Inventor and technology futurist Ray Kurzweil once said, “Inventing is a lot like surfing; you have to anticipate and catch the wave at just the right moment.”1 Bottom line: Timing matters when it comes to technology innovation.
In 2008, Gartner published a research paper that introduced the concept of supply chain convergence. Supply chain convergence is about the ability to observe, manage, orchestrate, and eventually optimize end-to-end (E2E) processes that span traditional functional and application boundaries.
Back in 2008, we felt that supply chain organizations needed to do a better job of orchestrating and synchronizing processes, subprocesses, and activities across functional domains such as planning, customer service, sourcing, warehousing, transportation, and manufacturing. In a perfect world, E2E processes would span all domains and application silos, creating flawless information and transactional flows.
Most organizations want to support E2E supply chain processes. The challenge is that their technology portfolios consist of many independent, loosely integrated applications that are often provided by different vendors. Those applications have various levels of maturity and are based on different technology architectures, often because users built or bought their applications at different times, for different needs, and with little thought given to how they connect with and support an E2E process.
Many companies integrate disparate applications by simply passing data back and forth—but this is not supply chain convergence. Rather, navigating a supply chain application environment in such a way is similar to playing rugby blindfolded. Sightless players run up and down the field tossing the ball—hopefully to their own teammates—before being wrestled to the ground. It’s hard to know what’s going on and coordination is nearly impossible.
In the supply chain management (SCM) application world, the ball might be an order moving from a customer relationship management (CRM) system to an enterprise resource planning (ERP) system to a warehouse management system (WMS), and so on (see Figure 1). Because orders are simply thrown from one system to another, it is very hard to orchestrate the E2E process in one direction let alone bi-directionally.
So, while our 2008 hypothesis was sound, companies were not ready or able to pursue supply chain convergence at that time. The timing wasn’t right. Gartner has revisited this concept repeatedly over the years, but even today, most companies struggle to systematically integrate E2E processes in the fragmented supply chain functional and information technology (IT) environments that are still prevalent in most organizations.
But the time for supply chain convergence may, finally, be upon us. Some progress has been made. Companies have done a good job when it comes to optimizing vertical functional processes that are aligned with their applications portfolio. For example, a WMS does a good job of coordinating the work within the four walls of the warehouse, and a transportation management system (TMS) can optimize the mode and carrier selection process for multimodal shipments. The challenge, however, lies with orchestrating and optimizing horizontal processes that cut across functional and application silos. While cross-functional application integration is doable, it is complex, and true process synchronization across applications and functional domains remains challenging for many companies. Until recently it was impractical, if not impossible, to coordinate activities across all functional domains without some form of coordination technology.
However, the need for coordination across the supply chain has become increasingly more important. Supply chains have become more distributed and outsourcing more pervasive, meaning that network complexity has increased. At the same time, product complexity has also increased. And then, enter COVID-19. The global pandemic and its lingering effects have showed how fragile global supply chains are and have forced companies to rethink how they support end-to-end processes.
The rise of microservices
Remember, the timing of technology innovation matters. When convergence was first discussed, many assumed that the solution was easy: just buy all your supply chain applications from a single vendor. This approach seems logical until we dig deeper into how supply chain applications are built and deployed even within large application suite providers. There are notably different architectural models for delivering supply chain applications. These can broadly be categorized as application portfolios vs. platforms (see Figure 2.)
[Figure 2] Application architecture: portfolio vs. platform Enlarge this image
Application portfolio vendors typically offer multiple functional applications that might share some elements or an integration bus but are mostly standalone applications with their own unique process and data models. There often are redundancies between functional applications (for example, replicated master data), and the vendors have not rewritten their applications in a common shared architecture. Portfolio vendors have often, but not always, grown through acquisitions, yet have chosen not to re-architect and rationalize their solutions.
To move towards convergence, portfolio vendors typically try to address this challenge by layering some type of analytical or orchestration capability that spans their vertical silos. A common name for these is control tower.
Application platform vendors, on the other hand, start with a common architecture, and all applications are built on a shared technical foundation—from the data and process models all the way to the user experience (UX). These vendors are often on the forefront of modern microservices architectures, which arrange application capabilities as a collection of loosely coupled, messaging-enabled services that are fine-grained while the protocols are lightweight.
These architectures remove most, if not all, redundancies, and functional capabilities (such as picking, carrier selection, or order promising) are rendered once and shared across the platform. Technical instrumentation such as rules engines, monitoring, configuration, and extensibility is also often shared. These vendors typically build their platform solutions organically from the ground up.
Platform vendors address convergence via composability. Capabilities are broken down into reusable microservice components, which can then be assembled or “composed” to build the E2E process. For example, a simple order-to-cash process might be composed by associating an order service, an order promising service, a picking service and forward picking replenishment service, and a parcel carrier rate shopping and selection service.
With the emergence of composable, microservices-based applications and the rediscovered mission-criticality of supply chains, convergence is now becoming a reality. Today’s composable microservices architectures can support composite processes that bring together subprocesses and activities from specific domains. Users can then merge these into a larger, converged E2E process.
To get to supply chain convergence, supply chain organizations must work closely with their IT partners to adopt a cross-functional application strategy and platform that allows them to horizontally model, orchestrate, and synchronize E2E processes. Also, as they seek to buy new supply chain solutions, companies should increase their emphasis on an application technical architecture that supports composability. Until they have such an architecture in place, companies with heterogeneous supply chain application portfolios will likely have to focus on analytical solutions that can at least span multiple functional boundaries.
Note:
1. Ray Kurzweil, The Singularity is Near: When Humans Transcend Biology, Penguin Books, 2005.
Facing an evolving supply chain landscape in 2025, companies are being forced to rethink their distribution strategies to cope with challenges like rising cost pressures, persistent labor shortages, and the complexities of managing SKU proliferation.
1. Optimize labor productivity and costs. Forward-thinking businesses are leveraging technology to get more done with fewer resources through approaches like slotting optimization, automation and robotics, and inventory visibility.
2. Maximize capacity with smart solutions. With e-commerce volumes rising, facilities need to handle more SKUs and orders without expanding their physical footprint. That can be achieved through high-density storage and dynamic throughput.
3. Streamline returns management. Returns are a growing challenge, thanks to the continued growth of e-commerce and the consumer practice of bracketing. Businesses can handle that with smarter reverse logistics processes like automated returns processing and reverse logistics visibility.
4. Accelerate order fulfillment with robotics. Robotic solutions are transforming the way orders are fulfilled, helping businesses meet customer expectations faster and more accurately than ever before by using autonomous mobile robots (AMRs and robotic picking.
5. Enhance end-of-line packaging. The final step in the supply chain is often the most visible to customers. So optimizing packaging processes can reduce costs, improve efficiency, and support sustainability goals through automated packaging systems and sustainability initiatives.
That clash has come as retailers have been hustling to adjust to pandemic swings like a renewed focus on e-commerce, then swiftly reimagining store experiences as foot traffic returned. But even as the dust settles from those changes, retailers are now facing renewed questions about how best to define their omnichannel strategy in a world where customers have increasing power and information.
The answer may come from a five-part strategy using integrated components to fortify omnichannel retail, EY said. The approach can unlock value and customer trust through great experiences, but only when implemented cohesively, not individually, EY warns.
The steps include:
1. Functional integration: Is your operating model and data infrastructure siloed between e-commerce and physical stores, or have you developed a cohesive unit centered around delivering seamless customer experience?
2. Customer insights: With consumer centricity at the heart of operations, are you analyzing all touch points to build a holistic view of preferences, behaviors, and buying patterns?
3. Next-generation inventory: Given the right customer insights, how are you utilizing advanced analytics to ensure inventory is optimized to meet demand precisely where and when it’s needed?
4. Distribution partnerships: Having ensured your customers find what they want where they want it, how are your distribution strategies adapting to deliver these choices to them swiftly and efficiently?
5. Real estate strategy: How is your real estate strategy interconnected with insights, inventory and distribution to enhance experience and maximize your footprint?
When approached cohesively, these efforts all build toward one overarching differentiator for retailers: a better customer experience that reaches from brand engagement and order placement through delivery and return, the EY study said. Amid continued volatility and an economy driven by complex customer demands, the retailers best set up to win are those that are striving to gain real-time visibility into stock levels, offer flexible fulfillment options and modernize merchandising through personalized and dynamic customer experiences.
Geopolitical rivalries, alliances, and aspirations are rewiring the global economy—and the imposition of new tariffs on foreign imports by the U.S. will accelerate that process, according to an analysis by Boston Consulting Group (BCG).
Without a broad increase in tariffs, world trade in goods will keep growing at an average of 2.9% annually for the next eight years, the firm forecasts in its report, “Great Powers, Geopolitics, and the Future of Trade.” But the routes goods travel will change markedly as North America reduces its dependence on China and China builds up its links with the Global South, which is cementing its power in the global trade map.
“Global trade is set to top $29 trillion by 2033, but the routes these goods will travel is changing at a remarkable pace,” Aparna Bharadwaj, managing director and partner at BCG, said in a release. “Trade lanes were already shifting from historical patterns and looming US tariffs will accelerate this. Navigating these new dynamics will be critical for any global business.”
To understand those changes, BCG modeled the direct impact of the 60/25/20 scenario (60% tariff on Chinese goods, a 25% on goods from Canada and Mexico, and a 20% on imports from all other countries). The results show that the tariffs would add $640 billion to the cost of importing goods from the top ten U.S. import nations, based on 2023 levels, unless alternative sources or suppliers are found.
In terms of product categories imported by the U.S., the greatest impact would be on imported auto parts and automotive vehicles, which would primarily affect trade with Mexico, the EU, and Japan. Consumer electronics, electrical machinery, and fashion goods would be most affected by higher tariffs on Chinese goods. Specifically, the report forecasts that a 60% tariff rate would add $61 billion to cost of importing consumer electronics products from China into the U.S.
Shippers are actively preparing for changes in tariffs and trade policy through steps like analyzing their existing customs data, identifying alternative suppliers, and re-evaluating their cross-border strategies, according to research from logistics provider C.H. Robinson.
They are acting now because survey results show that shippers say the top risk to their supply chains in 2025 is changes in tariffs and trade policy. And nearly 50% say the uncertainty around tariffs and trade policy is already a pain point for them today, the Eden Prairie, Minnesota-based company said.
In a move to answer those concerns, C.H. Robinson says it has been working with its clients by running risk scenarios, building and implementing contingency plans, engineering and executing tariff solutions, and increasing supply chain diversification and agility.
“Having visibility into your full supply chain is no longer a nice-to-have. In 2025, visibility is a competitive differentiator and shippers without the technology and expertise to support real-time data and insights, contingency planning, and quick action will face increased supply chain risks,” Jordan Kass, President of C.H. Robinson Managed Solutions, said in a release.
The company’s survey showed that shippers say the top five ways they are planning for those risks: identifying where they can switch sourcing to save money, analyzing customs data, evaluating cross-border strategies, running risk scenarios, and lowering their dependence on Chinese imports.
President of C.H. Robinson Global Forwarding, Mike Short, said: “In today’s uncertain shipping environment, shippers are looking for ways to reduce their susceptibility to events that impact logistics but are out of their control. By diversifying their supply chains, getting access to the latest information and having a global supply chain partner able to flex with their needs at a moment’s notice, shippers can gain something they don’t always have when disruptions and policy changes occur - options.”
That strategy is described by RILA President Brian Dodge in a document titled “2025 Retail Public Policy Agenda,” which begins by describing leading retailers as “dynamic and multifaceted businesses that begin on Main Street and stretch across the world to bring high value and affordable consumer goods to American families.”
RILA says its policy priorities support that membership in four ways:
Investing in people. Retail is for everyone; the place for a first job, 2nd chance, third act, or a side hustle – the retail workforce represents the American workforce.
Ensuring a safe, sustainable future. RILA is working with lawmakers to help shape policies that protect our customers and meet expectations regarding environmental concerns.
Leading in the community. Retail is more than a store; we are an integral part of the fabric of our communities.
“As Congress and the Trump administration move forward to adopt policies that reduce regulatory burdens, create economic growth, and bring value to American families, understanding how such policies will impact retailers and the communities we serve is imperative,” Dodge said. “RILA and its member companies look forward to collaborating with policymakers to provide industry-specific insights and data to help shape any policies under consideration.”