The past two years have been both terrifying and exhilarating for retailers. They’ve experienced the lows of pandemic-induced shutdowns that kept customers away from stores as well as the highs of an exploding online marketplace.
Managing it all for Target is Arthur Valdez Jr. As executive vice president and chief supply chain and logistics officer, he oversees all aspects of Target’s global supply chain and logistics network, including inventory management, replenishment, fulfillment, global transportation, logistics, and distribution.
Valdez joined Target in 2016, bringing more than 25 years of retail supply chain and logistics experience to his new role. He previously served in senior leadership positions at Amazon and Walmart. He has spent much of his career building retail supply chain networks in North, South, and Central America as well as in Europe and Asia.
The son of Mexican-American and Cuban parents, Valdez was the first member of his family to attend college. A graduate of Colorado State University, he currently serves on the university’s Global Leadership Council as well as on the boards of directors for Advance Auto Parts and Shipt. He also volunteers his time to mentor other first-generation and minority college students, and assists women and minorities in developing their careers and progressing within Target. He spoke with CSCMP’s Supply Chain Quarterly Executive Director David Maloney about the retailer’s innovative stores-as-hubs model and the future of automation and robotics in Target’s supply chain operations.
CAPTION
NAME: Arthur Valdez Jr.
TITLE: Executive vice president and chief supply chain and logistics officer, Target
EDUCATION: Bachelor’s degree in business, operations management from Colorado State University
PREVIOUS EXPERIENCE: Before joining Target in 2016, he served in several positions with retailer Amazon that included director of operations; vice president of operations at Amazon U.K.; vice president, North American supply chain and transportation; vice president, worldwide transportation; and vice president, operations international expansion (supply chain, fulfillment centers, transportation)
LEADERSHIP: Council of Supply Chain Management Professionals (CSCMP) member; serves on the Colorado State University Global Leadership Council, as well as on the boards of directors for Advance Auto Parts and Shipt; mentors first-generation and minority college students, and assists women and minorities in developing their careers and progressing within Target
You have many years of experience managing supply chains for retail companies. How has supply chain management changed during your time in the industry?
Supply chains—really, the logistics of supply chain—have evolved considerably over the last 30 years. Early on in my career, supply chains were decentralized; there were several disparate parts to the whole. In the 1990s, the practice of supply chain management was popularized. You saw companies streamlining the planning and logistics of their supply chain network. Ten years later, that evolution morphed into a focus on supply chain integration in service of speed—that is, getting the most out of the network by consolidating or integrating tasks to reduce the number of “touches.” And over the last decade or so, we’ve seen the practice of automating supply chains and the introduction of mechanization and robotics with a more holistic view of the end-to-end process. This most recent change has brought greater insight into inventory, both upstream in supply chain facilities and downstream to stores and digital. It’s this modern approach to supply chain logistics that feeds Target’s path forward.
At Target, our stores are at the center of what we do. We’ve invested in our stores as local shopping service hubs. Doing so has enabled us to fulfill a rapidly increasing number of digital orders by improving speed of inventory, adding throughput capacity, and lowering cost. And we’re building a precise supply chain to keep those stores well-stocked and ready for guests.
You’ve worked for a number of leading retailers. How does Target’s supply chain compare with those other operations?
I’ve had the opportunity to work across the retail sector, and one thing that really stands out to me about Target is the balance of the investments in our people and innovation for an improved guest experience. The past two years have been great proof of that, as our investments in our team led to better innovation in service to our guests, which drove business growth on top of growth. Our team is the connection between solving for improved distribution processes and technology, which allows us to deliver safety, ease, reliability, and even joy during times of uncertainty.
In addition, we set ourselves apart through our stores-as-hubs model to sort and ship product, creating efficiencies across our supply chain and leveraging the talent of our team members.
Target has experienced tremendous growth in online sales. How has that changed your distribution strategies?
During the pandemic and the growth of online shopping, we knew we were playing a crucial role in communities across the country, making sure our guests had what they needed to take care of themselves and their families. The investments we had made ahead of time helped us play an essential role in our communities where they were choosing to shop online, while putting in place the building blocks for continued growth in years to come.
To do so, we accelerated new capabilities in our supply chain that were needed to support the growing demand in our stores and enable Target’s growth for the weeks, months, and years ahead. From opening new supply chain facilities that could move inventory in new ways to scaling robotic sortation for more precise store replenishment to introducing sortation centers that give stores more capacity to fulfill online orders—we continue to prioritize the investments that will support our team and fuel Target’s growth.
You mentioned that Target has begun using stores as local service hubs. Could you describe what you’re doing?
Target has spent years building and scaling capabilities that put our stores at the center of how we serve our guests, no matter how they choose to shop. Our stores are the heart of our business and play a critical role in inspiring our guests; powering fast, convenient in-store and digital shopping trips; and supporting and developing our incredible team.
The investments we’ve consistently made to put stores at the center of our operation have given us flexibility to deliver on our commitments to team members and guests, deepening trust in our brand and positioning us for future growth.
When 2020 arrived, our stores were already positioned as local shopping service hubs to meet guests’ needs quickly and at a lower cost, with the flexibility in our operations to ramp up to meet growing demand. Prior to that, we had made investments in our supply chain to support our stores-as-hubs model—from making store replenishment faster and more precise to building new capabilities so our facilities could serve guests in many ways.
Target’s continued investment in its stores-as-hubs model places our more than 1,900 stores at the center of how we serve guests, continuing to enhance the guest experience, including shipping online orders in store and offering same-day pickup and delivery, while providing an easy and safe in-store experience for our guests.
Target has recently acquired several businesses, including Shipt, Grand Junction, and Deliv. How have these helped you meet your service commitments?
Today, the e-commerce race is focused on speed. And while that’s a crucial component of delivery, the future will be much more about precision with a focus on providing a customized, local experience and ultimately giving consumers even more choices and control over how they shop.
The investments we’ve made over the last few years have allowed us to integrate Target’s technology, facilities, and operational capabilities to be even more precise and efficient, allowing us to create a customer-centric experience that’s fast and helps fulfill orders closer to the guest and drive growth of our digital delivery.
Target acquired Shipt and Grand Junction in 2017 to bolster our fulfillment capabilities and provide quick and efficient same-day delivery to guests across the country. This accelerated the work we had done to improve our speed of delivery to allow guests to get products on their own terms. Our acquisition of Deliv’s technology in 2020 is another opportunity that focuses on last-mile delivery at Target, ensuring stores are kept at the center of our strategy and lowering shipping costs, all while delivering packages even quicker.
Our continued investments and innovation will drive growth and differentiation for years to come, including bold investments across the business of $4 billion annually.
Can you talk about your new facility in New Jersey that fills both store replenishment and direct-to-consumer orders from the same pool of inventory?
Supply chain facilities like the one in Logan, New Jersey, were created to use one inventory for however the guest needs it—whether we send it to a store or ship it right to a guest. Having the capability to do both allows Target to get orders to guests faster and keep our shelves stocked by delivering the right amount of merchandise to a store when it’s needed and in a way that makes it easy for our store teams to put it on the shelf.
Target’s aim is to replenish stores in hours and to maximize the inventory placed on the sales shelf, especially in new small-format stores and locations in denser urban areas. This approach also uses the same pool of inventory to replenish stores and fulfill online orders. These facilities send shipments to stores more frequently and in smaller lots tailored more precisely to demand rather than shipping big cases of products.
We’ll continue to invest in our stores, our supply chain, and our team members, which all fuel Target’s growth, to build the supply chain of the future.
You’ve built four new sortation centers. How do they fit into your network?
Our sortation centers are just one part of our extensive global supply chain and logistics network that is fully mobilized to support our guests, no matter how they choose to shop.
With Target’s stores fulfilling the majority of guests’ online orders, sortation centers make this process even faster, retrieving packages frequently from stores and sorting, batching, and routing them for delivery to local neighborhoods.
By removing the sorting process from our backrooms, we save valuable time and space for our store teams to fulfill additional orders, and because our sortation center technology presorts and arranges packages for easy pickup, it reduces processing time for our delivery partners too.
Labor can be tough to find these days. What do you do to attract and retain workers?
We care about and invest in team members and consistently hear from them that they’re attracted to Target because of our industry-leading pay and benefits, caring culture, and opportunities for ongoing career development. We’ve invested in pay and benefits that include a $15 starting wage, education assistance, bonuses, access to counseling services and doctors, and more-stable schedules.
Due to our longstanding investments in our team members and listening to their needs, we have been able to retain our team and confidently staff our supply chain facilities and stores during an unprecedented labor market. In fact, we’ve exceeded our goal to hire 30,000 new supply chain team members and 100,000 seasonal team members at our stores across the country. These investments have helped us evolve and pivot successfully over time, leading to higher guest satisfaction and greater efficiency, all of which help to fuel our continued business success, safety culture, and ability to flex to meet guest demand.
What roles will automation and robotics play in the future of Target’s supply chain operations?
At Target, we’re focused on building capabilities that give our guests options for how they engage with us—whether it’s shopping in-store, online, or through drive-up order pickup. We’re committed to providing the easiest and safest shopping experience in the years to come.
To do so, we’ll continue to invest in many developments across our stores and supply chain that fuel Target’s growth. We’ve laid out more automation, robotics, and artificial intelligence throughout our supply chain to build a fast, efficient, and precise supply chain. Target is always exploring automated solutions upstream to support the work of our team. We invest in automation that helps sort and move millions of items quickly and precisely, so our teams deliver them to our stores and our guests where, when, and how they want.
We’ll continue building the supply chain of the future, while keeping our stores and our team members at the center of how we deliver a joyful shopping experience to our Target guests.
Editor’s Note: This interview originally appeared in the February 2022 issue of our sister publication, DC Velocity.
Businesses are cautiously optimistic as peak holiday shipping season draws near, with many anticipating year-over-year sales increases as they continue to battle challenging supply chain conditions.
That’s according to the DHL 2024 Peak Season Shipping Survey, released today by express shipping service provider DHL Express U.S. The company surveyed small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) to gauge their holiday business outlook compared to last year and found that a mix of optimism and “strategic caution” prevail ahead of this year’s peak.
Nearly half (48%) of the SMEs surveyed said they expect higher holiday sales compared to 2023, while 44% said they expect sales to remain on par with last year, and just 8% said they foresee a decline. Respondents said the main challenges to hitting those goals are supply chain problems (35%), inflation and fluctuating consumer demand (34%), staffing (16%), and inventory challenges (14%).
But respondents said they have strategies in place to tackle those issues. Many said they began preparing for holiday season earlier this year—with 45% saying they started planning in Q2 or earlier, up from 39% last year. Other strategies include expanding into international markets (35%) and leveraging holiday discounts (32%).
Sixty percent of respondents said they will prioritize personalized customer service as a way to enhance customer interactions and loyalty this year. Still others said they will invest in enhanced web and mobile experiences (23%) and eco-friendly practices (13%) to draw customers this holiday season.
The practice consists of 5,000 professionals from Accenture and from Avanade—the consulting firm’s joint venture with Microsoft. They will be supported by Microsoft product specialists who will work closely with the Accenture Center for Advanced AI. Together, that group will collaborate on AI and Copilot agent templates, extensions, plugins, and connectors to help organizations leverage their data and gen AI to reduce costs, improve efficiencies and drive growth, they said on Thursday.
Accenture and Avanade say they have already developed some AI tools for these applications. For example, a supplier discovery and risk agent can deliver real-time market insights, agile supply chain responses, and better vendor selection, which could result in up to 15% cost savings. And a procure-to-pay agent could improve efficiency by up to 40% and enhance vendor relations and satisfaction by addressing urgent payment requirements and avoiding disruptions of key services
Likewise, they have also built solutions for clients using Microsoft 365 Copilot technology. For example, they have created Copilots for a variety of industries and functions including finance, manufacturing, supply chain, retail, and consumer goods and healthcare.
Another part of the new practice will be educating clients how to use the technology, using an “Azure Generative AI Engineer Nanodegree program” to teach users how to design, build, and operationalize AI-driven applications on Azure, Microsoft’s cloud computing platform. The online classes will teach learners how to use AI models to solve real-world problems through automation, data insights, and generative AI solutions, the firms said.
“We are pleased to deepen our collaboration with Accenture to help our mutual customers develop AI-first business processes responsibly and securely, while helping them drive market differentiation,” Judson Althoff, executive vice president and chief commercial officer at Microsoft, said in a release. “By bringing together Copilots and human ambition, paired with the autonomous capabilities of an agent, we can accelerate AI transformation for organizations across industries and help them realize successful business outcomes through pragmatic innovation.”
Census data showed that overall retail sales in October were up 0.4% seasonally adjusted month over month and up 2.8% unadjusted year over year. That compared with increases of 0.8% month over month and 2% year over year in September.
October’s core retail sales as defined by NRF — based on the Census data but excluding automobile dealers, gasoline stations and restaurants — were unchanged seasonally adjusted month over month but up 5.4% unadjusted year over year.
Core sales were up 3.5% year over year for the first 10 months of the year, in line with NRF’s forecast for 2024 retail sales to grow between 2.5% and 3.5% over 2023. NRF is forecasting that 2024 holiday sales during November and December will also increase between 2.5% and 3.5% over the same time last year.
“October’s pickup in retail sales shows a healthy pace of spending as many consumers got an early start on holiday shopping,” NRF Chief Economist Jack Kleinhenz said in a release. “October sales were a good early step forward into the holiday shopping season, which is now fully underway. Falling energy prices have likely provided extra dollars for household spending on retail merchandise.”
Despite that positive trend, market watchers cautioned that retailers still need to offer competitive value propositions and customer experience in order to succeed in the holiday season. “The American consumer has been more resilient than anyone could have expected. But that isn’t a free pass for retailers to under invest in their stores,” Nikki Baird, VP of strategy & product at Aptos, a solutions provider of unified retail technology based out of Alpharetta, Georgia, said in a statement. “They need to make investments in labor, customer experience tech, and digital transformation. It has been too easy to kick the can down the road until you suddenly realize there’s no road left.”
A similar message came from Chip West, a retail and consumer behavior expert at the marketing, packaging, print and supply chain solutions provider RRD. “October’s increase proved to be slightly better than projections and was likely boosted by lower fuel prices. As inflation slowed for a number of months, prices in several categories have stabilized, with some even showing declines, offering further relief to consumers,” West said. “The data also looks to be a positive sign as we kick off the holiday shopping season. Promotions and discounts will play a prominent role in holiday shopping behavior as they are key influencers in consumer’s purchasing decisions.”
Third-party logistics (3PL) providers’ share of large real estate leases across the U.S. rose significantly through the third quarter of 2024 compared to the same time last year, as more retailers and wholesalers have been outsourcing their warehouse and distribution operations to 3PLs, according to a report from real estate firm CBRE.
Specifically, 3PLs’ share of bulk industrial leasing activity—covering leases of 100,000 square feet or more—rose to 34.1% through Q3 of this year from 30.6% through Q3 last year. By raw numbers, 3PLs have accounted for 498 bulk leases so far this year, up by 9% from the 457 at this time last year.
By category, 3PLs’ share of 34.1% ranked above other occupier types such as: general retail and wholesale (26.6), food and beverage (9.0), automobiles, tires, and parts (7.9), manufacturing (6.2), building materials and construction (5.6), e-commerce only (5.6), medical (2.7), and undisclosed (2.3).
On a quarterly basis, bulk leasing by 3PLs has steadily increased this year, reversing the steadily decreasing trend of 2023. CBRE pointed to three main reasons for that resurgence:
Import Flexibility. Labor disruptions, extreme weather patterns, and geopolitical uncertainty have led many companies to diversify their import locations. Using 3PLs allows for more inventory flexibility, a key component to retailer success in times of uncertainty.
Capital Allocation/Preservation. Warehousing and distribution of goods is expensive, draining capital resources for transportation costs, rent, or labor. But outsourcing to 3PLs provides companies with more flexibility to increase or decrease their inventories without any risk of signing their own lease commitments. And using a 3PL also allows companies to switch supply chain costs from capital to operational expenses.
Focus on Core Competency. Outsourcing their logistics operations to 3PLs allows companies to focus on core business competencies that drive revenue, such as product development, sales, and customer service.
Looking into the future, these same trends will continue to drive 3PL warehouse demand, CBRE said. Economic, geopolitical and supply chain uncertainty will remain prevalent in the coming quarters but will not diminish the need to effectively manage inventory levels.
That result came from the company’s “GEP Global Supply Chain Volatility Index,” an indicator tracking demand conditions, shortages, transportation costs, inventories, and backlogs based on a monthly survey of 27,000 businesses. The October index number was -0.39, which was up only slightly from its level of -0.43 in September.
Researchers found a steep rise in slack across North American supply chains due to declining factory activity in the U.S. In fact, purchasing managers at U.S. manufacturers made their strongest cutbacks to buying volumes in nearly a year and a half, indicating that factories in the world's largest economy are preparing for lower production volumes, GEP said.
Elsewhere, suppliers feeding Asia also reported spare capacity in October, albeit to a lesser degree than seen in Western markets. Europe's industrial plight remained a key feature of the data in October, as vendor capacity was significantly underutilized, reflecting a continuation of subdued demand in key manufacturing hubs across the continent.
"We're in a buyers' market. October is the fourth straight month that suppliers worldwide reported spare capacity, with notable contractions in factory demand across North America and Europe, underscoring the challenging outlook for Western manufacturers," Todd Bremer, vice president, GEP, said in a release. "President-elect Trump inherits U.S. manufacturers with plenty of spare capacity while in contrast, China's modest rebound and strong expansion in India demonstrate greater resilience in Asia."