11 critical competencies supply chain planners need now (and how to develop them)
The knowledge, skills, and attitudes that today’s planning professionals require differ from those of just a few years ago. Companies must be more proactive in providing educational opportunities and creating processes, metrics, and incentives that build professionals’ competencies and contribute to developing tomorrow’s planning leaders.
The pandemic exposed some hard truths about the state of supply chain planning. Significant gaps in employee competencies, a shortage of empowered senior leaders, and insufficient organizational support severely constrained many companies’ responses to the worldwide crisis. Leading companies have taken those lessons to heart and are now making supply chain planning a strategic priority.
Consider the experience of one multinational IT infrastructure company. The supply chain had established disciplines within its traditional functions. But the planning competencies needed to coordinate across functions and manage technology changes were severely lacking. As a senior supply chain manager related: “The company faced 20x our normal level of disruption during the pandemic. The volume of information needed to manage that much disruption was intense. So was the amount of cross-functional coordination.” Managers also struggled to communicate the larger, strategic impact of planning to senior leadership. “At the end of the day, you can only sell what you can get,” the manager said. “The big lesson for us coming out of the pandemic was that planning is much more than scheduling.”
Supply chain planning refers to a set of iterative, interconnected decisions aimed at continuously aligning company capacity, inventory, and other assets to maximize profits. It integrates a range of decisions across different time horizons: from longer-term optimization of global supply networks to near-term scheduling of deliveries. Figure 1 provides an overview of the different processes involved in supply chain planning.
FIGURE 1: Planning framework
Senior executives are looking to planners to lead key initiatives from innovation and digitization to agility and risk management. Our team at the University of Tennessee–Knoxville’s Advanced Supply Chain Collaborative (ASCC) has been working to define the planning talent and leadership development needed to meet these new expectations. (For additional information about the ASCC, see the sidebar below.)
Next-generation planning talent
Our findings suggest planning competencies need to evolve beyond traditional technical skills to include a broad array of social and personal strengths. Our team identified 11 planning competencies (see Figure 2) that reflect this evolution:
FIGURE 2: The 11 core competencies of supply chain planning
Ambiguity tolerance. The ability to act effectively in situations where next steps are undefined, there are multiple interpretations, or signals are weak or mixed.
Self-awareness. The ability to see oneself and one’s work within larger professional and personal contexts.
Change leadership. The ability to help others succeed in new and changing contexts.
Compelling communication. The ability to present ideas in a manner that is clear, concise, data-driven, and oriented toward concrete action.
Conflict management. The ability to manage differences in ways that satisfy the needs of stakeholders while promoting learning and ethical action.
Cultural leadership. The ability to support and establish organizational cultures—and help those cultures evolve over time.
Data analytics. The ability to analyze data to generate insights that drive action.
Empathy. The ability to recognize another’s experiences and act appropriately in a helpful manner.
Negotiation skills. The ability to uncover mutually beneficial outcomes through a prosocial concern for stakeholders.
Team leadership. The ability to provide purpose, accountability, and resources to a team.
Technological fluency. The ability to drive new opportunities through a detailed understanding of current and emerging technologies.
Competencies drive transformation
These are not the typical knowledge, skills, and attitudes advertised for supply chain planning positions. But they are critical for success in today’s operating environment. Take ambiguity tolerance. Planners nowadays are often required to make decisions with partial information and take contingent actions in rapidly shifting environments. Moreover, planners must be comfortable engaging with different viewpoints and challenging their own perceptions.
Other competencies will be crucial for meeting the challenges of digitization. For example, leaders clearly express a desire for more digitized, automated planning processes, ranking their disparate data silos and a lack of visibility into material flows as top concerns. But research indicates that in order to realize the full value of advanced technologies, companies must invest in the capabilities of their people. To drive digital transformation, planning leaders must develop teams with the technological fluency to test new solutions and assess their potential value.
Beyond technological fluency, planners will also need to be comfortable leading change. A true digital capability means routinely identifying, assessing, and adopting technologies in ways that push the productivity frontier and serve as a basis for competitive advantage. Planners will need to support others as new technologies transform traditional roles and responsibilities. The bottom line is that managing social and psychological factors associated with change will be as important as the technical implementation. Planners need to be ready for this new aspect of their work.
Focus on experience
Competencies emerge through experiences. By applying knowledge and skills through experiences, planners build the “muscle memory” that is at the core of any competency. As leaders start to define talent development programs, they need to expose planners to high-impact, hands-on learning, and then support those experiences with educational opportunities, processes, metrics, and incentives.
Supporting experiences that build planning competencies can be a challenge. First, no single experience will generate a desired competency. Instead, companies need to provide a range of experiences that support different elements of the planning competencies they hope to build. This takes thinking creatively about actions that can drive social and personal strengths. Our research identified five broad areas (see Figure 3) for companies to consider in supporting planning competencies:
FIGURE 3: Five broad action areas to support planning competency development
Enhancing storytelling and communication. Integrating information about the operating environment into a coherent narrative that motivates action is central to planning.
Infusing change management and influence strategies. Inspiring and leading change is critical for planners tasked with system transformation.
Linking diversity, equity, and inclusion (DEI) to supply chain success. A robust DEI program has enormous potential to benefit the entire planning organization by helping to develop competencies not just among underrepresented groups but also for those not directly impacted by DEI recruitment and retention efforts.
Mentoring, coaching, and leadership. New hires and top talent alike do significantly better with an active sponsor, mentor, or coach.
Managing through ambiguity. Sustaining performance in planning requires a workforce that can adapt to changes in the marketplace and rapid technological advancements.
These broad-based organizational action areas are mutually supporting, helping to develop different dimensions across several competencies. For instance, linking diversity, equity, and inclusion (DEI) to supply chain success entails developing talent from underrepresented groups and tapping their knowledge and experiences as resources for learning how to improve core work. Our research suggests that a robust DEI program has the potential to significantly support development in nine of the 11 core competencies identified above: ambiguity tolerance, self-awareness, change leadership, compelling communication, conflict management, cultural leadership, empathy, negotiation skills, and team leadership.
The point is that, as companies pursue their strategic objectives, they must think broadly about the individual-level competencies planners will need. Implementing specific training programs to achieve particular capabilities will likely fall short. Rather, companies should focus on organizational action areas that broadly support the organization’s talent development needs. (Suggestions for specific educational opportunities, processes, metrics, and incentives for each of the five action areas can be found in the white paper, “Developing the Next-Generation of Supply Chain Planning Talent and Leadership” on ASCC’s website.)
Now is the time
Supply chain planners need a new set of competencies to drive organizational success. Planners must be comfortable managing teams, leading change, and adapting to new technologies. Other capabilities may also be needed. For example, extensions of our research suggest financial literacy and business acumen may be critical competencies for planners to develop.
As leaders approach developing the next generation of planning talent, they should ask themselves a number of questions: Does my company have a process for identifying the competencies needed to achieve planning excellence? What experiences is my company providing planners to build their competencies? What educational opportunities, processes, metrics, and incentives does my company have in place to develop planning competencies? The time to start developing the next generation of planning talent is now.
About this research
This research was conducted as part of the Advanced Supply Chain Collaborative (ASCC) at the University of Tennessee–Knoxville (UT). The ASCC works as a think tank, engaging industry experts and UT faculty on leading topics in supply chain management. Teams of three to four individuals from two or more companies, led by a UT faculty member, work together on a topic of shared interest. Projects provide significant peer-to-peer learning in an open and supportive environment. The goal is to provide today’s leaders with new insights for navigating a rapidly changing operating environment.
This research was conducted using an interactive research design. Weekly conversations were conducted with a core group of corporate partners with significant supply chain planning expertise. The team explored the project’s research questions through in-depth, open-ended conversations. Discussions drew on participants’ practical experiences with talent and leadership development challenges and members’ considerable expertise. Subject matter experts were brought into the discussion to drive deeper investigations of topics as they emerged. Conversation notes were captured, and central themes and insights were distilled and presented to the group each week. Ideas that emerged were validated against the research literature; new ideas were defined and dimensionalized.
Just 29% of supply chain organizations have the competitive characteristics they’ll need for future readiness, according to a Gartner survey released Tuesday. The survey focused on how organizations are preparing for future challenges and to keep their supply chains competitive.
Gartner surveyed 579 supply chain practitioners to determine the capabilities needed to manage the “future drivers of influence” on supply chains, which include artificial intelligence (AI) achievement and the ability to navigate new trade policies. According to the survey, the five competitive characteristics are: agility, resilience, regionalization, integrated ecosystems, and integrated enterprise strategy.
The survey analysis identified “leaders” among the respondents as supply chain organizations that have already developed at least three of the five competitive characteristics necessary to address the top five drivers of supply chain’s future.
Less than a third have met that threshold.
“Leaders shared a commitment to preparation through long-term, deliberate strategies, while non-leaders were more often focused on short-term priorities,” Pierfrancesco Manenti, vice president analyst in Gartner’s Supply Chain practice, said in a statement announcing the survey results.
“Most leaders have yet to invest in the most advanced technologies (e.g. real-time visibility, digital supply chain twin), but plan to do so in the next three-to-five years,” Manenti also said in the statement. “Leaders see technology as an enabler to their overall business strategies, while non-leaders more often invest in technology first, without having fully established their foundational capabilities.”
As part of the survey, respondents were asked to identify the future drivers of influence on supply chain performance over the next three to five years. The top five drivers are: achievement capability of AI (74%); the amount of new ESG regulations and trade policies being released (67%); geopolitical fight/transition for power (65%); control over data (62%); and talent scarcity (59%).
The analysis also identified four unique profiles of supply chain organizations, based on what their leaders deem as the most crucial capabilities for empowering their organizations over the next three to five years.
First, 54% of retailers are looking for ways to increase their financial recovery from returns. That’s because the cost to return a purchase averages 27% of the purchase price, which erases as much as 50% of the sales margin. But consumers have their own interests in mind: 76% of shoppers admit they’ve embellished or exaggerated the return reason to avoid a fee, a 39% increase from 2023 to 204.
Second, return experiences matter to consumers. A whopping 80% of shoppers stopped shopping at a retailer because of changes to the return policy—a 34% increase YoY.
Third, returns fraud and abuse is top-of-mind-for retailers, with wardrobing rising 38% in 2024. In fact, over two thirds (69%) of shoppers admit to wardrobing, which is the practice of buying an item for a specific reason or event and returning it after use. Shoppers also practice bracketing, or purchasing an item in a variety of colors or sizes and then returning all the unwanted options.
Fourth, returns come with a steep cost in terms of sustainability, with returns amounting to 8.4 billion pounds of landfill waste in 2023 alone.
“As returns have become an integral part of the shopper experience, retailers must balance meeting sky-high expectations with rising costs, environmental impact, and fraudulent behaviors,” Amena Ali, CEO of Optoro, said in the firm’s “2024 Returns Unwrapped” report. “By understanding shoppers’ behaviors and preferences around returns, retailers can create returns experiences that embrace their needs while driving deeper loyalty and protecting their bottom line.”
Facing an evolving supply chain landscape in 2025, companies are being forced to rethink their distribution strategies to cope with challenges like rising cost pressures, persistent labor shortages, and the complexities of managing SKU proliferation.
1. Optimize labor productivity and costs. Forward-thinking businesses are leveraging technology to get more done with fewer resources through approaches like slotting optimization, automation and robotics, and inventory visibility.
2. Maximize capacity with smart solutions. With e-commerce volumes rising, facilities need to handle more SKUs and orders without expanding their physical footprint. That can be achieved through high-density storage and dynamic throughput.
3. Streamline returns management. Returns are a growing challenge, thanks to the continued growth of e-commerce and the consumer practice of bracketing. Businesses can handle that with smarter reverse logistics processes like automated returns processing and reverse logistics visibility.
4. Accelerate order fulfillment with robotics. Robotic solutions are transforming the way orders are fulfilled, helping businesses meet customer expectations faster and more accurately than ever before by using autonomous mobile robots (AMRs and robotic picking.
5. Enhance end-of-line packaging. The final step in the supply chain is often the most visible to customers. So optimizing packaging processes can reduce costs, improve efficiency, and support sustainability goals through automated packaging systems and sustainability initiatives.
That clash has come as retailers have been hustling to adjust to pandemic swings like a renewed focus on e-commerce, then swiftly reimagining store experiences as foot traffic returned. But even as the dust settles from those changes, retailers are now facing renewed questions about how best to define their omnichannel strategy in a world where customers have increasing power and information.
The answer may come from a five-part strategy using integrated components to fortify omnichannel retail, EY said. The approach can unlock value and customer trust through great experiences, but only when implemented cohesively, not individually, EY warns.
The steps include:
1. Functional integration: Is your operating model and data infrastructure siloed between e-commerce and physical stores, or have you developed a cohesive unit centered around delivering seamless customer experience?
2. Customer insights: With consumer centricity at the heart of operations, are you analyzing all touch points to build a holistic view of preferences, behaviors, and buying patterns?
3. Next-generation inventory: Given the right customer insights, how are you utilizing advanced analytics to ensure inventory is optimized to meet demand precisely where and when it’s needed?
4. Distribution partnerships: Having ensured your customers find what they want where they want it, how are your distribution strategies adapting to deliver these choices to them swiftly and efficiently?
5. Real estate strategy: How is your real estate strategy interconnected with insights, inventory and distribution to enhance experience and maximize your footprint?
When approached cohesively, these efforts all build toward one overarching differentiator for retailers: a better customer experience that reaches from brand engagement and order placement through delivery and return, the EY study said. Amid continued volatility and an economy driven by complex customer demands, the retailers best set up to win are those that are striving to gain real-time visibility into stock levels, offer flexible fulfillment options and modernize merchandising through personalized and dynamic customer experiences.
Geopolitical rivalries, alliances, and aspirations are rewiring the global economy—and the imposition of new tariffs on foreign imports by the U.S. will accelerate that process, according to an analysis by Boston Consulting Group (BCG).
Without a broad increase in tariffs, world trade in goods will keep growing at an average of 2.9% annually for the next eight years, the firm forecasts in its report, “Great Powers, Geopolitics, and the Future of Trade.” But the routes goods travel will change markedly as North America reduces its dependence on China and China builds up its links with the Global South, which is cementing its power in the global trade map.
“Global trade is set to top $29 trillion by 2033, but the routes these goods will travel is changing at a remarkable pace,” Aparna Bharadwaj, managing director and partner at BCG, said in a release. “Trade lanes were already shifting from historical patterns and looming US tariffs will accelerate this. Navigating these new dynamics will be critical for any global business.”
To understand those changes, BCG modeled the direct impact of the 60/25/20 scenario (60% tariff on Chinese goods, a 25% on goods from Canada and Mexico, and a 20% on imports from all other countries). The results show that the tariffs would add $640 billion to the cost of importing goods from the top ten U.S. import nations, based on 2023 levels, unless alternative sources or suppliers are found.
In terms of product categories imported by the U.S., the greatest impact would be on imported auto parts and automotive vehicles, which would primarily affect trade with Mexico, the EU, and Japan. Consumer electronics, electrical machinery, and fashion goods would be most affected by higher tariffs on Chinese goods. Specifically, the report forecasts that a 60% tariff rate would add $61 billion to cost of importing consumer electronics products from China into the U.S.