Steve Geary is adjunct faculty at the University of Tennessee's Haaslam College of Business and is a lecturer at The Gordon Institute at Tufts University. He is the president of the Supply Chain Visions family of companies, consultancies that work across the government sector. Steve is a contributing editor at DC Velocity, and editor-at-large for CSCMP's Supply Chain Quarterly.
Many companies are adjusting their supply chains to handle the next pandemic. While that may seem to be the right course of action, many are just tailoring operations to answer the specific weaknesses uncovered by the COVID threat—focusing on such thing as the truck drivers who had to stop operations until they had a 25-cent mask.
Good supply chain leaders, however, are using the pandemic as a strategic call to action by focusing on on geo-diversifying their supplier pools and transportation routes. They are reassessing their logistics capabilities across a market basket of values. They are also tapping into a wide swath of data sources, such as the World Health Organization, the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency, the U.S. Department of State, the Council of Supply Chain Management Professionals, and any number of risk assessment sources.
As they make these assessments, the weaknesses revealed can be startling. Consider pharmaceuticals, which is top of mind in the era of COVID. With an estimated 80% of key active pharmaceutical ingredients—at least in large production quantities—originating in China or India, there is serious underlying risk to the U.S. supply chain.
How should firms design networks to manage that risk? Buffer stocks may not work because many pharmaceuticals have shelf-life limitations. Even without these shelf-life concerns, building a large enough buffer against a pandemic is not economically practical. Moreover, relying on China as a trusted partner might be a fool’s bet.
Traditional offshore sourcing from China and India may deliver a low cost, but it clearly does not yield a resilient solution. The India/China foundation can be inflexible, at least against the spikes associated with a pandemic. These sources are inherently risky, especially in the context the continuing political tensions related to China.
The answer lies in addressing risk as well as cost. The best supply chain designs no longer focus on cost alone. Optimally, pharmaceutical companies will move toward a focus on “best value,” balancing cost against considerations such as flexibility, reliability, and resilience.
An example of how one company has performed this balancing act is Zara. Zara is a successful “fast fashion” retailer. Product assortments in their retail locations link with localized sources of supply, an approach they pioneered at the turn of the century. They explicitly balance nearshore and offshoring sourcing for their assortment of goods based on market conditions. Speed to market requires shorter lead times and the possibility of ordering small batches with rapid fulfillment.
Retailers in Europe and the United States are adopting the Zara approach, and apparel manufacturing is incrementally “returning home.” Companies are realizing that forecasting for items that have a long lead time and are sourced offshore is risky. Relocating sources of trendy items to closer locations reduces complexity and risk, while increasing speed to market and value.
Reconfigure on the fly
Sometimes you need to reconfigure your supply chain and how you create value on the fly. Take Manolo and Son, for example, a family-owned and -operated seafood company in Alexandria, Virginia. Founded in 2006 by the Ribadulla family, the company served area restaurants high quality seafood with unmatched customer service.
Then COVID hit. The pandemic shut down area restaurants, which in turn shut down Manolo and Son.
The family went to work. They understood that people still wanted to eat great fresh fish. They just had to figure out how to connect and sell to them. Beginning with a promotional campaign over Facebook and Twitter and through direct emails, the family began selling directly to consumers, while concurrently serving traditional restaurant customers as they struggled back to life. They started by taking orders via email and leaving them in coolers outside of their wholesale location. Manolo now runs a fish market storefront, with wholesale processing in back. They’ve rearranged their go-to-market strategy and rebuilt their infrastructure on the fly in six months.
Often companies are overly committed to a one-size-fits-all model that has failed before and will fail again. To survive in tough times, however, we need to cultivate resilience and adaptability. While our competitors melt down, we need to empower our workforce to adjust on the fly, just like the Ribadulla family did.
ReposiTrak, a global food traceability network operator, will partner with Upshop, a provider of store operations technology for food retailers, to create an end-to-end grocery traceability solution that reaches from the supply chain to the retail store, the firms said today.
The partnership creates a data connection between suppliers and the retail store. It works by integrating Salt Lake City-based ReposiTrak’s network of thousands of suppliers and their traceability shipment data with Austin, Texas-based Upshop’s network of more than 450 retailers and their retail stores.
That accomplishment is important because it will allow food sector trading partners to meet the U.S. FDA’s Food Safety Modernization Act Section 204d (FSMA 204) requirements that they must create and store complete traceability records for certain foods.
And according to ReposiTrak and Upshop, the traceability solution may also unlock potential business benefits. It could do that by creating margin and growth opportunities in stores by connecting supply chain data with store data, thus allowing users to optimize inventory, labor, and customer experience management automation.
"Traceability requires data from the supply chain and – importantly – confirmation at the retail store that the proper and accurate lot code data from each shipment has been captured when the product is received. The missing piece for us has been the supply chain data. ReposiTrak is the leader in capturing and managing supply chain data, starting at the suppliers. Together, we can deliver a single, comprehensive traceability solution," Mark Hawthorne, chief innovation and strategy officer at Upshop, said in a release.
"Once the data is flowing the benefits are compounding. Traceability data can be used to improve food safety, reduce invoice discrepancies, and identify ways to reduce waste and improve efficiencies throughout the store,” Hawthorne said.
Under FSMA 204, retailers are required by law to track Key Data Elements (KDEs) to the store-level for every shipment containing high-risk food items from the Food Traceability List (FTL). ReposiTrak and Upshop say that major industry retailers have made public commitments to traceability, announcing programs that require more traceability data for all food product on a faster timeline. The efforts of those retailers have activated the industry, motivating others to institute traceability programs now, ahead of the FDA’s enforcement deadline of January 20, 2026.
Inclusive procurement practices can fuel economic growth and create jobs worldwide through increased partnerships with small and diverse suppliers, according to a study from the Illinois firm Supplier.io.
The firm’s “2024 Supplier Diversity Economic Impact Report” found that $168 billion spent directly with those suppliers generated a total economic impact of $303 billion. That analysis can help supplier diversity managers and chief procurement officers implement programs that grow diversity spend, improve supply chain competitiveness, and increase brand value, the firm said.
The companies featured in Supplier.io’s report collectively supported more than 710,000 direct jobs and contributed $60 billion in direct wages through their investments in small and diverse suppliers. According to the analysis, those purchases created a ripple effect, supporting over 1.4 million jobs and driving $105 billion in total income when factoring in direct, indirect, and induced economic impacts.
“At Supplier.io, we believe that empowering businesses with advanced supplier intelligence not only enhances their operational resilience but also significantly mitigates risks,” Aylin Basom, CEO of Supplier.io, said in a release. “Our platform provides critical insights that drive efficiency and innovation, enabling companies to find and invest in small and diverse suppliers. This approach helps build stronger, more reliable supply chains.”
Logistics industry growth slowed in December due to a seasonal wind-down of inventory and following one of the busiest holiday shopping seasons on record, according to the latest Logistics Managers’ Index (LMI) report, released this week.
The monthly LMI was 57.3 in December, down more than a percentage point from November’s reading of 58.4. Despite the slowdown, economic activity across the industry continued to expand, as an LMI reading above 50 indicates growth and a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
The LMI researchers said the monthly conditions were largely due to seasonal drawdowns in inventory levels—and the associated costs of holding them—at the retail level. The LMI’s Inventory Levels index registered 50, falling from 56.1 in November. That reduction also affected warehousing capacity, which slowed but remained in expansion mode: The LMI’s warehousing capacity index fell 7 points to a reading of 61.6.
December’s results reflect a continued trend toward more typical industry growth patterns following recent years of volatility—and they point to a successful peak holiday season as well.
“Retailers were clearly correct in their bet to stock [up] on goods ahead of the holiday season,” the LMI researchers wrote in their monthly report. “Holiday sales from November until Christmas Eve were up 3.8% year-over-year according to Mastercard. This was largely driven by a 6.7% increase in e-commerce sales, although in-person spending was up 2.9% as well.”
And those results came during a compressed peak shopping cycle.
“The increase in spending came despite the shorter holiday season due to the late Thanksgiving,” the researchers also wrote, citing National Retail Federation (NRF) estimates that U.S. shoppers spent just short of a trillion dollars in November and December, making it the busiest holiday season of all time.
The LMI is a monthly survey of logistics managers from across the country. It tracks industry growth overall and across eight areas: inventory levels and costs; warehousing capacity, utilization, and prices; and transportation capacity, utilization, and prices. The report is released monthly by researchers from Arizona State University, Colorado State University, Rochester Institute of Technology, Rutgers University, and the University of Nevada, Reno, in conjunction with the Council of Supply Chain Management Professionals (CSCMP).
As U.S. small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) face an uncertain business landscape in 2025, a substantial majority (67%) expect positive growth in the new year compared to 2024, according to a survey from DHL.
However, the survey also showed that businesses could face a rocky road to reach that goal, as they navigate a complex environment of regulatory/policy shifts and global market volatility. Both those issues were cited as top challenges by 36% of respondents, followed by staffing/talent retention (11%) and digital threats and cyber attacks (2%).
Against that backdrop, SMEs said that the biggest opportunity for growth in 2025 lies in expanding into new markets (40%), followed by economic improvements (31%) and implementing new technologies (14%).
As the U.S. prepares for a broad shift in political leadership in Washington after a contentious election, the SMEs in DHL’s survey were likely split evenly on their opinion about the impact of regulatory and policy changes. A plurality of 40% were on the fence (uncertain, still evaluating), followed by 24% who believe regulatory changes could negatively impact growth, 20% who see these changes as having a positive impact, and 16% predicting no impact on growth at all.
That uncertainty also triggered a split when respondents were asked how they planned to adjust their strategy in 2025 in response to changes in the policy or regulatory landscape. The largest portion (38%) of SMEs said they remained uncertain or still evaluating, followed by 30% who will make minor adjustments, 19% will maintain their current approach, and 13% who were willing to significantly adjust their approach.
Specifically, the two sides remain at odds over provisions related to the deployment of semi-automated technologies like rail-mounted gantry cranes, according to an analysis by the Kansas-based 3PL Noatum Logistics. The ILA has strongly opposed further automation, arguing it threatens dockworker protections, while the USMX contends that automation enhances productivity and can create long-term opportunities for labor.
In fact, U.S. importers are already taking action to prevent the impact of such a strike, “pulling forward” their container shipments by rushing imports to earlier dates on the calendar, according to analysis by supply chain visibility provider Project44. That strategy can help companies to build enough safety stock to dampen the damage of events like the strike and like the steep tariffs being threatened by the incoming Trump administration.
Likewise, some ocean carriers have already instituted January surcharges in pre-emption of possible labor action, which could support inbound ocean rates if a strike occurs, according to freight market analysts with TD Cowen. In the meantime, the outcome of the new negotiations are seen with “significant uncertainty,” due to the contentious history of the discussion and to the timing of the talks that overlap with a transition between two White House regimes, analysts said.