Similar questions are being asked by supply chain leaders around the world: Do we continue to
invest in conventional processes that have proven effective but offer capped upside, or do we
implement disruptive approaches that offer potential step-function advancement but also carry
risks attendant with the unknown? In this article, we'll explore bimodal supply chain strategies
that integrate elements of each approach.
What does "bimodal" mean?
Bimodal, as the name suggests, is the ability to flexibly operate in two supply chain "modes."
Mode 1 leverages established, empirically proven, but often incremental approaches. Mode 2
explores new, potentially transformative, but often unproven approaches. Think of mode 1 as
progression along a known, mostly linear function. Think of mode 2 as bending the improvement
curve to access exponential gains.
The first mode centers on the delivery of well-established supply chain priorities like
productivity, security, and reliability. Success in this mode requires a strong "microscope"
perspective—near-term, detailed, precise. In mode 1, companies leverage core products, processes,
and systems. An example of mode 1 is statistical process control—analyzing historical data to
identify and reduce sources of variation. With more history comes larger sample sizes, which
result in smaller standard deviation and more certain outcomes. Statistical process control
is in the toolkit of any successful manufacturing organization. By systematically studying
the past, we can consistently improve the present.
In the second mode, companies strive for step-function improvement that is rarely
offered by the status quo, even if there is organized optimization of that status quo.
This approach requires more of a "telescope" perspective—forward-looking, longer-term,
less precise. Mode 2 involves exploring new markets, new processes, new technologies.
The Internet of Things and machine learning, which leverage multiple data streams to
self-adjust in real time, are examples of mode 2. As historical data is less available in
mode 2, we have to look forward. Mode 2 can yield transformative advancements, although
the statistical certainty of outcomes is lower.
Both is better than either
Rather than arguing for one mode over the other, bimodal recognizes the value of having
both modes in your supply chain. The benefits of continuous operational improvement (mode 1)
have been well documented over multiple decades. Likewise, the competitive advantages of
leap-frogging conventional tools (mode 2) are similarly exciting.
Bimodal, however, shouldn't be thought of as a toggle, switching from one mode to the other.
At the core of bimodal is the ability to integrate the two modes, complementing rather than
compartmentalizing. Although modes 1 and 2 do require different perspectives, the real value
of bimodal comes in connecting the modes. Data and digital technologies, further discussed
below, provide one such link. Innovative organization designs provide another. Expanding
one's view of "our" supply chain to include upstream partners and downstream customers is
a third.
A challenge facing organizations looking to go bimodal is how to integrate the two seemingly
disparate thought processes of modes 1 and 2. Many successful supply chains with whom we work—whether
suppliers, partners or customers—translate deep process understanding into predictable advancements
in important value-creation levers like cost reduction, capital efficiency, and service improvement. They
leverage strong "microscope thinking" to mitigate risk while continuously improving, both hallmarks of
mode 1. The "telescope thinking" needed in mode 2 often requires a different mindset—data automation
and self-tuning algorithms replacing manual systems, end-to-end value-stream thinking replacing localized
optimization, production-led team designs replacing traditional organizational structures. Mode 2's new
approaches bring unknowns, while mode 1 is all about reducing uncertainty. This creates an apparent disconnect.
One common denominator between the two modes is data. Data is the language of continuous-improvement processes
common to mode 1: Six Sigma, Lean and hoshin kanri (a method for ensuring that the strategic goals of a
company drive progress and action at every level). Data also fuels the predictive analytics common to mode 2:
cloud sharing, pattern recognition, and artificial intelligence. Digital technologies such as these that manage
data establish a powerful link between the two modes, bringing together the individual strengths of each into a
collectively more powerful union. Digitization, in both modes 1 and 2, builds trust and strengthens the links
between partners by providing end-to-end value chain visibility that in turn benefits customers, suppliers,
and communities.
Bimodal at 3M
3M is a $30 billion enterprise with more than 60,000 unique product offerings. We
manufacture roughly 85 percent of everything we sell. With such a diverse supply chain, we
rely on proven processes that have enabled us to continuously improve for more than a century.
Like many reading this article, 3M is comfortable in mode 1. At the same time, 3M is also a
science-based company. We see technology as a stabilizer rather than a risk. We're routinely
ranked amongst the world's most innovative companies. So, while mode 2 is also new to us, it
is generally familiar territory.
At 3M, we call our approach to bimodal "efficient growth." Mode 1 delivers the productivity
gains that our customers and shareholders demand. Mode 2 builds on this foundation, fueling
the growth necessary to ensure that our next century will be as successful as the last.
There are three key elements to our efficient growth strategy:
Harmonizing global processes to deliver world-class productivity, working-capital management,
and asset utilization (like mode 1).
Accelerating disruptive technologies to deliver even higher quality, lower cost, and
more innovative products to customers (like mode 2).
Regionalizing our supply chains to reduce complexity, amplify operational impact, enhance
customer service, and build high-performing talent (a blend of modes 1 & 2).
Together, these three strategies enable 3M to achieve higher levels of efficiency while
also integrating new technologies necessary for innovation, growth, and customer loyalty.
This helps us contend with the ever-increasing volatility of today while simultaneously
exploring and innovating for tomorrow.
Follow this link for additional work from the analyst group Gartner on the bimodal model.
Just 29% of supply chain organizations have the competitive characteristics they’ll need for future readiness, according to a Gartner survey released Tuesday. The survey focused on how organizations are preparing for future challenges and to keep their supply chains competitive.
Gartner surveyed 579 supply chain practitioners to determine the capabilities needed to manage the “future drivers of influence” on supply chains, which include artificial intelligence (AI) achievement and the ability to navigate new trade policies. According to the survey, the five competitive characteristics are: agility, resilience, regionalization, integrated ecosystems, and integrated enterprise strategy.
The survey analysis identified “leaders” among the respondents as supply chain organizations that have already developed at least three of the five competitive characteristics necessary to address the top five drivers of supply chain’s future.
Less than a third have met that threshold.
“Leaders shared a commitment to preparation through long-term, deliberate strategies, while non-leaders were more often focused on short-term priorities,” Pierfrancesco Manenti, vice president analyst in Gartner’s Supply Chain practice, said in a statement announcing the survey results.
“Most leaders have yet to invest in the most advanced technologies (e.g. real-time visibility, digital supply chain twin), but plan to do so in the next three-to-five years,” Manenti also said in the statement. “Leaders see technology as an enabler to their overall business strategies, while non-leaders more often invest in technology first, without having fully established their foundational capabilities.”
As part of the survey, respondents were asked to identify the future drivers of influence on supply chain performance over the next three to five years. The top five drivers are: achievement capability of AI (74%); the amount of new ESG regulations and trade policies being released (67%); geopolitical fight/transition for power (65%); control over data (62%); and talent scarcity (59%).
The analysis also identified four unique profiles of supply chain organizations, based on what their leaders deem as the most crucial capabilities for empowering their organizations over the next three to five years.
First, 54% of retailers are looking for ways to increase their financial recovery from returns. That’s because the cost to return a purchase averages 27% of the purchase price, which erases as much as 50% of the sales margin. But consumers have their own interests in mind: 76% of shoppers admit they’ve embellished or exaggerated the return reason to avoid a fee, a 39% increase from 2023 to 204.
Second, return experiences matter to consumers. A whopping 80% of shoppers stopped shopping at a retailer because of changes to the return policy—a 34% increase YoY.
Third, returns fraud and abuse is top-of-mind-for retailers, with wardrobing rising 38% in 2024. In fact, over two thirds (69%) of shoppers admit to wardrobing, which is the practice of buying an item for a specific reason or event and returning it after use. Shoppers also practice bracketing, or purchasing an item in a variety of colors or sizes and then returning all the unwanted options.
Fourth, returns come with a steep cost in terms of sustainability, with returns amounting to 8.4 billion pounds of landfill waste in 2023 alone.
“As returns have become an integral part of the shopper experience, retailers must balance meeting sky-high expectations with rising costs, environmental impact, and fraudulent behaviors,” Amena Ali, CEO of Optoro, said in the firm’s “2024 Returns Unwrapped” report. “By understanding shoppers’ behaviors and preferences around returns, retailers can create returns experiences that embrace their needs while driving deeper loyalty and protecting their bottom line.”
Facing an evolving supply chain landscape in 2025, companies are being forced to rethink their distribution strategies to cope with challenges like rising cost pressures, persistent labor shortages, and the complexities of managing SKU proliferation.
1. Optimize labor productivity and costs. Forward-thinking businesses are leveraging technology to get more done with fewer resources through approaches like slotting optimization, automation and robotics, and inventory visibility.
2. Maximize capacity with smart solutions. With e-commerce volumes rising, facilities need to handle more SKUs and orders without expanding their physical footprint. That can be achieved through high-density storage and dynamic throughput.
3. Streamline returns management. Returns are a growing challenge, thanks to the continued growth of e-commerce and the consumer practice of bracketing. Businesses can handle that with smarter reverse logistics processes like automated returns processing and reverse logistics visibility.
4. Accelerate order fulfillment with robotics. Robotic solutions are transforming the way orders are fulfilled, helping businesses meet customer expectations faster and more accurately than ever before by using autonomous mobile robots (AMRs and robotic picking.
5. Enhance end-of-line packaging. The final step in the supply chain is often the most visible to customers. So optimizing packaging processes can reduce costs, improve efficiency, and support sustainability goals through automated packaging systems and sustainability initiatives.
That clash has come as retailers have been hustling to adjust to pandemic swings like a renewed focus on e-commerce, then swiftly reimagining store experiences as foot traffic returned. But even as the dust settles from those changes, retailers are now facing renewed questions about how best to define their omnichannel strategy in a world where customers have increasing power and information.
The answer may come from a five-part strategy using integrated components to fortify omnichannel retail, EY said. The approach can unlock value and customer trust through great experiences, but only when implemented cohesively, not individually, EY warns.
The steps include:
1. Functional integration: Is your operating model and data infrastructure siloed between e-commerce and physical stores, or have you developed a cohesive unit centered around delivering seamless customer experience?
2. Customer insights: With consumer centricity at the heart of operations, are you analyzing all touch points to build a holistic view of preferences, behaviors, and buying patterns?
3. Next-generation inventory: Given the right customer insights, how are you utilizing advanced analytics to ensure inventory is optimized to meet demand precisely where and when it’s needed?
4. Distribution partnerships: Having ensured your customers find what they want where they want it, how are your distribution strategies adapting to deliver these choices to them swiftly and efficiently?
5. Real estate strategy: How is your real estate strategy interconnected with insights, inventory and distribution to enhance experience and maximize your footprint?
When approached cohesively, these efforts all build toward one overarching differentiator for retailers: a better customer experience that reaches from brand engagement and order placement through delivery and return, the EY study said. Amid continued volatility and an economy driven by complex customer demands, the retailers best set up to win are those that are striving to gain real-time visibility into stock levels, offer flexible fulfillment options and modernize merchandising through personalized and dynamic customer experiences.
Geopolitical rivalries, alliances, and aspirations are rewiring the global economy—and the imposition of new tariffs on foreign imports by the U.S. will accelerate that process, according to an analysis by Boston Consulting Group (BCG).
Without a broad increase in tariffs, world trade in goods will keep growing at an average of 2.9% annually for the next eight years, the firm forecasts in its report, “Great Powers, Geopolitics, and the Future of Trade.” But the routes goods travel will change markedly as North America reduces its dependence on China and China builds up its links with the Global South, which is cementing its power in the global trade map.
“Global trade is set to top $29 trillion by 2033, but the routes these goods will travel is changing at a remarkable pace,” Aparna Bharadwaj, managing director and partner at BCG, said in a release. “Trade lanes were already shifting from historical patterns and looming US tariffs will accelerate this. Navigating these new dynamics will be critical for any global business.”
To understand those changes, BCG modeled the direct impact of the 60/25/20 scenario (60% tariff on Chinese goods, a 25% on goods from Canada and Mexico, and a 20% on imports from all other countries). The results show that the tariffs would add $640 billion to the cost of importing goods from the top ten U.S. import nations, based on 2023 levels, unless alternative sources or suppliers are found.
In terms of product categories imported by the U.S., the greatest impact would be on imported auto parts and automotive vehicles, which would primarily affect trade with Mexico, the EU, and Japan. Consumer electronics, electrical machinery, and fashion goods would be most affected by higher tariffs on Chinese goods. Specifically, the report forecasts that a 60% tariff rate would add $61 billion to cost of importing consumer electronics products from China into the U.S.