W. Michael Corkran is Managing Partner of China Centric Associates, a specialist in developing and executing business strategies for Western companies in China.
Countless high-quality products that enrich our lives are made in and sourced from China every day. Chinese exports range from the lowest-tech toys to the highest-technology computer electronics. Yet for every successful sourcing experience in China, there is more than one disappointment or complete failure. So, the question is, "Why are some companies so successful at managing supply chains in China, while others are not?"
The answer is rooted in the fact that successful supply chain management in China depends on very different principles and practices than in the West. Companies that don't understand and adjust to those differences invite problems. To help supply chain managers recognize and understand how to adapt to those differences, this article offers a four-point formula for successful supply chain management in this dynamic country, which will inevitably play a critical role in future global trade.
Decoding the differences
At the most fundamental level, China's commercial environment is still young; China has been deeply engaged in Western-like commerce for little more than two decades. The principles that Western businesspeople take for granted are not ingrained throughout Chinese business yet. Some simple "rules," such as not substituting materials in customer-specified products without prior customer approval, don't have the same intuitive acceptance in China as in the West. Companies that try to manage suppliers without understanding this and the many other differences they will encounter almost inevitably experience disappointment. Decoding the differences, however, is not an insurmountable challenge, but it takes patience, curiosity, and a disciplined approach to supply chain management.
Suppliers as capable as the best in the West can be found in China. At the same time, suppliers that would not be able to find a single customer in the West because of their substandard quality, delivery, and support performance can still survive in some segments of China's market. How can this paradox coexist in today's global and increasingly transparent marketplace? In the West, the absolute quality difference between excellent and poor suppliers is actually small. The broad pursuit of continuous improvement throughout the supply chain drives acceptable quality standards forward, and the competitive environment has eliminated suppliers that don't keep pace.
This is not the case in China, however. Figure 1 conceptually depicts the basic difference between the quality profiles of the developed Western and evolving China supply chain environments. Excellent suppliers exist in both worlds. The average quality level in the West is higher, and no poor-quality suppliers can survive. In China, the continuing demand from the state-owned industrial segment, where quality standards are often (but not always) lower than Western norms, provides Chinese suppliers with a market for lower-quality products that does not exist in the Western world. The challenge for Western companies seeking suppliers in China is to connect with suppliers that are aligned with Western quality and performance expectations. Chasing low prices exclusively is almost never the right approach to assure compliance with a Western company's quality needs.
Four keys to supply chain success
Based on decades of experience working in China and guiding Western businesses as they establish and manage supply chains there, China Centric Associates has identified four keys to success in supply chain management:
Execute an effective supplier-qualification process.
Before placing the first order, assure synchronization of understanding with suppliers of all aspects of supplier-customer "rules of engagement."
Adjust your routine supply chain management processes to the differences in the China supply chain environment.
Continually test alternative supplier options and challenge existing suppliers to improve in terms of cost, delivery, and quality.
Let's take a look at each of these important steps.
1. Execute an effective supplier-qualification process. Effective supplier qualification in China involves more than checking product samples, equipment, and quality documentation. While these are effective, everyday tools in the West, they may not be used in the same way in China. For example, Chinese suppliers know that Western customers expect to see control charts, work instructions, and visual indicators. However, a large percentage of Chinese companies do not understand the importance of these tools in effective operational management. Statistical process-control charts are often kept and filed with no closed-loop management discipline to control operations outputs. Commonly, many of these tools remain new to Chinese suppliers, and the process of infusing them into management discipline is still a work in progress.
Instead, effective supplier qualification requires assessing the stability of a supplier's management and processes to maximize confidence that the selected supplier can consistently meet the full range of your requirements, including those related to product, total cost of product acquisition, quality, and logistics. If the buy is a strategic, ongoing need, then the goal should be to select a dependable and long-term supply chain partner and not just chase the lowest-price product. If you search and qualify suppliers effectively, then you will almost never have to sacrifice price for quality and support performance.
It's critical that a supplier evaluation be adjusted in both format and content to reflect the core differences in relative sophistication between the Chinese and Western supply chain environments (a topic that will be discussed further in step 3).
A disciplined supplier-qualification process also identifies strengths and weaknesses in processes that are very often the determinants of actual long-term success. Understanding a supplier's strengths and weaknesses allows you to predict that supplier's ability to deliver sustained product, quality, delivery, and communications performance. It is recommended that buyers apply a detailed supplier-qualification process that baselines and assesses a supplier across a wide range of measures in six functional disciplines:
manufacturing facility and process equipment
manufacturing management processes
quality systems
technical support
logistics and export capabilities
general management and finance
Importantly, the buyer should take nothing for granted in the supplier-qualification process, and instead verify information when possible. For example, it is important to seek out documented linkages between control charts and formal feedback and process-improvement programming in operations.
2. Synchronize expectations through contracts. The second key to China supply chain success is synchronizing the understanding of all customer-supplier "rules of engagement" from the outset. Innocent mismatches of expectations between Western customers and Chinese suppliers about Western commercial principles are extremely common. If you engage a Chinese supplier assuming its management intuitively understands how suppliers and customers interact in the West, you are taking a big risk.
For that reason, a formal supply contract that memorializes the full range of engagement rules with suppliers and minimizes the potential for innocent mismatches of expectation is a necessity. Indeed, the importance of contracts cannot be overstated. Keep in mind that from the Chinese perspective, "If it's not in writing, it didn't happen!" and "If it's not in writing, it's not important!"
Simply sending a purchase order to a Chinese supplier may work for commodity-like buys, but for any other types of products, using purchase orders alone is a risky path. The more strategic the buy, the more critical it is to assure that your Chinese supplier understands clearly all required dimensions of the supply relationship. It is recommended that for all purchases of strategically important buys, formal supply contracts that are more comprehensive than we would use in the West be established with suppliers. Contracts need to define all possible "rules of engagement," including, but not limited to, product specifications, quality-assurance requirements, terms and conditions of sale, intellectual property considerations, custom safety-stock programs, and noncompete provisions. Investing the time to do this before any actual purchases have been made prevents problems later. In combination with disciplined supplier qualifications, a complete supply contract sets a sound foundation of transparent understanding and expectation between buyers and Chinese suppliers.
3. Refine Western supply chain management processes. The third key to success is refining your company's routine supplier management processes to suit in China. These processes work effectively in the West, but they are almost certainly suboptimized for use in China.
In the West, buyers typically exercise "arm's length" accountability for supply consistency and compliance across all requirements, and they expect suppliers to manage these requirements with a minimum of active intervention by the buyer. China will someday reach that same state, but its supply chain is currently far from being that developed; Western customers who adopt the same approach in China can be risking their franchises.
The following example highlights this point. A high-profile Western toy company damaged its reputation—perhaps irreparably—by mismanaging its Chinese suppliers. After over 20 years of seemingly problem-free imports of high-quality toys, this company relaxed or lost its supplier quality-assurance discipline, and suppliers began to use lead paint, which failed to meet Western consumer-safety standards. The toy company suffered financial losses and damaged its reputation with consumers, and its chief executive officer (CEO) was forced to admit publicly that the problem was not with the Chinese suppliers, but came from failures in the company's own documentation, designs, and management processes. Similar scenarios repeat with disappointing frequency, resulting too often in painful outcomes.
This incident also highlights the fact that it is the buyer's responsibility—not the supplier's—to be sure that product designs meet all regulatory requirements of the market in which they will be sold. A related consideration is that Chinese suppliers' sophistication in regard to manufacturing processes, such as quality assurance, material management, and manufacturing engineering, lags that in the West. These processes have taken generations to develop in the West, and they are still "in progress" in China.
Because of the relatively unsophisticated state of many Chinese suppliers, it is wise for any Western company sourcing there to exercise routine mentoring and monitoring of supplier performance. This means routine visits and project meetings with suppliers, performing periodic requalification audits, and implementing on-site quality-assurance programs or inspections. It may also require working on specific product- and process-improvement projects. Any supplier can get the first order right when all eyes are focused on it. It takes systemic stability of a supplier's production and management processes to turn start-up success into long-term supply performance. If it is not practical for your company to do this directly from your home country and you don't want to invest in having your own team in China, consider engaging an experienced third party to assist.
4. Continually test and adjust your supplier base. The fourth key to China supply chain success is to continuously test and adjust the supplier base. In the West, supply chain professionals are constantly scanning the general supply base, searching for new suppliers and options to optimize performance in a dynamic environment. It is surprising how many companies abandon this practice when sourcing from China. They often find a supplier and then stick with that supplier for years, with little or no investigation of alternatives.
Rising costs in and immediately around major cities in eastern China, such as Shanghai, Guangzhou, Shenzhen, and Beijing, present challenges for Western companies that found qualified suppliers years ago. The movement of the axis of industrial development into secondary cities further west and the rapid enhancement of both the technology base and the local workforce's experience expands the options available in those secondary cities. Many of these cities are surprisingly advanced and inviting from industrial and commercial standpoints and in terms of their overall quality of life.
To sustain and improve supply chain performance in China requires an ongoing focus on monitoring the dynamic supply chain environment there, scanning for suppliers that can deliver improved total value. In other words, the same discipline that is exercised to continuously adjust and optimize supply chain performance in the West needs to be exercised in China as well. In fact, because China's supply base is younger and more dynamic, with faster development and growth than that in the West, it is arguably more important.
No short cuts to success
Back to our initial question: "Why are some companies so successful managing China supply chains, while others are not?" The simplest answer is that companies that succeed in China understand that practices that work in the West need to be refined when working in China.
Supply chain success in China is no more difficult than anywhere else in the world, if the Western company sourcing there understands and follows the four key steps and the recommendations discussed in this paper. There are no short cuts to success!
Just 29% of supply chain organizations have the competitive characteristics they’ll need for future readiness, according to a Gartner survey released Tuesday. The survey focused on how organizations are preparing for future challenges and to keep their supply chains competitive.
Gartner surveyed 579 supply chain practitioners to determine the capabilities needed to manage the “future drivers of influence” on supply chains, which include artificial intelligence (AI) achievement and the ability to navigate new trade policies. According to the survey, the five competitive characteristics are: agility, resilience, regionalization, integrated ecosystems, and integrated enterprise strategy.
The survey analysis identified “leaders” among the respondents as supply chain organizations that have already developed at least three of the five competitive characteristics necessary to address the top five drivers of supply chain’s future.
Less than a third have met that threshold.
“Leaders shared a commitment to preparation through long-term, deliberate strategies, while non-leaders were more often focused on short-term priorities,” Pierfrancesco Manenti, vice president analyst in Gartner’s Supply Chain practice, said in a statement announcing the survey results.
“Most leaders have yet to invest in the most advanced technologies (e.g. real-time visibility, digital supply chain twin), but plan to do so in the next three-to-five years,” Manenti also said in the statement. “Leaders see technology as an enabler to their overall business strategies, while non-leaders more often invest in technology first, without having fully established their foundational capabilities.”
As part of the survey, respondents were asked to identify the future drivers of influence on supply chain performance over the next three to five years. The top five drivers are: achievement capability of AI (74%); the amount of new ESG regulations and trade policies being released (67%); geopolitical fight/transition for power (65%); control over data (62%); and talent scarcity (59%).
The analysis also identified four unique profiles of supply chain organizations, based on what their leaders deem as the most crucial capabilities for empowering their organizations over the next three to five years.
First, 54% of retailers are looking for ways to increase their financial recovery from returns. That’s because the cost to return a purchase averages 27% of the purchase price, which erases as much as 50% of the sales margin. But consumers have their own interests in mind: 76% of shoppers admit they’ve embellished or exaggerated the return reason to avoid a fee, a 39% increase from 2023 to 204.
Second, return experiences matter to consumers. A whopping 80% of shoppers stopped shopping at a retailer because of changes to the return policy—a 34% increase YoY.
Third, returns fraud and abuse is top-of-mind-for retailers, with wardrobing rising 38% in 2024. In fact, over two thirds (69%) of shoppers admit to wardrobing, which is the practice of buying an item for a specific reason or event and returning it after use. Shoppers also practice bracketing, or purchasing an item in a variety of colors or sizes and then returning all the unwanted options.
Fourth, returns come with a steep cost in terms of sustainability, with returns amounting to 8.4 billion pounds of landfill waste in 2023 alone.
“As returns have become an integral part of the shopper experience, retailers must balance meeting sky-high expectations with rising costs, environmental impact, and fraudulent behaviors,” Amena Ali, CEO of Optoro, said in the firm’s “2024 Returns Unwrapped” report. “By understanding shoppers’ behaviors and preferences around returns, retailers can create returns experiences that embrace their needs while driving deeper loyalty and protecting their bottom line.”
Facing an evolving supply chain landscape in 2025, companies are being forced to rethink their distribution strategies to cope with challenges like rising cost pressures, persistent labor shortages, and the complexities of managing SKU proliferation.
1. Optimize labor productivity and costs. Forward-thinking businesses are leveraging technology to get more done with fewer resources through approaches like slotting optimization, automation and robotics, and inventory visibility.
2. Maximize capacity with smart solutions. With e-commerce volumes rising, facilities need to handle more SKUs and orders without expanding their physical footprint. That can be achieved through high-density storage and dynamic throughput.
3. Streamline returns management. Returns are a growing challenge, thanks to the continued growth of e-commerce and the consumer practice of bracketing. Businesses can handle that with smarter reverse logistics processes like automated returns processing and reverse logistics visibility.
4. Accelerate order fulfillment with robotics. Robotic solutions are transforming the way orders are fulfilled, helping businesses meet customer expectations faster and more accurately than ever before by using autonomous mobile robots (AMRs and robotic picking.
5. Enhance end-of-line packaging. The final step in the supply chain is often the most visible to customers. So optimizing packaging processes can reduce costs, improve efficiency, and support sustainability goals through automated packaging systems and sustainability initiatives.
That clash has come as retailers have been hustling to adjust to pandemic swings like a renewed focus on e-commerce, then swiftly reimagining store experiences as foot traffic returned. But even as the dust settles from those changes, retailers are now facing renewed questions about how best to define their omnichannel strategy in a world where customers have increasing power and information.
The answer may come from a five-part strategy using integrated components to fortify omnichannel retail, EY said. The approach can unlock value and customer trust through great experiences, but only when implemented cohesively, not individually, EY warns.
The steps include:
1. Functional integration: Is your operating model and data infrastructure siloed between e-commerce and physical stores, or have you developed a cohesive unit centered around delivering seamless customer experience?
2. Customer insights: With consumer centricity at the heart of operations, are you analyzing all touch points to build a holistic view of preferences, behaviors, and buying patterns?
3. Next-generation inventory: Given the right customer insights, how are you utilizing advanced analytics to ensure inventory is optimized to meet demand precisely where and when it’s needed?
4. Distribution partnerships: Having ensured your customers find what they want where they want it, how are your distribution strategies adapting to deliver these choices to them swiftly and efficiently?
5. Real estate strategy: How is your real estate strategy interconnected with insights, inventory and distribution to enhance experience and maximize your footprint?
When approached cohesively, these efforts all build toward one overarching differentiator for retailers: a better customer experience that reaches from brand engagement and order placement through delivery and return, the EY study said. Amid continued volatility and an economy driven by complex customer demands, the retailers best set up to win are those that are striving to gain real-time visibility into stock levels, offer flexible fulfillment options and modernize merchandising through personalized and dynamic customer experiences.
Geopolitical rivalries, alliances, and aspirations are rewiring the global economy—and the imposition of new tariffs on foreign imports by the U.S. will accelerate that process, according to an analysis by Boston Consulting Group (BCG).
Without a broad increase in tariffs, world trade in goods will keep growing at an average of 2.9% annually for the next eight years, the firm forecasts in its report, “Great Powers, Geopolitics, and the Future of Trade.” But the routes goods travel will change markedly as North America reduces its dependence on China and China builds up its links with the Global South, which is cementing its power in the global trade map.
“Global trade is set to top $29 trillion by 2033, but the routes these goods will travel is changing at a remarkable pace,” Aparna Bharadwaj, managing director and partner at BCG, said in a release. “Trade lanes were already shifting from historical patterns and looming US tariffs will accelerate this. Navigating these new dynamics will be critical for any global business.”
To understand those changes, BCG modeled the direct impact of the 60/25/20 scenario (60% tariff on Chinese goods, a 25% on goods from Canada and Mexico, and a 20% on imports from all other countries). The results show that the tariffs would add $640 billion to the cost of importing goods from the top ten U.S. import nations, based on 2023 levels, unless alternative sources or suppliers are found.
In terms of product categories imported by the U.S., the greatest impact would be on imported auto parts and automotive vehicles, which would primarily affect trade with Mexico, the EU, and Japan. Consumer electronics, electrical machinery, and fashion goods would be most affected by higher tariffs on Chinese goods. Specifically, the report forecasts that a 60% tariff rate would add $61 billion to cost of importing consumer electronics products from China into the U.S.