Brian Gibson is the Wilson Family professor at Auburn University’s Raymond J. Harbert College of Business. He is also executive director of the Center for Supply Chain Innovation.
Over a 35-plus year career, I have witnessed the supply chain management profession evolve from a behind-the-scenes role to a center stage star. Early in my industry and academic careers, I had to frequently explain to my mom (and many others) what I do for a living. Fast forward to 2021, and we have the national media opining about supply chain performance and a presidential executive order to conduct a 100-day review of four critical supply chains.
This public awakening did not happen overnight or by chance. Across this evolution, supply chain executives have doggedly pursued a higher level of engagement in their respective organizations. More than 16 years ago, I co-authored an article on the topic. Later, participants in Auburn University’s inaugural 2009 State of the Retail Supply Chain Report (SRSC) proudly discussed their newfound inclusion in C-level steering committees. While it has been a slow grind to get a seat at the table, supply chains are now well-represented in strategic planning processes. Chief supply chain officers can shape, rather than react to, critical decisions that affect the sourcing, production, and distribution of goods.
It is important to remember that the center stage spotlight burns brightly and highlights every performance flaw. Risks grow larger, and CEOs become more attuned to supply chain cost and performance. Also, faraway supply chain incidents generate anxious questions, extended conversations, and unplanned analysis. For example, I suspect that very few boardroom executives thought much about the Suez Canal until the MV Ever Given ran aground and blocked canal traffic for six days.
The ability to deftly handle the heightened awareness and greater responsibilities will determine if supply chain leaders retain their seat at the table in the long run. Maintaining engagement and control is well within our capabilities when demand is relatively smooth and operations are stable. That is certainly not the case these days. The global pandemic has skewed consumer demand, disrupted production, stretched capacity, and imbalanced critical equipment.
While the challenging middle to late stages of a pandemic may not seem like the ideal time to be promoting supply chain as a solution, now is the time to be a star. It reminds me of an interview I did at the height of the Great Recession when a supply chain executive said, “It’s just a very tough environment, but it’s actually a great time to be in supply chain management. This is sort of our Carnegie Hall. It’s our time to shine.”
That level of bravado must be backed up with strong supply chain capabilities and execution. That strength comes from:
Rethinking and revamping plans. If we have learned anything during the pandemic, it is that no supply chain strategy is immutable. Adapt your supply chain to stay relevant and responsive to changing conditions.
Investing in capabilities. Leading organizations are not shutting off the money spigot amidst a protracted disruption. They realize that spending now on automation, artificial intelligence, capacity, and risk mitigation will pay future dividends. Be bold enough to ask for the funds but have the data ready to show that your spend will provide the promised financial and service returns.
Gaining greater proximity. Overreliance on sole suppliers and geographically dispersed facilities create inherent risks. Consider establishing local capacity and regional/local facilities to enhance your supply chain’s stability and speed to market.
Retaining top talent.Every successful supply chain executive is backed up by a strong team with the right skills and expertise. The dynamic nature of the profession makes it imperative to continuously develop your team via conference attendance (CSCMP’s EDGE 2021 comes to mind), SCPro certification, university education, and internal training. Doing so will advance your company’s capabilities and reduce its risk of talent flight.
Adopting these practices and making these investments will not fully eliminate the risks of stepping onto the bigger stage, but they will give your supply chain a chance to shine now and in the future.
Just 29% of supply chain organizations have the competitive characteristics they’ll need for future readiness, according to a Gartner survey released Tuesday. The survey focused on how organizations are preparing for future challenges and to keep their supply chains competitive.
Gartner surveyed 579 supply chain practitioners to determine the capabilities needed to manage the “future drivers of influence” on supply chains, which include artificial intelligence (AI) achievement and the ability to navigate new trade policies. According to the survey, the five competitive characteristics are: agility, resilience, regionalization, integrated ecosystems, and integrated enterprise strategy.
The survey analysis identified “leaders” among the respondents as supply chain organizations that have already developed at least three of the five competitive characteristics necessary to address the top five drivers of supply chain’s future.
Less than a third have met that threshold.
“Leaders shared a commitment to preparation through long-term, deliberate strategies, while non-leaders were more often focused on short-term priorities,” Pierfrancesco Manenti, vice president analyst in Gartner’s Supply Chain practice, said in a statement announcing the survey results.
“Most leaders have yet to invest in the most advanced technologies (e.g. real-time visibility, digital supply chain twin), but plan to do so in the next three-to-five years,” Manenti also said in the statement. “Leaders see technology as an enabler to their overall business strategies, while non-leaders more often invest in technology first, without having fully established their foundational capabilities.”
As part of the survey, respondents were asked to identify the future drivers of influence on supply chain performance over the next three to five years. The top five drivers are: achievement capability of AI (74%); the amount of new ESG regulations and trade policies being released (67%); geopolitical fight/transition for power (65%); control over data (62%); and talent scarcity (59%).
The analysis also identified four unique profiles of supply chain organizations, based on what their leaders deem as the most crucial capabilities for empowering their organizations over the next three to five years.
First, 54% of retailers are looking for ways to increase their financial recovery from returns. That’s because the cost to return a purchase averages 27% of the purchase price, which erases as much as 50% of the sales margin. But consumers have their own interests in mind: 76% of shoppers admit they’ve embellished or exaggerated the return reason to avoid a fee, a 39% increase from 2023 to 204.
Second, return experiences matter to consumers. A whopping 80% of shoppers stopped shopping at a retailer because of changes to the return policy—a 34% increase YoY.
Third, returns fraud and abuse is top-of-mind-for retailers, with wardrobing rising 38% in 2024. In fact, over two thirds (69%) of shoppers admit to wardrobing, which is the practice of buying an item for a specific reason or event and returning it after use. Shoppers also practice bracketing, or purchasing an item in a variety of colors or sizes and then returning all the unwanted options.
Fourth, returns come with a steep cost in terms of sustainability, with returns amounting to 8.4 billion pounds of landfill waste in 2023 alone.
“As returns have become an integral part of the shopper experience, retailers must balance meeting sky-high expectations with rising costs, environmental impact, and fraudulent behaviors,” Amena Ali, CEO of Optoro, said in the firm’s “2024 Returns Unwrapped” report. “By understanding shoppers’ behaviors and preferences around returns, retailers can create returns experiences that embrace their needs while driving deeper loyalty and protecting their bottom line.”
Facing an evolving supply chain landscape in 2025, companies are being forced to rethink their distribution strategies to cope with challenges like rising cost pressures, persistent labor shortages, and the complexities of managing SKU proliferation.
1. Optimize labor productivity and costs. Forward-thinking businesses are leveraging technology to get more done with fewer resources through approaches like slotting optimization, automation and robotics, and inventory visibility.
2. Maximize capacity with smart solutions. With e-commerce volumes rising, facilities need to handle more SKUs and orders without expanding their physical footprint. That can be achieved through high-density storage and dynamic throughput.
3. Streamline returns management. Returns are a growing challenge, thanks to the continued growth of e-commerce and the consumer practice of bracketing. Businesses can handle that with smarter reverse logistics processes like automated returns processing and reverse logistics visibility.
4. Accelerate order fulfillment with robotics. Robotic solutions are transforming the way orders are fulfilled, helping businesses meet customer expectations faster and more accurately than ever before by using autonomous mobile robots (AMRs and robotic picking.
5. Enhance end-of-line packaging. The final step in the supply chain is often the most visible to customers. So optimizing packaging processes can reduce costs, improve efficiency, and support sustainability goals through automated packaging systems and sustainability initiatives.
Geopolitical rivalries, alliances, and aspirations are rewiring the global economy—and the imposition of new tariffs on foreign imports by the U.S. will accelerate that process, according to an analysis by Boston Consulting Group (BCG).
Without a broad increase in tariffs, world trade in goods will keep growing at an average of 2.9% annually for the next eight years, the firm forecasts in its report, “Great Powers, Geopolitics, and the Future of Trade.” But the routes goods travel will change markedly as North America reduces its dependence on China and China builds up its links with the Global South, which is cementing its power in the global trade map.
“Global trade is set to top $29 trillion by 2033, but the routes these goods will travel is changing at a remarkable pace,” Aparna Bharadwaj, managing director and partner at BCG, said in a release. “Trade lanes were already shifting from historical patterns and looming US tariffs will accelerate this. Navigating these new dynamics will be critical for any global business.”
To understand those changes, BCG modeled the direct impact of the 60/25/20 scenario (60% tariff on Chinese goods, a 25% on goods from Canada and Mexico, and a 20% on imports from all other countries). The results show that the tariffs would add $640 billion to the cost of importing goods from the top ten U.S. import nations, based on 2023 levels, unless alternative sources or suppliers are found.
In terms of product categories imported by the U.S., the greatest impact would be on imported auto parts and automotive vehicles, which would primarily affect trade with Mexico, the EU, and Japan. Consumer electronics, electrical machinery, and fashion goods would be most affected by higher tariffs on Chinese goods. Specifically, the report forecasts that a 60% tariff rate would add $61 billion to cost of importing consumer electronics products from China into the U.S.
That strategy is described by RILA President Brian Dodge in a document titled “2025 Retail Public Policy Agenda,” which begins by describing leading retailers as “dynamic and multifaceted businesses that begin on Main Street and stretch across the world to bring high value and affordable consumer goods to American families.”
RILA says its policy priorities support that membership in four ways:
Investing in people. Retail is for everyone; the place for a first job, 2nd chance, third act, or a side hustle – the retail workforce represents the American workforce.
Ensuring a safe, sustainable future. RILA is working with lawmakers to help shape policies that protect our customers and meet expectations regarding environmental concerns.
Leading in the community. Retail is more than a store; we are an integral part of the fabric of our communities.
“As Congress and the Trump administration move forward to adopt policies that reduce regulatory burdens, create economic growth, and bring value to American families, understanding how such policies will impact retailers and the communities we serve is imperative,” Dodge said. “RILA and its member companies look forward to collaborating with policymakers to provide industry-specific insights and data to help shape any policies under consideration.”