Report: Pandemic hits companies hard on the supply side
Manufacturers and retailers say local sourcing, better planning, and increased reliance on 3PLs will shape their supply chain strategies in the wake of Covid-19.
Supply chain organizations have learned some tough lessons from the Covid-19 pandemic, and many say they will implement better strategies to deal with similar events in the future, including creating “comprehensive pandemic plans,” according to a survey from data and analytics firm Resilience 360, a division of transport and logistics giant DHL, and the Business Continuity Institute, released earlier this month.
Covid-19: The Future of Supply Chain surveyed 350 manufacturers and retailers and revealed that most were hit especially hard on the supply side by the pandemic. Going forward, manufacturers and retailers say they plan to diversify their supply base and source more locally, as well as increase their use of third-party logistics services (3PL) providers.
“[Less than] half of organizations had a pandemic plan in place [that] they felt was adequate to cover supply chain issues during the pandemic. As a result, the majority of organizations will now make changes to their plans going forward,” the researchers wrote. “Just over half of organizations will write a pandemic-specific plan and include supply chain in more detail, while another third will alter their general continuity plans to strengthen supply chain-specific elements.”
Nearly three-quarters of organizations said they encountered “some or significant” detrimental effects on the supply side of their operation, and nearly 65% reported the same on the demand side. Twenty percent reported an increase in demand for their products and services, including IT, telecommunications, and pharmaceutical organizations; others said they launched new products and services that catered to different customer demands during the pandemic.
As a result, more than 57% of respondents said they will diversify their supplier base in a post-Covid-19 economy, with many saying that means reducing their reliance on the Far East. About 30% said they will source less from the Far East, with 13% saying they will source less from China, in particular. Two-thirds of respondents said they plan to source goods more locally post-pandemic, with 21% saying they will move “a considerable number of suppliers more locally,” according to the survey.
“Although a further fifth will be engaging in more stockpiling post-pandemic, many are using local sourcing as a more cost-effective way of ensuring goods can be acquired quickly and efficiently,” the researchers said.
The research also revealed that 3PLs may benefit from the crisis, with more than 12% of respondents saying they intend to increase their use of 3PLs going forward.
The survey also found that:
The pandemic has caused many organizations to carry out due diligence deeper in their supply chains going forward. Although organizations had largely carried out good levels of due diligence (such as determining suppliers’ location and obtaining business continuity plans) among their tier 1 supplier base, such due diligence started to tail off beyond tier 2. The pandemic caused disruptions to many organizations’ supply chains beyond tier 1: many European-based manufacturers, for example, are heavily reliant on Asia for components, which caused issues for many organizations’ tier 1 suppliers. As a result, nearly two-thirds of organizations said they plan to perform deeper due diligence going forward, the researchers said.
More organizations are using technology to help them perform the required due diligence. There has been a discernible increase in the use of technology during the pandemic to help with supply chain planning and strategy: 57.1% of organizations are using their own internal systems and spreadsheets for supply chain mapping, [and] 13.5% are using specialist tools–a notable uptick on the 22.6% recorded in the BCI Supply Chain Resilience 2019 report, the researchers said. In addition, of those who are not currently using tools, a fifth are now considering purchasing a specialist tool, the researchers also said.
For more coverage of the coronavirus crisis and how it's affecting the supply chain, check out our Covid-19 landing page.
Just 29% of supply chain organizations have the competitive characteristics they’ll need for future readiness, according to a Gartner survey released Tuesday. The survey focused on how organizations are preparing for future challenges and to keep their supply chains competitive.
Gartner surveyed 579 supply chain practitioners to determine the capabilities needed to manage the “future drivers of influence” on supply chains, which include artificial intelligence (AI) achievement and the ability to navigate new trade policies. According to the survey, the five competitive characteristics are: agility, resilience, regionalization, integrated ecosystems, and integrated enterprise strategy.
The survey analysis identified “leaders” among the respondents as supply chain organizations that have already developed at least three of the five competitive characteristics necessary to address the top five drivers of supply chain’s future.
Less than a third have met that threshold.
“Leaders shared a commitment to preparation through long-term, deliberate strategies, while non-leaders were more often focused on short-term priorities,” Pierfrancesco Manenti, vice president analyst in Gartner’s Supply Chain practice, said in a statement announcing the survey results.
“Most leaders have yet to invest in the most advanced technologies (e.g. real-time visibility, digital supply chain twin), but plan to do so in the next three-to-five years,” Manenti also said in the statement. “Leaders see technology as an enabler to their overall business strategies, while non-leaders more often invest in technology first, without having fully established their foundational capabilities.”
As part of the survey, respondents were asked to identify the future drivers of influence on supply chain performance over the next three to five years. The top five drivers are: achievement capability of AI (74%); the amount of new ESG regulations and trade policies being released (67%); geopolitical fight/transition for power (65%); control over data (62%); and talent scarcity (59%).
The analysis also identified four unique profiles of supply chain organizations, based on what their leaders deem as the most crucial capabilities for empowering their organizations over the next three to five years.
First, 54% of retailers are looking for ways to increase their financial recovery from returns. That’s because the cost to return a purchase averages 27% of the purchase price, which erases as much as 50% of the sales margin. But consumers have their own interests in mind: 76% of shoppers admit they’ve embellished or exaggerated the return reason to avoid a fee, a 39% increase from 2023 to 204.
Second, return experiences matter to consumers. A whopping 80% of shoppers stopped shopping at a retailer because of changes to the return policy—a 34% increase YoY.
Third, returns fraud and abuse is top-of-mind-for retailers, with wardrobing rising 38% in 2024. In fact, over two thirds (69%) of shoppers admit to wardrobing, which is the practice of buying an item for a specific reason or event and returning it after use. Shoppers also practice bracketing, or purchasing an item in a variety of colors or sizes and then returning all the unwanted options.
Fourth, returns come with a steep cost in terms of sustainability, with returns amounting to 8.4 billion pounds of landfill waste in 2023 alone.
“As returns have become an integral part of the shopper experience, retailers must balance meeting sky-high expectations with rising costs, environmental impact, and fraudulent behaviors,” Amena Ali, CEO of Optoro, said in the firm’s “2024 Returns Unwrapped” report. “By understanding shoppers’ behaviors and preferences around returns, retailers can create returns experiences that embrace their needs while driving deeper loyalty and protecting their bottom line.”
Facing an evolving supply chain landscape in 2025, companies are being forced to rethink their distribution strategies to cope with challenges like rising cost pressures, persistent labor shortages, and the complexities of managing SKU proliferation.
1. Optimize labor productivity and costs. Forward-thinking businesses are leveraging technology to get more done with fewer resources through approaches like slotting optimization, automation and robotics, and inventory visibility.
2. Maximize capacity with smart solutions. With e-commerce volumes rising, facilities need to handle more SKUs and orders without expanding their physical footprint. That can be achieved through high-density storage and dynamic throughput.
3. Streamline returns management. Returns are a growing challenge, thanks to the continued growth of e-commerce and the consumer practice of bracketing. Businesses can handle that with smarter reverse logistics processes like automated returns processing and reverse logistics visibility.
4. Accelerate order fulfillment with robotics. Robotic solutions are transforming the way orders are fulfilled, helping businesses meet customer expectations faster and more accurately than ever before by using autonomous mobile robots (AMRs and robotic picking.
5. Enhance end-of-line packaging. The final step in the supply chain is often the most visible to customers. So optimizing packaging processes can reduce costs, improve efficiency, and support sustainability goals through automated packaging systems and sustainability initiatives.
Geopolitical rivalries, alliances, and aspirations are rewiring the global economy—and the imposition of new tariffs on foreign imports by the U.S. will accelerate that process, according to an analysis by Boston Consulting Group (BCG).
Without a broad increase in tariffs, world trade in goods will keep growing at an average of 2.9% annually for the next eight years, the firm forecasts in its report, “Great Powers, Geopolitics, and the Future of Trade.” But the routes goods travel will change markedly as North America reduces its dependence on China and China builds up its links with the Global South, which is cementing its power in the global trade map.
“Global trade is set to top $29 trillion by 2033, but the routes these goods will travel is changing at a remarkable pace,” Aparna Bharadwaj, managing director and partner at BCG, said in a release. “Trade lanes were already shifting from historical patterns and looming US tariffs will accelerate this. Navigating these new dynamics will be critical for any global business.”
To understand those changes, BCG modeled the direct impact of the 60/25/20 scenario (60% tariff on Chinese goods, a 25% on goods from Canada and Mexico, and a 20% on imports from all other countries). The results show that the tariffs would add $640 billion to the cost of importing goods from the top ten U.S. import nations, based on 2023 levels, unless alternative sources or suppliers are found.
In terms of product categories imported by the U.S., the greatest impact would be on imported auto parts and automotive vehicles, which would primarily affect trade with Mexico, the EU, and Japan. Consumer electronics, electrical machinery, and fashion goods would be most affected by higher tariffs on Chinese goods. Specifically, the report forecasts that a 60% tariff rate would add $61 billion to cost of importing consumer electronics products from China into the U.S.
That strategy is described by RILA President Brian Dodge in a document titled “2025 Retail Public Policy Agenda,” which begins by describing leading retailers as “dynamic and multifaceted businesses that begin on Main Street and stretch across the world to bring high value and affordable consumer goods to American families.”
RILA says its policy priorities support that membership in four ways:
Investing in people. Retail is for everyone; the place for a first job, 2nd chance, third act, or a side hustle – the retail workforce represents the American workforce.
Ensuring a safe, sustainable future. RILA is working with lawmakers to help shape policies that protect our customers and meet expectations regarding environmental concerns.
Leading in the community. Retail is more than a store; we are an integral part of the fabric of our communities.
“As Congress and the Trump administration move forward to adopt policies that reduce regulatory burdens, create economic growth, and bring value to American families, understanding how such policies will impact retailers and the communities we serve is imperative,” Dodge said. “RILA and its member companies look forward to collaborating with policymakers to provide industry-specific insights and data to help shape any policies under consideration.”