As we define future supply chain technology, I think we need to take "a hard left." Up to now, we have been
moving at a steady pace down a road that is well-known and safe. But this road is no longer sufficient to meet today's
supply chain challenges. We need to change our direction. Here I clarify the path less traveled but more promising for
supply chain leaders.
What do I mean? Let me explain. Supply chains currently use closed and proprietary technologies. Processes are based on
relational databases with rows and columns. I believe we need to move to open source technology. In other words, get used to
hearing the terms "blockchain" and "hyperledger." These are two new concepts that are here to stay.
What is the reason for this move to open, distributed technology? Currently, there are "dark holes" in the supply chain that
I believe will not be closed with the current approaches. These dark holes are typically handshakes, or interface points,
between applications where data does not flow, stopping visibility across the network. A dark hole could be the unloading of a
container from a ship, the receipt of a shipment, a transfer of ownership, a return, or a change in status. Dark holes usually
happen with the transference of ownership or change in status between two parties.
Let's examine the problem. Currently the product road maps for conventional technology providers are not focused on closing
these dark holes. Instead, the focus is on refining today's enterprise applications. It is unrealistic to think that vendors
like Infor, Microsoft, Oracle, and SAP will ever work together to erase the dark holes of information in the supply chain.
Likewise, it is very clear that while enterprise resource planning (ERP) systems will continue to be the backbone or system
of record for transactions within the enterprise, they are unable to form the backbone or system of record for a global value
network that consists of complex, nonlinear interactions between supply chain partners.
This transition from closed and proprietary solutions to open source capabilities will not happen quickly. I see adoption
occurring over the next five years. But if it works, I think that blockchain—which is defined as a distributed database
that acts as a shared, immutable ledger for recording the history of transactions—will be embedded in all of today's
current technologies.
While many may know blockchain as the engine powering the cryptocurrency and payment system Bitcoin, the possible use cases
for the technology in the value network are far more pervasive and powerful. Particularly promising is the
Hyperledger project, an open source blockchain platform started in December 2015 by the Linux Foundation to enable
blockchain-based distributed ledgers.
The Hyperledger project aims to bring together a number of independent efforts to develop open protocols and standards by
providing a modular framework that supports different components for different uses. This would include a variety of
blockchain technology variants with their own consensus and storage models and services for identity, access control,
and contracts.
What are the possibilities? Before I continue, let me make a confession: I am not a technologist. I cannot write code, and
when I worked for a software company, I quickly discovered that writing software requirements was not the best use of my
skill sets. Instead I like to paint big pictures and help others to fill in the gaps. But here are some use cases that
I developed through talking to technology experts and that we at Supply Chain Insights are considering testing as part
of our new Network of Networks Group.
Community registry. Today network registration involves onboarding to every network as an individual or as a company.
It lacks a system of reference for division/company or company/industry. What if we could have a community registry where we
have a single sign-on that could be accessed by all value networks? This schema would be carried in blockchain messaging,
enabling users to write information once and provide safe/secure communication across the network.
Replacement of EDI. Today EDI or electronic data interchange is the workhorse of the supply chain. Messages are transmitted and opened safely and securely. However, it operates in a batch manner, and there is latency as the message is opened. In addition, the passage and receipt of EDI requires sophisticated IT groups. As a result, it is more costly. Could blockchain replace EDI?
This is a stretch objective, but I think it's possible.
Lineage/track and trace. Tracking and tracing goods across multiple parties is cumbersome and lacks reliability.
Blockchain offers the ability to embed the origin and transfer points, destinations, and lot codes in the chain. This
could help companies better track and trace food, manage gray market goods (genuine branded goods sold by
unauthorized dealers) to eliminate counterfeit items, ensure compliance, and streamline recalls.
Safe and secure supply chains. As goods pass through the supply chain, multiple parties handle them. Blockchain
technologies enable companies to create a chain of custody. In the process, the handling requirements for each product could
be communicated on receipt.
Tracking social responsibility goals. Tracking a product's carbon footprint and point of origin for compliance with
internal or external social responsibility requirements is difficult. One thing is clear: Audits do not work. As we tackle
issues like fair labor, clean water, Congo metals/conflict minerals, and carbon consumption, blockchain can track the chain
of custody and help us to better understand and measure energy consumption, carbon emissions, and other social responsibility
goals.
Supply chain finance. The origin of blockchain is a desire to ensure safe and secure payment. Could we disintermediate
banks as we know them? Each time a supply chain transaction passes through a bank, there are charges. Could we drive a massive
restructuring of world banking to reduce bank charges for credit cards, wire transfers, and electronic fund transfer (EFT)/
automatic clearing house (ACH) payments?
Document sharing. In supply chain, we spend hours upon hours negotiating terms and conditions of contracts. After
completion, the filed contracts are never used again. We do not connect the contracts to supply chain execution. But what if
contracts could accompany a purchase order, and if conditions change, then rules would change the cost based on delivery
conditions? Or they would change delivery conditions, based on availability (dynamic dock scheduling) and weather? I think
this is all possible. I think blockchain along with
cognitive computing will allow value networks to connect supply chain documents to transactions in real time.
Today we do not know what is possible. However, the more I study this technology at the beginning of its hype cycle, the
more promising I think it is. I am excited to be a part of the group that is going to do some serious testing. Supply Chain
Insights has gathered together a cross-industry networking group of collaborative technology users and developers to study
what we are calling the
"Network of Networks." The Network of Networks will address the adoption of distributed and open
technology by the ecosystem of technology providers and business users to drive interoperability in value networks.
In the Networks of Network testing that we have planned, we will be using the IBM version of blockchain
to test the use of Hyperledger to improve network onboarding. Our goal is to test the open source version from IBM in
the digital sandbox/lab environment at Schneider Electric. We issued a call for participants in a webinar on January 11,
2017 and came together as a group at the next Network of Networks Session on April 13-14 at the Grande Lakes
Ritz-Carlton Hotel in Orlando, Florida. The results will be shared publicly at the upcoming
Supply Chain Insights Global Summit on September 5-8, 2017 at the Ritz Carlton, Reynolds in Oconee, Georgia.
We hope to see you there!
The practice consists of 5,000 professionals from Accenture and from Avanade—the consulting firm’s joint venture with Microsoft. They will be supported by Microsoft product specialists who will work closely with the Accenture Center for Advanced AI. Together, that group will collaborate on AI and Copilot agent templates, extensions, plugins, and connectors to help organizations leverage their data and gen AI to reduce costs, improve efficiencies and drive growth, they said on Thursday.
Accenture and Avanade say they have already developed some AI tools for these applications. For example, a supplier discovery and risk agent can deliver real-time market insights, agile supply chain responses, and better vendor selection, which could result in up to 15% cost savings. And a procure-to-pay agent could improve efficiency by up to 40% and enhance vendor relations and satisfaction by addressing urgent payment requirements and avoiding disruptions of key services
Likewise, they have also built solutions for clients using Microsoft 365 Copilot technology. For example, they have created Copilots for a variety of industries and functions including finance, manufacturing, supply chain, retail, and consumer goods and healthcare.
Another part of the new practice will be educating clients how to use the technology, using an “Azure Generative AI Engineer Nanodegree program” to teach users how to design, build, and operationalize AI-driven applications on Azure, Microsoft’s cloud computing platform. The online classes will teach learners how to use AI models to solve real-world problems through automation, data insights, and generative AI solutions, the firms said.
“We are pleased to deepen our collaboration with Accenture to help our mutual customers develop AI-first business processes responsibly and securely, while helping them drive market differentiation,” Judson Althoff, executive vice president and chief commercial officer at Microsoft, said in a release. “By bringing together Copilots and human ambition, paired with the autonomous capabilities of an agent, we can accelerate AI transformation for organizations across industries and help them realize successful business outcomes through pragmatic innovation.”
Census data showed that overall retail sales in October were up 0.4% seasonally adjusted month over month and up 2.8% unadjusted year over year. That compared with increases of 0.8% month over month and 2% year over year in September.
October’s core retail sales as defined by NRF — based on the Census data but excluding automobile dealers, gasoline stations and restaurants — were unchanged seasonally adjusted month over month but up 5.4% unadjusted year over year.
Core sales were up 3.5% year over year for the first 10 months of the year, in line with NRF’s forecast for 2024 retail sales to grow between 2.5% and 3.5% over 2023. NRF is forecasting that 2024 holiday sales during November and December will also increase between 2.5% and 3.5% over the same time last year.
“October’s pickup in retail sales shows a healthy pace of spending as many consumers got an early start on holiday shopping,” NRF Chief Economist Jack Kleinhenz said in a release. “October sales were a good early step forward into the holiday shopping season, which is now fully underway. Falling energy prices have likely provided extra dollars for household spending on retail merchandise.”
Despite that positive trend, market watchers cautioned that retailers still need to offer competitive value propositions and customer experience in order to succeed in the holiday season. “The American consumer has been more resilient than anyone could have expected. But that isn’t a free pass for retailers to under invest in their stores,” Nikki Baird, VP of strategy & product at Aptos, a solutions provider of unified retail technology based out of Alpharetta, Georgia, said in a statement. “They need to make investments in labor, customer experience tech, and digital transformation. It has been too easy to kick the can down the road until you suddenly realize there’s no road left.”
A similar message came from Chip West, a retail and consumer behavior expert at the marketing, packaging, print and supply chain solutions provider RRD. “October’s increase proved to be slightly better than projections and was likely boosted by lower fuel prices. As inflation slowed for a number of months, prices in several categories have stabilized, with some even showing declines, offering further relief to consumers,” West said. “The data also looks to be a positive sign as we kick off the holiday shopping season. Promotions and discounts will play a prominent role in holiday shopping behavior as they are key influencers in consumer’s purchasing decisions.”
That result came from the company’s “GEP Global Supply Chain Volatility Index,” an indicator tracking demand conditions, shortages, transportation costs, inventories, and backlogs based on a monthly survey of 27,000 businesses. The October index number was -0.39, which was up only slightly from its level of -0.43 in September.
Researchers found a steep rise in slack across North American supply chains due to declining factory activity in the U.S. In fact, purchasing managers at U.S. manufacturers made their strongest cutbacks to buying volumes in nearly a year and a half, indicating that factories in the world's largest economy are preparing for lower production volumes, GEP said.
Elsewhere, suppliers feeding Asia also reported spare capacity in October, albeit to a lesser degree than seen in Western markets. Europe's industrial plight remained a key feature of the data in October, as vendor capacity was significantly underutilized, reflecting a continuation of subdued demand in key manufacturing hubs across the continent.
"We're in a buyers' market. October is the fourth straight month that suppliers worldwide reported spare capacity, with notable contractions in factory demand across North America and Europe, underscoring the challenging outlook for Western manufacturers," Todd Bremer, vice president, GEP, said in a release. "President-elect Trump inherits U.S. manufacturers with plenty of spare capacity while in contrast, China's modest rebound and strong expansion in India demonstrate greater resilience in Asia."
Even as the e-commerce sector overall continues expanding toward a forecasted 41% of all retail sales by 2027, many small to medium e-commerce companies are struggling to find the investment funding they need to increase sales, according to a sector survey from online capital platform Stenn.
Global geopolitical instability and increasing inflation are causing e-commerce firms to face a liquidity crisis, which means companies may not be able to access the funds they need to grow, Stenn’s survey of 500 senior e-commerce leaders found. The research was conducted by Opinion Matters between August 29 and September 5.
Survey findings include:
61.8% of leaders who sought growth capital did so to invest in advanced technologies, such as AI and machine learning, to improve their businesses.
When asked which resources they wished they had more access to, 63.8% of respondents pointed to growth capital.
Women indicated a stronger need for business operations training (51.2%) and financial planning resources (48.8%) compared to men (30.8% and 15.4%).
40% of business owners are seeking external financial advice and mentorship at least once a week to help with business decisions.
Almost half (49.6%) of respondents are proactively forecasting their business activity 6-18 months ahead.
“As e-commerce continues to grow rapidly, driven by increasing online consumer demand and technological innovation, it’s important to remember that capital constraints and access to growth financing remain persistent hurdles for many e-commerce business leaders especially at small and medium-sized businesses,” Noel Hillman, Chief Commercial Officer at Stenn, said in a release. “In this competitive landscape, ensuring liquidity and optimizing supply chain processes are critical to sustaining growth and scaling operations.”
With six keynote and more than 100 educational sessions, CSCMP EDGE 2024 offered a wealth of content. Here are highlights from just some of the presentations.
A great American story
Author and entrepreneur Fawn Weaver closed out the first day of the conference by telling the little-known story of Nathan “Nearest” Green, who was born into slavery, freed after the Civil War, and went on to become the first master distiller for the Jack Daniel’s Whiskey brand. Through extensive research and interviews with descendants of the Daniel and Green families, Weaver discovered what she describes as a positive American story.
She told the story in her best-selling book, Love & Whiskey: The Remarkable True Story of Jack Daniel, His Master Distiller Nearest Green, and the Improbable Rise of Uncle Nearest. That story also inspired her to create Uncle Nearest Premium Whiskey.
Weaver discussed the barriers she encountered in bringing the brand to life, her vision for where it’s headed, and her take on the supply chain—which she views as both a necessary cost of doing business and an opportunity.
“[It’s] an opportunity if you can move quickly,” she said, pointing to a recent project in which the company was able to fast-track a new Uncle Nearest product thanks to close collaboration with its supply chain partners.
A two-pronged business transformation
We may be living in a world full of technology, but strategy and focus remain the top priorities when it comes to managing a business and its supply chains. So says Roberto Isaias, executive vice president and chief supply chain officer for toy manufacturing and entertainment company Mattel.
Isaias emphasized the point during his keynote on day two of EDGE 2024. He described how Mattel transformed itself amid surging demand for Barbie-branded items following the success of the Barbie movie.
That transformation, according to Isaias, came on two fronts: commercially and logistically. Today, Mattel is steadily moving beyond the toy aisle with two films and 13 TV series in production as well as 14 films and 35 shows in development. And as for those supply chain gains? The company has saved millions, increased productivity, and improved profit margins—even amid cost increases and inflation.
A framework for chasing excellence
Most of the time when CEOs present at an industry conference, they like to talk about their companies’ success stories. Not J.B. Hunt’s Shelley Simpson. Speaking at EDGE, the trucking company’s president and CEO led with a story about a time that the company lost a major customer.
According to Simpson, the company had a customer of their dedicated contract business in 2001 that was consistently making late shipments with no lead time. “We were working like crazy to try to satisfy them, and lost their business,” Simpson said.
When the team at J.B. Hunt later met with the customer’s chief supply chain officer and related all they had been doing, the customer responded, “You never shared everything you were doing for us.”
Out of that experience, came J.B. Hunt’s Customer Value Delivery framework. The framework consists of five steps: 1) understand customer needs, 2) deliver expectations, 3) measure results, 4) communicate performance, and 5) anticipate new value.
Next year’s CSCMP EDGE conference on October 5–8 in National Harbor, Md., promises to have a similarly deep lineup of keynote presentations. Register early at www.cscmpedge.org.