Longtime supply chain executive Fred Mead—in the
job market himself—shares his thoughts on finding the
right SCM position in a difficult economic environment.
For the first time in his career, Fred Mead is between jobs. He and his former employer, cosmetics giant Avon Products Inc., parted company in February 2009. Mead admits that the timing
couldn't have been worse, given the ailing economy.
But his intensely competitive spirit, sown during a couple of seasons playing third base in the
minor-league baseball organizations of the Toronto Blue Jays and New York Mets, and nurtured
by supply chain management stints in corporate America, have instilled in him a burning
desire to succeed. Mead knows that if he keeps his eye on the ball, sooner or later, he's going to win
the job-search game.
What special challenges does the current economic situation present to the
supply chain management (SCM) professional in the job market?
It's obvious that it's no longer business as usual. Increasing competition and decreasing consumer
spending mean that companies will remain focused on reducing their expenses. Unemployment,
therefore, will continue to rise, and competition between supply chain management
professionals looking for jobs will be fierce. This will result in an extremely challenging job
market. The current environment requires job seekers to be relentless in their networking—
and other efforts—in order to identify prime
opportunities.
For those of us in transition, there are three things we must do if we're to be successful: We
need to have a plan, we must be persistent, and we have to exercise patience. When an opportunity
presents itself, we've got to be on top of our game. We need to be prepared to quickly
convey how our skill sets and strengths will drive constructive change while successfully
integrating ourselves into a prospective employer's culture.
What are the warning signs that might indicate that an SCM practitioner's job
could be in jeopardy?
You should constantly be aware of the financial health of your company—if not monthly, then at least quarterly, when publicly traded companies report their earnings. It is also important to know how your organization's competitors are doing. Are their performance results consistent with your company's, or are they doing better or worse? You need to understand how these results could impact your organization's current strategies and future changes. Keep in mind that in this challenging environment, top-line growth is difficult, and companies will make whatever changes and adjustments are necessary to restore their profitability. You should also recognize how company procedures and processes such as restructuring, rationalizing, and outsourcing could impact you and your job.
Name: Fred Mead Title: Senior Supply Chain Executive Organization: In transition
Bachelor of science degree in business management, Sacred Heart University
Associate's degree in science, Hartford Technical College
Supply chain management certification, Ohio State University
Center for Creative Leadership, Management Development Program
Served on the Consumer Products Supply Chain Executive Board of the University of Arkansas/Wal-Mart
Served as a Colgate Chair for the Atlanta Special Olympics and Park Street Elementary School
Support Kids (Marietta, Georgia, USA)
Are there actions that supply chain professionals can take to circumvent potential
layoffs?
While it's difficult to avoid an impending layoff, it is our responsibility to continually manage
our careers. We should actively seek regular feedback from our peers and supervisors to recognize
our strengths and identify skills we may need to improve upon. It's important to be flexible, and to
lead the way in embracing changes that are necessary to help our companies achieve their goals. We
should also determine if our companies have succession planning processes that include a review of
their talent to identify the top performers they want to develop and retain, and if we are on
those lists.
How can SCM professionals remain ready to confront the changes they may encounter in
today's economic environment?
Professionals who are in transition must be flexible in their approach to job hunting. They should
also strive to offer companies unique solutions to their challenges and "out-of-the-box" thinking to help them combat economic volatility. For those who are employed, it is more critical than ever to build professional networks, including working cross-functionally with their internal and external partners. They should operate with a high level of collaboration, transparency, and leadership to accelerate process changes and deliver measurable results.
How did you get started in the supply chain management field?
I began my career working in customer service at Clairol, where I was part of a rotational program.
This position allowed me to work in various supply chain functions, including logistics and contract
manufacturing. I learned that to be successful I would need to gain expertise in and an
understanding of all supply chain disciplines. Throughout my career, I have continued to accumulate
additional exposure to cross-functional opportunities. This has helped me understand the positive
impact that an integrated "end-to-end" supply chain can have on a company's bottom line.
You most recently worked for Avon Products Inc. in New York City. What were your
responsibilities with that company?
During my seven years at Avon Products, and prior to that, at Colgate-Palmolive, my responsibilities continually increased, allowing me to broaden my overall supply chain experience. My first position at Avon was as executive director of U.S. materials management, charged with reducing inventory while improving service. In my next role, as vice president of North American (NA) customer service, materials management, and logistics, I transformed the order fulfillment, planning, and logistics processes while implementing incremental cost reductions. In my last role at Avon, I was vice president for the NA supply chain that encompassed nearly 800 associates. My group strategically partnered with sales and marketing to work in an integrated business process that would deliver sustainable, profitable growth.
With the perspective you gained at Avon, where there are close ties between marketing, sales, and distribution, what advice would you give to other supply chain executives who need to integrate these functions at their own companies?
It's critical to create a collaborative, cross-functional working environment where sales, marketing, and supply chain are all operating in an aligned structure throughout all phases of the
business cycle, from product concept to delivery. When all functions are working as one team, challenges can be identified early in the process and proactive solutions can be created. A platform that has proved to be very successful is sales and operations planning (S&OP). It's critical to extend this process externally to include your suppliers and vendors.
What did you learn from your experience at Avon that you will utilize in your next
SCM position?
What I will carry forward is how important it is to have a vision of the future and to communicate that
vision to company leaders. I will continue to work cross-functionally with sales, marketing, and external partners to achieve alignment and integration and to be catalysts for change. I will also carry forward the passion and optimism to drive change through business transformation and recognize how supply chains can positively impact revenue growth as well as cost reductions.
How did your membership in CSCMP affect the supply chain and business decisions
you made while at Avon?
My membership in CSCMP has connected me to other experienced supply chain professionals with
whom I can share thoughts and ideas relative to industry best practices. Specific areas where
CSCMP has provided valuable insights include informal benchmarking, industry trends, economic
challenges, state-of-the-art technologies, and our most valuable commodity, human resources. You
can't put a price on having an external professional network to offer alternate perspectives during
the decision-making process. CSCMP can be a vital component of your future success.
How have CSCMP educational programs and roundtable events given you an edge
when it comes to preparedness for a new position?
I personally enjoy roundtable events, and I do everything I can to allocate the time to attend. In
addition to the learning opportunities, you can also strengthen and build relationships for the future. I truly believe that utilizing every available prospect and networking opportunity is good
business practice and career management.
How can the CSCMP Career Center be helpful to SCM job seekers?
The CSCMP Career Center is one of the most valuable resources within the supply
chain management field. CSCMP is uniquely positioned to provide the support of an established, outstanding global network with which you can quickly connect to assist you in the process of managing your career.
How important is it for those supply chain
management professionals who are "between jobs" to maintain their CSCMP memberships and attend the annual conference?
CSCMP membership and conference attendance is extremely important for these folks. Belonging to
CSCMP and attending its educational events offers unsurpassed opportunities to build your professional network. It's vital to create and maintain relationships within the industry and ensure that you're staying connected and on top of the SCM business. Additionally, it will expose you to opportunities that you probably would never discover otherwise.
The practice consists of 5,000 professionals from Accenture and from Avanade—the consulting firm’s joint venture with Microsoft. They will be supported by Microsoft product specialists who will work closely with the Accenture Center for Advanced AI. Together, that group will collaborate on AI and Copilot agent templates, extensions, plugins, and connectors to help organizations leverage their data and gen AI to reduce costs, improve efficiencies and drive growth, they said on Thursday.
Accenture and Avanade say they have already developed some AI tools for these applications. For example, a supplier discovery and risk agent can deliver real-time market insights, agile supply chain responses, and better vendor selection, which could result in up to 15% cost savings. And a procure-to-pay agent could improve efficiency by up to 40% and enhance vendor relations and satisfaction by addressing urgent payment requirements and avoiding disruptions of key services
Likewise, they have also built solutions for clients using Microsoft 365 Copilot technology. For example, they have created Copilots for a variety of industries and functions including finance, manufacturing, supply chain, retail, and consumer goods and healthcare.
Another part of the new practice will be educating clients how to use the technology, using an “Azure Generative AI Engineer Nanodegree program” to teach users how to design, build, and operationalize AI-driven applications on Azure, Microsoft’s cloud computing platform. The online classes will teach learners how to use AI models to solve real-world problems through automation, data insights, and generative AI solutions, the firms said.
“We are pleased to deepen our collaboration with Accenture to help our mutual customers develop AI-first business processes responsibly and securely, while helping them drive market differentiation,” Judson Althoff, executive vice president and chief commercial officer at Microsoft, said in a release. “By bringing together Copilots and human ambition, paired with the autonomous capabilities of an agent, we can accelerate AI transformation for organizations across industries and help them realize successful business outcomes through pragmatic innovation.”
Census data showed that overall retail sales in October were up 0.4% seasonally adjusted month over month and up 2.8% unadjusted year over year. That compared with increases of 0.8% month over month and 2% year over year in September.
October’s core retail sales as defined by NRF — based on the Census data but excluding automobile dealers, gasoline stations and restaurants — were unchanged seasonally adjusted month over month but up 5.4% unadjusted year over year.
Core sales were up 3.5% year over year for the first 10 months of the year, in line with NRF’s forecast for 2024 retail sales to grow between 2.5% and 3.5% over 2023. NRF is forecasting that 2024 holiday sales during November and December will also increase between 2.5% and 3.5% over the same time last year.
“October’s pickup in retail sales shows a healthy pace of spending as many consumers got an early start on holiday shopping,” NRF Chief Economist Jack Kleinhenz said in a release. “October sales were a good early step forward into the holiday shopping season, which is now fully underway. Falling energy prices have likely provided extra dollars for household spending on retail merchandise.”
Despite that positive trend, market watchers cautioned that retailers still need to offer competitive value propositions and customer experience in order to succeed in the holiday season. “The American consumer has been more resilient than anyone could have expected. But that isn’t a free pass for retailers to under invest in their stores,” Nikki Baird, VP of strategy & product at Aptos, a solutions provider of unified retail technology based out of Alpharetta, Georgia, said in a statement. “They need to make investments in labor, customer experience tech, and digital transformation. It has been too easy to kick the can down the road until you suddenly realize there’s no road left.”
A similar message came from Chip West, a retail and consumer behavior expert at the marketing, packaging, print and supply chain solutions provider RRD. “October’s increase proved to be slightly better than projections and was likely boosted by lower fuel prices. As inflation slowed for a number of months, prices in several categories have stabilized, with some even showing declines, offering further relief to consumers,” West said. “The data also looks to be a positive sign as we kick off the holiday shopping season. Promotions and discounts will play a prominent role in holiday shopping behavior as they are key influencers in consumer’s purchasing decisions.”
That result came from the company’s “GEP Global Supply Chain Volatility Index,” an indicator tracking demand conditions, shortages, transportation costs, inventories, and backlogs based on a monthly survey of 27,000 businesses. The October index number was -0.39, which was up only slightly from its level of -0.43 in September.
Researchers found a steep rise in slack across North American supply chains due to declining factory activity in the U.S. In fact, purchasing managers at U.S. manufacturers made their strongest cutbacks to buying volumes in nearly a year and a half, indicating that factories in the world's largest economy are preparing for lower production volumes, GEP said.
Elsewhere, suppliers feeding Asia also reported spare capacity in October, albeit to a lesser degree than seen in Western markets. Europe's industrial plight remained a key feature of the data in October, as vendor capacity was significantly underutilized, reflecting a continuation of subdued demand in key manufacturing hubs across the continent.
"We're in a buyers' market. October is the fourth straight month that suppliers worldwide reported spare capacity, with notable contractions in factory demand across North America and Europe, underscoring the challenging outlook for Western manufacturers," Todd Bremer, vice president, GEP, said in a release. "President-elect Trump inherits U.S. manufacturers with plenty of spare capacity while in contrast, China's modest rebound and strong expansion in India demonstrate greater resilience in Asia."
Even as the e-commerce sector overall continues expanding toward a forecasted 41% of all retail sales by 2027, many small to medium e-commerce companies are struggling to find the investment funding they need to increase sales, according to a sector survey from online capital platform Stenn.
Global geopolitical instability and increasing inflation are causing e-commerce firms to face a liquidity crisis, which means companies may not be able to access the funds they need to grow, Stenn’s survey of 500 senior e-commerce leaders found. The research was conducted by Opinion Matters between August 29 and September 5.
Survey findings include:
61.8% of leaders who sought growth capital did so to invest in advanced technologies, such as AI and machine learning, to improve their businesses.
When asked which resources they wished they had more access to, 63.8% of respondents pointed to growth capital.
Women indicated a stronger need for business operations training (51.2%) and financial planning resources (48.8%) compared to men (30.8% and 15.4%).
40% of business owners are seeking external financial advice and mentorship at least once a week to help with business decisions.
Almost half (49.6%) of respondents are proactively forecasting their business activity 6-18 months ahead.
“As e-commerce continues to grow rapidly, driven by increasing online consumer demand and technological innovation, it’s important to remember that capital constraints and access to growth financing remain persistent hurdles for many e-commerce business leaders especially at small and medium-sized businesses,” Noel Hillman, Chief Commercial Officer at Stenn, said in a release. “In this competitive landscape, ensuring liquidity and optimizing supply chain processes are critical to sustaining growth and scaling operations.”
With six keynote and more than 100 educational sessions, CSCMP EDGE 2024 offered a wealth of content. Here are highlights from just some of the presentations.
A great American story
Author and entrepreneur Fawn Weaver closed out the first day of the conference by telling the little-known story of Nathan “Nearest” Green, who was born into slavery, freed after the Civil War, and went on to become the first master distiller for the Jack Daniel’s Whiskey brand. Through extensive research and interviews with descendants of the Daniel and Green families, Weaver discovered what she describes as a positive American story.
She told the story in her best-selling book, Love & Whiskey: The Remarkable True Story of Jack Daniel, His Master Distiller Nearest Green, and the Improbable Rise of Uncle Nearest. That story also inspired her to create Uncle Nearest Premium Whiskey.
Weaver discussed the barriers she encountered in bringing the brand to life, her vision for where it’s headed, and her take on the supply chain—which she views as both a necessary cost of doing business and an opportunity.
“[It’s] an opportunity if you can move quickly,” she said, pointing to a recent project in which the company was able to fast-track a new Uncle Nearest product thanks to close collaboration with its supply chain partners.
A two-pronged business transformation
We may be living in a world full of technology, but strategy and focus remain the top priorities when it comes to managing a business and its supply chains. So says Roberto Isaias, executive vice president and chief supply chain officer for toy manufacturing and entertainment company Mattel.
Isaias emphasized the point during his keynote on day two of EDGE 2024. He described how Mattel transformed itself amid surging demand for Barbie-branded items following the success of the Barbie movie.
That transformation, according to Isaias, came on two fronts: commercially and logistically. Today, Mattel is steadily moving beyond the toy aisle with two films and 13 TV series in production as well as 14 films and 35 shows in development. And as for those supply chain gains? The company has saved millions, increased productivity, and improved profit margins—even amid cost increases and inflation.
A framework for chasing excellence
Most of the time when CEOs present at an industry conference, they like to talk about their companies’ success stories. Not J.B. Hunt’s Shelley Simpson. Speaking at EDGE, the trucking company’s president and CEO led with a story about a time that the company lost a major customer.
According to Simpson, the company had a customer of their dedicated contract business in 2001 that was consistently making late shipments with no lead time. “We were working like crazy to try to satisfy them, and lost their business,” Simpson said.
When the team at J.B. Hunt later met with the customer’s chief supply chain officer and related all they had been doing, the customer responded, “You never shared everything you were doing for us.”
Out of that experience, came J.B. Hunt’s Customer Value Delivery framework. The framework consists of five steps: 1) understand customer needs, 2) deliver expectations, 3) measure results, 4) communicate performance, and 5) anticipate new value.
Next year’s CSCMP EDGE conference on October 5–8 in National Harbor, Md., promises to have a similarly deep lineup of keynote presentations. Register early at www.cscmpedge.org.