A champion for supply chains: interview with Kevin Smith
When it comes to the supply chain's value to an enterprise, there's more to it than most companies realize, says Kevin Smith, CSCMP's new chairman. He aims to get the word out.
For Kevin Smith, it all started with a job unloading freight cars at a General Mills warehouse in Massachusetts. That was the entry point for a distinguished 30-plus-year career in logistics and supply chain management that has included executive-level positions at some of the world's best-known companies. For instance, prior to his retirement in 2008, Smith served as senior vice president supply chain & logistics and corporate sustainability officer for CVS Caremark. Before that, he worked for H.J. Heinz, where he was vice president of logistics and customer support, and for Kraft Foods, where he was the director of network design and implementation. Today, he is president and CEO of his own firm, Sustainable Supply Chain Consulting, which he started after retiring.
In September, Smith began a one-year term as chairman of the Council of Supply Chain Management Professionals (CSCMP). In addition to his CSCMP post, he is a special adviser to World 50, a private community for senior-most executives from globally respected organizations, and its Supply Chain 50 subgroup. Smith also serves on the advisory board of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology's Center for Transportation & Logistics.
Smith spoke recently with Editorial Director Peter Bradley about his goals for CSCMP, the relevance of trade groups in the age of the Internet, and why the supply chain should get more respect.
Q: Congratulations on becoming the CSCMP chairman. My first question is what are your principal goals for the next year?
A: When I think about furthering the progress and development of what we do in supply chain management, I think there are three challenges: We have to provide foundational information for people to use in their own personal development. We need to build an appreciation of the importance of what we do as an industry. And we have to help supply chain managers develop the confidence to change, innovate, and involve—to make supply chains more effective, efficient, and important to their individual enterprises.
Name: Kevin Smith Title: Chairman Organization: Council of Supply Chain Management Professionals
Title: President and CEO Organization: Sustainable Supply Chain Consulting
Special advisor to World 50, a community of senior executives from organizations across the globe, and its Supply Chain 50 subgroup
Advisory board member, Center for Transportation & Logistics, Massachusetts Institute of Technoogy
CSCMP Member: since 1986
Q: How do you accomplish those goals?
A: Well, of course, you've got CSCMP as a network that can connect all kinds of people. Whether it's based on a particular business issue or it's mentoring or just networking within the industry, we have the wherewithal to do that because we have a lot of members who want to share either information or experiences.
We also have a lot of educational information, a lot of educational programs, a lot of pre-existing research that can be helpful to people trying to solve problems for their businesses. We've got all this content. The question is, how do you make it readily available to people in such a way that they recognize the importance or the value it brings to their enterprise? That is the tricky part.
Once they have that, it could help them develop confidence to take chances, introduce innovations, and actually try to look at the supply chain as something very positive for the enterprise.
I have seen this repeatedly, especially in 2008. In 2008, we hit the skids. Supply chains became very important to businesses. Why? Because the supply chain had the ability to influence both the top line through the way we dealt with customers and the bottom line in terms of saving money and decreasing costs within the enterprise. When that happened, it was almost like a switch went on, and CEOs and CFOs suddenly realized that supply chains could play an important role in making sure that the companies, in some cases, literally survived that first couple of years.
Now, as the environment improves, as the economy improves, I think there's a tendency to try to put supply chain operations and supply chain management back into the backroom and let the sexy marketing take over again. That has been the premier activity within the enterprise. I'm not sure that is wrong, but I think what is wrong is for companies or enterprises to totally disregard the importance of supply chain even in good times. The ability to control costs, to reduce costs for the enterprise, is very important. More important, though, is the ability of the supply chain to develop a relationship with the customers and clients, so that those customers and clients want to do more business with the enterprise. So to discount that and push it off to the side and focus your company on just marketing or just finance, I think you are losing something. We have a challenge within CSCMP to bring all that out into the open so CEOs and companies recognize the value of supply chain not just in cutting costs, but also in growing business.
Q: One of the challenges, not just for CSCMP but for every trade organization, is holding onto and building membership. Why do you think that is so, and what approach will CSCMP take to build membership?
A: When did membership in professional organizations start to wane? Some would say it was 9/11. A lot of people were afraid of traveling, and companies used it as an excuse to say, "Let's curtail travel." It actually started before that. The advent of the Internet and the "wiki" world that we live in, I think, has given people this false impression of where they can get knowledge and useful information.
I think it's a very small percentage of people that actually take that information and transform it into something that's really useful. I think as human beings, (it is) much more important to have interaction and to network with people, especially the people who have actually done what you're trying to do.
So, we've got what we call "the lifecycle" at CSCMP. We try to get people involved in CSCMP and supply chain from the time they are college students up to the time when they are senior fellows like me. So we categorize people as students, young professionals, mid-career, senior leaders, and senior fellows. You can participate in CSCMP whether you're 18 years old or 88. You just participate at a different level. What we're trying to do is develop an information network where people are able to participate no matter where they are in their career.
Q: You've been a supply chain professional for a long time, and now, in your current role, you see a lot of businesses. What do you see as the biggest challenges folks in our profession are facing?
A: As I said before, I think a lot of it is economically driven through the C-suite. The challenge for CSCMP and the challenge for enterprises over the next couple of years will be to try to capitalize on supply chains and leverage what the supply chains have to offer. In many businesses, the people who have the face-to-face interaction with companies, besides the individual salesperson, are the supply chain people. It is the supply chain that has to deliver in the end and look the customer in the eye and either say, "We've done what we promised to do" or "We failed in what we promised to do." So that relationship, I think, in many ways is as important as the sales-to-customer relationship—and in some cases, it is more important because the last and final impression that a customer gets is whether or not the product was delivered on time, complete, and free of damage. If the supply chain is doing all of those things, you're probably going to build a really good relationship with your clients. If it's not doing those things, then you're going to be in big trouble.
Q: Right, which goes back to the old silo argument we've been having for decades. If the merchants and sales and marketing people aren't talking to supply chain, you may have some issues.
A: Right, and, you know, I think a lot of companies have done a better job with that over the last few years, especially since 2008. Back in 2004 or so, 30 percent of companies had a position called supply chain or logistics that was either in the C-suite or reporting directly to the C-suite. By 2011, 80 percent of Fortune 500 companies had that position, supply chain or logistics reporting to or in the C-suite. There has been a recognition that supply chain management is important to the enterprise. The trick is keeping it top of mind because when things get good, when the economy is booming, when you can't help but sell things, enterprises lose track of the fact that the supply chain is important, and they only come back to that realization when things get tough.
Q: Wall Street pays attention to supply chain these days, too.
A: It does. But again, I think that has been more since 2008. I can recall being the first supply chain person at CVS to ask to present at an analysts' meeting in New York because of all the things we just talked about—the fact that we had a story to tell and it was not just about how we were cutting and controlling costs, but how we were adding to the value proposition on the top line.
We have certainly come a long way. The trick now is to make sure that we keep our value proposition front of mind so people understand that we're not just the backroom people who ship stuff and store stuff, but that we are also a part of the enterprise that helps add value to whatever product or service is being provided.
Businesses are cautiously optimistic as peak holiday shipping season draws near, with many anticipating year-over-year sales increases as they continue to battle challenging supply chain conditions.
That’s according to the DHL 2024 Peak Season Shipping Survey, released today by express shipping service provider DHL Express U.S. The company surveyed small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) to gauge their holiday business outlook compared to last year and found that a mix of optimism and “strategic caution” prevail ahead of this year’s peak.
Nearly half (48%) of the SMEs surveyed said they expect higher holiday sales compared to 2023, while 44% said they expect sales to remain on par with last year, and just 8% said they foresee a decline. Respondents said the main challenges to hitting those goals are supply chain problems (35%), inflation and fluctuating consumer demand (34%), staffing (16%), and inventory challenges (14%).
But respondents said they have strategies in place to tackle those issues. Many said they began preparing for holiday season earlier this year—with 45% saying they started planning in Q2 or earlier, up from 39% last year. Other strategies include expanding into international markets (35%) and leveraging holiday discounts (32%).
Sixty percent of respondents said they will prioritize personalized customer service as a way to enhance customer interactions and loyalty this year. Still others said they will invest in enhanced web and mobile experiences (23%) and eco-friendly practices (13%) to draw customers this holiday season.
The practice consists of 5,000 professionals from Accenture and from Avanade—the consulting firm’s joint venture with Microsoft. They will be supported by Microsoft product specialists who will work closely with the Accenture Center for Advanced AI. Together, that group will collaborate on AI and Copilot agent templates, extensions, plugins, and connectors to help organizations leverage their data and gen AI to reduce costs, improve efficiencies and drive growth, they said on Thursday.
Accenture and Avanade say they have already developed some AI tools for these applications. For example, a supplier discovery and risk agent can deliver real-time market insights, agile supply chain responses, and better vendor selection, which could result in up to 15% cost savings. And a procure-to-pay agent could improve efficiency by up to 40% and enhance vendor relations and satisfaction by addressing urgent payment requirements and avoiding disruptions of key services
Likewise, they have also built solutions for clients using Microsoft 365 Copilot technology. For example, they have created Copilots for a variety of industries and functions including finance, manufacturing, supply chain, retail, and consumer goods and healthcare.
Another part of the new practice will be educating clients how to use the technology, using an “Azure Generative AI Engineer Nanodegree program” to teach users how to design, build, and operationalize AI-driven applications on Azure, Microsoft’s cloud computing platform. The online classes will teach learners how to use AI models to solve real-world problems through automation, data insights, and generative AI solutions, the firms said.
“We are pleased to deepen our collaboration with Accenture to help our mutual customers develop AI-first business processes responsibly and securely, while helping them drive market differentiation,” Judson Althoff, executive vice president and chief commercial officer at Microsoft, said in a release. “By bringing together Copilots and human ambition, paired with the autonomous capabilities of an agent, we can accelerate AI transformation for organizations across industries and help them realize successful business outcomes through pragmatic innovation.”
Census data showed that overall retail sales in October were up 0.4% seasonally adjusted month over month and up 2.8% unadjusted year over year. That compared with increases of 0.8% month over month and 2% year over year in September.
October’s core retail sales as defined by NRF — based on the Census data but excluding automobile dealers, gasoline stations and restaurants — were unchanged seasonally adjusted month over month but up 5.4% unadjusted year over year.
Core sales were up 3.5% year over year for the first 10 months of the year, in line with NRF’s forecast for 2024 retail sales to grow between 2.5% and 3.5% over 2023. NRF is forecasting that 2024 holiday sales during November and December will also increase between 2.5% and 3.5% over the same time last year.
“October’s pickup in retail sales shows a healthy pace of spending as many consumers got an early start on holiday shopping,” NRF Chief Economist Jack Kleinhenz said in a release. “October sales were a good early step forward into the holiday shopping season, which is now fully underway. Falling energy prices have likely provided extra dollars for household spending on retail merchandise.”
Despite that positive trend, market watchers cautioned that retailers still need to offer competitive value propositions and customer experience in order to succeed in the holiday season. “The American consumer has been more resilient than anyone could have expected. But that isn’t a free pass for retailers to under invest in their stores,” Nikki Baird, VP of strategy & product at Aptos, a solutions provider of unified retail technology based out of Alpharetta, Georgia, said in a statement. “They need to make investments in labor, customer experience tech, and digital transformation. It has been too easy to kick the can down the road until you suddenly realize there’s no road left.”
A similar message came from Chip West, a retail and consumer behavior expert at the marketing, packaging, print and supply chain solutions provider RRD. “October’s increase proved to be slightly better than projections and was likely boosted by lower fuel prices. As inflation slowed for a number of months, prices in several categories have stabilized, with some even showing declines, offering further relief to consumers,” West said. “The data also looks to be a positive sign as we kick off the holiday shopping season. Promotions and discounts will play a prominent role in holiday shopping behavior as they are key influencers in consumer’s purchasing decisions.”
Third-party logistics (3PL) providers’ share of large real estate leases across the U.S. rose significantly through the third quarter of 2024 compared to the same time last year, as more retailers and wholesalers have been outsourcing their warehouse and distribution operations to 3PLs, according to a report from real estate firm CBRE.
Specifically, 3PLs’ share of bulk industrial leasing activity—covering leases of 100,000 square feet or more—rose to 34.1% through Q3 of this year from 30.6% through Q3 last year. By raw numbers, 3PLs have accounted for 498 bulk leases so far this year, up by 9% from the 457 at this time last year.
By category, 3PLs’ share of 34.1% ranked above other occupier types such as: general retail and wholesale (26.6), food and beverage (9.0), automobiles, tires, and parts (7.9), manufacturing (6.2), building materials and construction (5.6), e-commerce only (5.6), medical (2.7), and undisclosed (2.3).
On a quarterly basis, bulk leasing by 3PLs has steadily increased this year, reversing the steadily decreasing trend of 2023. CBRE pointed to three main reasons for that resurgence:
Import Flexibility. Labor disruptions, extreme weather patterns, and geopolitical uncertainty have led many companies to diversify their import locations. Using 3PLs allows for more inventory flexibility, a key component to retailer success in times of uncertainty.
Capital Allocation/Preservation. Warehousing and distribution of goods is expensive, draining capital resources for transportation costs, rent, or labor. But outsourcing to 3PLs provides companies with more flexibility to increase or decrease their inventories without any risk of signing their own lease commitments. And using a 3PL also allows companies to switch supply chain costs from capital to operational expenses.
Focus on Core Competency. Outsourcing their logistics operations to 3PLs allows companies to focus on core business competencies that drive revenue, such as product development, sales, and customer service.
Looking into the future, these same trends will continue to drive 3PL warehouse demand, CBRE said. Economic, geopolitical and supply chain uncertainty will remain prevalent in the coming quarters but will not diminish the need to effectively manage inventory levels.
That result came from the company’s “GEP Global Supply Chain Volatility Index,” an indicator tracking demand conditions, shortages, transportation costs, inventories, and backlogs based on a monthly survey of 27,000 businesses. The October index number was -0.39, which was up only slightly from its level of -0.43 in September.
Researchers found a steep rise in slack across North American supply chains due to declining factory activity in the U.S. In fact, purchasing managers at U.S. manufacturers made their strongest cutbacks to buying volumes in nearly a year and a half, indicating that factories in the world's largest economy are preparing for lower production volumes, GEP said.
Elsewhere, suppliers feeding Asia also reported spare capacity in October, albeit to a lesser degree than seen in Western markets. Europe's industrial plight remained a key feature of the data in October, as vendor capacity was significantly underutilized, reflecting a continuation of subdued demand in key manufacturing hubs across the continent.
"We're in a buyers' market. October is the fourth straight month that suppliers worldwide reported spare capacity, with notable contractions in factory demand across North America and Europe, underscoring the challenging outlook for Western manufacturers," Todd Bremer, vice president, GEP, said in a release. "President-elect Trump inherits U.S. manufacturers with plenty of spare capacity while in contrast, China's modest rebound and strong expansion in India demonstrate greater resilience in Asia."