Companies are currently responding to the turbulence in the freight market in a very tactical and reactive way. But to make their supply chain more resilient in the long term, they may have to make strategic changes to their freight network.
During the past year, supply chains have experienced a convergence of market challenges, from COVID-19 and the rapid rise of e-commerce, to Brexit and U.S.-China tariffs and continuing trade conflicts, to increased regulation and severe weather events. Nearly everything that could go wrong, did.
The global transportation and logistics impacts are well-reported: Capacity-demand mismatches across transport modes; import delays from COVID-related port congestion and grounded passenger travel; ocean container imbalances and shortages on major backhaul trade lanes; and an overnight shift from business-to-business (B2B) palletized truckload freight to business-to-consumer (B2C) omnichannel fulfillment of a continuous flow of cartons and SKUs.
The responses that companies have deployed to these challenges during the past year have been largely reactive: focusing negotiations on securing capacity with key carriers at competitive rates; shifting the overall distribution mix toward cheaper transport modes and alternate port gateways; building inventory in key product lines and inputs; aggressively forward-deploying inventory closer to customers; and significantly postponing order delivery.
Going forward, however, a more strategic and surgical approach to freight management will be needed to broadly maximize value, drive operational excellence, and increase resiliency over the longer term. As market volatility continues, strategy will need to shift from targeted actions to a more comprehensive approach that balances cost efficiency with long-term supply chain resilience. These longer-term strategies will focus on enabling real-time shipment visibility, driving flexibility to pivot quickly as exceptions and chokepoints arise, and implementing analytics that continuously monitor freight networks to anticipate potential disruptions and assess performance.
This more strategic approach will require many companies to take a close look at redesigning the freight operating model itself. (Figure 1 shows the functions typically included in freight management.) The redesign will be guided by how the organization views its freight function internally: as an enabler, as a key differentiator, or as a core element driving competitive advantage and future growth.
This internal view of freight management will help determine three key factors that will shape the operations model:
1. the desired level of freight operations resiliency;
2. the optimal degree of outsourcing for supply chain functions; and
3. the best approach for managing and consuming freight operations data.
Setting the right level of resiliency
How a company views its freight function internally and how much resiliency is necessary to be designed into the operating model will be shaped by a number of factors. Some of the most important include: the type of business, its organizational core competencies, and the impact of freight spend on its bottom line.
Type of business.Organizations with exposure to fast-changing markets or with fast-to-market requirements are going to require more supply chain resiliency. For example, supply chain resiliency will be of crucial importance to companies in the apparel, grocery, fast-moving consumer goods, consumer electronics industry and those that feed essential parts into just-in-time production lines. It will be less important to companies that focus on less-critical industrial products or durable goods. But even some industries with ordinarily predictable inputs—such as building materials, hospital supplies, or food staples—may now need to be reassessed for potential risk and added resiliency.
Core competency.Freight operations touch most organizations in some way, but vary in the degree to which they are integral and central to operations, customer service, or the bottom line. Comcast, Whirlpool, Apple, and Home Depot, as examples, are all large organizations with varying levels of freight activity. Comcast may serve several customers nationally, but freight is peripheral to its core competency as a media and entertainment company. Whirlpool, a global manufacturer, makes its own products and has a relatively straightforward, stable B2B freight footprint for appliances and parts, with relatively low time-sensitivity. Apple has complex production and retail supply chains, with tight internal supply chain controls relating to product value, time-to-market, brand preservation, and intellectual property. Home Depot, a specialty retailer serving trade and consumer segments with a strong omnichannel presence, relies as much on the freight function as on product to manage inventory and serve customers. The farther freight management resides from a company’s core competency, the less important it will be to ensure resiliency in its operations.
Freight spend and bottom-line impacts.Equally important to freight operations resiliency is the proportionate role and impact of freight spend in the context of the company’s overall cost structure. Clearly most enterprises have a compelling interest in managing freight resiliency, but a specific company may choose not to allocate its limited resources to freight resiliency due to the relatively small size and scope of its operations.
In some cases, freight spend may account for only a small share of the expenditures column, representing only a small operational segment, but investing in resiliency may still be important. For example, that segment may be a lucrative one. Or, it may be subject to complex technical standards, strict trade regulations, or significant ESG (environmental, social, and governance) provenance. These standards and regulations may necessitate added resilience to diversify sourcing and avoid disruption.
In-house or outsourced?
Once strategic priorities for the freight function and the necessary level of supply chain resiliency and flexibility have been identified, the next question involves how much of the freight operations should be performed in-house versus outsourced to third-party freight service providers. Companies can choose from a spectrum of outsourcing scenarios from fully internal operations to mostly outsourced freight operations. One example of this spectrum can be seen in Figure 2.
[Figure 2] Degrees of outsourcing range from level 1 (limited) to level 5 (complete) Enlarge this image
In general, companies that choose lower levels of outsourcing will manage more sensitive strategic activities internally and outsource more downstream tactical functions. Strategic activities may include: strategic sourcing, carrier relationship management, carrier performance management, transportation network design, event management, human resources management, and transportation data management. Tactical activities may include transportation order management support, routing guide support, traffic data warehouse maintenance, freight audit, freight payment, load planning, and load tendering/booking.
Each successive level along the spectrum reflects tradeoffs in cost, efficiency, performance, and control. Third-party providers can bring better scale, technology, and knowledge of certain freight activities relative to a company’s internal capabilities. At the same time, they add a layer of management and operational control and, with those, a layer of complexity. Ideally, the upfront costs of working with a third-party are outweighed by long-term efficiencies and cost savings that may be hard to develop and maintain internally.
Identifying the optimal degree of outsourcing for a particular organization requires careful study and consideration because every organization’s structure and situation are different. Key considerations driving this decision will include the maturity of each organization’s internal logistics capabilities; the competitive transportation and logistics choices; the service and pricing leverage the provider can offer in major markets; and the regulatory complexity and constraints imposed in those markets.
The extent to which market conditions will shape outsourcing decisions can be seen by looking at three different market profiles: the United States, the United Kingdom, and the Nordic countries.
In the U.S., with its sizable market, relative ease of market entry, and light regulatory touch, shippers enjoy a wide choice of carrier and third-party service providers. As a result, the level of transportation management outsourcing tends to be optimized for cost and control. In this context, smaller shippers lean more heavily on third-party logistics providers (3PLs) and other freight intermediaries and, increasingly, new, cloud-based technology solutions. Larger shippers tend to rely more on internal operations. The outsourcing decision tends to focus on whether a provider can help improve pricing transparency and manage shipment costs.
The U.K. market, by contrast, has a somewhat higher degree of freight management outsourcing. The industry structure for groupage (or less-than-truckload) in the U.K is complex. As a result, shippers of all sizes rely more heavily on freight intermediaries to secure space and leverage volume to obtain favorable rates in this sector. Brexit has also encouraged outsourcing for cross-border groupage moves. Here logistics service providers help shippers manage documentation, customs clearance, and duty/VAT (value-added tax) payment to avoid delays across borders within the U.K. and with the European Union.
A useful example of regulatory impacts on freight management outsourcing can be found throughout most of the Nordic region. In these countries, the distribution and sale of alcoholic beverages is handled through government-owned monopoly networks, which arrange transportation for exports and in-country sales.
Putting data to work
An increased reliance on outsourcing demands corresponding visibility into supplier performance, shipment status, and financial metrics. No matter what its level of outsourcing, the freight operating model is only as reliable, responsive, and resilient as the data that flows through it.
Managing data, however, is often the most challenging aspect of managing freight in today’s environment. First the sheer volume of data generated by the modern supply chain is daunting, and growing exponentially. Currently this includes more traditional data such as freight operations data; rate, payment, and audit data; load booking/scheduling data, and service performance data. It is also beginning to encompass end-to-end, real-time visibility information from global positioning systems (GPS) and internet of things sensor/scanning technology; descriptive, diagnostic and predictive analytics with exception notifications; and automated processes supported by machine learning. Furthermore, this data flows into the operating model in many forms, both structured and formatted for databases and not. It also is coming from a range of sources, such as suppliers, third-party vendors, subcontractors, partners, customers, information systems, and devices in the field.
To be able to actually use all this data, companies need to make sure that they are:
Managing who has access to the data. All parties must be properly onboarded and given discreet roles and permissions to access specific data.
Validating and standardizing the data in common fields according to specific business rules for shared use.
Making the data accessible to all relevant users in real time, so that they can take actions to respond to rapidly changing conditions.
To manage all of this, it is important that companies have a data steward who is responsible for data ownership, governance, and processes. The steward’s role would differ depending on the company’s freight operating model and its position along the outsourcing spectrum.
In a more internally run model, for example, the steward might have greater ownership over components such as shipment-level freight data and carrier performance metrics, with sole visibility into freight audit and payment data. In a more highly outsourced model, the steward would have less direct data ownership and control but would maintain upstream ownership of supplier relationship management (SRM) and lane-level shipment data. The steward would also need full “control tower” visibility into downstream booking, scheduling, distribution, pricing, and payment. This concept of the data steward needing more or less control of specific types of data is shown in Figure 3.
[Figure 3] The importance of a data steward's role varies by data type Enlarge this image
The only constant: change
The turbulence and disruptions that shippers are experiencing today are not expected to go away any time soon. Scientists expect more frequent pandemics and 100-year weather events in coming years. Meanwhile retail e-commerce, global sourcing, and trade will grow increasingly complex. These conditions put the supply chain and its underlying freight operating model front and center in the push for competitive advantage. An optimal balance of internal and outsourced functions, coupled with efficient data management and stewardship, will leave organizations well-positioned to take on whatever challenges volatile markets may bring.
The practice consists of 5,000 professionals from Accenture and from Avanade—the consulting firm’s joint venture with Microsoft. They will be supported by Microsoft product specialists who will work closely with the Accenture Center for Advanced AI. Together, that group will collaborate on AI and Copilot agent templates, extensions, plugins, and connectors to help organizations leverage their data and gen AI to reduce costs, improve efficiencies and drive growth, they said on Thursday.
Accenture and Avanade say they have already developed some AI tools for these applications. For example, a supplier discovery and risk agent can deliver real-time market insights, agile supply chain responses, and better vendor selection, which could result in up to 15% cost savings. And a procure-to-pay agent could improve efficiency by up to 40% and enhance vendor relations and satisfaction by addressing urgent payment requirements and avoiding disruptions of key services
Likewise, they have also built solutions for clients using Microsoft 365 Copilot technology. For example, they have created Copilots for a variety of industries and functions including finance, manufacturing, supply chain, retail, and consumer goods and healthcare.
Another part of the new practice will be educating clients how to use the technology, using an “Azure Generative AI Engineer Nanodegree program” to teach users how to design, build, and operationalize AI-driven applications on Azure, Microsoft’s cloud computing platform. The online classes will teach learners how to use AI models to solve real-world problems through automation, data insights, and generative AI solutions, the firms said.
“We are pleased to deepen our collaboration with Accenture to help our mutual customers develop AI-first business processes responsibly and securely, while helping them drive market differentiation,” Judson Althoff, executive vice president and chief commercial officer at Microsoft, said in a release. “By bringing together Copilots and human ambition, paired with the autonomous capabilities of an agent, we can accelerate AI transformation for organizations across industries and help them realize successful business outcomes through pragmatic innovation.”
Census data showed that overall retail sales in October were up 0.4% seasonally adjusted month over month and up 2.8% unadjusted year over year. That compared with increases of 0.8% month over month and 2% year over year in September.
October’s core retail sales as defined by NRF — based on the Census data but excluding automobile dealers, gasoline stations and restaurants — were unchanged seasonally adjusted month over month but up 5.4% unadjusted year over year.
Core sales were up 3.5% year over year for the first 10 months of the year, in line with NRF’s forecast for 2024 retail sales to grow between 2.5% and 3.5% over 2023. NRF is forecasting that 2024 holiday sales during November and December will also increase between 2.5% and 3.5% over the same time last year.
“October’s pickup in retail sales shows a healthy pace of spending as many consumers got an early start on holiday shopping,” NRF Chief Economist Jack Kleinhenz said in a release. “October sales were a good early step forward into the holiday shopping season, which is now fully underway. Falling energy prices have likely provided extra dollars for household spending on retail merchandise.”
Despite that positive trend, market watchers cautioned that retailers still need to offer competitive value propositions and customer experience in order to succeed in the holiday season. “The American consumer has been more resilient than anyone could have expected. But that isn’t a free pass for retailers to under invest in their stores,” Nikki Baird, VP of strategy & product at Aptos, a solutions provider of unified retail technology based out of Alpharetta, Georgia, said in a statement. “They need to make investments in labor, customer experience tech, and digital transformation. It has been too easy to kick the can down the road until you suddenly realize there’s no road left.”
A similar message came from Chip West, a retail and consumer behavior expert at the marketing, packaging, print and supply chain solutions provider RRD. “October’s increase proved to be slightly better than projections and was likely boosted by lower fuel prices. As inflation slowed for a number of months, prices in several categories have stabilized, with some even showing declines, offering further relief to consumers,” West said. “The data also looks to be a positive sign as we kick off the holiday shopping season. Promotions and discounts will play a prominent role in holiday shopping behavior as they are key influencers in consumer’s purchasing decisions.”
That result came from the company’s “GEP Global Supply Chain Volatility Index,” an indicator tracking demand conditions, shortages, transportation costs, inventories, and backlogs based on a monthly survey of 27,000 businesses. The October index number was -0.39, which was up only slightly from its level of -0.43 in September.
Researchers found a steep rise in slack across North American supply chains due to declining factory activity in the U.S. In fact, purchasing managers at U.S. manufacturers made their strongest cutbacks to buying volumes in nearly a year and a half, indicating that factories in the world's largest economy are preparing for lower production volumes, GEP said.
Elsewhere, suppliers feeding Asia also reported spare capacity in October, albeit to a lesser degree than seen in Western markets. Europe's industrial plight remained a key feature of the data in October, as vendor capacity was significantly underutilized, reflecting a continuation of subdued demand in key manufacturing hubs across the continent.
"We're in a buyers' market. October is the fourth straight month that suppliers worldwide reported spare capacity, with notable contractions in factory demand across North America and Europe, underscoring the challenging outlook for Western manufacturers," Todd Bremer, vice president, GEP, said in a release. "President-elect Trump inherits U.S. manufacturers with plenty of spare capacity while in contrast, China's modest rebound and strong expansion in India demonstrate greater resilience in Asia."
Even as the e-commerce sector overall continues expanding toward a forecasted 41% of all retail sales by 2027, many small to medium e-commerce companies are struggling to find the investment funding they need to increase sales, according to a sector survey from online capital platform Stenn.
Global geopolitical instability and increasing inflation are causing e-commerce firms to face a liquidity crisis, which means companies may not be able to access the funds they need to grow, Stenn’s survey of 500 senior e-commerce leaders found. The research was conducted by Opinion Matters between August 29 and September 5.
Survey findings include:
61.8% of leaders who sought growth capital did so to invest in advanced technologies, such as AI and machine learning, to improve their businesses.
When asked which resources they wished they had more access to, 63.8% of respondents pointed to growth capital.
Women indicated a stronger need for business operations training (51.2%) and financial planning resources (48.8%) compared to men (30.8% and 15.4%).
40% of business owners are seeking external financial advice and mentorship at least once a week to help with business decisions.
Almost half (49.6%) of respondents are proactively forecasting their business activity 6-18 months ahead.
“As e-commerce continues to grow rapidly, driven by increasing online consumer demand and technological innovation, it’s important to remember that capital constraints and access to growth financing remain persistent hurdles for many e-commerce business leaders especially at small and medium-sized businesses,” Noel Hillman, Chief Commercial Officer at Stenn, said in a release. “In this competitive landscape, ensuring liquidity and optimizing supply chain processes are critical to sustaining growth and scaling operations.”
With six keynote and more than 100 educational sessions, CSCMP EDGE 2024 offered a wealth of content. Here are highlights from just some of the presentations.
A great American story
Author and entrepreneur Fawn Weaver closed out the first day of the conference by telling the little-known story of Nathan “Nearest” Green, who was born into slavery, freed after the Civil War, and went on to become the first master distiller for the Jack Daniel’s Whiskey brand. Through extensive research and interviews with descendants of the Daniel and Green families, Weaver discovered what she describes as a positive American story.
She told the story in her best-selling book, Love & Whiskey: The Remarkable True Story of Jack Daniel, His Master Distiller Nearest Green, and the Improbable Rise of Uncle Nearest. That story also inspired her to create Uncle Nearest Premium Whiskey.
Weaver discussed the barriers she encountered in bringing the brand to life, her vision for where it’s headed, and her take on the supply chain—which she views as both a necessary cost of doing business and an opportunity.
“[It’s] an opportunity if you can move quickly,” she said, pointing to a recent project in which the company was able to fast-track a new Uncle Nearest product thanks to close collaboration with its supply chain partners.
A two-pronged business transformation
We may be living in a world full of technology, but strategy and focus remain the top priorities when it comes to managing a business and its supply chains. So says Roberto Isaias, executive vice president and chief supply chain officer for toy manufacturing and entertainment company Mattel.
Isaias emphasized the point during his keynote on day two of EDGE 2024. He described how Mattel transformed itself amid surging demand for Barbie-branded items following the success of the Barbie movie.
That transformation, according to Isaias, came on two fronts: commercially and logistically. Today, Mattel is steadily moving beyond the toy aisle with two films and 13 TV series in production as well as 14 films and 35 shows in development. And as for those supply chain gains? The company has saved millions, increased productivity, and improved profit margins—even amid cost increases and inflation.
A framework for chasing excellence
Most of the time when CEOs present at an industry conference, they like to talk about their companies’ success stories. Not J.B. Hunt’s Shelley Simpson. Speaking at EDGE, the trucking company’s president and CEO led with a story about a time that the company lost a major customer.
According to Simpson, the company had a customer of their dedicated contract business in 2001 that was consistently making late shipments with no lead time. “We were working like crazy to try to satisfy them, and lost their business,” Simpson said.
When the team at J.B. Hunt later met with the customer’s chief supply chain officer and related all they had been doing, the customer responded, “You never shared everything you were doing for us.”
Out of that experience, came J.B. Hunt’s Customer Value Delivery framework. The framework consists of five steps: 1) understand customer needs, 2) deliver expectations, 3) measure results, 4) communicate performance, and 5) anticipate new value.
Next year’s CSCMP EDGE conference on October 5–8 in National Harbor, Md., promises to have a similarly deep lineup of keynote presentations. Register early at www.cscmpedge.org.