Recently the supply chain landscape has been flooded by a massive wave of new technologies and associated strategies, leaving practitioners with the daunting task of sorting out which ones are right for them.
To help ease that pain, Gartner Inc. recently released its "Hype Cycle for Supply Chain Strategy, 2017," which graphically shows where various technologies and technology-enabled strategies lie along the adoption curve. (To see the cycle and read an explanation of the methodology, see the associated sidebar, "Gartner's Hype Cycle explained.") In particular, the report highlights nine that it says will achieve mainstream adoption levels in five years or less:
1. Descriptive analytics is the application of analytics to describe what is happening or has happened. It includes such capabilities as reporting, dashboards, supply chain visibility, data visualization, and alerts. According to Gartner, many organizations report that descriptive analytics have already helped to significantly improve their operations. Indeed this is the only technology covered in the report that Gartner believes has matured enough that its applicability and relevance are well understood and the criteria for evaluating a vendor are clearly defined. Estimated time to mainstream adoption: less than two years
2. Centers of excellence (COEs) are centralized groups that focus on identifying, designing, developing, and implementing best practices across the business. Gartner's research indicates that 78 percent of supply chain organizations have one or more COEs. However, many of these COEs lack a coherent organizational structure, says Gartner, due to weak mandates, uncertain missions, and unclear governance and performance metrics. For this reason, Gartner does not believe that the practice is fully mature. However, as more organizations advance their expertise, Gartner expects the COE will develop further and be used more productively by more companies. Estimated time to mainstream adoption: within the next two years
3. Diagnostic analytics seek to explain why something—an event or a trend—happened. According to Gartner, to implement diagnostic analytics, a company needs to have already implemented descriptive analytics and have a clear understanding of all the relationships in its supply chain. As analytics in general improve and the availability of real-time data from technologies like the Internet of Things (IoT) increases, Gartner believes that more companies will implement diagnostic solutions. Estimated time to mainstream adoption: two to five years
4. Targeted supply chain segmentation involves techniques such as categorizing customers or suppliers as high priority or treating parts or inventory differently based on volume. While segmentation has been around as a concept for at least 10 years, a documented approach based on industry consensus will go a long way toward speeding up adoption. Estimated time to mainstream adoption: within the next five years.
5. Supply chain management business-process-as-a-service is an external service that delivers standardized processes through a cloud-sourced technology platform. Examples include compliance and regulatory reporting, freight forwarding, customs processing, and aftermarket services. These services allow companies to gain incremental capabilities and efficiencies without having to buy a new software license or hire new employees. Estimated time to mainstream adoption: two to five years.
6. Supply chain visibility involves generating timely, accurate, and complete views of plans, events, and data across the entire supply chain, including external partners. Many organizations currently lack an end-to-end approach to supply chain visibility, says Gartner. But the firm believes that such visibility will become more standard as more mature IoT technologies and analytics solutions become available. Estimated time to mainstream adoption: over the next two to five years
7. Big data technologies are used to analyze large datasets to reveal patterns, trends, or associations. According to Gartner, there is a now a "post-hype" realization that more data does not necessarily lead to better insights. Today, organizations are focusing on improving analytics and integration to get more out of their big data. Estimated time to mainstream adoption: another two to five years
8. Social learning platforms provide personal productively tools, Web 2.0 applications, content repositories, and data sources that can help employees learn and share knowledge. In the supply chain space, Gartner sees social learning platforms as one way to address the large number of long-term employees retiring. They allow companies to capture their knowledge and share it with younger workers in a way that can be scaled across multiple business units and geographies. Gartner recommends integrating social learning within the company's organization-wide information technology (IT) program. Estimated time to mainstream adoption: two to five years
9. Solution-centric supply chains offer customers a personalized collection of products, data, and services from a digitally enabled ecosystem of partners. It's an approach seen mainly in the high-tech, medical, consumer, and industrial sectors at the current time. Estimated time to mainstream adoption: five years
All of these strategies and technologies are indicative of a general trend toward the "digitalization" of the supply chains, says Noha Tohamy, Gartner's vice president of supply chain research.
"Looking further out than five years, we can expect even more exciting technologies coming over the horizon," said Tohamy. "We expect that artificial intelligence, machine learning, corporate social responsibility, and cost-to-serve analytics will all drive significant shifts in supply chain strategies within the next decade."
Gartner's Hype Cycle explained
Gartner Hype Cycles provide a graphic representation of the maturity and adoption level of upcoming technologies and applications. The cycle consists of five stages:
1. Innovation trigger: A potential technology breakthrough triggers early proof-of-concept stories and media interest. Often no usable products exist and commercial viability is unproven.
2. Peak of Inflated Expectations: The early publicity generates a number of success stories—which are often accompanied by scores of less-well-known failures. Some companies take action; many do not.
3. Trough of Disillusionment: Interest in the technology wanes as experiments and implementations fail to deliver. Producers of the technology either merge or fail. Investments continue only if the surviving providers improve their products to the satisfaction of early adopters.
4. Slope of Enlightenment: More instances of how the technology can benefit the enterprise start to crystallize and become more widely understood. Second- and third-generation products appear from technology providers. More enterprises fund pilots, but conservative companies remain cautious.
5. Plateau of Productivity: Mainstream adoption starts to take off. Criteria for assessing provider viability are more clearly defined. The technology's broad market applicability and relevance are now well known.
The practice consists of 5,000 professionals from Accenture and from Avanade—the consulting firm’s joint venture with Microsoft. They will be supported by Microsoft product specialists who will work closely with the Accenture Center for Advanced AI. Together, that group will collaborate on AI and Copilot agent templates, extensions, plugins, and connectors to help organizations leverage their data and gen AI to reduce costs, improve efficiencies and drive growth, they said on Thursday.
Accenture and Avanade say they have already developed some AI tools for these applications. For example, a supplier discovery and risk agent can deliver real-time market insights, agile supply chain responses, and better vendor selection, which could result in up to 15% cost savings. And a procure-to-pay agent could improve efficiency by up to 40% and enhance vendor relations and satisfaction by addressing urgent payment requirements and avoiding disruptions of key services
Likewise, they have also built solutions for clients using Microsoft 365 Copilot technology. For example, they have created Copilots for a variety of industries and functions including finance, manufacturing, supply chain, retail, and consumer goods and healthcare.
Another part of the new practice will be educating clients how to use the technology, using an “Azure Generative AI Engineer Nanodegree program” to teach users how to design, build, and operationalize AI-driven applications on Azure, Microsoft’s cloud computing platform. The online classes will teach learners how to use AI models to solve real-world problems through automation, data insights, and generative AI solutions, the firms said.
“We are pleased to deepen our collaboration with Accenture to help our mutual customers develop AI-first business processes responsibly and securely, while helping them drive market differentiation,” Judson Althoff, executive vice president and chief commercial officer at Microsoft, said in a release. “By bringing together Copilots and human ambition, paired with the autonomous capabilities of an agent, we can accelerate AI transformation for organizations across industries and help them realize successful business outcomes through pragmatic innovation.”
That result came from the company’s “GEP Global Supply Chain Volatility Index,” an indicator tracking demand conditions, shortages, transportation costs, inventories, and backlogs based on a monthly survey of 27,000 businesses. The October index number was -0.39, which was up only slightly from its level of -0.43 in September.
Researchers found a steep rise in slack across North American supply chains due to declining factory activity in the U.S. In fact, purchasing managers at U.S. manufacturers made their strongest cutbacks to buying volumes in nearly a year and a half, indicating that factories in the world's largest economy are preparing for lower production volumes, GEP said.
Elsewhere, suppliers feeding Asia also reported spare capacity in October, albeit to a lesser degree than seen in Western markets. Europe's industrial plight remained a key feature of the data in October, as vendor capacity was significantly underutilized, reflecting a continuation of subdued demand in key manufacturing hubs across the continent.
"We're in a buyers' market. October is the fourth straight month that suppliers worldwide reported spare capacity, with notable contractions in factory demand across North America and Europe, underscoring the challenging outlook for Western manufacturers," Todd Bremer, vice president, GEP, said in a release. "President-elect Trump inherits U.S. manufacturers with plenty of spare capacity while in contrast, China's modest rebound and strong expansion in India demonstrate greater resilience in Asia."
Even as the e-commerce sector overall continues expanding toward a forecasted 41% of all retail sales by 2027, many small to medium e-commerce companies are struggling to find the investment funding they need to increase sales, according to a sector survey from online capital platform Stenn.
Global geopolitical instability and increasing inflation are causing e-commerce firms to face a liquidity crisis, which means companies may not be able to access the funds they need to grow, Stenn’s survey of 500 senior e-commerce leaders found. The research was conducted by Opinion Matters between August 29 and September 5.
Survey findings include:
61.8% of leaders who sought growth capital did so to invest in advanced technologies, such as AI and machine learning, to improve their businesses.
When asked which resources they wished they had more access to, 63.8% of respondents pointed to growth capital.
Women indicated a stronger need for business operations training (51.2%) and financial planning resources (48.8%) compared to men (30.8% and 15.4%).
40% of business owners are seeking external financial advice and mentorship at least once a week to help with business decisions.
Almost half (49.6%) of respondents are proactively forecasting their business activity 6-18 months ahead.
“As e-commerce continues to grow rapidly, driven by increasing online consumer demand and technological innovation, it’s important to remember that capital constraints and access to growth financing remain persistent hurdles for many e-commerce business leaders especially at small and medium-sized businesses,” Noel Hillman, Chief Commercial Officer at Stenn, said in a release. “In this competitive landscape, ensuring liquidity and optimizing supply chain processes are critical to sustaining growth and scaling operations.”
With six keynote and more than 100 educational sessions, CSCMP EDGE 2024 offered a wealth of content. Here are highlights from just some of the presentations.
A great American story
Author and entrepreneur Fawn Weaver closed out the first day of the conference by telling the little-known story of Nathan “Nearest” Green, who was born into slavery, freed after the Civil War, and went on to become the first master distiller for the Jack Daniel’s Whiskey brand. Through extensive research and interviews with descendants of the Daniel and Green families, Weaver discovered what she describes as a positive American story.
She told the story in her best-selling book, Love & Whiskey: The Remarkable True Story of Jack Daniel, His Master Distiller Nearest Green, and the Improbable Rise of Uncle Nearest. That story also inspired her to create Uncle Nearest Premium Whiskey.
Weaver discussed the barriers she encountered in bringing the brand to life, her vision for where it’s headed, and her take on the supply chain—which she views as both a necessary cost of doing business and an opportunity.
“[It’s] an opportunity if you can move quickly,” she said, pointing to a recent project in which the company was able to fast-track a new Uncle Nearest product thanks to close collaboration with its supply chain partners.
A two-pronged business transformation
We may be living in a world full of technology, but strategy and focus remain the top priorities when it comes to managing a business and its supply chains. So says Roberto Isaias, executive vice president and chief supply chain officer for toy manufacturing and entertainment company Mattel.
Isaias emphasized the point during his keynote on day two of EDGE 2024. He described how Mattel transformed itself amid surging demand for Barbie-branded items following the success of the Barbie movie.
That transformation, according to Isaias, came on two fronts: commercially and logistically. Today, Mattel is steadily moving beyond the toy aisle with two films and 13 TV series in production as well as 14 films and 35 shows in development. And as for those supply chain gains? The company has saved millions, increased productivity, and improved profit margins—even amid cost increases and inflation.
A framework for chasing excellence
Most of the time when CEOs present at an industry conference, they like to talk about their companies’ success stories. Not J.B. Hunt’s Shelley Simpson. Speaking at EDGE, the trucking company’s president and CEO led with a story about a time that the company lost a major customer.
According to Simpson, the company had a customer of their dedicated contract business in 2001 that was consistently making late shipments with no lead time. “We were working like crazy to try to satisfy them, and lost their business,” Simpson said.
When the team at J.B. Hunt later met with the customer’s chief supply chain officer and related all they had been doing, the customer responded, “You never shared everything you were doing for us.”
Out of that experience, came J.B. Hunt’s Customer Value Delivery framework. The framework consists of five steps: 1) understand customer needs, 2) deliver expectations, 3) measure results, 4) communicate performance, and 5) anticipate new value.
Next year’s CSCMP EDGE conference on October 5–8 in National Harbor, Md., promises to have a similarly deep lineup of keynote presentations. Register early at www.cscmpedge.org.
2024 was expected to be a bounce-back year for the logistics industry. We had the pandemic in the rearview mirror, and the economy was proving to be more resilient than expected, defying those prognosticators who believed a recession was imminent.
While most of the economy managed to stabilize in 2024, the logistics industry continued to see disruption and changes in international trade. World events conspired to drive much of the narrative surrounding the flow of goods worldwide. Additionally, a diminished reliance on China as a source for goods reduced some of the international trade flow from that manufacturing hub. Some of this trade diverted to other Asian nations, while nearshoring efforts brought some production back to North America, particularly Mexico.
Meanwhile trucking in the United States continued its 2-year recession, highlighted by weaker demand and excess capacity. Both contributed to a slow year, especially for truckload carriers that comprise about 90% of over-the-road shipments.
Labor issues were also front and center in 2024, as ports and rail companies dealt with threats of strikes, which resulted in new contracts and increased costs. Labor—and often a lack of it—continues to be an ongoing concern in the logistics industry.
In this annual issue, we bring a year-end perspective to these topics and more. Our issue is designed to complement CSCMP’s 35th Annual State of Logistics Report, which was released in June, and includes updates that were presented at the CSCMP EDGE conference held in October. In addition to this overview of the market, we have engaged top industry experts to dig into the status of key logistics sectors.
Hopefully as we move into 2025, logistics markets will build on an improving economy and strong consumer demand, while stabilizing those parts of the industry that could use some adrenaline, such as trucking. By this time next year, we hope to see a full recovery as the market fulfills its promise to deliver the needs of our very connected world.