As we define future supply chain technology, I think we need to take "a hard left." Up to now, we have been
moving at a steady pace down a road that is well-known and safe. But this road is no longer sufficient to meet today's
supply chain challenges. We need to change our direction. Here I clarify the path less traveled but more promising for
supply chain leaders.
What do I mean? Let me explain. Supply chains currently use closed and proprietary technologies. Processes are based on
relational databases with rows and columns. I believe we need to move to open source technology. In other words, get used to
hearing the terms "blockchain" and "hyperledger." These are two new concepts that are here to stay.
What is the reason for this move to open, distributed technology? Currently, there are "dark holes" in the supply chain that
I believe will not be closed with the current approaches. These dark holes are typically handshakes, or interface points,
between applications where data does not flow, stopping visibility across the network. A dark hole could be the unloading of a
container from a ship, the receipt of a shipment, a transfer of ownership, a return, or a change in status. Dark holes usually
happen with the transference of ownership or change in status between two parties.
Let's examine the problem. Currently the product road maps for conventional technology providers are not focused on closing
these dark holes. Instead, the focus is on refining today's enterprise applications. It is unrealistic to think that vendors
like Infor, Microsoft, Oracle, and SAP will ever work together to erase the dark holes of information in the supply chain.
Likewise, it is very clear that while enterprise resource planning (ERP) systems will continue to be the backbone or system
of record for transactions within the enterprise, they are unable to form the backbone or system of record for a global value
network that consists of complex, nonlinear interactions between supply chain partners.
This transition from closed and proprietary solutions to open source capabilities will not happen quickly. I see adoption
occurring over the next five years. But if it works, I think that blockchain—which is defined as a distributed database
that acts as a shared, immutable ledger for recording the history of transactions—will be embedded in all of today's
current technologies.
While many may know blockchain as the engine powering the cryptocurrency and payment system Bitcoin, the possible use cases
for the technology in the value network are far more pervasive and powerful. Particularly promising is the
Hyperledger project, an open source blockchain platform started in December 2015 by the Linux Foundation to enable
blockchain-based distributed ledgers.
The Hyperledger project aims to bring together a number of independent efforts to develop open protocols and standards by
providing a modular framework that supports different components for different uses. This would include a variety of
blockchain technology variants with their own consensus and storage models and services for identity, access control,
and contracts.
What are the possibilities? Before I continue, let me make a confession: I am not a technologist. I cannot write code, and
when I worked for a software company, I quickly discovered that writing software requirements was not the best use of my
skill sets. Instead I like to paint big pictures and help others to fill in the gaps. But here are some use cases that
I developed through talking to technology experts and that we at Supply Chain Insights are considering testing as part
of our new Network of Networks Group.
Community registry. Today network registration involves onboarding to every network as an individual or as a company.
It lacks a system of reference for division/company or company/industry. What if we could have a community registry where we
have a single sign-on that could be accessed by all value networks? This schema would be carried in blockchain messaging,
enabling users to write information once and provide safe/secure communication across the network.
Replacement of EDI. Today EDI or electronic data interchange is the workhorse of the supply chain. Messages are transmitted and opened safely and securely. However, it operates in a batch manner, and there is latency as the message is opened. In addition, the passage and receipt of EDI requires sophisticated IT groups. As a result, it is more costly. Could blockchain replace EDI?
This is a stretch objective, but I think it's possible.
Lineage/track and trace. Tracking and tracing goods across multiple parties is cumbersome and lacks reliability.
Blockchain offers the ability to embed the origin and transfer points, destinations, and lot codes in the chain. This
could help companies better track and trace food, manage gray market goods (genuine branded goods sold by
unauthorized dealers) to eliminate counterfeit items, ensure compliance, and streamline recalls.
Safe and secure supply chains. As goods pass through the supply chain, multiple parties handle them. Blockchain
technologies enable companies to create a chain of custody. In the process, the handling requirements for each product could
be communicated on receipt.
Tracking social responsibility goals. Tracking a product's carbon footprint and point of origin for compliance with
internal or external social responsibility requirements is difficult. One thing is clear: Audits do not work. As we tackle
issues like fair labor, clean water, Congo metals/conflict minerals, and carbon consumption, blockchain can track the chain
of custody and help us to better understand and measure energy consumption, carbon emissions, and other social responsibility
goals.
Supply chain finance. The origin of blockchain is a desire to ensure safe and secure payment. Could we disintermediate
banks as we know them? Each time a supply chain transaction passes through a bank, there are charges. Could we drive a massive
restructuring of world banking to reduce bank charges for credit cards, wire transfers, and electronic fund transfer (EFT)/
automatic clearing house (ACH) payments?
Document sharing. In supply chain, we spend hours upon hours negotiating terms and conditions of contracts. After
completion, the filed contracts are never used again. We do not connect the contracts to supply chain execution. But what if
contracts could accompany a purchase order, and if conditions change, then rules would change the cost based on delivery
conditions? Or they would change delivery conditions, based on availability (dynamic dock scheduling) and weather? I think
this is all possible. I think blockchain along with
cognitive computing will allow value networks to connect supply chain documents to transactions in real time.
Today we do not know what is possible. However, the more I study this technology at the beginning of its hype cycle, the
more promising I think it is. I am excited to be a part of the group that is going to do some serious testing. Supply Chain
Insights has gathered together a cross-industry networking group of collaborative technology users and developers to study
what we are calling the
"Network of Networks." The Network of Networks will address the adoption of distributed and open
technology by the ecosystem of technology providers and business users to drive interoperability in value networks.
In the Networks of Network testing that we have planned, we will be using the IBM version of blockchain
to test the use of Hyperledger to improve network onboarding. Our goal is to test the open source version from IBM in
the digital sandbox/lab environment at Schneider Electric. We issued a call for participants in a webinar on January 11,
2017 and came together as a group at the next Network of Networks Session on April 13-14 at the Grande Lakes
Ritz-Carlton Hotel in Orlando, Florida. The results will be shared publicly at the upcoming
Supply Chain Insights Global Summit on September 5-8, 2017 at the Ritz Carlton, Reynolds in Oconee, Georgia.
We hope to see you there!
First, 54% of retailers are looking for ways to increase their financial recovery from returns. That’s because the cost to return a purchase averages 27% of the purchase price, which erases as much as 50% of the sales margin. But consumers have their own interests in mind: 76% of shoppers admit they’ve embellished or exaggerated the return reason to avoid a fee, a 39% increase from 2023 to 204.
Second, return experiences matter to consumers. A whopping 80% of shoppers stopped shopping at a retailer because of changes to the return policy—a 34% increase YoY.
Third, returns fraud and abuse is top-of-mind-for retailers, with wardrobing rising 38% in 2024. In fact, over two thirds (69%) of shoppers admit to wardrobing, which is the practice of buying an item for a specific reason or event and returning it after use. Shoppers also practice bracketing, or purchasing an item in a variety of colors or sizes and then returning all the unwanted options.
Fourth, returns come with a steep cost in terms of sustainability, with returns amounting to 8.4 billion pounds of landfill waste in 2023 alone.
“As returns have become an integral part of the shopper experience, retailers must balance meeting sky-high expectations with rising costs, environmental impact, and fraudulent behaviors,” Amena Ali, CEO of Optoro, said in the firm’s “2024 Returns Unwrapped” report. “By understanding shoppers’ behaviors and preferences around returns, retailers can create returns experiences that embrace their needs while driving deeper loyalty and protecting their bottom line.”
Facing an evolving supply chain landscape in 2025, companies are being forced to rethink their distribution strategies to cope with challenges like rising cost pressures, persistent labor shortages, and the complexities of managing SKU proliferation.
1. Optimize labor productivity and costs. Forward-thinking businesses are leveraging technology to get more done with fewer resources through approaches like slotting optimization, automation and robotics, and inventory visibility.
2. Maximize capacity with smart solutions. With e-commerce volumes rising, facilities need to handle more SKUs and orders without expanding their physical footprint. That can be achieved through high-density storage and dynamic throughput.
3. Streamline returns management. Returns are a growing challenge, thanks to the continued growth of e-commerce and the consumer practice of bracketing. Businesses can handle that with smarter reverse logistics processes like automated returns processing and reverse logistics visibility.
4. Accelerate order fulfillment with robotics. Robotic solutions are transforming the way orders are fulfilled, helping businesses meet customer expectations faster and more accurately than ever before by using autonomous mobile robots (AMRs and robotic picking.
5. Enhance end-of-line packaging. The final step in the supply chain is often the most visible to customers. So optimizing packaging processes can reduce costs, improve efficiency, and support sustainability goals through automated packaging systems and sustainability initiatives.
That clash has come as retailers have been hustling to adjust to pandemic swings like a renewed focus on e-commerce, then swiftly reimagining store experiences as foot traffic returned. But even as the dust settles from those changes, retailers are now facing renewed questions about how best to define their omnichannel strategy in a world where customers have increasing power and information.
The answer may come from a five-part strategy using integrated components to fortify omnichannel retail, EY said. The approach can unlock value and customer trust through great experiences, but only when implemented cohesively, not individually, EY warns.
The steps include:
1. Functional integration: Is your operating model and data infrastructure siloed between e-commerce and physical stores, or have you developed a cohesive unit centered around delivering seamless customer experience?
2. Customer insights: With consumer centricity at the heart of operations, are you analyzing all touch points to build a holistic view of preferences, behaviors, and buying patterns?
3. Next-generation inventory: Given the right customer insights, how are you utilizing advanced analytics to ensure inventory is optimized to meet demand precisely where and when it’s needed?
4. Distribution partnerships: Having ensured your customers find what they want where they want it, how are your distribution strategies adapting to deliver these choices to them swiftly and efficiently?
5. Real estate strategy: How is your real estate strategy interconnected with insights, inventory and distribution to enhance experience and maximize your footprint?
When approached cohesively, these efforts all build toward one overarching differentiator for retailers: a better customer experience that reaches from brand engagement and order placement through delivery and return, the EY study said. Amid continued volatility and an economy driven by complex customer demands, the retailers best set up to win are those that are striving to gain real-time visibility into stock levels, offer flexible fulfillment options and modernize merchandising through personalized and dynamic customer experiences.
Geopolitical rivalries, alliances, and aspirations are rewiring the global economy—and the imposition of new tariffs on foreign imports by the U.S. will accelerate that process, according to an analysis by Boston Consulting Group (BCG).
Without a broad increase in tariffs, world trade in goods will keep growing at an average of 2.9% annually for the next eight years, the firm forecasts in its report, “Great Powers, Geopolitics, and the Future of Trade.” But the routes goods travel will change markedly as North America reduces its dependence on China and China builds up its links with the Global South, which is cementing its power in the global trade map.
“Global trade is set to top $29 trillion by 2033, but the routes these goods will travel is changing at a remarkable pace,” Aparna Bharadwaj, managing director and partner at BCG, said in a release. “Trade lanes were already shifting from historical patterns and looming US tariffs will accelerate this. Navigating these new dynamics will be critical for any global business.”
To understand those changes, BCG modeled the direct impact of the 60/25/20 scenario (60% tariff on Chinese goods, a 25% on goods from Canada and Mexico, and a 20% on imports from all other countries). The results show that the tariffs would add $640 billion to the cost of importing goods from the top ten U.S. import nations, based on 2023 levels, unless alternative sources or suppliers are found.
In terms of product categories imported by the U.S., the greatest impact would be on imported auto parts and automotive vehicles, which would primarily affect trade with Mexico, the EU, and Japan. Consumer electronics, electrical machinery, and fashion goods would be most affected by higher tariffs on Chinese goods. Specifically, the report forecasts that a 60% tariff rate would add $61 billion to cost of importing consumer electronics products from China into the U.S.
That strategy is described by RILA President Brian Dodge in a document titled “2025 Retail Public Policy Agenda,” which begins by describing leading retailers as “dynamic and multifaceted businesses that begin on Main Street and stretch across the world to bring high value and affordable consumer goods to American families.”
RILA says its policy priorities support that membership in four ways:
Investing in people. Retail is for everyone; the place for a first job, 2nd chance, third act, or a side hustle – the retail workforce represents the American workforce.
Ensuring a safe, sustainable future. RILA is working with lawmakers to help shape policies that protect our customers and meet expectations regarding environmental concerns.
Leading in the community. Retail is more than a store; we are an integral part of the fabric of our communities.
“As Congress and the Trump administration move forward to adopt policies that reduce regulatory burdens, create economic growth, and bring value to American families, understanding how such policies will impact retailers and the communities we serve is imperative,” Dodge said. “RILA and its member companies look forward to collaborating with policymakers to provide industry-specific insights and data to help shape any policies under consideration.”