The insight-driven supply chain: What's it all about?
Companies whose supply chains fully leverage insights from available data are gaining a measurable competitive advantage. Here's an overview of how to apply this strategy and the value it provides.
What do we mean by the term "insight-driven supply chain"? The answer rests upon a company's ability to fully leverage—that is, to identify, obtain, analyze, and act upon—available data and contextual information from a variety of sources. While most companies are doing this to some degree, their efforts are often very limited in scope, and the benefits of data-driven initiatives are not shared across their supply chains. Companies that truly leverage the insights afforded by data, however, are achieving measurable, and in some cases, extraordinary improvement in costs, working capital, and shareholder value.
To learn more, CSCMP's Supply Chain Quarterly interviewed Adrian Penka, Cathy Chinich, and Jean Collard of Capgemini Consulting about the supply chain revolution brought about by an insight-driven supply chain.
Article Figures
[Figure 1] Game-changing components of an insight-driven supply chainEnlarge this image
[Figure 2] Benefits some companies have achieved from an insight-driven supply chainEnlarge this image
What is an insight-driven supply chain, and what value will it create? Adrian Penka: An insight-driven supply chain leverages real-time analytics, customer data, abstract and concrete data sources, and contextual information to help the business make more informed, proactive, intelligent, and, most importantly, customer-centric decisions.
These insights enable flexibility that is not available in a traditional supply chain model. They also provide the ability to tailor activities to customer preferences, something that is becoming increasingly important. We are at a pivotal moment where companies are identifying and responding to customer preferences with impressive speed. For example, same-day delivery wasn't an expectation a year ago, and now customers have grown accustomed to it. Expectations will continue to grow; in the near future, customers will demand delivery within a few hours to their geolocation, which may not have a street address.
An insight-driven supply chain paves the way to increased sales by better understanding what customers are expecting as well as by avoiding lost sales related to a lack of coordination or anticipation in the supply chain. It also will help companies reduce costs. Where it will have the biggest impact depends on your economic model. In retail, for instance, increasing revenues will be the primary driver for moving toward an insight-driven supply chain. In other industries, like manufacturing, where sales volatility is more common, the effort will mainly focus on cost reduction.
In short, the insight-driven supply chain can provide a significant competitive advantage for businesses that embrace it, often in conjunction with other supply chain enhancements, such as a "smart plant"—a manufacturing facility enhanced with Internet of Things (IoT) capabilities. Leaders in this space will gain market share and efficiency, while others not armed with these kinds of forward-thinking approaches will slowly lose ground.
What enables an insight-driven supply chain? Cathy Chinich: Digital technologies allow for aggregation and management of vast amounts of data. On top of that, artificial intelligence (AI) is able to understand complex problems faster than humans can, which is opening the door to new opportunities that humans can't identify on their own. For example, one emerging trend is to create an insight-driven supply chain where data is shared beyond company borders to identify new optimums while humans oversee and arbitrate AI decisions as needed. Further data transparency among businesses, suppliers, and supply chain partners can only bolster AI decision-making. As the global datasphere continues to grow exponentially, and technology drives down the cost of data storage and computing performance, these insights are becoming available at lower costs.
How do you implement it? Where do you start? Chinich: On a strategic level, companies should pay attention to where startups are addressing pain points and think hard about leading-indicator data and why unconventional data is gaining popularity. For example, looking at new products from an unconventional competitor that are gaining popularity could be an early warning sign of disruption.1 Of course, companies have to start somewhere, but they should aim to reach digital mastery, where they not only build digital innovations, but also drive enterprisewide transformation. Developing a strong digital vision and supporting leadership capability will provide a competitive advantage over companies that are still beginners or those that have experimented with various digital technologies without building a strong, revolutionary operating model.2
Jean Collard: On an operational level, to implement an insight-driven supply chain, you need to acquire, aggregate, and analyze data in order to drive business decisions. Depending on the ideas you generate, you then have to identify what insights will be valuable regarding the company's internal data, your partners' data, or external data, and how the insights will impact your company and those you work with. It's therefore recommended that companies go through an ideation and synthesis workshop to evaluate how each idea would affect their organization. A first step in that process is to leverage past-use cases, observe the market, and share findings with the appropriate teams. The next step is to identify which ideas will be key enablers or fundamental game changers—see Figure 1 for some examples—and then test them. If the test is successful, that initiative can be scaled up. We've found that a typical return on investment for such a project is one to two years. But there isn't a one-size-fits-all approach; you need to identify the way that best suits your organization.
Can you provide some examples of the kinds of data companies are leveraging? Penka: One of the most common—and successful—applications of an insight-driven supply chain is in the area of planning. Many consumer packaged goods companies (CPGs) and retailers have made considerable investments to proactively understand customer demand and ensure the right products and quantities are staged and available ahead of that demand. Examples of common sources of consumer insights include weather patterns (think Ben and Jerry's ice cream ahead of a hot day) or social media (forecasting a run on a certain product based on social sentiment).
However, as Figure 1 shows, there is a treasure trove of other possibilities beyond the planning component. We have found a much smaller number of companies leveraging alternative data sources to build a more flexible and customer-centric supply chain, and this is where we see companies distancing themselves from their competition. Looking at both internal and external as well as structured and unstructured data inspires us to think differently about data sources. Here are a couple of examples that demonstrate how companies are exploiting the benefits of alternative data sources to drive their supply chains:
One major CPG company leveraged satellite imagery and data sensors to monitor and hedge commodity crops that provided a key input to its product. Data from the sky provided insight into the density of the crop, and sensors in the field measured soil conditions and moisture levels. These two factors together enable insights into crop yield levels by region and allowed the CPG to predict a key input price, which in turn supported its procurement strategy.
Another company leveraged data from a startup that tracked traffic and pedestrian activity by monitoring traffic-light patterns in major U.S. cities. Using this data, the company planned routes for last-mile delivery. This data enabled the company to commit to same-day delivery in some markets, allowing it to meet a new customer demand and capture an area of the market that was once out of reach.
Those are good examples of insights based on data from technology providers. What about data from within the supply chain? Collard: Insights can be collected from various sources. Your own operational ecosystem, for example, provides information on your products, ranging from where they are stored and how fast they move through the value chain, to their associated costs and customer demand. For that to happen, though, the inherent silos between companies need to come down in order to enhance supplier and vendor partnerships. For instance, Wal-Mart Stores has recently upgraded its supplier network portal to provide suppliers with visibility to optimal stock levels, which will help to eliminate excess inventory situations. At the same time, Wal-Mart developed a new smartphone application called "MyProductivity" that provides store staff and managers with a real-time view of stock, inventory levels, and customer feedback. This allows them to take real-time action on the sales floor as problems develop.3
On the other side of the value chain, the consumer electronics company Samsung monitored and controlled the flow of product from distribution points to its retailer customers. Its information technology (IT) system captured transportation costs and shipping lane details, which were used to update the carrier-selection process and optimize truck routes. This efficiency was passed on to the customer, along with lower product pricing.
The last source of insight is the customer itself. In business-to-consumer (B2C) marketplaces, most insights are freely available, as consumers are willing to share feedback via social media or product reviews. Data collected on the Internet provides an endless source of insights that can be broadly scanned and analyzed via "big data" technologies. In the business-to-business (B2B) space, on the other hand, companies have acquired a lot of customer data through third-party syndicated sources, but it hasn't yet become mainstream to share this information between businesses.
Can you provide some examples of best practices or leaders in implementing an insight-driven supply chain? Chinich: We see best practices in many different companies, ranging from giants like Amazon.com to smaller players like Navistar. Amazon, for example, has patented an "anticipatory shipping model" to accurately predict items that will be ordered by customers. The company ships a product to the nearest warehouse or distribution center, where the product waits for the customer to place an order. Strategically located warehouses with minimal distance to vendors and in densely populated customer areas, together with personalized feeds to customers based on their search and order history, have helped to avoid out-of-stocks, speed up delivery, and reduce shipping costs by 10-40 percent. Amazon has also introduced IoT sensors in homes with products like Dash, an electronic button that uses wi-fi to provide one-touch order placement, and the Echo smart speaker that accepts verbal commands.
In another example, Navistar, a commercial truck and bus manufacturer, has leveraged data via predictive analytics to improve its demand forecasting and telematics to predict when and where service parts will be needed. This supply chain digitization has led to a reduction in back orders, improved fill rates, and reduced dwell times.
In our experience, companies in consumer products and retail have uncovered value not only in the area of supply chain, but also within their marketing and sales organizations. In supply chain, they have seen a 10 percent improvement in working capital and a 10 to 15 percent reduction in inventory carrying costs. Figure 2 summarizes the types of improvements we have observed.4
What is the outlook for insight-driven supply chains? Chinich: Digital technologies continue to have disruptive impacts on supply chains around the globe. According to studies published by the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) and Capgemini Consulting, we are in the fourth Industrial Revolution, where connected customers and products are forcing companies to rethink value creation and supply chain models.5 In response to digital disruption, success ultimately lies in an openness to change.
Businesses are cautiously optimistic as peak holiday shipping season draws near, with many anticipating year-over-year sales increases as they continue to battle challenging supply chain conditions.
That’s according to the DHL 2024 Peak Season Shipping Survey, released today by express shipping service provider DHL Express U.S. The company surveyed small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) to gauge their holiday business outlook compared to last year and found that a mix of optimism and “strategic caution” prevail ahead of this year’s peak.
Nearly half (48%) of the SMEs surveyed said they expect higher holiday sales compared to 2023, while 44% said they expect sales to remain on par with last year, and just 8% said they foresee a decline. Respondents said the main challenges to hitting those goals are supply chain problems (35%), inflation and fluctuating consumer demand (34%), staffing (16%), and inventory challenges (14%).
But respondents said they have strategies in place to tackle those issues. Many said they began preparing for holiday season earlier this year—with 45% saying they started planning in Q2 or earlier, up from 39% last year. Other strategies include expanding into international markets (35%) and leveraging holiday discounts (32%).
Sixty percent of respondents said they will prioritize personalized customer service as a way to enhance customer interactions and loyalty this year. Still others said they will invest in enhanced web and mobile experiences (23%) and eco-friendly practices (13%) to draw customers this holiday season.
The practice consists of 5,000 professionals from Accenture and from Avanade—the consulting firm’s joint venture with Microsoft. They will be supported by Microsoft product specialists who will work closely with the Accenture Center for Advanced AI. Together, that group will collaborate on AI and Copilot agent templates, extensions, plugins, and connectors to help organizations leverage their data and gen AI to reduce costs, improve efficiencies and drive growth, they said on Thursday.
Accenture and Avanade say they have already developed some AI tools for these applications. For example, a supplier discovery and risk agent can deliver real-time market insights, agile supply chain responses, and better vendor selection, which could result in up to 15% cost savings. And a procure-to-pay agent could improve efficiency by up to 40% and enhance vendor relations and satisfaction by addressing urgent payment requirements and avoiding disruptions of key services
Likewise, they have also built solutions for clients using Microsoft 365 Copilot technology. For example, they have created Copilots for a variety of industries and functions including finance, manufacturing, supply chain, retail, and consumer goods and healthcare.
Another part of the new practice will be educating clients how to use the technology, using an “Azure Generative AI Engineer Nanodegree program” to teach users how to design, build, and operationalize AI-driven applications on Azure, Microsoft’s cloud computing platform. The online classes will teach learners how to use AI models to solve real-world problems through automation, data insights, and generative AI solutions, the firms said.
“We are pleased to deepen our collaboration with Accenture to help our mutual customers develop AI-first business processes responsibly and securely, while helping them drive market differentiation,” Judson Althoff, executive vice president and chief commercial officer at Microsoft, said in a release. “By bringing together Copilots and human ambition, paired with the autonomous capabilities of an agent, we can accelerate AI transformation for organizations across industries and help them realize successful business outcomes through pragmatic innovation.”
Census data showed that overall retail sales in October were up 0.4% seasonally adjusted month over month and up 2.8% unadjusted year over year. That compared with increases of 0.8% month over month and 2% year over year in September.
October’s core retail sales as defined by NRF — based on the Census data but excluding automobile dealers, gasoline stations and restaurants — were unchanged seasonally adjusted month over month but up 5.4% unadjusted year over year.
Core sales were up 3.5% year over year for the first 10 months of the year, in line with NRF’s forecast for 2024 retail sales to grow between 2.5% and 3.5% over 2023. NRF is forecasting that 2024 holiday sales during November and December will also increase between 2.5% and 3.5% over the same time last year.
“October’s pickup in retail sales shows a healthy pace of spending as many consumers got an early start on holiday shopping,” NRF Chief Economist Jack Kleinhenz said in a release. “October sales were a good early step forward into the holiday shopping season, which is now fully underway. Falling energy prices have likely provided extra dollars for household spending on retail merchandise.”
Despite that positive trend, market watchers cautioned that retailers still need to offer competitive value propositions and customer experience in order to succeed in the holiday season. “The American consumer has been more resilient than anyone could have expected. But that isn’t a free pass for retailers to under invest in their stores,” Nikki Baird, VP of strategy & product at Aptos, a solutions provider of unified retail technology based out of Alpharetta, Georgia, said in a statement. “They need to make investments in labor, customer experience tech, and digital transformation. It has been too easy to kick the can down the road until you suddenly realize there’s no road left.”
A similar message came from Chip West, a retail and consumer behavior expert at the marketing, packaging, print and supply chain solutions provider RRD. “October’s increase proved to be slightly better than projections and was likely boosted by lower fuel prices. As inflation slowed for a number of months, prices in several categories have stabilized, with some even showing declines, offering further relief to consumers,” West said. “The data also looks to be a positive sign as we kick off the holiday shopping season. Promotions and discounts will play a prominent role in holiday shopping behavior as they are key influencers in consumer’s purchasing decisions.”
Third-party logistics (3PL) providers’ share of large real estate leases across the U.S. rose significantly through the third quarter of 2024 compared to the same time last year, as more retailers and wholesalers have been outsourcing their warehouse and distribution operations to 3PLs, according to a report from real estate firm CBRE.
Specifically, 3PLs’ share of bulk industrial leasing activity—covering leases of 100,000 square feet or more—rose to 34.1% through Q3 of this year from 30.6% through Q3 last year. By raw numbers, 3PLs have accounted for 498 bulk leases so far this year, up by 9% from the 457 at this time last year.
By category, 3PLs’ share of 34.1% ranked above other occupier types such as: general retail and wholesale (26.6), food and beverage (9.0), automobiles, tires, and parts (7.9), manufacturing (6.2), building materials and construction (5.6), e-commerce only (5.6), medical (2.7), and undisclosed (2.3).
On a quarterly basis, bulk leasing by 3PLs has steadily increased this year, reversing the steadily decreasing trend of 2023. CBRE pointed to three main reasons for that resurgence:
Import Flexibility. Labor disruptions, extreme weather patterns, and geopolitical uncertainty have led many companies to diversify their import locations. Using 3PLs allows for more inventory flexibility, a key component to retailer success in times of uncertainty.
Capital Allocation/Preservation. Warehousing and distribution of goods is expensive, draining capital resources for transportation costs, rent, or labor. But outsourcing to 3PLs provides companies with more flexibility to increase or decrease their inventories without any risk of signing their own lease commitments. And using a 3PL also allows companies to switch supply chain costs from capital to operational expenses.
Focus on Core Competency. Outsourcing their logistics operations to 3PLs allows companies to focus on core business competencies that drive revenue, such as product development, sales, and customer service.
Looking into the future, these same trends will continue to drive 3PL warehouse demand, CBRE said. Economic, geopolitical and supply chain uncertainty will remain prevalent in the coming quarters but will not diminish the need to effectively manage inventory levels.
That result came from the company’s “GEP Global Supply Chain Volatility Index,” an indicator tracking demand conditions, shortages, transportation costs, inventories, and backlogs based on a monthly survey of 27,000 businesses. The October index number was -0.39, which was up only slightly from its level of -0.43 in September.
Researchers found a steep rise in slack across North American supply chains due to declining factory activity in the U.S. In fact, purchasing managers at U.S. manufacturers made their strongest cutbacks to buying volumes in nearly a year and a half, indicating that factories in the world's largest economy are preparing for lower production volumes, GEP said.
Elsewhere, suppliers feeding Asia also reported spare capacity in October, albeit to a lesser degree than seen in Western markets. Europe's industrial plight remained a key feature of the data in October, as vendor capacity was significantly underutilized, reflecting a continuation of subdued demand in key manufacturing hubs across the continent.
"We're in a buyers' market. October is the fourth straight month that suppliers worldwide reported spare capacity, with notable contractions in factory demand across North America and Europe, underscoring the challenging outlook for Western manufacturers," Todd Bremer, vice president, GEP, said in a release. "President-elect Trump inherits U.S. manufacturers with plenty of spare capacity while in contrast, China's modest rebound and strong expansion in India demonstrate greater resilience in Asia."