Most mergers and acquisitions fail to live up to expectations. All too often companies focus on quick-fix cost-cutting opportunities and ignore the long-term, strategic supply chain implications. Following these five steps will help you avoid that trap.
Companies embark on mergers and acquisitions (M&As) with high hopes, promising the financial community improved performance and greater revenues. In reality, however, few M&As live up to expectations. Recent research studies suggest that up to 60 percent of mergers have a detrimental effect on the overall performance of the combined firm, and fewer than 25 percent of all acquisitions achieve their strategic objectives.1
Part of the reason for this lack of success may be that many companies ignore the hard work of establishing an effective and efficient consolidated supply chain.
Everyone agrees that effective manufacturing and logistics practices are crucial for improved financial performance. Yet many of the typical tactics for increasing productivity and reducing costs post-merger—such as closing plants, laying off workers, and reducing wages—end up disrupting the supply chain and result in poor operational performance and reduced revenue. Instead of short-term cost-cutting measures, supply chain rationalization efforts should focus on long-term productivity gains such as eliminating redundancies and creating synergies. These long-term projects may include streamlining the sales organization, merging product offerings, and consolidating the production of intermediate components. In situations where there is vertical integration (for example, between a manufacturer and a distributor), there usually are more opportunities to create synergies than to eliminate duplication. One area that deserves attention is the inventory that is being carried between the manufacturing entity and the distribution company. Often, this can be drastically reduced by integrating the planning processes.
To identify these duplications and synergies, companies need to spend time conducting a careful post-merger supply chain assessment. This assessment should review the existing organization's structure, identify improvement opportunities, and provide a list of steps for consolidating systems and processes to increase efficiencies and avoid disruptions. This assessment will form the basis for a supply chain rationalization plan. While creating such a plan may sound like common sense, companies often get tripped up on their way to realizing their goal. We have identified five common mistakes that we have seen companies make time and time again (see Figure 1). In this article, we suggest some steps for avoiding these pitfalls.
Mistake 1: Choosing the wrong metrics
Creating an effective supply chain rationalization plan after a merger is challenging. In an environment where many people may be feeling uncertain and fearful of losing their jobs, it can be difficult to create a consensus. To combat these anxieties, it is important to make rational decisions based on quantifiable measurements and to make these decisions as transparent as possible. For this reason, we believe that every post-merger plan needs to create a set of common metrics. Common metrics allow the post-merger organization to compare the legacy supply chains in a rational manner and to assess which parts should be kept, which should be completely eliminated, and which need to be modified.
Choosing the right metrics, however, can be more difficult than it sounds. Supply chain metrics vary from one organization to another. For example, one company might measure delivery performance against the customer's desired date, while another may measure delivery against a negotiated delivery date. Even if the two firms use the same metric, they can have very different interpretations. "On-time orders" in one firm might mean on-time deliveries to the customer; in another, "on-time orders" may mean ontime shipments. A key part of defining consistent metrics is clarifying the supply chain definitions used by the merging companies.
If the merging entities have different product and capacity profiles or serve different sections of the market, the problem of choosing the right metric becomes even more troublesome. Consider, for example, product transitions. In one firm, the manufacturing process might employ large runs and infrequent product changes. Another company might have a more flexible manufacturing process with short product runs and frequent product changes. Although the first company may indeed have lower transition costs per unit of product made, it may not be the more efficient operation because the manufacturing process requires larger inventories to buffer the long production runs.
To avoid making unfair comparisons, companies should choose those metrics that can be supported by available data, provide a useful level of precision, and are backed by common definitions. Keep in mind that these metrics need to be established quickly. For this reason, data availability should be the overriding concern, rather than finding the perfect metric.
Companies should start by establishing common metrics in three areas: financial performance, supply performance, and delivery performance. While there are many useful metrics available, we recommend the examples listed in Figure 2 because they typically can be supported with data that is readily available.
Let's pause to take a particularly close look at our suggested financial metrics. To assess the financial performance of the supply chain, we recommend using "variable supply chain cost per shipment" and "inventory turns." Normally, the "cost per shipment" includes order-processing costs, technical support, inventory costs, warehousing costs, transportation costs, taxes, and the overhead assigned to supply chain planning. We suggest, however, that firms exclude the assigned overhead components from this comparison because those costs reflect a pre-merger organizational structure. To compare the efficiency of supply chains, it is more meaningful to look only at the variable costs.
Another commonly used measure to compare supply chain efficiency is inventory turns. While not strictly a financial measure, inventory turns often are treated as such by many companies because they reflect the amount of working capital needed to support sales. Together with receivables, inventory turns account for a significant amount of cash that the firm needs for its operations. In a merger and acquisition situation, companies pay a lot of attention to inventory and receivables because they represent two areas from which cash can be freed up relatively quickly. Inventory turns, however, should never be used if the merger represents a vertical consolidation of supply chains. For example, if a manufacturer merges with a distributor, comparing the inventory turns of the distributor and the manufacturer would be meaningless.
Mistake 2: Trying to consolidate systems too soon
Assessing the legacy supply chains does not just require common metrics; companies also need to have consistent data. Many companies mistakenly believe that the only way to get consistent data is to consolidate their legacy supply chains' transactional systems (such as the order entry systems and the financial reporting systems). As a result, they rush into system-consolidation projects that can quickly become expensive, counterproductive, and overwhelming—especially if the new combined system is expected to simultaneously accommodate the different business processes of the merging entities.
There is an alternative. We recommend that companies build a common database that combines transactional data from the inherited systems. Every modern database program provides relatively simple tools that can be used to bring together disparate transaction systems. Often it requires as little as four to six weeks to address key supply chain management reporting requirements around production, production reliability, inventory allocation, demand variability, and order fulfillment performance.
The database can serve two purposes. First, the new database becomes a repository for documenting the differences in how the merging entities interpret their data. It provides a platform for addressing transactional discrepancies like duplicate product names, different cost allocations, and alternate data interpretations.
Second, the database can take transactional data (such as orders, production information, purchases, and requisitions) from the existing systems and apply the appropriate rules and interpretations to make the data consistent. The database then provides the basis for calculating and reporting on the common metrics that are defined for the merged company. Consolidating the data immediately provides visibility to management without having to tackle the issue of changing the entire systems infrastructure.
Mistake 3: Paying too little attention to the planning processes
Armed with common metrics and consistent data, companies can begin the important step of conducting a post-merger supply chain assessment. The goal of the post-merger supply chain assessment is to:
Review the existing organizational structure and identify improvement opportunities;
Assess each pre-merger entity's competence in five key areas: understanding demand, managing inventories, planning demand, planning production, and scheduling; and
Provide a list of steps that describe how to consolidate the systems and processes to increase efficiencies and avoid disruptions.
Frequently, however, companies make the mistake of restricting any post-merger assessment to the feasibility of consolidating transaction systems and combining transactional functions like order taking. Our contention is that these efforts are often misplaced. Supply chain efficiency is primarily determined by the planning and decision-making processes because these processes affect how well a company can react to the changing environment and how well it allocates resources to meet business goals. The post-merger supply chain assessment should rightly be focused on the planning processes.
Planning processes are best assessed over three dimensions:
Integration: The level of integration within planning processes is determined by how much of the supply chain is simultaneously planned. Simultaneous planning of purchasing, transportation, inventory, and manufacturing indicates a high level of integration.
Optimization: Optimization refers, in part, to whether or not the options offered during the planning process are quantified. The greater the sophistication of the quantitative framework used for planning, the higher the level of optimization.
Acceptance: Acceptance of supply chain planning refers to the extent to which the planning processes are institutionalized. By this we mean that the planning processes are used to assess how to react to changes in demand or to supply disruptions. If the processes are not institutionalized, companies tend to develop a parallel and somewhat subjective response to a crisis that ignores the longer-term consequences.
We have found that it is possible to grade supply chain planning processes on a five-point scale for each of these three factors. Often this is sufficient to identify the strong and weak points of the existing processes.
Although companies should focus their assessment on the planning processes instead of rushing to consolidate their systems, it's still necessary to evaluate the transactional systems that they are inheriting. Because many companies have adopted modern enterprise resource planning (ERP) systems, most supply chains already have in place a basic transaction management infrastructure like production and inventory recording. The systems, however, should still be rated for transactional integrity and data visibility. Transactional integrity refers to how well the transactions within the ERP system represent the current state. For example, if the transactions are "batched" (entered once a day or less frequently), the system does not have as a high a level of integrity as an ERP system where transactions are entered in real time. Data visibility refers to the extent to which the data is available and usable by supply chain planners. A high degree of data visibility indicates that schedules, inventory levels, future plans, and costs are readily available and accessible. Assessing these two factors will indicate which transactional systems should be modified or eventually be replaced.
Mistake 4: Defining the end state but not the steps to get there
After conducting an assessment, it is common to define a desired state, or how the resulting merged supply chain should look. Many corporations, however, make the mistake of trying to replace existing systems and processes all at once to achieve that desired state. This strategy increases the risk of disruptions, especially in a post-merger climate. The assessment should indicate not just the end state but a series of steps to move toward that end state.
To accomplish this, a joint team should be appointed to recommend both short-term savings and longerterm productivity improvements. Typically, such a team will be led by the supply chain organization, with representation from finance, manufacturing, logistics, and information systems.
This team will use the results of the post-merger assessment as a guide for the recommended longerterm changes. The changes should be broken down into a series of projects lasting three to four months each. Together these projects will constitute a road map for combining the supply chains and delivering productivity gains.
The team's charter should also empower it to execute short-term improvement projects that require a minimal investment but promise quick payoffs in terms of delivering cash. When this does not happen, separate, uncoordinated initiatives tend to sprout in different parts of the organization because of the pressure to quickly create financial benefits.
Mistake 5: Failing to consider the degree of disruption
Each of the projects that the team recommends needs to stand on its own in terms of delivering the required business benefits and a return on investment. The one additional factor that should be considered in the postmerger environment is the degree of disruption. Not doing so can lead companies to make rash decisions. For example, the benefits of IT integration usually are quantifiable, and companies frequently try to accelerate the integration to achieve these gains. Unfortunately, they often do not consider the cost and revenue impact of potential disruptions until problems have already arisen.
In addition to assessing potential internal disruptions, companies should also consider the possible disruption to customers. In a post-merger environment, customers are often anxious and afraid that their interests may be compromised in the rush to achieve post-merger benefits. It is helpful if the initial projects are primarily focused on delivering better customer value and if this focus is clearly communicated to the customers.
This last point is key. Any disruption following a merger or acquisition can increase customers' anxieties, leading them to take their business elsewhere. By avoiding the mistakes discussed above, companies increase their chances of executing a successful supply chain merger. A careful post-merger assessment and project-prioritization process will keep them focused on achieving long-term productivity gains instead of chasing short-term cost savings. With this framework in place, companies are more likely to deliver the financial benefits that are expected from a merger. Without it, they risk becoming yet another M&A that failed to live up to its promise.
Endnote 1. According to a recent study by Robert Holthausen, a professor of accounting and finance and academic director of mergers and acquisitions at the Wharton School of Business, probably 60 percent—and some estimates are as high as 80 percent—of acquisitions fail to create value for the acquirer.
The practice consists of 5,000 professionals from Accenture and from Avanade—the consulting firm’s joint venture with Microsoft. They will be supported by Microsoft product specialists who will work closely with the Accenture Center for Advanced AI. Together, that group will collaborate on AI and Copilot agent templates, extensions, plugins, and connectors to help organizations leverage their data and gen AI to reduce costs, improve efficiencies and drive growth, they said on Thursday.
Accenture and Avanade say they have already developed some AI tools for these applications. For example, a supplier discovery and risk agent can deliver real-time market insights, agile supply chain responses, and better vendor selection, which could result in up to 15% cost savings. And a procure-to-pay agent could improve efficiency by up to 40% and enhance vendor relations and satisfaction by addressing urgent payment requirements and avoiding disruptions of key services
Likewise, they have also built solutions for clients using Microsoft 365 Copilot technology. For example, they have created Copilots for a variety of industries and functions including finance, manufacturing, supply chain, retail, and consumer goods and healthcare.
Another part of the new practice will be educating clients how to use the technology, using an “Azure Generative AI Engineer Nanodegree program” to teach users how to design, build, and operationalize AI-driven applications on Azure, Microsoft’s cloud computing platform. The online classes will teach learners how to use AI models to solve real-world problems through automation, data insights, and generative AI solutions, the firms said.
“We are pleased to deepen our collaboration with Accenture to help our mutual customers develop AI-first business processes responsibly and securely, while helping them drive market differentiation,” Judson Althoff, executive vice president and chief commercial officer at Microsoft, said in a release. “By bringing together Copilots and human ambition, paired with the autonomous capabilities of an agent, we can accelerate AI transformation for organizations across industries and help them realize successful business outcomes through pragmatic innovation.”
Census data showed that overall retail sales in October were up 0.4% seasonally adjusted month over month and up 2.8% unadjusted year over year. That compared with increases of 0.8% month over month and 2% year over year in September.
October’s core retail sales as defined by NRF — based on the Census data but excluding automobile dealers, gasoline stations and restaurants — were unchanged seasonally adjusted month over month but up 5.4% unadjusted year over year.
Core sales were up 3.5% year over year for the first 10 months of the year, in line with NRF’s forecast for 2024 retail sales to grow between 2.5% and 3.5% over 2023. NRF is forecasting that 2024 holiday sales during November and December will also increase between 2.5% and 3.5% over the same time last year.
“October’s pickup in retail sales shows a healthy pace of spending as many consumers got an early start on holiday shopping,” NRF Chief Economist Jack Kleinhenz said in a release. “October sales were a good early step forward into the holiday shopping season, which is now fully underway. Falling energy prices have likely provided extra dollars for household spending on retail merchandise.”
Despite that positive trend, market watchers cautioned that retailers still need to offer competitive value propositions and customer experience in order to succeed in the holiday season. “The American consumer has been more resilient than anyone could have expected. But that isn’t a free pass for retailers to under invest in their stores,” Nikki Baird, VP of strategy & product at Aptos, a solutions provider of unified retail technology based out of Alpharetta, Georgia, said in a statement. “They need to make investments in labor, customer experience tech, and digital transformation. It has been too easy to kick the can down the road until you suddenly realize there’s no road left.”
A similar message came from Chip West, a retail and consumer behavior expert at the marketing, packaging, print and supply chain solutions provider RRD. “October’s increase proved to be slightly better than projections and was likely boosted by lower fuel prices. As inflation slowed for a number of months, prices in several categories have stabilized, with some even showing declines, offering further relief to consumers,” West said. “The data also looks to be a positive sign as we kick off the holiday shopping season. Promotions and discounts will play a prominent role in holiday shopping behavior as they are key influencers in consumer’s purchasing decisions.”
That result came from the company’s “GEP Global Supply Chain Volatility Index,” an indicator tracking demand conditions, shortages, transportation costs, inventories, and backlogs based on a monthly survey of 27,000 businesses. The October index number was -0.39, which was up only slightly from its level of -0.43 in September.
Researchers found a steep rise in slack across North American supply chains due to declining factory activity in the U.S. In fact, purchasing managers at U.S. manufacturers made their strongest cutbacks to buying volumes in nearly a year and a half, indicating that factories in the world's largest economy are preparing for lower production volumes, GEP said.
Elsewhere, suppliers feeding Asia also reported spare capacity in October, albeit to a lesser degree than seen in Western markets. Europe's industrial plight remained a key feature of the data in October, as vendor capacity was significantly underutilized, reflecting a continuation of subdued demand in key manufacturing hubs across the continent.
"We're in a buyers' market. October is the fourth straight month that suppliers worldwide reported spare capacity, with notable contractions in factory demand across North America and Europe, underscoring the challenging outlook for Western manufacturers," Todd Bremer, vice president, GEP, said in a release. "President-elect Trump inherits U.S. manufacturers with plenty of spare capacity while in contrast, China's modest rebound and strong expansion in India demonstrate greater resilience in Asia."
Even as the e-commerce sector overall continues expanding toward a forecasted 41% of all retail sales by 2027, many small to medium e-commerce companies are struggling to find the investment funding they need to increase sales, according to a sector survey from online capital platform Stenn.
Global geopolitical instability and increasing inflation are causing e-commerce firms to face a liquidity crisis, which means companies may not be able to access the funds they need to grow, Stenn’s survey of 500 senior e-commerce leaders found. The research was conducted by Opinion Matters between August 29 and September 5.
Survey findings include:
61.8% of leaders who sought growth capital did so to invest in advanced technologies, such as AI and machine learning, to improve their businesses.
When asked which resources they wished they had more access to, 63.8% of respondents pointed to growth capital.
Women indicated a stronger need for business operations training (51.2%) and financial planning resources (48.8%) compared to men (30.8% and 15.4%).
40% of business owners are seeking external financial advice and mentorship at least once a week to help with business decisions.
Almost half (49.6%) of respondents are proactively forecasting their business activity 6-18 months ahead.
“As e-commerce continues to grow rapidly, driven by increasing online consumer demand and technological innovation, it’s important to remember that capital constraints and access to growth financing remain persistent hurdles for many e-commerce business leaders especially at small and medium-sized businesses,” Noel Hillman, Chief Commercial Officer at Stenn, said in a release. “In this competitive landscape, ensuring liquidity and optimizing supply chain processes are critical to sustaining growth and scaling operations.”
With six keynote and more than 100 educational sessions, CSCMP EDGE 2024 offered a wealth of content. Here are highlights from just some of the presentations.
A great American story
Author and entrepreneur Fawn Weaver closed out the first day of the conference by telling the little-known story of Nathan “Nearest” Green, who was born into slavery, freed after the Civil War, and went on to become the first master distiller for the Jack Daniel’s Whiskey brand. Through extensive research and interviews with descendants of the Daniel and Green families, Weaver discovered what she describes as a positive American story.
She told the story in her best-selling book, Love & Whiskey: The Remarkable True Story of Jack Daniel, His Master Distiller Nearest Green, and the Improbable Rise of Uncle Nearest. That story also inspired her to create Uncle Nearest Premium Whiskey.
Weaver discussed the barriers she encountered in bringing the brand to life, her vision for where it’s headed, and her take on the supply chain—which she views as both a necessary cost of doing business and an opportunity.
“[It’s] an opportunity if you can move quickly,” she said, pointing to a recent project in which the company was able to fast-track a new Uncle Nearest product thanks to close collaboration with its supply chain partners.
A two-pronged business transformation
We may be living in a world full of technology, but strategy and focus remain the top priorities when it comes to managing a business and its supply chains. So says Roberto Isaias, executive vice president and chief supply chain officer for toy manufacturing and entertainment company Mattel.
Isaias emphasized the point during his keynote on day two of EDGE 2024. He described how Mattel transformed itself amid surging demand for Barbie-branded items following the success of the Barbie movie.
That transformation, according to Isaias, came on two fronts: commercially and logistically. Today, Mattel is steadily moving beyond the toy aisle with two films and 13 TV series in production as well as 14 films and 35 shows in development. And as for those supply chain gains? The company has saved millions, increased productivity, and improved profit margins—even amid cost increases and inflation.
A framework for chasing excellence
Most of the time when CEOs present at an industry conference, they like to talk about their companies’ success stories. Not J.B. Hunt’s Shelley Simpson. Speaking at EDGE, the trucking company’s president and CEO led with a story about a time that the company lost a major customer.
According to Simpson, the company had a customer of their dedicated contract business in 2001 that was consistently making late shipments with no lead time. “We were working like crazy to try to satisfy them, and lost their business,” Simpson said.
When the team at J.B. Hunt later met with the customer’s chief supply chain officer and related all they had been doing, the customer responded, “You never shared everything you were doing for us.”
Out of that experience, came J.B. Hunt’s Customer Value Delivery framework. The framework consists of five steps: 1) understand customer needs, 2) deliver expectations, 3) measure results, 4) communicate performance, and 5) anticipate new value.
Next year’s CSCMP EDGE conference on October 5–8 in National Harbor, Md., promises to have a similarly deep lineup of keynote presentations. Register early at www.cscmpedge.org.