully stamp out. Currently many governments use sanctions to dissuade companies from doing business with companies, individuals, or public entities that utilize forced labor, but the problem still persists.
In XUAR, religious and ethnic minority groups, such as the Uyghurs, havesuffered human rights abuses for years. In many cases, these ethnic minorities are being forced to work to produce goods that are then sold around the world. As a means of holding China responsible for these conditions and to dissuade the broader global market from doing business with the companies in Xinjiang that exploit forced labor, the U.S. passed the UFLPA.
Conceptually, the UFLPA is very simple: Any goods mined, produced, or manufactured either completely or in part in the Xinjiang region of China are not allowed to be imported into the United States. If CBP has a suspicion that a shipment trying to enter the country might violate this rule, the onus is on the company importing the shipment to provide proof that it’s not tied back to the XUAR. That’s where it gets tricky. The company’s supply chain visibility and automation processes are crucial tools in providing this proof and clearing goods for entry.
Risks of noncompliance
In the past, enforcement around human-rights regulations and sanctions orders was famously minimal. But recently this has changed. TheCBP tracks the statistics of the shipments it has held and then either released or denied entry into the U.S. as part of the UFLPA. From the enactment of the UFLPA through the end of 2023, more than half of the shipments held were eventually denied—2,669 versus 2,437 that were released. The shipments denied totaled $580 million in goods.
In addition to the financial penalties that can accompany violations, the delay that occurs when a shipment is inspected by the CBP also represents a major risk to supply chains. Holding a crucial shipment up for days or weeks can throw a carefully designed business plan into disarray. Companies that can very clearly document the origins of the goods in their shipment are less likely to suffer such a delay.
If the CBP does then find that a company’s shipment does not comply with the UFLPA, that shipment can be denied entry into the U.S. If that happens, the ramifications are increased exponentially. Missing shipments can lead to missed product launches and sales and have a direct impact on trade agreements and partnerships that could bubble up into impacts on entire sourcing strategies. This can further balloon to reputational risks, both in the realm of consumer perception and brand damage, but also among stakeholders and partners. A company with shipments in violation of the UFLPA might find stakeholders divesting themselves or pushing for new leadership or partners looking to renegotiate their contracts because of increased risk on their own part.
Five best practices
To avoid fines or disruptions, it’s recommended that companies look to enable the following capabilities in their supply chain:
1. Detailed mapping of the supply chain. Supply chain mapping—the process of gathering data on suppliers, their suppliers, and those who work for or are connected to them—is a crucial step in creating transparency that can identify potential UFLPA risks. Some third-party supplier management systems allow for companies to input critical details on tier-n suppliers, subcontractors, and intermediaries such as their owners, partners, facility locations, and more. Further, some software can send out detail-gathering questionnaires to suppliers on an automated basis. When high-risk names or details come back from the surveys, those details can be flagged if that system automatically checks them against up-to-date risk factors.
2. Supply chain traceability. Companies should be able to, ideally, catalog every stage of a product’s lifecycle from the final delivery back to the sourcing of the raw materials, even if it’s multiple suppliers back in the sourcing line. Every component must be traceable. This is, of course, an incredible amount of information, but automation tools can fill in known blanks and cut down on the manual time that would go into collecting this data. For example, if you are beginning to work with Supplier A for the first time, the system may already have the details for some of Supplier A’s subsuppliers. For instance, Supplier A may be using the same subsupplier for rubber as Supplier B, which you already work with, so you already have that raw material sourcing traced.
Once all that data is in the system, it can be cataloged and indexed in a way that makes it possible to bring it back up easily, with an entire timeline of a product’s components available for review.
3. Comprehensive documentation. By maintaining a detailed and easily accessible library of documentation around the sourcing of raw materials, audits, due diligence activities, and any mitigation or remediation steps taken when a violation is found, the process for CBP screening and compliance checks will be faster, easier, and less disruptive.
If possible, companies should build into their supplier management system specific UFLPA risk questionnaires that require suppliers to agree that their goods are not and will not be produced in the XUAR region and/or with forced labor. Regardless of actions that the supplier takes down the road, it helps a company’s case with the CBP immensely if these terms are agreed to by the suppliers and easily accessible during an investigation.
4. Risk-based due diligence. It’s important that a company is able to show that they’ve done their due diligence in identifying any potential UFLPA violations and then taking mitigating measures such as divesting from a supplier who is in violation or requiring that supplier to use a different materials source for the company’s orders.
This includes screening potential and existing suppliers against the Department of Homeland Security’sUFLPA entity list. (Those companies that have screened potential suppliers against the Office of Foreign Assets Control sanctions list will find the process to be similar.) Companies should also routinely reassess current suppliers. After all, a supplier could be clear for now, but start using a XUAR-based supplier in a few months—or one of your subsuppliers could start doing so—and supply chain managers will not want to be the last ones to find out.
5. Contract management and enforcement. Supply chain managers should build UFLPA (and other forced labor regulation) compliance right into their supplier contracts and have agreements to comply with UFLPA as part of the data-gathering surveys sent out during onboarding. Mandating that all suppliers adhere to these policies, and laying out a robust and clear plan for what will happen if a supplier is found to have broken compliance helps with any CBP auditing as well as making it clear to suppliers that the company takes the UFLPA seriously. The company can consider actions like conducting audits of suppliers without prior announcement and enforcing punitive measures if compliance is not met.
The growing importance of transparency
The UFLPA is a significant regulation that U.S. companies cannot afford to ignore. Even if all your suppliers are domestic, it’s possible that they have suppliers who can trace materials’ origins back to Xinjiang, and that means the risk of noncompliance and potential monetary, reputational, and disruption-based damage could be lurking within your supply chain.
For U.S. companies looking to steer clear of such an outcome, the above best practices are a vital starting point. They’re crucial for UFLPA compliance, but the structure of transparency, accountability, and illuminated risk will transfer well to complying with any new regulations we may see down the road—whether they be aimed at reducing forced labor; enhancing environmental, social, and governance (ESG) efforts; or addressing another area supply chain managers may find themselves responsible for in the near future. Supplier transparency and accountability is going to be the norm more than ever in the coming years, and supply chains that don’t delay in enabling it will benefit the most.
Furthermore, as supply chain professionals, we have a direct hand in the flow of the very goods that make societies run and keep people safe, healthy, and happy. Who we decide to work with, and who we support with our businesses, has a material impact on the world. By working to create a more transparent supply chain, we can do our part in making a more ethical society.
Just 29% of supply chain organizations have the competitive characteristics they’ll need for future readiness, according to a Gartner survey released Tuesday. The survey focused on how organizations are preparing for future challenges and to keep their supply chains competitive.
Gartner surveyed 579 supply chain practitioners to determine the capabilities needed to manage the “future drivers of influence” on supply chains, which include artificial intelligence (AI) achievement and the ability to navigate new trade policies. According to the survey, the five competitive characteristics are: agility, resilience, regionalization, integrated ecosystems, and integrated enterprise strategy.
The survey analysis identified “leaders” among the respondents as supply chain organizations that have already developed at least three of the five competitive characteristics necessary to address the top five drivers of supply chain’s future.
Less than a third have met that threshold.
“Leaders shared a commitment to preparation through long-term, deliberate strategies, while non-leaders were more often focused on short-term priorities,” Pierfrancesco Manenti, vice president analyst in Gartner’s Supply Chain practice, said in a statement announcing the survey results.
“Most leaders have yet to invest in the most advanced technologies (e.g. real-time visibility, digital supply chain twin), but plan to do so in the next three-to-five years,” Manenti also said in the statement. “Leaders see technology as an enabler to their overall business strategies, while non-leaders more often invest in technology first, without having fully established their foundational capabilities.”
As part of the survey, respondents were asked to identify the future drivers of influence on supply chain performance over the next three to five years. The top five drivers are: achievement capability of AI (74%); the amount of new ESG regulations and trade policies being released (67%); geopolitical fight/transition for power (65%); control over data (62%); and talent scarcity (59%).
The analysis also identified four unique profiles of supply chain organizations, based on what their leaders deem as the most crucial capabilities for empowering their organizations over the next three to five years.
First, 54% of retailers are looking for ways to increase their financial recovery from returns. That’s because the cost to return a purchase averages 27% of the purchase price, which erases as much as 50% of the sales margin. But consumers have their own interests in mind: 76% of shoppers admit they’ve embellished or exaggerated the return reason to avoid a fee, a 39% increase from 2023 to 204.
Second, return experiences matter to consumers. A whopping 80% of shoppers stopped shopping at a retailer because of changes to the return policy—a 34% increase YoY.
Third, returns fraud and abuse is top-of-mind-for retailers, with wardrobing rising 38% in 2024. In fact, over two thirds (69%) of shoppers admit to wardrobing, which is the practice of buying an item for a specific reason or event and returning it after use. Shoppers also practice bracketing, or purchasing an item in a variety of colors or sizes and then returning all the unwanted options.
Fourth, returns come with a steep cost in terms of sustainability, with returns amounting to 8.4 billion pounds of landfill waste in 2023 alone.
“As returns have become an integral part of the shopper experience, retailers must balance meeting sky-high expectations with rising costs, environmental impact, and fraudulent behaviors,” Amena Ali, CEO of Optoro, said in the firm’s “2024 Returns Unwrapped” report. “By understanding shoppers’ behaviors and preferences around returns, retailers can create returns experiences that embrace their needs while driving deeper loyalty and protecting their bottom line.”
Facing an evolving supply chain landscape in 2025, companies are being forced to rethink their distribution strategies to cope with challenges like rising cost pressures, persistent labor shortages, and the complexities of managing SKU proliferation.
1. Optimize labor productivity and costs. Forward-thinking businesses are leveraging technology to get more done with fewer resources through approaches like slotting optimization, automation and robotics, and inventory visibility.
2. Maximize capacity with smart solutions. With e-commerce volumes rising, facilities need to handle more SKUs and orders without expanding their physical footprint. That can be achieved through high-density storage and dynamic throughput.
3. Streamline returns management. Returns are a growing challenge, thanks to the continued growth of e-commerce and the consumer practice of bracketing. Businesses can handle that with smarter reverse logistics processes like automated returns processing and reverse logistics visibility.
4. Accelerate order fulfillment with robotics. Robotic solutions are transforming the way orders are fulfilled, helping businesses meet customer expectations faster and more accurately than ever before by using autonomous mobile robots (AMRs and robotic picking.
5. Enhance end-of-line packaging. The final step in the supply chain is often the most visible to customers. So optimizing packaging processes can reduce costs, improve efficiency, and support sustainability goals through automated packaging systems and sustainability initiatives.
That clash has come as retailers have been hustling to adjust to pandemic swings like a renewed focus on e-commerce, then swiftly reimagining store experiences as foot traffic returned. But even as the dust settles from those changes, retailers are now facing renewed questions about how best to define their omnichannel strategy in a world where customers have increasing power and information.
The answer may come from a five-part strategy using integrated components to fortify omnichannel retail, EY said. The approach can unlock value and customer trust through great experiences, but only when implemented cohesively, not individually, EY warns.
The steps include:
1. Functional integration: Is your operating model and data infrastructure siloed between e-commerce and physical stores, or have you developed a cohesive unit centered around delivering seamless customer experience?
2. Customer insights: With consumer centricity at the heart of operations, are you analyzing all touch points to build a holistic view of preferences, behaviors, and buying patterns?
3. Next-generation inventory: Given the right customer insights, how are you utilizing advanced analytics to ensure inventory is optimized to meet demand precisely where and when it’s needed?
4. Distribution partnerships: Having ensured your customers find what they want where they want it, how are your distribution strategies adapting to deliver these choices to them swiftly and efficiently?
5. Real estate strategy: How is your real estate strategy interconnected with insights, inventory and distribution to enhance experience and maximize your footprint?
When approached cohesively, these efforts all build toward one overarching differentiator for retailers: a better customer experience that reaches from brand engagement and order placement through delivery and return, the EY study said. Amid continued volatility and an economy driven by complex customer demands, the retailers best set up to win are those that are striving to gain real-time visibility into stock levels, offer flexible fulfillment options and modernize merchandising through personalized and dynamic customer experiences.
Geopolitical rivalries, alliances, and aspirations are rewiring the global economy—and the imposition of new tariffs on foreign imports by the U.S. will accelerate that process, according to an analysis by Boston Consulting Group (BCG).
Without a broad increase in tariffs, world trade in goods will keep growing at an average of 2.9% annually for the next eight years, the firm forecasts in its report, “Great Powers, Geopolitics, and the Future of Trade.” But the routes goods travel will change markedly as North America reduces its dependence on China and China builds up its links with the Global South, which is cementing its power in the global trade map.
“Global trade is set to top $29 trillion by 2033, but the routes these goods will travel is changing at a remarkable pace,” Aparna Bharadwaj, managing director and partner at BCG, said in a release. “Trade lanes were already shifting from historical patterns and looming US tariffs will accelerate this. Navigating these new dynamics will be critical for any global business.”
To understand those changes, BCG modeled the direct impact of the 60/25/20 scenario (60% tariff on Chinese goods, a 25% on goods from Canada and Mexico, and a 20% on imports from all other countries). The results show that the tariffs would add $640 billion to the cost of importing goods from the top ten U.S. import nations, based on 2023 levels, unless alternative sources or suppliers are found.
In terms of product categories imported by the U.S., the greatest impact would be on imported auto parts and automotive vehicles, which would primarily affect trade with Mexico, the EU, and Japan. Consumer electronics, electrical machinery, and fashion goods would be most affected by higher tariffs on Chinese goods. Specifically, the report forecasts that a 60% tariff rate would add $61 billion to cost of importing consumer electronics products from China into the U.S.