To survive in this volatile business environment, third-party logistics providers and their customers must work together to build up their digital capabilities and talents while also focusing on meeting the end customer’s needs.
C. John Langley Jr., Ph.D. (jlangley@psu.edu) is Professor of Supply Chain Management at Penn State University’s Smeal College of Business and the Department of Supply Chain and Information Systems, and Founder of the “Annual Third-Party Logistics Study.”
Sylvie Thompson is a supply chain executive focused on driving revenue, margin, and profitable results by combining emerging technologies with traditional supply chain best practices. She has co-led the Annual Third Party Logistics Study for the past three years.
Effectively matching supply and demand has always been challenging, but the current volatility in many supply chains has made it even harder, creating new and unique problems. Companies desperately need innovative and improved solutions to deal with supply chain complexity and create agility and responsiveness.
One key facilitator of success will be the ability of supply chain partners to be well-aligned and to optimize the capabilities of each partner within the network. Now in its 27th year, our “Annual Third-Party Logistics Study” has time and again shown the benefits of working with logistics service providers to navigate market uncertainties and achieve overall success for the supply chain.
High-level research results from this year’s study indicate three key focus areas for strengthening relationships between third-party logistics providers (3PLs) and their customers: 1) the ability to collaborate in the interest of creating value for customers and consumers, 2) the ability to create insight through digitization and analytics, and 3) the critical need for talent. (A broader and more detailed summary of the research will be presented at the CSCMP EDGE Conference in Nashville, Tennessee, on September 19.)
Creating value for the end customer
For 3PLs and shippers to have a successful relationship, both parties need to understand the overall supply chain goals and use this knowledge to create effective working relationships.
As the primary flows of products and services in supply chains are downstream toward the eventual consumers and business customers, the supply chain’s most important priorities should be related to satisfying demand and creating value for these parties.
Ideally, then, all participating supply chain organizations, including 3PLs, should have some understanding of demand patterns at the customer/consumer level that are driving requirements for the overall supply chain. One way to achieve this is by sharing available forecast and demand planning information relating to the needs of customers and consumers.
The best results are achieved when both 3PLs and their customers are working with accurate information and are well-aligned on goals, objectives, and working relationships. 3PLs and customers must also be aware of factors that may impact the ability of supply chains to meet these overall objectives. Partners should be willing to share information on potential problems and issues—these could range from a shortage of transportation capacity to unexpected volatility in the availability of needed materials and supplies.
Digitization and analytics
For many years, our “Annual Third-Party Logistics Study” has documented that shippers view IT capabilities as an essential element of their 3PLs’ expertise. That sense has intensified over the past year as 74% of customers participating in this year’s study noted that technology plays a greater role in their 3PL partnership than it did just three years ago.
Furthermore, what customers are looking for in terms of that expertise has evolved and become more sophisticated. One question for shippers that is asked in each of our yearly studies is, “Which technologies, systems, or tools are ‘must haves’ for a 3PL to successfully serve a customer in your industry?” Figure 1 compares the results from this year’s study to those of the prior year. This figure also indicates the percentages of participating 3PLs that indicate those capabilities are currently available.
[Figure 1] Importance of IT capabilities in shipper-3PL relationships Enlarge this image
While more traditional execution and transactional software—such as transportation management systems and warehouse management systems—continue to rank highly, there was a growing importance expressed for the availability of digital and analytical technologies. (In the interest of clarity, digitization refers to the conversion of information to a digital format, and analytics refers to the use of mathematical and statistical approaches to help solve problems intelligently using digital data.) A related finding from last year’s study is that 64% of customers noted that they were investing in intelligent data analytics. While there are some variations in year-over-year data, Figure 1 indicates there is a continued or growing interest in advanced analytics and data mining, warehouse automation, and global trade management solutions.
Findings from this year’s study indicate that this shift in focus toward digitization and analytics will continue to be of great importance for 3PLs as well. Referring to Figure 1, 54% of 3PLs reported having capabilities in the areas of advanced analytics and data mining tools. However, gaps are noted in the areas of automation and global trade management solutions.
We believe that to deal successfully with future supply chain challenges, 3PLs and their customers will require significant dedication to digitization and the use of analytics. Coupled with wisdom and experience, these analytical tools will facilitate the development of complex solutions to problems faced both individually by 3PLs and their customers, as well as those problems they face in collaboration.
Talent
The need for and availability of talent in supply chains have become critical issues for many organizations. This includes both shippers and 3PLs. Almost 80% of shippers stated that labor shortages have impacted their supply chain operations, and 56% of 3PLs stated that labor shortages have impacted their ability to meet customer service-level agreements (SLAs). In particular, roughly two-thirds of all respondents to the “27th Annual Third-Party Logistics Study” survey noted that recruiting and retaining both hourly and certified/licensed/skilled hourly workers is an area that they are struggling with and believe they will continue to struggle with for some time.
But retention challenges are not limited to hourly employees. Bloomberg, in the spring of 2022, reported that supply chain managers have been quitting their jobs at the highest rate since at least 2016.1} This assertion was based on calculations performed by LinkedIn. Each month, the website analyzes the number of people who left their job in the past month and then compares that number to a baseline average from 2016. The average “separation rate” for 2020–2021 for supply chain managers was 28%, the highest in the five years since the company started tracking this data. According to the article, factors for these turnovers include burnout, desire for increased compensation, and demand for experienced supply chain managers to solve supply chain problems at nontraditional supply chain organizations.
Further complicating the recruitment and retention challenges is the fact that supply chain roles are evolving quickly, and the skills and talents needed today are different than they were just a few years ago. For example, supply chains are increasingly becoming data-driven, and the need for real-time visibility continues to grow. As a result, skills related to data analytics and digital technologies are vital and in high demand.
Meeting the rising challenge
The success of 3PL–customer relationships always boils down to their ability to create value for their customers and their businesses, as well as for consumers and end customers. But as disruption and complexity increase, effectively meeting those needs has become even harder.
In response, 3PLs and their customers will need to work together to enhance their agility and responsiveness. Technology, data, and analytics certainly will help supply chain practitioners meet these shifting needs and implement new and innovative supply chain strategies. In addition, both 3PLs and their customers will need to ensure that they have the right people with the right skills and talents. 3PLs and customers will need to work together to establish technology and talent-acquisitions strategies that complement each other, as they work to create more resilient and effective supply chains.
The practice consists of 5,000 professionals from Accenture and from Avanade—the consulting firm’s joint venture with Microsoft. They will be supported by Microsoft product specialists who will work closely with the Accenture Center for Advanced AI. Together, that group will collaborate on AI and Copilot agent templates, extensions, plugins, and connectors to help organizations leverage their data and gen AI to reduce costs, improve efficiencies and drive growth, they said on Thursday.
Accenture and Avanade say they have already developed some AI tools for these applications. For example, a supplier discovery and risk agent can deliver real-time market insights, agile supply chain responses, and better vendor selection, which could result in up to 15% cost savings. And a procure-to-pay agent could improve efficiency by up to 40% and enhance vendor relations and satisfaction by addressing urgent payment requirements and avoiding disruptions of key services
Likewise, they have also built solutions for clients using Microsoft 365 Copilot technology. For example, they have created Copilots for a variety of industries and functions including finance, manufacturing, supply chain, retail, and consumer goods and healthcare.
Another part of the new practice will be educating clients how to use the technology, using an “Azure Generative AI Engineer Nanodegree program” to teach users how to design, build, and operationalize AI-driven applications on Azure, Microsoft’s cloud computing platform. The online classes will teach learners how to use AI models to solve real-world problems through automation, data insights, and generative AI solutions, the firms said.
“We are pleased to deepen our collaboration with Accenture to help our mutual customers develop AI-first business processes responsibly and securely, while helping them drive market differentiation,” Judson Althoff, executive vice president and chief commercial officer at Microsoft, said in a release. “By bringing together Copilots and human ambition, paired with the autonomous capabilities of an agent, we can accelerate AI transformation for organizations across industries and help them realize successful business outcomes through pragmatic innovation.”
Census data showed that overall retail sales in October were up 0.4% seasonally adjusted month over month and up 2.8% unadjusted year over year. That compared with increases of 0.8% month over month and 2% year over year in September.
October’s core retail sales as defined by NRF — based on the Census data but excluding automobile dealers, gasoline stations and restaurants — were unchanged seasonally adjusted month over month but up 5.4% unadjusted year over year.
Core sales were up 3.5% year over year for the first 10 months of the year, in line with NRF’s forecast for 2024 retail sales to grow between 2.5% and 3.5% over 2023. NRF is forecasting that 2024 holiday sales during November and December will also increase between 2.5% and 3.5% over the same time last year.
“October’s pickup in retail sales shows a healthy pace of spending as many consumers got an early start on holiday shopping,” NRF Chief Economist Jack Kleinhenz said in a release. “October sales were a good early step forward into the holiday shopping season, which is now fully underway. Falling energy prices have likely provided extra dollars for household spending on retail merchandise.”
Despite that positive trend, market watchers cautioned that retailers still need to offer competitive value propositions and customer experience in order to succeed in the holiday season. “The American consumer has been more resilient than anyone could have expected. But that isn’t a free pass for retailers to under invest in their stores,” Nikki Baird, VP of strategy & product at Aptos, a solutions provider of unified retail technology based out of Alpharetta, Georgia, said in a statement. “They need to make investments in labor, customer experience tech, and digital transformation. It has been too easy to kick the can down the road until you suddenly realize there’s no road left.”
A similar message came from Chip West, a retail and consumer behavior expert at the marketing, packaging, print and supply chain solutions provider RRD. “October’s increase proved to be slightly better than projections and was likely boosted by lower fuel prices. As inflation slowed for a number of months, prices in several categories have stabilized, with some even showing declines, offering further relief to consumers,” West said. “The data also looks to be a positive sign as we kick off the holiday shopping season. Promotions and discounts will play a prominent role in holiday shopping behavior as they are key influencers in consumer’s purchasing decisions.”
That result came from the company’s “GEP Global Supply Chain Volatility Index,” an indicator tracking demand conditions, shortages, transportation costs, inventories, and backlogs based on a monthly survey of 27,000 businesses. The October index number was -0.39, which was up only slightly from its level of -0.43 in September.
Researchers found a steep rise in slack across North American supply chains due to declining factory activity in the U.S. In fact, purchasing managers at U.S. manufacturers made their strongest cutbacks to buying volumes in nearly a year and a half, indicating that factories in the world's largest economy are preparing for lower production volumes, GEP said.
Elsewhere, suppliers feeding Asia also reported spare capacity in October, albeit to a lesser degree than seen in Western markets. Europe's industrial plight remained a key feature of the data in October, as vendor capacity was significantly underutilized, reflecting a continuation of subdued demand in key manufacturing hubs across the continent.
"We're in a buyers' market. October is the fourth straight month that suppliers worldwide reported spare capacity, with notable contractions in factory demand across North America and Europe, underscoring the challenging outlook for Western manufacturers," Todd Bremer, vice president, GEP, said in a release. "President-elect Trump inherits U.S. manufacturers with plenty of spare capacity while in contrast, China's modest rebound and strong expansion in India demonstrate greater resilience in Asia."
Even as the e-commerce sector overall continues expanding toward a forecasted 41% of all retail sales by 2027, many small to medium e-commerce companies are struggling to find the investment funding they need to increase sales, according to a sector survey from online capital platform Stenn.
Global geopolitical instability and increasing inflation are causing e-commerce firms to face a liquidity crisis, which means companies may not be able to access the funds they need to grow, Stenn’s survey of 500 senior e-commerce leaders found. The research was conducted by Opinion Matters between August 29 and September 5.
Survey findings include:
61.8% of leaders who sought growth capital did so to invest in advanced technologies, such as AI and machine learning, to improve their businesses.
When asked which resources they wished they had more access to, 63.8% of respondents pointed to growth capital.
Women indicated a stronger need for business operations training (51.2%) and financial planning resources (48.8%) compared to men (30.8% and 15.4%).
40% of business owners are seeking external financial advice and mentorship at least once a week to help with business decisions.
Almost half (49.6%) of respondents are proactively forecasting their business activity 6-18 months ahead.
“As e-commerce continues to grow rapidly, driven by increasing online consumer demand and technological innovation, it’s important to remember that capital constraints and access to growth financing remain persistent hurdles for many e-commerce business leaders especially at small and medium-sized businesses,” Noel Hillman, Chief Commercial Officer at Stenn, said in a release. “In this competitive landscape, ensuring liquidity and optimizing supply chain processes are critical to sustaining growth and scaling operations.”
With six keynote and more than 100 educational sessions, CSCMP EDGE 2024 offered a wealth of content. Here are highlights from just some of the presentations.
A great American story
Author and entrepreneur Fawn Weaver closed out the first day of the conference by telling the little-known story of Nathan “Nearest” Green, who was born into slavery, freed after the Civil War, and went on to become the first master distiller for the Jack Daniel’s Whiskey brand. Through extensive research and interviews with descendants of the Daniel and Green families, Weaver discovered what she describes as a positive American story.
She told the story in her best-selling book, Love & Whiskey: The Remarkable True Story of Jack Daniel, His Master Distiller Nearest Green, and the Improbable Rise of Uncle Nearest. That story also inspired her to create Uncle Nearest Premium Whiskey.
Weaver discussed the barriers she encountered in bringing the brand to life, her vision for where it’s headed, and her take on the supply chain—which she views as both a necessary cost of doing business and an opportunity.
“[It’s] an opportunity if you can move quickly,” she said, pointing to a recent project in which the company was able to fast-track a new Uncle Nearest product thanks to close collaboration with its supply chain partners.
A two-pronged business transformation
We may be living in a world full of technology, but strategy and focus remain the top priorities when it comes to managing a business and its supply chains. So says Roberto Isaias, executive vice president and chief supply chain officer for toy manufacturing and entertainment company Mattel.
Isaias emphasized the point during his keynote on day two of EDGE 2024. He described how Mattel transformed itself amid surging demand for Barbie-branded items following the success of the Barbie movie.
That transformation, according to Isaias, came on two fronts: commercially and logistically. Today, Mattel is steadily moving beyond the toy aisle with two films and 13 TV series in production as well as 14 films and 35 shows in development. And as for those supply chain gains? The company has saved millions, increased productivity, and improved profit margins—even amid cost increases and inflation.
A framework for chasing excellence
Most of the time when CEOs present at an industry conference, they like to talk about their companies’ success stories. Not J.B. Hunt’s Shelley Simpson. Speaking at EDGE, the trucking company’s president and CEO led with a story about a time that the company lost a major customer.
According to Simpson, the company had a customer of their dedicated contract business in 2001 that was consistently making late shipments with no lead time. “We were working like crazy to try to satisfy them, and lost their business,” Simpson said.
When the team at J.B. Hunt later met with the customer’s chief supply chain officer and related all they had been doing, the customer responded, “You never shared everything you were doing for us.”
Out of that experience, came J.B. Hunt’s Customer Value Delivery framework. The framework consists of five steps: 1) understand customer needs, 2) deliver expectations, 3) measure results, 4) communicate performance, and 5) anticipate new value.
Next year’s CSCMP EDGE conference on October 5–8 in National Harbor, Md., promises to have a similarly deep lineup of keynote presentations. Register early at www.cscmpedge.org.