Retailers, software companies, and logistics service providers are strategizing and automating their way to a smoother returns process—to the benefit of the entire supply chain.
Victoria Kickham, an editor at large for Supply Chain Quarterly, started her career as a newspaper reporter in the Boston area before moving into B2B journalism. She has covered manufacturing, distribution and supply chain issues for a variety of publications in the industrial and electronics sectors, and now writes about everything from forklift batteries to omnichannel business trends for Supply Chain Quarterly's sister publication, DC Velocity.
E-commerce has cemented its place in the consumer buying process, driving up the number and variety of orders making their way through warehouses and fulfillment centers each day. A rising tide of returns has accompanied that growth in recent years, pushing what was once an afterthought in many facilities to a place of prominence—and forcing retailers, brands, and logistics service providers to get smarter about the way they handle reverse logistics. It’s been a long time coming, but returns specialists say retailers and their logistics partners are finally focused on optimizing all things returns-related.
“I do think [companies] are getting better [at managing returns],” says Tara Daly, senior director of product marketing at Loop Returns, a provider of returns management software (RMS) for retailers and consumer packaged goods (CPG) companies. “It’s the realization that the post-purchase experience is equally as important as the pre-purchasing journey. It’s clear now: We know that [the returns process] needs to be optimized. Also, [third-party logistics service providers] and warehouses are getting more sophisticated in terms of their returns operations and not being only focused on outbound.”
Daly says she expects a steady or slightly lower volume of returns this post-holiday season compared to last year based on Loop’s own data, adding that the RMS provider has recently seen a year-over-year reduction in returns rates among its customers. She attributes some of the progress to strategies the industry is adopting, collectively, to reduce returns. She and others point to retailers’ efforts to create better returns policies through industry partnerships as well as the implementation of automation strategies at all points along the supply chain as important steps in the evolution of reverse logistics.
“It’s fair to say the industry is making inroads in finding efficiencies on reverse logistics,” adds Brendan Heegan, founder and CEO of Boxzooka, a third-party logistics service provider (3PL) that handles warehousing, storage, inventory management, shipping, and reverse logistics for retailers, wholesalers, and subscription-box providers, most of which are in the high-end apparel and CPG industries. “We look at returns just as seriously as the outbound side; it’s not an afterthought for us. [That’s] because returns are important; it can be lost revenue for customers if they’re not dealt with [in a timely manner] and with care.”
BUILDING BETTER PRACTICES AND POLICIES
Like Daly, Heegan believes that broad-based industry strategy is a major part of today’s returns revolution—and he points to UPS’s recent acquisition of software and reverse logistics specialist Happy Returns as an example. UPS announced plans to acquire Happy Returns last October, and the deal was expected to be completed during the fourth quarter. Heegan says the deal is akin to FedEx’s purchase of Kinko’s (now FedEx Office) 20 years ago and Amazon’s purchase of Whole Foods in 2017—moves that expanded each company’s network of parcel collection locations. The UPS/Happy Returns deal adds 10,000 return dropoff points—known as “return bars”—to the UPS network.
“This acquisition … is another example of things the industry has been doing to increase the number of retail dropoff points, and that gives them consolidation opportunities,” explains Heegan. “At the end of the day, if a UPS truck has to go to someone’s home to pick up a return package, that’s going to cost UPS more by having to drive, burn the gas, and spend the time and labor for one pickup point. If we can get consumers to rally together and drop off returns at one location, then you’re gaining efficiency because now the UPS drivers can go pick up 20, 30, 100 packages at one location.”
It’s also a win for companies like Boxzooka, which has a handful of customers that already use Happy Returns as part of their efforts to provide a better returns experience for shoppers. The company’s reverse logistics services include identifying, re-barcoding, quality control, restocking, and disposition of returned items. A client using Happy Returns helps streamline that process by providing consolidated returns delivered directly to Boxzooka’s facilities. An added bonus: Happy Returns removes all packaging and consolidates merchandise into reusable totes, saving Boxzooka the trouble of dealing with all the excess paper and cardboard.
Such efforts reinforce the value of a seamless returns policy among consumers. According to 2023 research from Loop, 98% of consumers agree that if a retailer provides a fast, convenient, and “hassle-free” returns experience, they’ll be more likely to shop with that merchant in the future.
But consolidation via “return bars” isn’t the only strategy contributing to a better reverse logistics environment these days. Both Heegan and Daly say retailers are more focused on efforts to avoid returns altogether. First and foremost, they say, merchants have been working to improve the online buying experience by providing much more information about products than they did in the past—with better website graphics and size charts, and the addition of customer reviews. They’re also analyzing their returns data, much of which can be aggregated in an RMS. Daly offers an example: With access to all of their returns data, merchants can identify patterns—a dress that keeps getting returned because it’s too small, for instance—and then take steps to correct the issue at the manufacturing stage. All of these efforts can help reduce the need for customers to initiate a return in the first place.
Daly and Heegan say the era of free online returns is largely over as well. Merchants are beginning to strategically apply fees, in some cases offering free exchanges but charging for returns.
“Brands need to focus on [providing] the best experience possible,” says Daly. “And they realize there is an opportunity to drive more revenue—an exchange rather than a return, for example. Merchants are starting to realize that this is an opportunity for them to unlock and increase their profits.”
IMPLEMENTING TECHNOLOGY SOLUTIONS
Automation strategies are proving to be a game-changer as well. More retailers are implementing RMS solutions as a first step toward taming returns because it helps them get control over the entire process, Daly explains. Software systems like Loop’s eliminate the manual, time-consuming process of initiating and managing returns—some estimates say a return can take up to 50 minutes when handled manually—by allowing customers to start a return or exchange anytime via an online platform. In Loop’s case, Daly says the platform can be tailored to automate any existing returns process and also can be integrated into the retailer’s back-end technology tools. Among other advantages, this frees up associates to focus on more-profitable activities, she explains.
Data backs this up: Nearly 80% of merchants surveyed last year by Happy Returns said they have had to choose between shipping new orders and processing returns due to limited warehouse resources. Automation helps solve that problem.
Heegan also considers automation essential to efficient returns management. He notes that Boxzooka, which has focused on returns since its inception in 2014, built its warehouse management software (WMS) with reverse logistics in mind, realizing from the start that “returns have been an ugly part of the 3PL business.
“Consumers can be careless when returning something. Maybe they forgot [to include] the original packing slip or took the tags off the merchandise,” Heegan explains. “We built different ‘hooks’ into our WMS to help us [address those issues].”
Quality control and re-barcoding capabilities are a key part of those efforts, allowing the 3PL to get products back into stock or to an alternative outlet faster. The focus on automating these tasks supports Daly’s observationthat warehousing companies are increasingly focused on returns—to the benefit of the entire supply chain. She emphasizes that 3PLs and warehouses were originally “made for outbound” but says technology enhancements are helping them better handle the inbound side of the equation—a welcome development for their supply chain partners.
“[Merchants] are looking to improve efficiencies,” she says. “So they’re leaning on their logistics and supply chain companies to achieve those goals.”
Editor’s note: This article originally appeared in the January 2024 issue of DC Velocity.
Businesses are cautiously optimistic as peak holiday shipping season draws near, with many anticipating year-over-year sales increases as they continue to battle challenging supply chain conditions.
That’s according to the DHL 2024 Peak Season Shipping Survey, released today by express shipping service provider DHL Express U.S. The company surveyed small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) to gauge their holiday business outlook compared to last year and found that a mix of optimism and “strategic caution” prevail ahead of this year’s peak.
Nearly half (48%) of the SMEs surveyed said they expect higher holiday sales compared to 2023, while 44% said they expect sales to remain on par with last year, and just 8% said they foresee a decline. Respondents said the main challenges to hitting those goals are supply chain problems (35%), inflation and fluctuating consumer demand (34%), staffing (16%), and inventory challenges (14%).
But respondents said they have strategies in place to tackle those issues. Many said they began preparing for holiday season earlier this year—with 45% saying they started planning in Q2 or earlier, up from 39% last year. Other strategies include expanding into international markets (35%) and leveraging holiday discounts (32%).
Sixty percent of respondents said they will prioritize personalized customer service as a way to enhance customer interactions and loyalty this year. Still others said they will invest in enhanced web and mobile experiences (23%) and eco-friendly practices (13%) to draw customers this holiday season.
The practice consists of 5,000 professionals from Accenture and from Avanade—the consulting firm’s joint venture with Microsoft. They will be supported by Microsoft product specialists who will work closely with the Accenture Center for Advanced AI. Together, that group will collaborate on AI and Copilot agent templates, extensions, plugins, and connectors to help organizations leverage their data and gen AI to reduce costs, improve efficiencies and drive growth, they said on Thursday.
Accenture and Avanade say they have already developed some AI tools for these applications. For example, a supplier discovery and risk agent can deliver real-time market insights, agile supply chain responses, and better vendor selection, which could result in up to 15% cost savings. And a procure-to-pay agent could improve efficiency by up to 40% and enhance vendor relations and satisfaction by addressing urgent payment requirements and avoiding disruptions of key services
Likewise, they have also built solutions for clients using Microsoft 365 Copilot technology. For example, they have created Copilots for a variety of industries and functions including finance, manufacturing, supply chain, retail, and consumer goods and healthcare.
Another part of the new practice will be educating clients how to use the technology, using an “Azure Generative AI Engineer Nanodegree program” to teach users how to design, build, and operationalize AI-driven applications on Azure, Microsoft’s cloud computing platform. The online classes will teach learners how to use AI models to solve real-world problems through automation, data insights, and generative AI solutions, the firms said.
“We are pleased to deepen our collaboration with Accenture to help our mutual customers develop AI-first business processes responsibly and securely, while helping them drive market differentiation,” Judson Althoff, executive vice president and chief commercial officer at Microsoft, said in a release. “By bringing together Copilots and human ambition, paired with the autonomous capabilities of an agent, we can accelerate AI transformation for organizations across industries and help them realize successful business outcomes through pragmatic innovation.”
Census data showed that overall retail sales in October were up 0.4% seasonally adjusted month over month and up 2.8% unadjusted year over year. That compared with increases of 0.8% month over month and 2% year over year in September.
October’s core retail sales as defined by NRF — based on the Census data but excluding automobile dealers, gasoline stations and restaurants — were unchanged seasonally adjusted month over month but up 5.4% unadjusted year over year.
Core sales were up 3.5% year over year for the first 10 months of the year, in line with NRF’s forecast for 2024 retail sales to grow between 2.5% and 3.5% over 2023. NRF is forecasting that 2024 holiday sales during November and December will also increase between 2.5% and 3.5% over the same time last year.
“October’s pickup in retail sales shows a healthy pace of spending as many consumers got an early start on holiday shopping,” NRF Chief Economist Jack Kleinhenz said in a release. “October sales were a good early step forward into the holiday shopping season, which is now fully underway. Falling energy prices have likely provided extra dollars for household spending on retail merchandise.”
Despite that positive trend, market watchers cautioned that retailers still need to offer competitive value propositions and customer experience in order to succeed in the holiday season. “The American consumer has been more resilient than anyone could have expected. But that isn’t a free pass for retailers to under invest in their stores,” Nikki Baird, VP of strategy & product at Aptos, a solutions provider of unified retail technology based out of Alpharetta, Georgia, said in a statement. “They need to make investments in labor, customer experience tech, and digital transformation. It has been too easy to kick the can down the road until you suddenly realize there’s no road left.”
A similar message came from Chip West, a retail and consumer behavior expert at the marketing, packaging, print and supply chain solutions provider RRD. “October’s increase proved to be slightly better than projections and was likely boosted by lower fuel prices. As inflation slowed for a number of months, prices in several categories have stabilized, with some even showing declines, offering further relief to consumers,” West said. “The data also looks to be a positive sign as we kick off the holiday shopping season. Promotions and discounts will play a prominent role in holiday shopping behavior as they are key influencers in consumer’s purchasing decisions.”
Third-party logistics (3PL) providers’ share of large real estate leases across the U.S. rose significantly through the third quarter of 2024 compared to the same time last year, as more retailers and wholesalers have been outsourcing their warehouse and distribution operations to 3PLs, according to a report from real estate firm CBRE.
Specifically, 3PLs’ share of bulk industrial leasing activity—covering leases of 100,000 square feet or more—rose to 34.1% through Q3 of this year from 30.6% through Q3 last year. By raw numbers, 3PLs have accounted for 498 bulk leases so far this year, up by 9% from the 457 at this time last year.
By category, 3PLs’ share of 34.1% ranked above other occupier types such as: general retail and wholesale (26.6), food and beverage (9.0), automobiles, tires, and parts (7.9), manufacturing (6.2), building materials and construction (5.6), e-commerce only (5.6), medical (2.7), and undisclosed (2.3).
On a quarterly basis, bulk leasing by 3PLs has steadily increased this year, reversing the steadily decreasing trend of 2023. CBRE pointed to three main reasons for that resurgence:
Import Flexibility. Labor disruptions, extreme weather patterns, and geopolitical uncertainty have led many companies to diversify their import locations. Using 3PLs allows for more inventory flexibility, a key component to retailer success in times of uncertainty.
Capital Allocation/Preservation. Warehousing and distribution of goods is expensive, draining capital resources for transportation costs, rent, or labor. But outsourcing to 3PLs provides companies with more flexibility to increase or decrease their inventories without any risk of signing their own lease commitments. And using a 3PL also allows companies to switch supply chain costs from capital to operational expenses.
Focus on Core Competency. Outsourcing their logistics operations to 3PLs allows companies to focus on core business competencies that drive revenue, such as product development, sales, and customer service.
Looking into the future, these same trends will continue to drive 3PL warehouse demand, CBRE said. Economic, geopolitical and supply chain uncertainty will remain prevalent in the coming quarters but will not diminish the need to effectively manage inventory levels.
That result came from the company’s “GEP Global Supply Chain Volatility Index,” an indicator tracking demand conditions, shortages, transportation costs, inventories, and backlogs based on a monthly survey of 27,000 businesses. The October index number was -0.39, which was up only slightly from its level of -0.43 in September.
Researchers found a steep rise in slack across North American supply chains due to declining factory activity in the U.S. In fact, purchasing managers at U.S. manufacturers made their strongest cutbacks to buying volumes in nearly a year and a half, indicating that factories in the world's largest economy are preparing for lower production volumes, GEP said.
Elsewhere, suppliers feeding Asia also reported spare capacity in October, albeit to a lesser degree than seen in Western markets. Europe's industrial plight remained a key feature of the data in October, as vendor capacity was significantly underutilized, reflecting a continuation of subdued demand in key manufacturing hubs across the continent.
"We're in a buyers' market. October is the fourth straight month that suppliers worldwide reported spare capacity, with notable contractions in factory demand across North America and Europe, underscoring the challenging outlook for Western manufacturers," Todd Bremer, vice president, GEP, said in a release. "President-elect Trump inherits U.S. manufacturers with plenty of spare capacity while in contrast, China's modest rebound and strong expansion in India demonstrate greater resilience in Asia."