11 critical competencies supply chain planners need now (and how to develop them)
The knowledge, skills, and attitudes that today’s planning professionals require differ from those of just a few years ago. Companies must be more proactive in providing educational opportunities and creating processes, metrics, and incentives that build professionals’ competencies and contribute to developing tomorrow’s planning leaders.
The pandemic exposed some hard truths about the state of supply chain planning. Significant gaps in employee competencies, a shortage of empowered senior leaders, and insufficient organizational support severely constrained many companies’ responses to the worldwide crisis. Leading companies have taken those lessons to heart and are now making supply chain planning a strategic priority.
Consider the experience of one multinational IT infrastructure company. The supply chain had established disciplines within its traditional functions. But the planning competencies needed to coordinate across functions and manage technology changes were severely lacking. As a senior supply chain manager related: “The company faced 20x our normal level of disruption during the pandemic. The volume of information needed to manage that much disruption was intense. So was the amount of cross-functional coordination.” Managers also struggled to communicate the larger, strategic impact of planning to senior leadership. “At the end of the day, you can only sell what you can get,” the manager said. “The big lesson for us coming out of the pandemic was that planning is much more than scheduling.”
Supply chain planning refers to a set of iterative, interconnected decisions aimed at continuously aligning company capacity, inventory, and other assets to maximize profits. It integrates a range of decisions across different time horizons: from longer-term optimization of global supply networks to near-term scheduling of deliveries. Figure 1 provides an overview of the different processes involved in supply chain planning.
FIGURE 1: Planning framework
Senior executives are looking to planners to lead key initiatives from innovation and digitization to agility and risk management. Our team at the University of Tennessee–Knoxville’s Advanced Supply Chain Collaborative (ASCC) has been working to define the planning talent and leadership development needed to meet these new expectations. (For additional information about the ASCC, see the sidebar below.)
Next-generation planning talent
Our findings suggest planning competencies need to evolve beyond traditional technical skills to include a broad array of social and personal strengths. Our team identified 11 planning competencies (see Figure 2) that reflect this evolution:
FIGURE 2: The 11 core competencies of supply chain planning
Ambiguity tolerance. The ability to act effectively in situations where next steps are undefined, there are multiple interpretations, or signals are weak or mixed.
Self-awareness. The ability to see oneself and one’s work within larger professional and personal contexts.
Change leadership. The ability to help others succeed in new and changing contexts.
Compelling communication. The ability to present ideas in a manner that is clear, concise, data-driven, and oriented toward concrete action.
Conflict management. The ability to manage differences in ways that satisfy the needs of stakeholders while promoting learning and ethical action.
Cultural leadership. The ability to support and establish organizational cultures—and help those cultures evolve over time.
Data analytics. The ability to analyze data to generate insights that drive action.
Empathy. The ability to recognize another’s experiences and act appropriately in a helpful manner.
Negotiation skills. The ability to uncover mutually beneficial outcomes through a prosocial concern for stakeholders.
Team leadership. The ability to provide purpose, accountability, and resources to a team.
Technological fluency. The ability to drive new opportunities through a detailed understanding of current and emerging technologies.
Competencies drive transformation
These are not the typical knowledge, skills, and attitudes advertised for supply chain planning positions. But they are critical for success in today’s operating environment. Take ambiguity tolerance. Planners nowadays are often required to make decisions with partial information and take contingent actions in rapidly shifting environments. Moreover, planners must be comfortable engaging with different viewpoints and challenging their own perceptions.
Other competencies will be crucial for meeting the challenges of digitization. For example, leaders clearly express a desire for more digitized, automated planning processes, ranking their disparate data silos and a lack of visibility into material flows as top concerns. But research indicates that in order to realize the full value of advanced technologies, companies must invest in the capabilities of their people. To drive digital transformation, planning leaders must develop teams with the technological fluency to test new solutions and assess their potential value.
Beyond technological fluency, planners will also need to be comfortable leading change. A true digital capability means routinely identifying, assessing, and adopting technologies in ways that push the productivity frontier and serve as a basis for competitive advantage. Planners will need to support others as new technologies transform traditional roles and responsibilities. The bottom line is that managing social and psychological factors associated with change will be as important as the technical implementation. Planners need to be ready for this new aspect of their work.
Focus on experience
Competencies emerge through experiences. By applying knowledge and skills through experiences, planners build the “muscle memory” that is at the core of any competency. As leaders start to define talent development programs, they need to expose planners to high-impact, hands-on learning, and then support those experiences with educational opportunities, processes, metrics, and incentives.
Supporting experiences that build planning competencies can be a challenge. First, no single experience will generate a desired competency. Instead, companies need to provide a range of experiences that support different elements of the planning competencies they hope to build. This takes thinking creatively about actions that can drive social and personal strengths. Our research identified five broad areas (see Figure 3) for companies to consider in supporting planning competencies:
FIGURE 3: Five broad action areas to support planning competency development
Enhancing storytelling and communication. Integrating information about the operating environment into a coherent narrative that motivates action is central to planning.
Infusing change management and influence strategies. Inspiring and leading change is critical for planners tasked with system transformation.
Linking diversity, equity, and inclusion (DEI) to supply chain success. A robust DEI program has enormous potential to benefit the entire planning organization by helping to develop competencies not just among underrepresented groups but also for those not directly impacted by DEI recruitment and retention efforts.
Mentoring, coaching, and leadership. New hires and top talent alike do significantly better with an active sponsor, mentor, or coach.
Managing through ambiguity. Sustaining performance in planning requires a workforce that can adapt to changes in the marketplace and rapid technological advancements.
These broad-based organizational action areas are mutually supporting, helping to develop different dimensions across several competencies. For instance, linking diversity, equity, and inclusion (DEI) to supply chain success entails developing talent from underrepresented groups and tapping their knowledge and experiences as resources for learning how to improve core work. Our research suggests that a robust DEI program has the potential to significantly support development in nine of the 11 core competencies identified above: ambiguity tolerance, self-awareness, change leadership, compelling communication, conflict management, cultural leadership, empathy, negotiation skills, and team leadership.
The point is that, as companies pursue their strategic objectives, they must think broadly about the individual-level competencies planners will need. Implementing specific training programs to achieve particular capabilities will likely fall short. Rather, companies should focus on organizational action areas that broadly support the organization’s talent development needs. (Suggestions for specific educational opportunities, processes, metrics, and incentives for each of the five action areas can be found in the white paper, “Developing the Next-Generation of Supply Chain Planning Talent and Leadership” on ASCC’s website.)
Now is the time
Supply chain planners need a new set of competencies to drive organizational success. Planners must be comfortable managing teams, leading change, and adapting to new technologies. Other capabilities may also be needed. For example, extensions of our research suggest financial literacy and business acumen may be critical competencies for planners to develop.
As leaders approach developing the next generation of planning talent, they should ask themselves a number of questions: Does my company have a process for identifying the competencies needed to achieve planning excellence? What experiences is my company providing planners to build their competencies? What educational opportunities, processes, metrics, and incentives does my company have in place to develop planning competencies? The time to start developing the next generation of planning talent is now.
About this research
This research was conducted as part of the Advanced Supply Chain Collaborative (ASCC) at the University of Tennessee–Knoxville (UT). The ASCC works as a think tank, engaging industry experts and UT faculty on leading topics in supply chain management. Teams of three to four individuals from two or more companies, led by a UT faculty member, work together on a topic of shared interest. Projects provide significant peer-to-peer learning in an open and supportive environment. The goal is to provide today’s leaders with new insights for navigating a rapidly changing operating environment.
This research was conducted using an interactive research design. Weekly conversations were conducted with a core group of corporate partners with significant supply chain planning expertise. The team explored the project’s research questions through in-depth, open-ended conversations. Discussions drew on participants’ practical experiences with talent and leadership development challenges and members’ considerable expertise. Subject matter experts were brought into the discussion to drive deeper investigations of topics as they emerged. Conversation notes were captured, and central themes and insights were distilled and presented to the group each week. Ideas that emerged were validated against the research literature; new ideas were defined and dimensionalized.
Economic activity in the logistics industry expanded in August, though growth slowed slightly from July, according to the most recent Logistics Manager’s Index report (LMI), released this week.
The August LMI registered 56.4, down from July’s reading of 56.6 but consistent with readings over the past four months. The August reading represents nine straight months of growth across the logistics industry.
The LMI is a monthly gauge of economic activity across warehousing, transportation, and logistics markets. An LMI above 50 indicates expansion, and a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
Inventory levels saw a marked change in August, increasing more than six points compared to July and breaking a three-month streak of contraction. The LMI researchers said this suggests that after running inventories down, companies are now building them back up in anticipation of fourth-quarter demand. It also represents a return to more typical growth patterns following the accelerated demand for logistics services during the Covid-19 pandemic and the lows of the recent freight recession.
“This suggests a return to traditional patterns of seasonality that we have not seen since pre-COVID,” the researchers wrote in the monthly LMI report, published Tuesday, adding that the buildup is somewhat tempered by increases in warehousing capacity and transportation capacity.
The LMI report is based on a monthly survey of logistics managers from across the country. It tracks industry growth overall and across eight areas: inventory levels and costs; warehousing capacity, utilization, and prices; and transportation capacity, utilization, and prices. The report is released monthly by researchers from Arizona State University, Colorado State University, Rochester Institute of Technology, Rutgers University, and the University of Nevada, Reno, in conjunction with the Council of Supply Chain Management Professionals (CSCMP).
That hiring surge marks a significant jump in relation to the company’s nearly 17,000 current employees across North America, adding 21% more workers.
That increase is necessary because U.S. holiday sales in 2023 increased 3.9% year-over-year as consumer spending grew even amidst uncertain economic times and trends like inflation and consumer price sensitivity. Looking at the coming peak, a similar pattern is projected for this year, with shoppers forecasted to drive a 4.8% increase in holiday retail sales for 2024, Geodis said, citing data from Emarketer.
To attract the extra workforce, Geodis says it will offer competitive wages, peak premium pay incentives, peak and referral bonuses, an expedited payment option, and flexible schedules. And it’s using an AI-powered chatbot named Sophie to serve as a virtual recruiting assistant.
“We acknowledge the immense responsibility we have to our customers to deliver exceptional service every day, and this is especially true during peak season,” Anthony Jordan, GEODIS in Americas Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer, said in a release. “Because peak season is the most business-critical sales period of the year for many of our retail clients, expanding our workforce is vital to ensure we have a flexible, dynamic team that can handle anticipated surges in demand.”
With the economy slowing but still growing, and inflation down as the Federal Reserve prepares to lower interest rates, the United States appears to have dodged a recession, according to the National Retail Federation (NRF).
“The U.S. economy is clearly not in a recession nor is it likely to head into a recession in the home stretch of 2024,” NRF Chief Economist Jack Kleinhenz said in a release. “Instead, it appears that the economy is on the cusp of nailing a long-awaited soft landing with a simultaneous cooling of growth and inflation.”
Despite an “eventful August” with initial reports of rising unemployment and a slowdown in manufacturing, more recent data has “calmed fears of a deteriorating U.S. economy,” Kleinhenz said. “Concerns are now focused on the direction of the labor market and the possibility of a job market slowdown, but a recession is far less likely.”
That analysis is based on data in the NRF’s Monthly Economic Review, which said annualized gross domestic product growth for the second quarter has been revised upward to 3% from the original report of 2.8%. And consumer spending, the largest component of GDP, was revised up to 2.9% growth for the quarter from 2.3%.
Compared to its recent high point of 9.1% in July of 2022, inflation is nearly back to normal. Year-over-year growth in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index – the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation – was at 2.5% in July, unchanged from June and only half a percentage point above the Fed’s target of 2%.
The labor market “is not terribly weak” but “is showing signs of tottering,” Kleinhenz said. Only 114,000 jobs were added in July, lower than expected, and the unemployment rate rose to 4.3% from 4.1% in June. Despite the increase, the unemployment rate is still within the normal range, Kleinhenz said.
“Now the guessing game begins on the magnitude and frequency of rate cuts and how far the federal funds rate will be reduced,” Kleinhenz said. “While lowering interest rates would be good news, it takes time for rate reductions to work their way through the various credit channels and the economy as a whole. Consequently, a reduction is not expected to provide an immediate uplift to the economy but would stabilize current conditions.”
Going forward, Kleinhenz said lower rates should benefit households under pressure from loans used to meet daily needs. Lower rates will also make it more affordable to borrow through mortgages, home improvement loans, car loans, and credit cards, encouraging spending and increasing demand for goods and services. Small businesses would also benefit, since lower intertest rates could lower their financing costs on existing loans or allow them to take out new loans to invest in equipment and plants or to hire more workers.
The global air cargo market’s hot summer of double-digit demand growth continued in August with average spot rates showing their largest year-on-year jump with a 24% increase, according to the latest weekly analysis by Xeneta.
Xeneta cited two reasons to explain the increase. First, Global average air cargo spot rates reached $2.68 per kg in August due to continuing supply and demand imbalance. That came as August's global cargo supply grew at its slowest ratio in 2024 to-date at 2% year-on-year, while global cargo demand continued its double-digit growth, rising +11%.
The second reason for higher rates was an ocean-to-air shift in freight volumes due to Red Sea disruptions and e-commerce demand.
Those factors could soon be amplified as e-commerce shows continued strong growth approaching the hotly anticipated winter peak season. E-commerce and low-value goods exports from China in the first seven months of 2024 increased 30% year-on-year, including shipments to Europe and the US rising 38% and 30% growth respectively, Xeneta said.
“Typically, air cargo market performance in August tends to follow the July trend. But another month of double-digit demand growth and the strongest rate growths of the year means there was definitely no summer slack season in 2024,” Niall van de Wouw, Xeneta’s chief airfreight officer, said in a release.
“Rates we saw bottoming out in late July started picking up again in mid-August. This is too short a period to call a season. This has been a busy summer, and now we’re at the threshold of Q4, it will be interesting to see what will happen and if all the anticipation of a red-hot peak season materializes,” van de Wouw said.
“Unrelenting labor shortages and wage inflation, accompanied by increasing consumer demand, are driving rapid market adoption of autonomous technologies in manufacturing, warehousing, and logistics,” Seegrid CEO and President Joe Pajer said in a release. “This is particularly true in the area of palletized material flows; areas that are addressed by Seegrid’s autonomous tow tractors and lift trucks. This segment of the market is just now ‘coming into its own,’ and Seegrid is a clear leader.”
According to Pajer, Seegrid’s strength in the sector is due to several new technologies it has released in the past six months. They include: Sliding Scale Autonomy, which provides both flexibility and predictability in autonomous navigation and manipulation; Enhanced Pallet and Payload Detection, which enables reliable recognition and manipulation of a broad range of payloads; and the planned launch of its CR1 autonomous lift truck model later this year.
Seegrid’s CR1 unit offers a 15-foot lift height, 4,000-pound load capacity, and a top speed of 5 mph. In comparison, its existing autonomous lift truck model, the RS1, supports six-foot lift height, 3,500 pound capacity, and the same top speed.
The “series D” investment round was funded by existing lead investors Giant Eagle Incorporated and G2 Venture Partners, as well as smaller investments from other existing shareholders.