The past two years have been both terrifying and exhilarating for retailers. They’ve experienced the lows of pandemic-induced shutdowns that kept customers away from stores as well as the highs of an exploding online marketplace.
Managing it all for Target is Arthur Valdez Jr. As executive vice president and chief supply chain and logistics officer, he oversees all aspects of Target’s global supply chain and logistics network, including inventory management, replenishment, fulfillment, global transportation, logistics, and distribution.
Valdez joined Target in 2016, bringing more than 25 years of retail supply chain and logistics experience to his new role. He previously served in senior leadership positions at Amazon and Walmart. He has spent much of his career building retail supply chain networks in North, South, and Central America as well as in Europe and Asia.
The son of Mexican-American and Cuban parents, Valdez was the first member of his family to attend college. A graduate of Colorado State University, he currently serves on the university’s Global Leadership Council as well as on the boards of directors for Advance Auto Parts and Shipt. He also volunteers his time to mentor other first-generation and minority college students, and assists women and minorities in developing their careers and progressing within Target. He spoke with CSCMP’s Supply Chain Quarterly Executive Director David Maloney about the retailer’s innovative stores-as-hubs model and the future of automation and robotics in Target’s supply chain operations.
CAPTION
NAME: Arthur Valdez Jr.
TITLE: Executive vice president and chief supply chain and logistics officer, Target
EDUCATION: Bachelor’s degree in business, operations management from Colorado State University
PREVIOUS EXPERIENCE: Before joining Target in 2016, he served in several positions with retailer Amazon that included director of operations; vice president of operations at Amazon U.K.; vice president, North American supply chain and transportation; vice president, worldwide transportation; and vice president, operations international expansion (supply chain, fulfillment centers, transportation)
LEADERSHIP: Council of Supply Chain Management Professionals (CSCMP) member; serves on the Colorado State University Global Leadership Council, as well as on the boards of directors for Advance Auto Parts and Shipt; mentors first-generation and minority college students, and assists women and minorities in developing their careers and progressing within Target
You have many years of experience managing supply chains for retail companies. How has supply chain management changed during your time in the industry?
Supply chains—really, the logistics of supply chain—have evolved considerably over the last 30 years. Early on in my career, supply chains were decentralized; there were several disparate parts to the whole. In the 1990s, the practice of supply chain management was popularized. You saw companies streamlining the planning and logistics of their supply chain network. Ten years later, that evolution morphed into a focus on supply chain integration in service of speed—that is, getting the most out of the network by consolidating or integrating tasks to reduce the number of “touches.” And over the last decade or so, we’ve seen the practice of automating supply chains and the introduction of mechanization and robotics with a more holistic view of the end-to-end process. This most recent change has brought greater insight into inventory, both upstream in supply chain facilities and downstream to stores and digital. It’s this modern approach to supply chain logistics that feeds Target’s path forward.
At Target, our stores are at the center of what we do. We’ve invested in our stores as local shopping service hubs. Doing so has enabled us to fulfill a rapidly increasing number of digital orders by improving speed of inventory, adding throughput capacity, and lowering cost. And we’re building a precise supply chain to keep those stores well-stocked and ready for guests.
You’ve worked for a number of leading retailers. How does Target’s supply chain compare with those other operations?
I’ve had the opportunity to work across the retail sector, and one thing that really stands out to me about Target is the balance of the investments in our people and innovation for an improved guest experience. The past two years have been great proof of that, as our investments in our team led to better innovation in service to our guests, which drove business growth on top of growth. Our team is the connection between solving for improved distribution processes and technology, which allows us to deliver safety, ease, reliability, and even joy during times of uncertainty.
In addition, we set ourselves apart through our stores-as-hubs model to sort and ship product, creating efficiencies across our supply chain and leveraging the talent of our team members.
Target has experienced tremendous growth in online sales. How has that changed your distribution strategies?
During the pandemic and the growth of online shopping, we knew we were playing a crucial role in communities across the country, making sure our guests had what they needed to take care of themselves and their families. The investments we had made ahead of time helped us play an essential role in our communities where they were choosing to shop online, while putting in place the building blocks for continued growth in years to come.
To do so, we accelerated new capabilities in our supply chain that were needed to support the growing demand in our stores and enable Target’s growth for the weeks, months, and years ahead. From opening new supply chain facilities that could move inventory in new ways to scaling robotic sortation for more precise store replenishment to introducing sortation centers that give stores more capacity to fulfill online orders—we continue to prioritize the investments that will support our team and fuel Target’s growth.
You mentioned that Target has begun using stores as local service hubs. Could you describe what you’re doing?
Target has spent years building and scaling capabilities that put our stores at the center of how we serve our guests, no matter how they choose to shop. Our stores are the heart of our business and play a critical role in inspiring our guests; powering fast, convenient in-store and digital shopping trips; and supporting and developing our incredible team.
The investments we’ve consistently made to put stores at the center of our operation have given us flexibility to deliver on our commitments to team members and guests, deepening trust in our brand and positioning us for future growth.
When 2020 arrived, our stores were already positioned as local shopping service hubs to meet guests’ needs quickly and at a lower cost, with the flexibility in our operations to ramp up to meet growing demand. Prior to that, we had made investments in our supply chain to support our stores-as-hubs model—from making store replenishment faster and more precise to building new capabilities so our facilities could serve guests in many ways.
Target’s continued investment in its stores-as-hubs model places our more than 1,900 stores at the center of how we serve guests, continuing to enhance the guest experience, including shipping online orders in store and offering same-day pickup and delivery, while providing an easy and safe in-store experience for our guests.
Target has recently acquired several businesses, including Shipt, Grand Junction, and Deliv. How have these helped you meet your service commitments?
Today, the e-commerce race is focused on speed. And while that’s a crucial component of delivery, the future will be much more about precision with a focus on providing a customized, local experience and ultimately giving consumers even more choices and control over how they shop.
The investments we’ve made over the last few years have allowed us to integrate Target’s technology, facilities, and operational capabilities to be even more precise and efficient, allowing us to create a customer-centric experience that’s fast and helps fulfill orders closer to the guest and drive growth of our digital delivery.
Target acquired Shipt and Grand Junction in 2017 to bolster our fulfillment capabilities and provide quick and efficient same-day delivery to guests across the country. This accelerated the work we had done to improve our speed of delivery to allow guests to get products on their own terms. Our acquisition of Deliv’s technology in 2020 is another opportunity that focuses on last-mile delivery at Target, ensuring stores are kept at the center of our strategy and lowering shipping costs, all while delivering packages even quicker.
Our continued investments and innovation will drive growth and differentiation for years to come, including bold investments across the business of $4 billion annually.
Can you talk about your new facility in New Jersey that fills both store replenishment and direct-to-consumer orders from the same pool of inventory?
Supply chain facilities like the one in Logan, New Jersey, were created to use one inventory for however the guest needs it—whether we send it to a store or ship it right to a guest. Having the capability to do both allows Target to get orders to guests faster and keep our shelves stocked by delivering the right amount of merchandise to a store when it’s needed and in a way that makes it easy for our store teams to put it on the shelf.
Target’s aim is to replenish stores in hours and to maximize the inventory placed on the sales shelf, especially in new small-format stores and locations in denser urban areas. This approach also uses the same pool of inventory to replenish stores and fulfill online orders. These facilities send shipments to stores more frequently and in smaller lots tailored more precisely to demand rather than shipping big cases of products.
We’ll continue to invest in our stores, our supply chain, and our team members, which all fuel Target’s growth, to build the supply chain of the future.
You’ve built four new sortation centers. How do they fit into your network?
Our sortation centers are just one part of our extensive global supply chain and logistics network that is fully mobilized to support our guests, no matter how they choose to shop.
With Target’s stores fulfilling the majority of guests’ online orders, sortation centers make this process even faster, retrieving packages frequently from stores and sorting, batching, and routing them for delivery to local neighborhoods.
By removing the sorting process from our backrooms, we save valuable time and space for our store teams to fulfill additional orders, and because our sortation center technology presorts and arranges packages for easy pickup, it reduces processing time for our delivery partners too.
Labor can be tough to find these days. What do you do to attract and retain workers?
We care about and invest in team members and consistently hear from them that they’re attracted to Target because of our industry-leading pay and benefits, caring culture, and opportunities for ongoing career development. We’ve invested in pay and benefits that include a $15 starting wage, education assistance, bonuses, access to counseling services and doctors, and more-stable schedules.
Due to our longstanding investments in our team members and listening to their needs, we have been able to retain our team and confidently staff our supply chain facilities and stores during an unprecedented labor market. In fact, we’ve exceeded our goal to hire 30,000 new supply chain team members and 100,000 seasonal team members at our stores across the country. These investments have helped us evolve and pivot successfully over time, leading to higher guest satisfaction and greater efficiency, all of which help to fuel our continued business success, safety culture, and ability to flex to meet guest demand.
What roles will automation and robotics play in the future of Target’s supply chain operations?
At Target, we’re focused on building capabilities that give our guests options for how they engage with us—whether it’s shopping in-store, online, or through drive-up order pickup. We’re committed to providing the easiest and safest shopping experience in the years to come.
To do so, we’ll continue to invest in many developments across our stores and supply chain that fuel Target’s growth. We’ve laid out more automation, robotics, and artificial intelligence throughout our supply chain to build a fast, efficient, and precise supply chain. Target is always exploring automated solutions upstream to support the work of our team. We invest in automation that helps sort and move millions of items quickly and precisely, so our teams deliver them to our stores and our guests where, when, and how they want.
We’ll continue building the supply chain of the future, while keeping our stores and our team members at the center of how we deliver a joyful shopping experience to our Target guests.
Editor’s Note: This interview originally appeared in the February 2022 issue of our sister publication, DC Velocity.
Just 29% of supply chain organizations have the competitive characteristics they’ll need for future readiness, according to a Gartner survey released Tuesday. The survey focused on how organizations are preparing for future challenges and to keep their supply chains competitive.
Gartner surveyed 579 supply chain practitioners to determine the capabilities needed to manage the “future drivers of influence” on supply chains, which include artificial intelligence (AI) achievement and the ability to navigate new trade policies. According to the survey, the five competitive characteristics are: agility, resilience, regionalization, integrated ecosystems, and integrated enterprise strategy.
The survey analysis identified “leaders” among the respondents as supply chain organizations that have already developed at least three of the five competitive characteristics necessary to address the top five drivers of supply chain’s future.
Less than a third have met that threshold.
“Leaders shared a commitment to preparation through long-term, deliberate strategies, while non-leaders were more often focused on short-term priorities,” Pierfrancesco Manenti, vice president analyst in Gartner’s Supply Chain practice, said in a statement announcing the survey results.
“Most leaders have yet to invest in the most advanced technologies (e.g. real-time visibility, digital supply chain twin), but plan to do so in the next three-to-five years,” Manenti also said in the statement. “Leaders see technology as an enabler to their overall business strategies, while non-leaders more often invest in technology first, without having fully established their foundational capabilities.”
As part of the survey, respondents were asked to identify the future drivers of influence on supply chain performance over the next three to five years. The top five drivers are: achievement capability of AI (74%); the amount of new ESG regulations and trade policies being released (67%); geopolitical fight/transition for power (65%); control over data (62%); and talent scarcity (59%).
The analysis also identified four unique profiles of supply chain organizations, based on what their leaders deem as the most crucial capabilities for empowering their organizations over the next three to five years.
First, 54% of retailers are looking for ways to increase their financial recovery from returns. That’s because the cost to return a purchase averages 27% of the purchase price, which erases as much as 50% of the sales margin. But consumers have their own interests in mind: 76% of shoppers admit they’ve embellished or exaggerated the return reason to avoid a fee, a 39% increase from 2023 to 204.
Second, return experiences matter to consumers. A whopping 80% of shoppers stopped shopping at a retailer because of changes to the return policy—a 34% increase YoY.
Third, returns fraud and abuse is top-of-mind-for retailers, with wardrobing rising 38% in 2024. In fact, over two thirds (69%) of shoppers admit to wardrobing, which is the practice of buying an item for a specific reason or event and returning it after use. Shoppers also practice bracketing, or purchasing an item in a variety of colors or sizes and then returning all the unwanted options.
Fourth, returns come with a steep cost in terms of sustainability, with returns amounting to 8.4 billion pounds of landfill waste in 2023 alone.
“As returns have become an integral part of the shopper experience, retailers must balance meeting sky-high expectations with rising costs, environmental impact, and fraudulent behaviors,” Amena Ali, CEO of Optoro, said in the firm’s “2024 Returns Unwrapped” report. “By understanding shoppers’ behaviors and preferences around returns, retailers can create returns experiences that embrace their needs while driving deeper loyalty and protecting their bottom line.”
Facing an evolving supply chain landscape in 2025, companies are being forced to rethink their distribution strategies to cope with challenges like rising cost pressures, persistent labor shortages, and the complexities of managing SKU proliferation.
1. Optimize labor productivity and costs. Forward-thinking businesses are leveraging technology to get more done with fewer resources through approaches like slotting optimization, automation and robotics, and inventory visibility.
2. Maximize capacity with smart solutions. With e-commerce volumes rising, facilities need to handle more SKUs and orders without expanding their physical footprint. That can be achieved through high-density storage and dynamic throughput.
3. Streamline returns management. Returns are a growing challenge, thanks to the continued growth of e-commerce and the consumer practice of bracketing. Businesses can handle that with smarter reverse logistics processes like automated returns processing and reverse logistics visibility.
4. Accelerate order fulfillment with robotics. Robotic solutions are transforming the way orders are fulfilled, helping businesses meet customer expectations faster and more accurately than ever before by using autonomous mobile robots (AMRs and robotic picking.
5. Enhance end-of-line packaging. The final step in the supply chain is often the most visible to customers. So optimizing packaging processes can reduce costs, improve efficiency, and support sustainability goals through automated packaging systems and sustainability initiatives.
That clash has come as retailers have been hustling to adjust to pandemic swings like a renewed focus on e-commerce, then swiftly reimagining store experiences as foot traffic returned. But even as the dust settles from those changes, retailers are now facing renewed questions about how best to define their omnichannel strategy in a world where customers have increasing power and information.
The answer may come from a five-part strategy using integrated components to fortify omnichannel retail, EY said. The approach can unlock value and customer trust through great experiences, but only when implemented cohesively, not individually, EY warns.
The steps include:
1. Functional integration: Is your operating model and data infrastructure siloed between e-commerce and physical stores, or have you developed a cohesive unit centered around delivering seamless customer experience?
2. Customer insights: With consumer centricity at the heart of operations, are you analyzing all touch points to build a holistic view of preferences, behaviors, and buying patterns?
3. Next-generation inventory: Given the right customer insights, how are you utilizing advanced analytics to ensure inventory is optimized to meet demand precisely where and when it’s needed?
4. Distribution partnerships: Having ensured your customers find what they want where they want it, how are your distribution strategies adapting to deliver these choices to them swiftly and efficiently?
5. Real estate strategy: How is your real estate strategy interconnected with insights, inventory and distribution to enhance experience and maximize your footprint?
When approached cohesively, these efforts all build toward one overarching differentiator for retailers: a better customer experience that reaches from brand engagement and order placement through delivery and return, the EY study said. Amid continued volatility and an economy driven by complex customer demands, the retailers best set up to win are those that are striving to gain real-time visibility into stock levels, offer flexible fulfillment options and modernize merchandising through personalized and dynamic customer experiences.
Geopolitical rivalries, alliances, and aspirations are rewiring the global economy—and the imposition of new tariffs on foreign imports by the U.S. will accelerate that process, according to an analysis by Boston Consulting Group (BCG).
Without a broad increase in tariffs, world trade in goods will keep growing at an average of 2.9% annually for the next eight years, the firm forecasts in its report, “Great Powers, Geopolitics, and the Future of Trade.” But the routes goods travel will change markedly as North America reduces its dependence on China and China builds up its links with the Global South, which is cementing its power in the global trade map.
“Global trade is set to top $29 trillion by 2033, but the routes these goods will travel is changing at a remarkable pace,” Aparna Bharadwaj, managing director and partner at BCG, said in a release. “Trade lanes were already shifting from historical patterns and looming US tariffs will accelerate this. Navigating these new dynamics will be critical for any global business.”
To understand those changes, BCG modeled the direct impact of the 60/25/20 scenario (60% tariff on Chinese goods, a 25% on goods from Canada and Mexico, and a 20% on imports from all other countries). The results show that the tariffs would add $640 billion to the cost of importing goods from the top ten U.S. import nations, based on 2023 levels, unless alternative sources or suppliers are found.
In terms of product categories imported by the U.S., the greatest impact would be on imported auto parts and automotive vehicles, which would primarily affect trade with Mexico, the EU, and Japan. Consumer electronics, electrical machinery, and fashion goods would be most affected by higher tariffs on Chinese goods. Specifically, the report forecasts that a 60% tariff rate would add $61 billion to cost of importing consumer electronics products from China into the U.S.