Natasha Horowitz is a consultant in the Global Commerce and Transport Practice at the economics research firm IHS Global Insight. Prior to her current position, she worked as an economic consultant and an economic analyst for the U.S. Department of Transportation's Volpe National Transportation Systems Center.
These days most logistics and supply chain professionals are familiar with the concept of reverse logistics—the process of removing unsold or damaged goods from store shelves or receiving them from customers and subsequently disposing of or repairing and reselling them. But familiarity does not necessarily equate to action. Although reverse logistics can be a significant source of costs—and therefore of potential savings—in many organizations, it still receives much less attention than it deserves.
Companies that overlook reverse logistics are missing an important opportunity. In 2005, Forbes magazine estimated the annual cost of returns in the United States alone to be around US $100 billion. Those costs undoubtedly have increased and will continue to grow as more commerce moves online.
Reverse logistics is a complicated process that requires the capture of numerous data such as the frequency, volumes, and types of returns. In order to properly understand and manage the process, each product should be traced from the point of return through final disposition. Warranties and service agreements must also be monitored, and credits must be applied where needed. The goal is always to minimize the number of returns as well as the cost of handling them—and do it without alienating customers. Here are a few thoughts on how to accomplish that goal.
Develop the right policies
The efficiency and cost of reverse logistics processes are greatly influenced by a company's returns policy. A stingy policy will keep costs low but may hurt customer relations, whereas an overly generous one, while attracting customers, will increase costs. Any policy should be benchmarked against industry standards. The usual standard in retail is a 30-day return, but policies are harder to benchmark for business-to-business companies and will require research.
Returned-product acquisition is fairly straightforward for retailers—the customer simply brings products back to the store. Sellers of larger items, such as furniture, often contract with their delivery providers for return services. Business-to-business companies must decide who is responsible for unsold products and compare the costs and benefits of picking up inventory themselves, having distributors pick it up and deliver it to the disposition site, or outsourcing the process to a third-party logistics company (3PL).
One economical strategy is to pick up unsold merchandise during the delivery of new inventory, creating backhauls for a private or outsourced fleet. Customers of Cummins Engine, for example, initiate returns electronically. Damaged engines are picked up for remanufacturing by a dedicated fleet operated by Ryder when making deliveries of new parts. Some companies have found that collaborating with customers to streamline the return process, including at times offering financial incentives to minimize returns, can greatly reduce the need for backhauls of unsold goods.
Whatever approach a company adopts, the key to successful product acquisition is full visibility from the moment the product is returned, so that responsibility and payment for the return can be clearly assigned. Monitoring returns can cut credit issuance by as much as 30 percent, adding directly to the bottom line.
Once returned items have been aggregated, they must be transported to a sorting facility. In this stage, consolidation and optimization of shipments can greatly reduce transportation and handling costs.
Policies regarding disposal will depend on the type of product involved. The trick is always to balance the costs of transportation, sorting, and disposal against any potential recoverable value. High-value items such as electronics and automotive parts may be inspected, remanufactured, and resold. Unsold consumer goods, by contrast, may be shifted to areas where sales are stronger. Items with a short shelflife, such as fashion apparel, are often sold to third parties that then resell them through discount outlets or to developing countries. Items that are not economical to refurbish in-house may sometimes be sold at auction. Should final disposal be necessary, one option is to find a recycler that is willing to pay to reuse any recoverable material.
A symptom of inefficiency
Smart companies and their suppliers recognize that returns are often a symptom of inefficiencies elsewhere in the supply chain. For example, a retailer may be ordering too much of a particular product, the product may not be arriving on time to meet peak demand, or the packaging may be insufficient to prevent damage, to name just a few of the possible causes of returns. To find out why products are being returned, appropriate data should be captured, analyzed, and shared with management throughout the organization. This information should also be fed back to the product design team, as understanding the reasons for returns and failures can lead to better product design—and, eventually, fewer costly returns.
The theoretical goal of reverse logistics is to have zero returns, eliminating the need for the process in the first place! By continuously working toward this goal, supply chain managers can uncover significant sources of cost savings, gain an edge in customer and supplier relations, and collect invaluable information for improving other areas of their business.
Businesses are cautiously optimistic as peak holiday shipping season draws near, with many anticipating year-over-year sales increases as they continue to battle challenging supply chain conditions.
That’s according to the DHL 2024 Peak Season Shipping Survey, released today by express shipping service provider DHL Express U.S. The company surveyed small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) to gauge their holiday business outlook compared to last year and found that a mix of optimism and “strategic caution” prevail ahead of this year’s peak.
Nearly half (48%) of the SMEs surveyed said they expect higher holiday sales compared to 2023, while 44% said they expect sales to remain on par with last year, and just 8% said they foresee a decline. Respondents said the main challenges to hitting those goals are supply chain problems (35%), inflation and fluctuating consumer demand (34%), staffing (16%), and inventory challenges (14%).
But respondents said they have strategies in place to tackle those issues. Many said they began preparing for holiday season earlier this year—with 45% saying they started planning in Q2 or earlier, up from 39% last year. Other strategies include expanding into international markets (35%) and leveraging holiday discounts (32%).
Sixty percent of respondents said they will prioritize personalized customer service as a way to enhance customer interactions and loyalty this year. Still others said they will invest in enhanced web and mobile experiences (23%) and eco-friendly practices (13%) to draw customers this holiday season.
The practice consists of 5,000 professionals from Accenture and from Avanade—the consulting firm’s joint venture with Microsoft. They will be supported by Microsoft product specialists who will work closely with the Accenture Center for Advanced AI. Together, that group will collaborate on AI and Copilot agent templates, extensions, plugins, and connectors to help organizations leverage their data and gen AI to reduce costs, improve efficiencies and drive growth, they said on Thursday.
Accenture and Avanade say they have already developed some AI tools for these applications. For example, a supplier discovery and risk agent can deliver real-time market insights, agile supply chain responses, and better vendor selection, which could result in up to 15% cost savings. And a procure-to-pay agent could improve efficiency by up to 40% and enhance vendor relations and satisfaction by addressing urgent payment requirements and avoiding disruptions of key services
Likewise, they have also built solutions for clients using Microsoft 365 Copilot technology. For example, they have created Copilots for a variety of industries and functions including finance, manufacturing, supply chain, retail, and consumer goods and healthcare.
Another part of the new practice will be educating clients how to use the technology, using an “Azure Generative AI Engineer Nanodegree program” to teach users how to design, build, and operationalize AI-driven applications on Azure, Microsoft’s cloud computing platform. The online classes will teach learners how to use AI models to solve real-world problems through automation, data insights, and generative AI solutions, the firms said.
“We are pleased to deepen our collaboration with Accenture to help our mutual customers develop AI-first business processes responsibly and securely, while helping them drive market differentiation,” Judson Althoff, executive vice president and chief commercial officer at Microsoft, said in a release. “By bringing together Copilots and human ambition, paired with the autonomous capabilities of an agent, we can accelerate AI transformation for organizations across industries and help them realize successful business outcomes through pragmatic innovation.”
Census data showed that overall retail sales in October were up 0.4% seasonally adjusted month over month and up 2.8% unadjusted year over year. That compared with increases of 0.8% month over month and 2% year over year in September.
October’s core retail sales as defined by NRF — based on the Census data but excluding automobile dealers, gasoline stations and restaurants — were unchanged seasonally adjusted month over month but up 5.4% unadjusted year over year.
Core sales were up 3.5% year over year for the first 10 months of the year, in line with NRF’s forecast for 2024 retail sales to grow between 2.5% and 3.5% over 2023. NRF is forecasting that 2024 holiday sales during November and December will also increase between 2.5% and 3.5% over the same time last year.
“October’s pickup in retail sales shows a healthy pace of spending as many consumers got an early start on holiday shopping,” NRF Chief Economist Jack Kleinhenz said in a release. “October sales were a good early step forward into the holiday shopping season, which is now fully underway. Falling energy prices have likely provided extra dollars for household spending on retail merchandise.”
Despite that positive trend, market watchers cautioned that retailers still need to offer competitive value propositions and customer experience in order to succeed in the holiday season. “The American consumer has been more resilient than anyone could have expected. But that isn’t a free pass for retailers to under invest in their stores,” Nikki Baird, VP of strategy & product at Aptos, a solutions provider of unified retail technology based out of Alpharetta, Georgia, said in a statement. “They need to make investments in labor, customer experience tech, and digital transformation. It has been too easy to kick the can down the road until you suddenly realize there’s no road left.”
A similar message came from Chip West, a retail and consumer behavior expert at the marketing, packaging, print and supply chain solutions provider RRD. “October’s increase proved to be slightly better than projections and was likely boosted by lower fuel prices. As inflation slowed for a number of months, prices in several categories have stabilized, with some even showing declines, offering further relief to consumers,” West said. “The data also looks to be a positive sign as we kick off the holiday shopping season. Promotions and discounts will play a prominent role in holiday shopping behavior as they are key influencers in consumer’s purchasing decisions.”
Third-party logistics (3PL) providers’ share of large real estate leases across the U.S. rose significantly through the third quarter of 2024 compared to the same time last year, as more retailers and wholesalers have been outsourcing their warehouse and distribution operations to 3PLs, according to a report from real estate firm CBRE.
Specifically, 3PLs’ share of bulk industrial leasing activity—covering leases of 100,000 square feet or more—rose to 34.1% through Q3 of this year from 30.6% through Q3 last year. By raw numbers, 3PLs have accounted for 498 bulk leases so far this year, up by 9% from the 457 at this time last year.
By category, 3PLs’ share of 34.1% ranked above other occupier types such as: general retail and wholesale (26.6), food and beverage (9.0), automobiles, tires, and parts (7.9), manufacturing (6.2), building materials and construction (5.6), e-commerce only (5.6), medical (2.7), and undisclosed (2.3).
On a quarterly basis, bulk leasing by 3PLs has steadily increased this year, reversing the steadily decreasing trend of 2023. CBRE pointed to three main reasons for that resurgence:
Import Flexibility. Labor disruptions, extreme weather patterns, and geopolitical uncertainty have led many companies to diversify their import locations. Using 3PLs allows for more inventory flexibility, a key component to retailer success in times of uncertainty.
Capital Allocation/Preservation. Warehousing and distribution of goods is expensive, draining capital resources for transportation costs, rent, or labor. But outsourcing to 3PLs provides companies with more flexibility to increase or decrease their inventories without any risk of signing their own lease commitments. And using a 3PL also allows companies to switch supply chain costs from capital to operational expenses.
Focus on Core Competency. Outsourcing their logistics operations to 3PLs allows companies to focus on core business competencies that drive revenue, such as product development, sales, and customer service.
Looking into the future, these same trends will continue to drive 3PL warehouse demand, CBRE said. Economic, geopolitical and supply chain uncertainty will remain prevalent in the coming quarters but will not diminish the need to effectively manage inventory levels.
That result came from the company’s “GEP Global Supply Chain Volatility Index,” an indicator tracking demand conditions, shortages, transportation costs, inventories, and backlogs based on a monthly survey of 27,000 businesses. The October index number was -0.39, which was up only slightly from its level of -0.43 in September.
Researchers found a steep rise in slack across North American supply chains due to declining factory activity in the U.S. In fact, purchasing managers at U.S. manufacturers made their strongest cutbacks to buying volumes in nearly a year and a half, indicating that factories in the world's largest economy are preparing for lower production volumes, GEP said.
Elsewhere, suppliers feeding Asia also reported spare capacity in October, albeit to a lesser degree than seen in Western markets. Europe's industrial plight remained a key feature of the data in October, as vendor capacity was significantly underutilized, reflecting a continuation of subdued demand in key manufacturing hubs across the continent.
"We're in a buyers' market. October is the fourth straight month that suppliers worldwide reported spare capacity, with notable contractions in factory demand across North America and Europe, underscoring the challenging outlook for Western manufacturers," Todd Bremer, vice president, GEP, said in a release. "President-elect Trump inherits U.S. manufacturers with plenty of spare capacity while in contrast, China's modest rebound and strong expansion in India demonstrate greater resilience in Asia."