Dr. Dale Rogers, professor of supply chain management at Arizona State University, enjoys venturing off the well-worn path and investigating research questions and topics that have received little to no attention from his fellow academics.
Case in point: While everyone else was focusing on forward logistics in the late 1990s and early 2000s, Rogers was looking at reverse logistics, co-writing one of the first books about the subject. In fact, he was so early to the study of the discipline that he has since been dubbed, “the father of reverse logistics.”
Similarly, while many have studied how macroeconomic trends affect logistics, Rogers helped create the Logistics Managers Index, which shows how logistics serves as a leading indicator for the rest of the economy.
Finally, many practitioners and researchers have looked at how to cut costs and improve efficiency in the supply chain. In contrast, Rogers’ most recent book, Supply Chain Financing (co-written with Rudolf Leuschner of Rutgers University and Thomas Choi of Arizona State) discusses how supply chain management can fund the rest of the organization.
While being known as a bit of a maverick, Rogers has always been open about how much he owes to his mentors, especially the late Donald J. Bowersox, legendary logistics professor at Michigan State University. Like Bowersox, Rogers is dedicated to raising up the next generation of supply chain thinkers, including his own son Zachary Rogers who teaches supply chain at Colorado State University.
This sense of curiosity and desire to help educate and advance others is what led to Rogers being presented with supply chain’s highest honor: CSCMP’s Distinguished Service Award.
Rogers took some time to reflect on his career with Supply Chain Quarterly’s Managing Editor Diane Rand a the CSCMP EDGE Conference in September.
NAME: Dale S. Rogers
TITLE: ON Semiconductor Professor of Business at the Supply Chain Management department at Arizona State University
EDUCATION: bachelor’s degree, MBA, and Ph.D. from Michigan State University
PREVIOUS EXPERIENCE: Professor of Supply Chain and Logistics Management at Rutgers University; Professor of Supply Chain and Logistics Management, University of Nevada
LEADERSHIP: Director of the Frontier Economies Logistics Lab and the Co-Director of the Internet Edge Supply Chain Lab ASU; Principal Investigator of the $15 million CARISCA Project at Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology in Kumasi, Ghana; Director of Global Projects for ILOS–Instituto de Logística e Supply Chain in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil; Board Advisor to Flexe, Enterra Solutions, and Droneventory; founding board member of the Global Supply Chain Resiliency Council and Reverse Logistics and Sustainability Council; serves on the board of directors for the Organización Mundial de Ciudades y Plataformas Logísticas
HONORS: CSCMP Distinguished Service Award and International Warehouse and Logistics Association Distinguished Service Award
RESEARCH AREAS: reverse logistics, sustainable supply chain management, supply chain finance, and secondary markets
What first sparked your interest in supply chain management?
I was an MBA student at Michigan State concentrating in finance, and somebody told me, “There is this thing called material and logistics management, and Michigan State is the best in the world at this thing.” I thought, gee, I was a math teacher in the Lansing Public School district, which was in great decline. I would like to be in a profession where I am not at risk of being laid off, so I switched [my concentration]. And I really fell in love with it. Dr. Bowersox, who taught a class I was in, remembered me, and he brought me back home to Lansing a couple of years after I graduated. I worked for his company, and then I got my doctorate under him. That was really the beginning of it.
You were one of many prominent supply chain academics who were taught by Dr. Bowersox. How did he influence your own work?
He actually changed how I think. He was always in a hurry and was always pushing [his students] to be in a hurry with him. He could see the simple truth in a big complex thing, and he sort of taught us how to do that. In that way, he kind of taught us how to be faculty. You know, it was really kind of a thing: All of his Ph.D. students ended up being pretty successful. It is an honor to have gotten to be one of them.
Well, having a wonderful mentor…
It really matters.
It really does matter. So, one of your main areas of focus for many years has been reverse logistics. How has reverse logistics, and the industry’s attention to it, changed over the years?
I think people have begun to see that it is an important strategic variable. Over the last year, we really saw a shift in e-commerce, and returns became a more important part of managing your supply chain. Also, I think people have discovered that returns and overstocks can be quite profitable. The secondary market in the U.S.—think about [the retail stores like] Ross Stores, Marshalls, HomeGoods, and all the factory outlets—those were originally designed to be a drain for stuff that didn’t sell or got returned but those are very profitable businesses. A lot of times you can buy for very low cost, and then you can sell for less.
As an analogy, I always tell people to think back to your college experience, where you probably bought that new science textbook for—well, I am old so I was going to say $75, but it is now probably $200.
It’s like $250. I have a college student.
$250. Then you sell it back for $20, and then the bookstore sells it for $175. For the bookstore, that is a great deal, right?
A wonderful deal.
So, there is a lot of money—a lot of profit—in reverse logistics that is then transformed into the secondary market.
In what ways are we still struggling in terms of reverse logistics?
Well, there is not as many really great reverse logistics [IT] systems. There hasn’t been a lot of digitization in reverse logistics actually.
Maybe now is the time for some good innovation.
I think this is a really great time for some of the startups.
Shifting gears: Last year the book you co-authored on supply chain financing came out. Can you briefly explain what supply chain financing is?
So, the purpose of the supply chain has always been: make, source, deliver, return, and so on. But today, a lot of times, the best source of capital is found within the supply chain, so supply chains are being used to fund the organization and sometimes vice versa. For example, if you think about the Apple model, they’ve got about 10 days’ worth of inventory globally. Do they only have 10 days? No. They’ve probably got more, but they are sticking it at the supplier, so they are using their supply chain to facilitate really good financials for Apple.
How did your interest in this area develop?
Well, I was teaching at Rutgers [University] at the time in New Jersey, and we went over to Midtown Manhattan, and we visited Colgate-Palmolive. They were so nice to us. They had a supply chain finance department, and they had all their people there to talk to the old professor. They kept using an acronym I didn’t understand, “FTG.” I thought maybe that was a financial thing. I didn’t know what it was. I said, “What is that?” And they said, “Oh sorry Dale, it is ‘fund the growth.’” So, Colgate is an old company. Their stock price is not going up a lot or down. You can max out on your debt capital very easily. So, the best capital to fund growth in emerging economies is found in the supply chain. That really piqued my interest.
How are you helping to mentor and influence the next generation of supply chain thinkers?
Well, you know, one of them, [my son Zac Rogers,] grew up in my house. So maybe he is more mentoring me these days. It really is fun because a lot of the young academics have exceptional toolsets, and they can really do stuff that an old man doesn’t know how to do. It is sort of a mutual thing. I really enjoy getting to work with them. There is a lot of really bright young faculty in supply chain that are coming through. This is a really exciting time.
How do you like collaborating with your son?
That is pretty fun most of the days. He is a smart kid. He does the [Logistics Managers Index] with me, and he does more work than me on it. He knows a bunch of stuff I don’t, so it has been really fun. What a gift to get to work with your son.
You have been involved in Executive Education programs all over the world. Why are these international assignments so important to you, and how have you benefited from them?
Truthfully it is a two-way street because whenever you teach in one of those, you usually learn stuff from the class. I really enjoy getting to see the world a little bit as well. It is fun, it is profitable, and it is also a really nice learning tool for me. I have students all over the world.
Lastly, what is one of your proudest career achievements would you say?}
Well, I have to tell you, this Distinguished Service Award is a real gift. But, you know, getting to be one of the early guys on reverse logistics, that’s a cool thing, and getting to be early on supply chain financing, that is also a cool thing. Truthfully the whole deal has been kind of a blast. It is really a great job. Eventually maybe somebody is going to come to my classroom, and say, “Sorry Dale, you’ve got to go home.” But until they do, I am going to keep doing it.
Just 29% of supply chain organizations have the competitive characteristics they’ll need for future readiness, according to a Gartner survey released Tuesday. The survey focused on how organizations are preparing for future challenges and to keep their supply chains competitive.
Gartner surveyed 579 supply chain practitioners to determine the capabilities needed to manage the “future drivers of influence” on supply chains, which include artificial intelligence (AI) achievement and the ability to navigate new trade policies. According to the survey, the five competitive characteristics are: agility, resilience, regionalization, integrated ecosystems, and integrated enterprise strategy.
The survey analysis identified “leaders” among the respondents as supply chain organizations that have already developed at least three of the five competitive characteristics necessary to address the top five drivers of supply chain’s future.
Less than a third have met that threshold.
“Leaders shared a commitment to preparation through long-term, deliberate strategies, while non-leaders were more often focused on short-term priorities,” Pierfrancesco Manenti, vice president analyst in Gartner’s Supply Chain practice, said in a statement announcing the survey results.
“Most leaders have yet to invest in the most advanced technologies (e.g. real-time visibility, digital supply chain twin), but plan to do so in the next three-to-five years,” Manenti also said in the statement. “Leaders see technology as an enabler to their overall business strategies, while non-leaders more often invest in technology first, without having fully established their foundational capabilities.”
As part of the survey, respondents were asked to identify the future drivers of influence on supply chain performance over the next three to five years. The top five drivers are: achievement capability of AI (74%); the amount of new ESG regulations and trade policies being released (67%); geopolitical fight/transition for power (65%); control over data (62%); and talent scarcity (59%).
The analysis also identified four unique profiles of supply chain organizations, based on what their leaders deem as the most crucial capabilities for empowering their organizations over the next three to five years.
First, 54% of retailers are looking for ways to increase their financial recovery from returns. That’s because the cost to return a purchase averages 27% of the purchase price, which erases as much as 50% of the sales margin. But consumers have their own interests in mind: 76% of shoppers admit they’ve embellished or exaggerated the return reason to avoid a fee, a 39% increase from 2023 to 204.
Second, return experiences matter to consumers. A whopping 80% of shoppers stopped shopping at a retailer because of changes to the return policy—a 34% increase YoY.
Third, returns fraud and abuse is top-of-mind-for retailers, with wardrobing rising 38% in 2024. In fact, over two thirds (69%) of shoppers admit to wardrobing, which is the practice of buying an item for a specific reason or event and returning it after use. Shoppers also practice bracketing, or purchasing an item in a variety of colors or sizes and then returning all the unwanted options.
Fourth, returns come with a steep cost in terms of sustainability, with returns amounting to 8.4 billion pounds of landfill waste in 2023 alone.
“As returns have become an integral part of the shopper experience, retailers must balance meeting sky-high expectations with rising costs, environmental impact, and fraudulent behaviors,” Amena Ali, CEO of Optoro, said in the firm’s “2024 Returns Unwrapped” report. “By understanding shoppers’ behaviors and preferences around returns, retailers can create returns experiences that embrace their needs while driving deeper loyalty and protecting their bottom line.”
Facing an evolving supply chain landscape in 2025, companies are being forced to rethink their distribution strategies to cope with challenges like rising cost pressures, persistent labor shortages, and the complexities of managing SKU proliferation.
1. Optimize labor productivity and costs. Forward-thinking businesses are leveraging technology to get more done with fewer resources through approaches like slotting optimization, automation and robotics, and inventory visibility.
2. Maximize capacity with smart solutions. With e-commerce volumes rising, facilities need to handle more SKUs and orders without expanding their physical footprint. That can be achieved through high-density storage and dynamic throughput.
3. Streamline returns management. Returns are a growing challenge, thanks to the continued growth of e-commerce and the consumer practice of bracketing. Businesses can handle that with smarter reverse logistics processes like automated returns processing and reverse logistics visibility.
4. Accelerate order fulfillment with robotics. Robotic solutions are transforming the way orders are fulfilled, helping businesses meet customer expectations faster and more accurately than ever before by using autonomous mobile robots (AMRs and robotic picking.
5. Enhance end-of-line packaging. The final step in the supply chain is often the most visible to customers. So optimizing packaging processes can reduce costs, improve efficiency, and support sustainability goals through automated packaging systems and sustainability initiatives.
Geopolitical rivalries, alliances, and aspirations are rewiring the global economy—and the imposition of new tariffs on foreign imports by the U.S. will accelerate that process, according to an analysis by Boston Consulting Group (BCG).
Without a broad increase in tariffs, world trade in goods will keep growing at an average of 2.9% annually for the next eight years, the firm forecasts in its report, “Great Powers, Geopolitics, and the Future of Trade.” But the routes goods travel will change markedly as North America reduces its dependence on China and China builds up its links with the Global South, which is cementing its power in the global trade map.
“Global trade is set to top $29 trillion by 2033, but the routes these goods will travel is changing at a remarkable pace,” Aparna Bharadwaj, managing director and partner at BCG, said in a release. “Trade lanes were already shifting from historical patterns and looming US tariffs will accelerate this. Navigating these new dynamics will be critical for any global business.”
To understand those changes, BCG modeled the direct impact of the 60/25/20 scenario (60% tariff on Chinese goods, a 25% on goods from Canada and Mexico, and a 20% on imports from all other countries). The results show that the tariffs would add $640 billion to the cost of importing goods from the top ten U.S. import nations, based on 2023 levels, unless alternative sources or suppliers are found.
In terms of product categories imported by the U.S., the greatest impact would be on imported auto parts and automotive vehicles, which would primarily affect trade with Mexico, the EU, and Japan. Consumer electronics, electrical machinery, and fashion goods would be most affected by higher tariffs on Chinese goods. Specifically, the report forecasts that a 60% tariff rate would add $61 billion to cost of importing consumer electronics products from China into the U.S.
That strategy is described by RILA President Brian Dodge in a document titled “2025 Retail Public Policy Agenda,” which begins by describing leading retailers as “dynamic and multifaceted businesses that begin on Main Street and stretch across the world to bring high value and affordable consumer goods to American families.”
RILA says its policy priorities support that membership in four ways:
Investing in people. Retail is for everyone; the place for a first job, 2nd chance, third act, or a side hustle – the retail workforce represents the American workforce.
Ensuring a safe, sustainable future. RILA is working with lawmakers to help shape policies that protect our customers and meet expectations regarding environmental concerns.
Leading in the community. Retail is more than a store; we are an integral part of the fabric of our communities.
“As Congress and the Trump administration move forward to adopt policies that reduce regulatory burdens, create economic growth, and bring value to American families, understanding how such policies will impact retailers and the communities we serve is imperative,” Dodge said. “RILA and its member companies look forward to collaborating with policymakers to provide industry-specific insights and data to help shape any policies under consideration.”