Contributing Editor Toby Gooley is a freelance writer and editor specializing in supply chain, logistics, material handling, and international trade. She previously was Editor at CSCMP's Supply Chain Quarterly. and Senior Editor of SCQ's sister publication, DC VELOCITY. Prior to joining AGiLE Business Media in 2007, she spent 20 years at Logistics Management magazine as Managing Editor and Senior Editor covering international trade and transportation. Prior to that she was an export traffic manager for 10 years. She holds a B.A. in Asian Studies from Cornell University.
In 2021, DC Velocity reported on a proposed California state regulation that would require most forklift fleets to phase in zero-emission forklifts (ZEF) over a period of years. Three years later, in a public hearing held in Riverside, California, on June 27, 2024, the California Air Resources Board (CARB) unanimously approved a revised version of that proposal. The regulation will require most fleets to phase in zero-emission forklifts between 2028 and 2038. Restrictions on the purchase of certain new forklifts with internal combustion engines, however, begin much earlier, in 2026.
The mandate is designed to comply with Gov. Gavin Newsom’s Executive Order N-79-20, which requires that off-road vehicles in California transition to zero-emission models by 2035, “where feasible.” The definition of “feasible” animates some of the pushback against the regulation. Some stakeholders have also expressed concerns about the likelihood of job losses and economic burdens, even as they generally support the rule’s ultimate objectives of lowering greenhouse gas emissions and reducing health hazards for California residents.
The 70-page regulation, which includes a number of exemptions and exceptions, applies to certain categories of large spark ignition (LSI) forklifts fueled by propane, natural gas, or gasoline (diesel-powered forklifts are exempt). They include all Class IV forklifts, and Class V forklifts with a rated capacity of 12,000 lbs. or less. CARB estimates that some 89,000 LSI forklifts will be phased out under the new rule.
Beginning in 2026, manufacturers cannot make or sell targeted categories of LSI forklifts in California, and end users cannot purchase or lease them. Exceptions to this prohibition include: Dealers and manufacturers may sell model year (MY) 2025 inventory through the end of 2026, so they will not be left with unsold equipment; they can sell MY 2026, 2027, and 2028 Class V trucks to rental agencies; and they can sell LSI trucks to customers whose trucks are exempt (such as dedicated emergency-use forklifts) or who have obtained an extension of the compliance deadlines from CARB.
From Jan. 1, 2028, through Dec. 31, 2037, existing targeted forklifts must be phased out by model year and can be replaced with only zero-emission equipment. According to CARB staff, the dates were designed so that no forklift will be required to be phased out before it is at least 10 years old. The compliance deadlines are staggered based on fleet size, truck class, capacity, and, in some cases, application:
For large fleets (more than 25 forklifts, including zero-emission forklifts), phaseout of Class IV trucks rated at 12,000 lbs. or less begins in 2028 for MY 2018 and older. Additional deadlines based on model year are 2031, 2033, and 2035. For small fleets (25 forklifts or less) and trucks used in agricultural crop preparation, the deadlines run from 2029 to 2038. Phase-out of Class IV forklifts with capacities exceeding 12,000 lbs. begins in 2035 for large fleets and in 2038 for small fleets and crop prep applications.
For all fleets, Class V trucks rated for 12,000 lbs. or less begin phaseout in 2030 for MY 2017 and older. Additional deadlines based on model year are 2033, 2035, and 2038; the 2038 deadline also applies to rental agencies for some model years. The required phaseout does not apply to Class V forklifts rated for 12,000 lbs. or more, but fleets that voluntarily choose to replace such trucks with electrics of the same or greater capacity can earn credits that allow them to postpone the replacement of an equal number of other LSI forklifts until 2038.
To limit the financial impact on end users, the required turnover of forklifts on the firstcompliance date only is capped at 50% of a fleet’s total number of targeted LSI trucks for large fleets and 25% for small fleets and those used in crop prep.
The rule creates exemptions for low-use trucks (fewer than 200 hours per year) until 2030, but a “microbusiness” can keep one low-use forklift indefinitely; for dedicated emergency equipment; and for forklifts being held for out-of-state delivery. It also includes exemptions for in-field use for agriculture and forestry, because charging infrastructure generally is not feasible in those locations. Fleets can apply for a deadline extension, thereby postponing the phase-out, if they experience significant delays in the delivery of ZE forklifts, in electrical infrastructure construction or upgrades, or in site electrification, or because no ZE forklifts currently available can meet their needs. In the last-mentioned case, an LSI forklift that has reached the end of its life substantially before its phase-out date may be replaced with a newer forklift, inheriting the replaced forklift’s phase-out date. The onus is on fleets to apply for and justify exemptions and extensions and most extensions must be renewed each year. If circumstances have changed—for example, if new models of ZE forklifts could meet an end user’s performance requirements—then the exemption would not be renewed.
Stakeholders Air Their Concerns
Over the past three years, CARB’s staff researched various forklift applications, capabilities, and availability. They also sought stakeholders’ feedback through public workshops; meetings with fleet operators, forklift manufacturers and dealers, rental agencies, fuel providers, and related industry groups; and site visits. Based on that and other feedback, as well as on submissions during two rounds of public comments, the staff modified the original proposed regulation to address some of stakeholders’ concerns.
While many of the agriculture, construction, labor, small business, and propane industry representatives who commented at the June 27 board meeting praised the CARB staff’s outreach and responsiveness, they still had plenty of strong criticisms. Among the biggest concerns for agriculture and and construction was the high cost of replacing equipment; two to three electrics would be required for each LSI model eliminated, several commenters asserted. Also high on their list was the feasibility of providing battery charging infrastructure on construction sites and in agricultural fields. Both typically have limited or no electrical service and are in operation only for limited periods. Multiple speakers questioned whether the utilities would be capable of providing enough reliable capacity to support a long-term increase in battery-powered equipment. Ag industry and small business representatives also wanted more generous caps on the percentage of trucks that must be replaced by the first compliance deadline and/or to have caps apply to every compliance deadline, not just the first one.
For providers of propane fuel—often family-owned small and medium-size businesses—the likely loss of jobs and, potentially, their businesses altogether, were their biggest worries. They reiterated their longstanding argument that propane is a low-emission fuel, therefore, propane-powered forklifts should be considered “part of the solution, not the problem,” as more than one speaker put it. Following the board’s decision to approve the regulation, the Western Propane Gas Association (WPGA) issued a statement slamming it as “costly, infeasible, and flawed.” WPGA charged that CARB’s estimate of the number of forklifts and businesses that would be affected is too low, highlighting its own projections for the cost of adding electrical infrastructure and replacing existing equipment. The group is instead supporting its own alternative proposal, which it contends will meet the state’s air-quality goals with less disruption and expense.
CARB Responds and Moves Forward
CARB’s staff responded to those and other criticisms by asserting that the propane industry’s estimate of the number of forklifts that would be affected relies on an incorrect methodology and is greatly overblown. Staff and two of the board members also noted that powerful, high-performance battery-powered forklifts are now on the market, so replacements are technically feasible. They are economically feasible as well, staff said: They expect fleets will save $2.7 billion in net fleet operating costs through 2043, primarily from lower fuel and maintenance costs, even given the higher upfront acquisition cost for ZEF and the possibility of higher electricity rates in the future. As for electrical service, they urged forklift operators to begin discussions with local utilities by early 2026 to plan for installations or upgrades that may be needed. And they emphasized that the various exemptions and deadline extensions built into the regulations were designed to address the very concerns being expressed by stakeholders and provide them with an unusual degree of flexibility.
The board voted unanimously to approve the adoption of the regulation, with an amendment requiring staff “to evaluate the effectiveness of implementation of the rule and report back to the Board by 2028 . . . and propose any adjustments in the compliance schedule as necessary."
What’s next? Assuming no substantive changes, which are not expected, the final regulation will now move to California’s Office of Administrative Law (OAL). Once OAL determines that it complies with the state’s administrative laws, the regulation will be filed with California’s Secretary of State. The effective date of the regulation (which is separate from the compliance date) will likely be in October or January, depending on when OAL completes its review.
Because the regulation relates to emissions from off-road vehicles, which is covered by the preemption provisions of the federal Clean Air Act, CARB must seek authorization from the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) to fully implement the rule. Without that authorization, California will not be able to enforce the law. While authorization by EPA is routinely granted, the timing is uncertain, leading to the possibility that the regulation could officially become effective but not yet enforceable.
Editor’s Note: Gary Cross, of Dunaway & Cross, contributed to this report.
The “2024 Year in Review” report lists the various transportation delays, freight volume restrictions, and infrastructure repair costs of a long string of events. Those disruptions include labor strikes at Canadian ports and postal sites, the U.S. East and Gulf coast port strike; hurricanes Helene, Francine, and Milton; the Francis Scott key Bridge collapse in Baltimore Harbor; the CrowdStrike cyber attack; and Red Sea missile attacks on passing cargo ships.
“While 2024 was characterized by frequent and overlapping disruptions that exposed many supply chain vulnerabilities, it was also a year of resilience,” the Project44 report said. “From labor strikes and natural disasters to geopolitical tensions, each event served as a critical learning opportunity, underscoring the necessity for robust contingency planning, effective labor relations, and durable infrastructure. As supply chains continue to evolve, the lessons learned this past year highlight the increased importance of proactive measures and collaborative efforts. These strategies are essential to fostering stability and adaptability in a world where unpredictability is becoming the norm.”
In addition to tallying the supply chain impact of those events, the report also made four broad predictions for trends in 2025 that may affect logistics operations. In Project44’s analysis, they include:
More technology and automation will be introduced into supply chains, particularly ports. This will help make operations more efficient but also increase the risk of cybersecurity attacks and service interruptions due to glitches and bugs. This could also add tensions among the labor pool and unions, who do not want jobs to be replaced with automation.
The new administration in the United States introduces a lot of uncertainty, with talks of major tariffs for numerous countries as well as talks of US freight getting preferential treatment through the Panama Canal. If these things do come to fruition, expect to see shifts in global trade patterns and sourcing.
Natural disasters will continue to become more frequent and more severe, as exhibited by the wildfires in Los Angeles and the winter storms throughout the southern states in the U.S. As a result, expect companies to invest more heavily in sustainability to mitigate climate change.
The peace treaty announced on Wednesday between Isael and Hamas in the Middle East could support increased freight volumes returning to the Suez Canal as political crisis in the area are resolved.
ReposiTrak, a global food traceability network operator, will partner with Upshop, a provider of store operations technology for food retailers, to create an end-to-end grocery traceability solution that reaches from the supply chain to the retail store, the firms said today.
The partnership creates a data connection between suppliers and the retail store. It works by integrating Salt Lake City-based ReposiTrak’s network of thousands of suppliers and their traceability shipment data with Austin, Texas-based Upshop’s network of more than 450 retailers and their retail stores.
That accomplishment is important because it will allow food sector trading partners to meet the U.S. FDA’s Food Safety Modernization Act Section 204d (FSMA 204) requirements that they must create and store complete traceability records for certain foods.
And according to ReposiTrak and Upshop, the traceability solution may also unlock potential business benefits. It could do that by creating margin and growth opportunities in stores by connecting supply chain data with store data, thus allowing users to optimize inventory, labor, and customer experience management automation.
"Traceability requires data from the supply chain and – importantly – confirmation at the retail store that the proper and accurate lot code data from each shipment has been captured when the product is received. The missing piece for us has been the supply chain data. ReposiTrak is the leader in capturing and managing supply chain data, starting at the suppliers. Together, we can deliver a single, comprehensive traceability solution," Mark Hawthorne, chief innovation and strategy officer at Upshop, said in a release.
"Once the data is flowing the benefits are compounding. Traceability data can be used to improve food safety, reduce invoice discrepancies, and identify ways to reduce waste and improve efficiencies throughout the store,” Hawthorne said.
Under FSMA 204, retailers are required by law to track Key Data Elements (KDEs) to the store-level for every shipment containing high-risk food items from the Food Traceability List (FTL). ReposiTrak and Upshop say that major industry retailers have made public commitments to traceability, announcing programs that require more traceability data for all food product on a faster timeline. The efforts of those retailers have activated the industry, motivating others to institute traceability programs now, ahead of the FDA’s enforcement deadline of January 20, 2026.
Inclusive procurement practices can fuel economic growth and create jobs worldwide through increased partnerships with small and diverse suppliers, according to a study from the Illinois firm Supplier.io.
The firm’s “2024 Supplier Diversity Economic Impact Report” found that $168 billion spent directly with those suppliers generated a total economic impact of $303 billion. That analysis can help supplier diversity managers and chief procurement officers implement programs that grow diversity spend, improve supply chain competitiveness, and increase brand value, the firm said.
The companies featured in Supplier.io’s report collectively supported more than 710,000 direct jobs and contributed $60 billion in direct wages through their investments in small and diverse suppliers. According to the analysis, those purchases created a ripple effect, supporting over 1.4 million jobs and driving $105 billion in total income when factoring in direct, indirect, and induced economic impacts.
“At Supplier.io, we believe that empowering businesses with advanced supplier intelligence not only enhances their operational resilience but also significantly mitigates risks,” Aylin Basom, CEO of Supplier.io, said in a release. “Our platform provides critical insights that drive efficiency and innovation, enabling companies to find and invest in small and diverse suppliers. This approach helps build stronger, more reliable supply chains.”
Logistics industry growth slowed in December due to a seasonal wind-down of inventory and following one of the busiest holiday shopping seasons on record, according to the latest Logistics Managers’ Index (LMI) report, released this week.
The monthly LMI was 57.3 in December, down more than a percentage point from November’s reading of 58.4. Despite the slowdown, economic activity across the industry continued to expand, as an LMI reading above 50 indicates growth and a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
The LMI researchers said the monthly conditions were largely due to seasonal drawdowns in inventory levels—and the associated costs of holding them—at the retail level. The LMI’s Inventory Levels index registered 50, falling from 56.1 in November. That reduction also affected warehousing capacity, which slowed but remained in expansion mode: The LMI’s warehousing capacity index fell 7 points to a reading of 61.6.
December’s results reflect a continued trend toward more typical industry growth patterns following recent years of volatility—and they point to a successful peak holiday season as well.
“Retailers were clearly correct in their bet to stock [up] on goods ahead of the holiday season,” the LMI researchers wrote in their monthly report. “Holiday sales from November until Christmas Eve were up 3.8% year-over-year according to Mastercard. This was largely driven by a 6.7% increase in e-commerce sales, although in-person spending was up 2.9% as well.”
And those results came during a compressed peak shopping cycle.
“The increase in spending came despite the shorter holiday season due to the late Thanksgiving,” the researchers also wrote, citing National Retail Federation (NRF) estimates that U.S. shoppers spent just short of a trillion dollars in November and December, making it the busiest holiday season of all time.
The LMI is a monthly survey of logistics managers from across the country. It tracks industry growth overall and across eight areas: inventory levels and costs; warehousing capacity, utilization, and prices; and transportation capacity, utilization, and prices. The report is released monthly by researchers from Arizona State University, Colorado State University, Rochester Institute of Technology, Rutgers University, and the University of Nevada, Reno, in conjunction with the Council of Supply Chain Management Professionals (CSCMP).
As U.S. small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) face an uncertain business landscape in 2025, a substantial majority (67%) expect positive growth in the new year compared to 2024, according to a survey from DHL.
However, the survey also showed that businesses could face a rocky road to reach that goal, as they navigate a complex environment of regulatory/policy shifts and global market volatility. Both those issues were cited as top challenges by 36% of respondents, followed by staffing/talent retention (11%) and digital threats and cyber attacks (2%).
Against that backdrop, SMEs said that the biggest opportunity for growth in 2025 lies in expanding into new markets (40%), followed by economic improvements (31%) and implementing new technologies (14%).
As the U.S. prepares for a broad shift in political leadership in Washington after a contentious election, the SMEs in DHL’s survey were likely split evenly on their opinion about the impact of regulatory and policy changes. A plurality of 40% were on the fence (uncertain, still evaluating), followed by 24% who believe regulatory changes could negatively impact growth, 20% who see these changes as having a positive impact, and 16% predicting no impact on growth at all.
That uncertainty also triggered a split when respondents were asked how they planned to adjust their strategy in 2025 in response to changes in the policy or regulatory landscape. The largest portion (38%) of SMEs said they remained uncertain or still evaluating, followed by 30% who will make minor adjustments, 19% will maintain their current approach, and 13% who were willing to significantly adjust their approach.