To survive in this volatile business environment, third-party logistics providers and their customers must work together to build up their digital capabilities and talents while also focusing on meeting the end customer’s needs.
C. John Langley Jr., Ph.D. (jlangley@psu.edu) is Professor of Supply Chain Management at Penn State University’s Smeal College of Business and the Department of Supply Chain and Information Systems, and Founder of the “Annual Third-Party Logistics Study.”
Sylvie Thompson is a supply chain executive focused on driving revenue, margin, and profitable results by combining emerging technologies with traditional supply chain best practices. She has co-led the Annual Third Party Logistics Study for the past three years.
Effectively matching supply and demand has always been challenging, but the current volatility in many supply chains has made it even harder, creating new and unique problems. Companies desperately need innovative and improved solutions to deal with supply chain complexity and create agility and responsiveness.
One key facilitator of success will be the ability of supply chain partners to be well-aligned and to optimize the capabilities of each partner within the network. Now in its 27th year, our “Annual Third-Party Logistics Study” has time and again shown the benefits of working with logistics service providers to navigate market uncertainties and achieve overall success for the supply chain.
High-level research results from this year’s study indicate three key focus areas for strengthening relationships between third-party logistics providers (3PLs) and their customers: 1) the ability to collaborate in the interest of creating value for customers and consumers, 2) the ability to create insight through digitization and analytics, and 3) the critical need for talent. (A broader and more detailed summary of the research will be presented at the CSCMP EDGE Conference in Nashville, Tennessee, on September 19.)
Creating value for the end customer
For 3PLs and shippers to have a successful relationship, both parties need to understand the overall supply chain goals and use this knowledge to create effective working relationships.
As the primary flows of products and services in supply chains are downstream toward the eventual consumers and business customers, the supply chain’s most important priorities should be related to satisfying demand and creating value for these parties.
Ideally, then, all participating supply chain organizations, including 3PLs, should have some understanding of demand patterns at the customer/consumer level that are driving requirements for the overall supply chain. One way to achieve this is by sharing available forecast and demand planning information relating to the needs of customers and consumers.
The best results are achieved when both 3PLs and their customers are working with accurate information and are well-aligned on goals, objectives, and working relationships. 3PLs and customers must also be aware of factors that may impact the ability of supply chains to meet these overall objectives. Partners should be willing to share information on potential problems and issues—these could range from a shortage of transportation capacity to unexpected volatility in the availability of needed materials and supplies.
Digitization and analytics
For many years, our “Annual Third-Party Logistics Study” has documented that shippers view IT capabilities as an essential element of their 3PLs’ expertise. That sense has intensified over the past year as 74% of customers participating in this year’s study noted that technology plays a greater role in their 3PL partnership than it did just three years ago.
Furthermore, what customers are looking for in terms of that expertise has evolved and become more sophisticated. One question for shippers that is asked in each of our yearly studies is, “Which technologies, systems, or tools are ‘must haves’ for a 3PL to successfully serve a customer in your industry?” Figure 1 compares the results from this year’s study to those of the prior year. This figure also indicates the percentages of participating 3PLs that indicate those capabilities are currently available.
[Figure 1] Importance of IT capabilities in shipper-3PL relationships Enlarge this image
While more traditional execution and transactional software—such as transportation management systems and warehouse management systems—continue to rank highly, there was a growing importance expressed for the availability of digital and analytical technologies. (In the interest of clarity, digitization refers to the conversion of information to a digital format, and analytics refers to the use of mathematical and statistical approaches to help solve problems intelligently using digital data.) A related finding from last year’s study is that 64% of customers noted that they were investing in intelligent data analytics. While there are some variations in year-over-year data, Figure 1 indicates there is a continued or growing interest in advanced analytics and data mining, warehouse automation, and global trade management solutions.
Findings from this year’s study indicate that this shift in focus toward digitization and analytics will continue to be of great importance for 3PLs as well. Referring to Figure 1, 54% of 3PLs reported having capabilities in the areas of advanced analytics and data mining tools. However, gaps are noted in the areas of automation and global trade management solutions.
We believe that to deal successfully with future supply chain challenges, 3PLs and their customers will require significant dedication to digitization and the use of analytics. Coupled with wisdom and experience, these analytical tools will facilitate the development of complex solutions to problems faced both individually by 3PLs and their customers, as well as those problems they face in collaboration.
Talent
The need for and availability of talent in supply chains have become critical issues for many organizations. This includes both shippers and 3PLs. Almost 80% of shippers stated that labor shortages have impacted their supply chain operations, and 56% of 3PLs stated that labor shortages have impacted their ability to meet customer service-level agreements (SLAs). In particular, roughly two-thirds of all respondents to the “27th Annual Third-Party Logistics Study” survey noted that recruiting and retaining both hourly and certified/licensed/skilled hourly workers is an area that they are struggling with and believe they will continue to struggle with for some time.
But retention challenges are not limited to hourly employees. Bloomberg, in the spring of 2022, reported that supply chain managers have been quitting their jobs at the highest rate since at least 2016.1} This assertion was based on calculations performed by LinkedIn. Each month, the website analyzes the number of people who left their job in the past month and then compares that number to a baseline average from 2016. The average “separation rate” for 2020–2021 for supply chain managers was 28%, the highest in the five years since the company started tracking this data. According to the article, factors for these turnovers include burnout, desire for increased compensation, and demand for experienced supply chain managers to solve supply chain problems at nontraditional supply chain organizations.
Further complicating the recruitment and retention challenges is the fact that supply chain roles are evolving quickly, and the skills and talents needed today are different than they were just a few years ago. For example, supply chains are increasingly becoming data-driven, and the need for real-time visibility continues to grow. As a result, skills related to data analytics and digital technologies are vital and in high demand.
Meeting the rising challenge
The success of 3PL–customer relationships always boils down to their ability to create value for their customers and their businesses, as well as for consumers and end customers. But as disruption and complexity increase, effectively meeting those needs has become even harder.
In response, 3PLs and their customers will need to work together to enhance their agility and responsiveness. Technology, data, and analytics certainly will help supply chain practitioners meet these shifting needs and implement new and innovative supply chain strategies. In addition, both 3PLs and their customers will need to ensure that they have the right people with the right skills and talents. 3PLs and customers will need to work together to establish technology and talent-acquisitions strategies that complement each other, as they work to create more resilient and effective supply chains.
First, 54% of retailers are looking for ways to increase their financial recovery from returns. That’s because the cost to return a purchase averages 27% of the purchase price, which erases as much as 50% of the sales margin. But consumers have their own interests in mind: 76% of shoppers admit they’ve embellished or exaggerated the return reason to avoid a fee, a 39% increase from 2023 to 204.
Second, return experiences matter to consumers. A whopping 80% of shoppers stopped shopping at a retailer because of changes to the return policy—a 34% increase YoY.
Third, returns fraud and abuse is top-of-mind-for retailers, with wardrobing rising 38% in 2024. In fact, over two thirds (69%) of shoppers admit to wardrobing, which is the practice of buying an item for a specific reason or event and returning it after use. Shoppers also practice bracketing, or purchasing an item in a variety of colors or sizes and then returning all the unwanted options.
Fourth, returns come with a steep cost in terms of sustainability, with returns amounting to 8.4 billion pounds of landfill waste in 2023 alone.
“As returns have become an integral part of the shopper experience, retailers must balance meeting sky-high expectations with rising costs, environmental impact, and fraudulent behaviors,” Amena Ali, CEO of Optoro, said in the firm’s “2024 Returns Unwrapped” report. “By understanding shoppers’ behaviors and preferences around returns, retailers can create returns experiences that embrace their needs while driving deeper loyalty and protecting their bottom line.”
Facing an evolving supply chain landscape in 2025, companies are being forced to rethink their distribution strategies to cope with challenges like rising cost pressures, persistent labor shortages, and the complexities of managing SKU proliferation.
1. Optimize labor productivity and costs. Forward-thinking businesses are leveraging technology to get more done with fewer resources through approaches like slotting optimization, automation and robotics, and inventory visibility.
2. Maximize capacity with smart solutions. With e-commerce volumes rising, facilities need to handle more SKUs and orders without expanding their physical footprint. That can be achieved through high-density storage and dynamic throughput.
3. Streamline returns management. Returns are a growing challenge, thanks to the continued growth of e-commerce and the consumer practice of bracketing. Businesses can handle that with smarter reverse logistics processes like automated returns processing and reverse logistics visibility.
4. Accelerate order fulfillment with robotics. Robotic solutions are transforming the way orders are fulfilled, helping businesses meet customer expectations faster and more accurately than ever before by using autonomous mobile robots (AMRs and robotic picking.
5. Enhance end-of-line packaging. The final step in the supply chain is often the most visible to customers. So optimizing packaging processes can reduce costs, improve efficiency, and support sustainability goals through automated packaging systems and sustainability initiatives.
That clash has come as retailers have been hustling to adjust to pandemic swings like a renewed focus on e-commerce, then swiftly reimagining store experiences as foot traffic returned. But even as the dust settles from those changes, retailers are now facing renewed questions about how best to define their omnichannel strategy in a world where customers have increasing power and information.
The answer may come from a five-part strategy using integrated components to fortify omnichannel retail, EY said. The approach can unlock value and customer trust through great experiences, but only when implemented cohesively, not individually, EY warns.
The steps include:
1. Functional integration: Is your operating model and data infrastructure siloed between e-commerce and physical stores, or have you developed a cohesive unit centered around delivering seamless customer experience?
2. Customer insights: With consumer centricity at the heart of operations, are you analyzing all touch points to build a holistic view of preferences, behaviors, and buying patterns?
3. Next-generation inventory: Given the right customer insights, how are you utilizing advanced analytics to ensure inventory is optimized to meet demand precisely where and when it’s needed?
4. Distribution partnerships: Having ensured your customers find what they want where they want it, how are your distribution strategies adapting to deliver these choices to them swiftly and efficiently?
5. Real estate strategy: How is your real estate strategy interconnected with insights, inventory and distribution to enhance experience and maximize your footprint?
When approached cohesively, these efforts all build toward one overarching differentiator for retailers: a better customer experience that reaches from brand engagement and order placement through delivery and return, the EY study said. Amid continued volatility and an economy driven by complex customer demands, the retailers best set up to win are those that are striving to gain real-time visibility into stock levels, offer flexible fulfillment options and modernize merchandising through personalized and dynamic customer experiences.
Geopolitical rivalries, alliances, and aspirations are rewiring the global economy—and the imposition of new tariffs on foreign imports by the U.S. will accelerate that process, according to an analysis by Boston Consulting Group (BCG).
Without a broad increase in tariffs, world trade in goods will keep growing at an average of 2.9% annually for the next eight years, the firm forecasts in its report, “Great Powers, Geopolitics, and the Future of Trade.” But the routes goods travel will change markedly as North America reduces its dependence on China and China builds up its links with the Global South, which is cementing its power in the global trade map.
“Global trade is set to top $29 trillion by 2033, but the routes these goods will travel is changing at a remarkable pace,” Aparna Bharadwaj, managing director and partner at BCG, said in a release. “Trade lanes were already shifting from historical patterns and looming US tariffs will accelerate this. Navigating these new dynamics will be critical for any global business.”
To understand those changes, BCG modeled the direct impact of the 60/25/20 scenario (60% tariff on Chinese goods, a 25% on goods from Canada and Mexico, and a 20% on imports from all other countries). The results show that the tariffs would add $640 billion to the cost of importing goods from the top ten U.S. import nations, based on 2023 levels, unless alternative sources or suppliers are found.
In terms of product categories imported by the U.S., the greatest impact would be on imported auto parts and automotive vehicles, which would primarily affect trade with Mexico, the EU, and Japan. Consumer electronics, electrical machinery, and fashion goods would be most affected by higher tariffs on Chinese goods. Specifically, the report forecasts that a 60% tariff rate would add $61 billion to cost of importing consumer electronics products from China into the U.S.
That strategy is described by RILA President Brian Dodge in a document titled “2025 Retail Public Policy Agenda,” which begins by describing leading retailers as “dynamic and multifaceted businesses that begin on Main Street and stretch across the world to bring high value and affordable consumer goods to American families.”
RILA says its policy priorities support that membership in four ways:
Investing in people. Retail is for everyone; the place for a first job, 2nd chance, third act, or a side hustle – the retail workforce represents the American workforce.
Ensuring a safe, sustainable future. RILA is working with lawmakers to help shape policies that protect our customers and meet expectations regarding environmental concerns.
Leading in the community. Retail is more than a store; we are an integral part of the fabric of our communities.
“As Congress and the Trump administration move forward to adopt policies that reduce regulatory burdens, create economic growth, and bring value to American families, understanding how such policies will impact retailers and the communities we serve is imperative,” Dodge said. “RILA and its member companies look forward to collaborating with policymakers to provide industry-specific insights and data to help shape any policies under consideration.”