Unexpected events can, by definition, happen at any time. As supply chain professionals, we know this better than most. We regularly identify every area of our supply chain that has the slightest threat (or hope) of veering from the expected and plan an appropriate response. We meet every area of variance with redundancies, backup plans, and alternatives that are designed to eliminate, mitigate, or otherwise deal with the change.
When it comes to our supply chains, we are masters at preparing for the unexpected. But what about our careers? Are we prepared for the unexpected? When change happens, will we have a backup plan ready?
The Latin phrase praemonitus, praemunitus—"forewarned is forearmed"—means that you can meet a challenge if you know about it in advance. Yet, how can you be forewarned about something unexpected? To be sure, we are not talking about asteroids crashing into Earth. Rather, we mean events such as your department reorganizing, your company being acquired, or your boss leaving the company. These are the scenarios that you may not want to think about but that lurk in the back of your mind. You probably already know what the top five potential disruptions to your career are. Now, it's time to figure out how to prepare for them—however unlikely they are—so that you can stop wasting energy worrying about them.
The first step is to be realistic about what disruptive events could occur. An awful lot of people find this to be difficult, however. Generally, I find that there are two types of people who have unrealistic views of potential careerchanging events. The first type refuses to anticipate even the most obvious deviation from the historical norm. They fail to consider any disruption to their current life. This type is not spending enough time thinking about and preparing for the very real possibility of a career-altering change. For example, I heard from one supply chain manager who was astonished that his company was being acquired, even though he knew it was on the market. I asked him about this inconsistency, and he said, "I just didn't think it would happen." We have all read financial documents that include the disclaimer "past performance is not indicative of future results"; the same goes for much of life. We cannot ignore the possibility of an event happening just because it differs substantially from what has come before.
The second type of person sees disasters popping up everywhere. These people see disasters and conspiracies where none exist. The stress that they feel about extremely low-probability scenarios can deplete them physically and mentally without producing any real benefits.
Don't be like these people. Instead, start by making a list of the changes that could possibly occur in the short, medium, and long term. While no one can see the future, we all have some idea of what can go off-course. In order to be realistic about potential changes, you need to be aware of your work environment. This includes knowing what is happening in the overall economy and your industry in general as well as being aware of conditions at your company and in your department. Get a "reality check" for your list of potential changes by running it by trusted, knowledgeable confidants. Do they think your perception of possible changes is on target? Think about what could change within the month, the year, and the next five years. Clearly, the longer the lead time, the better prepared you can be.
Once you have identified possible changes, start considering what you could do about them. Your road map for responding to change should be guided by one thing: your long-term goal. Where do you want to be at the height of your career? How much money will you be making? What will be your responsibilities? Your goal should be a specific aspirational objective. For example, you may want to be the head of a supply chain organization for a global food or consumer products company. Any deviations from the course will require some recalibration, but the goal will still be the same.
Contacts and accomplishments
At this point, you have established where you eventually want to end up as well as identified the possible disruptions that may occur on your way to achieving that long-term goal. What else do you need to do? You should prepare yourself for the best- and the worstcase scenarios. Surprisingly enough, the ways that you prepare for the best and worst types of career changes are remarkably similar. The formula consists of two main components: know your accomplishments, and use your network.
The first component, "know your accomplishments," is more than just ticking off your degrees and the positions you've held. It involves a deep understanding of what you did and how you did it. A formal example of this is your résumé, (which should always be updated). Your résumé details the responsibilities you have held and how you accomplished them. Another formal example is your annual self-evaluation. However, to make either of these documents meaningful, you must chronicle your accomplishments as they occur, when they are fresh in your mind and you have the hard data in hand to substantiate your claims. Clearly, this should be an ongoing task that will require just a small amount of effort if consistently applied.
Knowing your accomplishments is important for both the best- and worst-case scenarios. Your best-case scenario might be that a position opens up that could serve as the next rung of your career ladder. In that case, being prepared with a detailed story of your accomplishments will help you tailor your pitch for that position. It will also provide facts that will help convince others that you can handle the promotion and are ready for the job change.
The worst case might be losing your job. The good thing is that you will have all the information you need to apply for and land a new job. The only feeling worse than losing your position is losing your position and having to piece together a résumé when you no longer have access to vital information.
The second component, "use your network," also requires constant tending. Your network should consist of co-workers (current and past), mentors, people whom you have mentored, schoolmates, industry associates, and people from other industries (such as lawyers, consultants, and public relations professionals). These are people who know you or know of you. You've worked with them; you've shared a table with them at a conference; you've commented on their blogs. When positive, unexpected change happens, your contacts will be your cheering section. When the worst case occurs, they will be your advocates, your eyes and ears, and your support.
But first you need to put effort into maintaining and growing your network. Exchange business cards at events (quaint, but effective).
Use one or two online networking sites like Plaxo or LinkedIn to maintain contacts. Reach out to your contacts in some meaningful way at an appropriate frequency. For example, you should e-mail the people you met at this year's conference saying how you enjoyed meeting them. Before next year's conference, e-mail them to see if they will be attending again. People you know well require more frequent and personalized nurturing, like inviting them to lunch or calling them when their company is in the news.
To be prepared for the unexpected, you need to invest time and effort into all of these steps on a continuous basis. But that investment will be repaid in terms of the peace of mind you will gain. If you know your long-term career goal, know your accomplishments, and use your network, you will be ready for anything—except, perhaps, for asteroids crashing into Earth.
In a statement, DCA airport officials said they would open the facility again today for flights after planes were grounded for more than 12 hours. “Reagan National airport will resume flight operations at 11:00am. All airport roads and terminals are open. Some flights have been delayed or cancelled, so passengers are encouraged to check with their airline for specific flight information,” the facility said in a social media post.
An investigation into the cause of the crash is now underway, being led by the National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB) and assisted by the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA). Neither agency had released additional information yet today.
First responders say nearly 70 people may have died in the crash, including all 60 passengers and four crew on the American Airlines flight and three soldiers in the military helicopter after both aircraft appeared to explode upon impact and fall into the Potomac River.
“Our hearts are heavy as we mourn the lives lost and pray for those who are awaiting news of their loved ones,” CSCMP President & CEO Mark Baxa said in a release. “In times of profound tragedy, we are reminded of the incredible strength and resilience of the human spirit. We are especially grateful for the first responders—the firefighters, paramedics, law enforcement officers, and emergency personnel—who rushed to the scene, putting their own lives at risk in the urgent search for survivors.”
“As we reflect on this heartbreaking event, CSCMP stands in solidarity with all those who are grieving and all who are tirelessly working to bring answers and closure. May those who have lost loved ones find comfort in the support of their faith, family, their communities, and may we all take a moment to extend kindness and compassion to those who need it most,” Baxa said.
Artificial intelligence (AI) and the economy were hot topics on the opening day of SMC3 Jump Start 25, a less-than-truckload (LTL)-focused supply chain event taking place in Atlanta this week. The three-day event kicked off Monday morning to record attendance, with more than 700 people registered, according to conference planners.
The event opened with a keynote presentation from AI futurist Zack Kass, former head of go to market for OpenAI. He talked about the evolution of AI as well as real-world applications of the technology, furthering his mission to demystify AI and make it accessible and understandable to people everywhere. Kass is a speaker and consultant who works with businesses and governments around the world.
The opening day also featured a slate of economic presentations, including a global economic outlook from Dr. Jeff Rosensweig, director of the John Robson Program for Business, Public Policy, and Government at Emory University, and a “State of LTL” report from economist Keith Prather, managing director of Armada Corporate Intelligence. Both speakers pointed to a strong economy as 2025 gets underway, emphasizing overall economic optimism and strong momentum in LTL markets.
Other highlights included interviews with industry leaders Chris Jamroz and Rick DiMaio. Jamroz is executive chairman of the board and CEO of Roadrunner Transportation Systems, and DiMaio is executive vice president of supply chain for Ace Hardware.
Jump Start 25 runs through Wednesday, January 29, at the Renaissance Atlanta Waverly Hotel & Convention Center.
That is important because the increased use of robots has the potential to significantly reduce the impact of labor shortages in manufacturing, IFR said. That will happen when robots automate dirty, dull, dangerous or delicate tasks – such as visual quality inspection, hazardous painting, or heavy lifting—thus freeing up human workers to focus on more interesting and higher-value tasks.
To reach those goals, robots will grow through five trends in the new year, the report said:
1 – Artificial Intelligence. By leveraging diverse AI technologies, such as physical, analytical, and generative, robotics can perform a wide range of tasks more efficiently. Analytical AI enables robots to process and analyze the large amounts of data collected by their sensors. This helps to manage variability and unpredictability in the external environment, in “high mix/low-volume” production, and in public environments. Physical AI, which is created through the development of dedicated hardware and software that simulate real-world environments, allows robots to train themselves in virtual environments and operate by experience, rather than programming. And Generative AI projects aim to create a “ChatGPT moment” for Physical AI, allowing this AI-driven robotics simulation technology to advance in traditional industrial environments as well as in service robotics applications.
2 – Humanoids.
Robots in the shape of human bodies have received a lot of media attention, due to their vision where robots will become general-purpose tools that can load a dishwasher on their own and work on an assembly line elsewhere. Start-ups today are working on these humanoid general-purpose robots, with an eye toward new applications in logistics and warehousing. However, it remains to be seen whether humanoid robots can represent an economically viable and scalable business case for industrial applications, especially when compared to existing solutions. So for the time being, industrial manufacturers are still focused on humanoids performing single-purpose tasks only, with a focus on the automotive industry.
3 – Sustainability – Energy Efficiency.
Compliance with the UN's environmental sustainability goals and corresponding regulations around the world is becoming an important requirement for inclusion on supplier whitelists, and robots play a key role in helping manufacturers achieve these goals. In general, their ability to perform tasks with high precision reduces material waste and improves the output-input ratio of a manufacturing process. These automated systems ensure consistent quality, which is essential for products designed to have long lifespans and minimal maintenance. In the production of green energy technologies such as solar panels, batteries for electric cars or recycling equipment, robots are critical to cost-effective production. At the same time, robot technology is being improved to make the robots themselves more energy-efficient. For example, the lightweight construction of moving robot components reduces their energy consumption. Different levels of sleep mode put the hardware in an energy saving parking position. Advances in gripper technology use bionics to achieve high grip strength with almost no energy consumption.
4 – New Fields of Business.
The general manufacturing industry still has a lot of potential for robotic automation. But most manufacturing companies are small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs), which means the adoption of industrial robots by SMEs is still hampered by high initial investment and total cost of ownership. To address that hurdle, Robot-as-a-Service (RaaS) business models allow enterprises to benefit from robotic automation with no fixed capital involved. Another option is using low-cost robotics to provide a “good enough” product for applications that have low requirements in terms of precision, payload, and service life. Powered by the those approaches, new customer segments beyond manufacturing include construction, laboratory automation, and warehousing.
5 – Addressing Labor Shortage.
The global manufacturing sector continues to suffer from labor shortages, according to the International Labour Organisation (ILO). One of the main drivers is demographic change, which is already burdening labor markets in leading economies such as the United States, Japan, China, the Republic of Korea, or Germany. Although the impact varies from country to country, the cumulative effect on the supply chain is a concern almost everywhere.
Manufacturing and logistics workers are raising a red flag over workplace quality issues according to industry research released this week.
A comparative study of more than 4,000 workers from the United States, the United Kingdom, and Australia found that manufacturing and logistics workers say they have seen colleagues reduce the quality of their work and not follow processes in the workplace over the past year, with rates exceeding the overall average by 11% and 8%, respectively.
The study—the Resilience Nation report—was commissioned by UK-based regulatory and compliance software company Ideagen, and it polled workers in industries such as energy, aviation, healthcare, and financial services. The results “explore the major threats and macroeconomic factors affecting people today, providing perspectives on resilience across global landscapes,” according to the authors.
According to the study, 41% of manufacturing and logistics workers said they’d witnessed their peers hiding mistakes, and 45% said they’ve observed coworkers cutting corners due to apathy—9% above the average. The results also showed that workers are seeing colleagues take safety risks: More than a third of respondents said they’ve seen people putting themselves in physical danger at work.
The authors said growing pressure inside and outside of the workplace are to blame for the lack of diligence and resiliency on the job. Internally, workers say they are under pressure to deliver more despite reduced capacity. Among the external pressures, respondents cited the rising cost of living as the biggest problem (39%), closely followed by inflation rates, supply chain challenges, and energy prices.
“People are being asked to deliver more at work when their resilience is being challenged by economic and political headwinds,” Ideagen’s CEO Ben Dorks said in a statement announcing the findings. “Ultimately, this is having a determinantal impact on business productivity, workplace health and safety, and the quality of work produced, as well as further reducing the resilience of the nation at large.”
Respondents said they believe technology will eventually alleviate some of the stress occurring in manufacturing and logistics, however.
“People are optimistic that emerging tech and AI will ultimately lighten the load, but they’re not yet feeling the benefits,” Dorks added. “It’s a gap that now, more than ever, business leaders must look to close and support their workforce to ensure their staff remain safe and compliance needs are met across the business.”
The “2024 Year in Review” report lists the various transportation delays, freight volume restrictions, and infrastructure repair costs of a long string of events. Those disruptions include labor strikes at Canadian ports and postal sites, the U.S. East and Gulf coast port strike; hurricanes Helene, Francine, and Milton; the Francis Scott key Bridge collapse in Baltimore Harbor; the CrowdStrike cyber attack; and Red Sea missile attacks on passing cargo ships.
“While 2024 was characterized by frequent and overlapping disruptions that exposed many supply chain vulnerabilities, it was also a year of resilience,” the Project44 report said. “From labor strikes and natural disasters to geopolitical tensions, each event served as a critical learning opportunity, underscoring the necessity for robust contingency planning, effective labor relations, and durable infrastructure. As supply chains continue to evolve, the lessons learned this past year highlight the increased importance of proactive measures and collaborative efforts. These strategies are essential to fostering stability and adaptability in a world where unpredictability is becoming the norm.”
In addition to tallying the supply chain impact of those events, the report also made four broad predictions for trends in 2025 that may affect logistics operations. In Project44’s analysis, they include:
More technology and automation will be introduced into supply chains, particularly ports. This will help make operations more efficient but also increase the risk of cybersecurity attacks and service interruptions due to glitches and bugs. This could also add tensions among the labor pool and unions, who do not want jobs to be replaced with automation.
The new administration in the United States introduces a lot of uncertainty, with talks of major tariffs for numerous countries as well as talks of US freight getting preferential treatment through the Panama Canal. If these things do come to fruition, expect to see shifts in global trade patterns and sourcing.
Natural disasters will continue to become more frequent and more severe, as exhibited by the wildfires in Los Angeles and the winter storms throughout the southern states in the U.S. As a result, expect companies to invest more heavily in sustainability to mitigate climate change.
The peace treaty announced on Wednesday between Isael and Hamas in the Middle East could support increased freight volumes returning to the Suez Canal as political crisis in the area are resolved.