This excerpt from the new book The Market-Driven Supply Chain explains what makes a productive and effective sales and operations planning (S&OP) team and outlines what that team should accomplish.
Robert P. Burrows III is founder, managing principal, and chief strategy officer of the On-Point group, a firm that applies the quantitative science of operations research to supply chain management.
Numbers are frightening. Working outside the comfort of your functional organization is frightening. So asking individuals to come together, use numbers to communicate, and achieve complete alignment of their plans with all other departments is very frightening.
Analytics resolve differences of opinion but are often seen as dispassionate. A behavior change is required to make analytics less frightening and even sought after. I have found that people will change their behavior if a consistent and well-reasoned approach is designed. One essential element in the process of accomplishing the behavioral change is to make the analytics standard and familiar month to month. Albert Einstein once said, "It is easy to make things complex; complex to make things simple." Simplicity is the key to familiarity and understanding.
In a collegial sales and operations planning (S&OP) team, the numbers are discussed, rather than personalities or opinions. Everyone's opinion is sought initially, but opinions must be supported by the numbers in the end. To have a collegial team, some basic team protocol is required. We define the elements of this protocol as we discuss the arduous monthly planning process design.
The 7 characteristics of strong teams
Great productivity and effective innovation emanate from teams if they are structured according to some disciplined rules. There are seven characteristics of a strong team for use in the month-to-month processes of market-savvy S&OP. A strong team is:
1. Well founded in analytics
Broadly cross-functional
Capable at problem solving
Composed of role players
Specifically tasked
Jointly accountable
Disciplined in approach}
Well founded in analytics
Teams work best when analytics rule the discussion. In keeping with our management by analytics principle, teams are a natural part of the market-savvy S&OP design. So often we find S&OP run by one department or dominated by sales lore or historical conventions that go unchallenged but drive decision making almost unwittingly. As an example, at almost all the medical technology companies I have worked with, the sales representatives insist that for every one set of devices delivered to an operating room, you actually need two sets just in case a nurse drops something. This doubles the inventory, of course, and causes all sorts of profit and cash-flow problems throughout the supply chain, but the notion goes unchallenged for the most part. If a cross-functional team studies the issue by asking the customer if two sets of everything are needed, the team is surprised to find the answer is almost always no.
When a meeting relies on subjectivity and the opinions of the most articulate, when the less-demonstrative participants are not encouraged to have a voice, when bias and prejudices dominate, it is not a team meeting. The meeting is a power struggle, and the power of the team is lost. A strong team culture calls out these issues and insists on analytics. A meeting that relies on facts presented in a way that encourages understanding and participation becomes a team meeting. In market-savvy S&OP, the team should have a standard set of analytics designed for communication and alignment, as detailed later in this chapter. S&OP is, at its core, all about alignment of each functional area's work to accomplish the strategy. The analytics must focus on alignment. For instance, a basic dashboard showing historical and future sales, production, and inventory is a display of whether or not the work of many functions is in alignment. If sales are going up and production is not following, plans are not aligned.
Given a standard set of analytics used each month, the team becomes comfortable with the information flow and gains an in-depth understanding of the information and its impact on accomplishing the team's purpose. Without a standard set of analytics, the individual members would normally present different numbers from a different set of starting points and assumptions each month, thus greatly reducing the communicative values. The analytics must be generated from a known base of data so everyone is comfortable with the accuracy. The team can then bypass the time-consuming and counterproductive discussions about whether the data are of value to instead focus on meaning and trends in the information.
Broadly cross-functional
The market-savvy S&OP team needs to have as senior a representation as possible from each functional area, including legal, finance, operations, logistics, marketing, sales, research and development (R&D), and planning. The cross-functional team, over time, becomes capable of looking at problem solving in a way that has strong potential for success because everyone's requirements are being addressed. Of importance is the fact no one is left out, so finger-pointing is minimized. The primary goal of market-savvy S&OP is alignment of each functional area to the customer's planning and operations. No one can be left out of the alignment process if a complete strategic implementation is to be achieved.
Capable at problem solving
The team will not be successful if it is always looking outside itself for creative ideas. Many companies find they need to change personnel to satisfy this requirement. In almost all of our engagements, this has been the case. The employees who have become dependent upon their own functional area exclusively for promotion prospects, increased status, comfort, and camaraderie are not good team players. Employees who are basically good businesspersons work well in teams because they seek perspective and insight. Problem solving requires looking for solutions that may be contrary to the accepted methods and policies. Problem-solving skills can be taught; the best approach is the long-proven scientific method. We use this rather than the techniques taught in Lean or Six Sigma (such as the cause-and-effect fishbone charting) because the issues in market-savvy S&OP are normally more complex than the ones for which these techniques are best suited.
We apply the standard method of problem solving using the simple progression DHSSD, which stands for Discover, Hypothesize, Simulate, Select, and Deploy. Simply stated, the Discover step is the current-state definition. Hypothesize is the examination of solution alternatives through a highly participative, cross-functional set of discussions. Simulate is where each alternative is reduced to numbers, and Select is the step in which risk of implementation is balanced with benefit potential. Finally, Deploy is when a final decision is made and action is taken. DHSSD is a technique that is attractive to senior managers because it requires financial analysis as well as creative thinking.
Composed of role players
A team must have at least one person capable of filling each of the following four roles: a decisive person, a salesperson, a quality-control person, and a loyal worker person. These roles are commonly found in a group of people but may not be found in a smaller unit of assigned team members. We actually use personality testing to determine who on the team fits each of the required roles. We then teach how each role works for the betterment of the team as a whole.
Team members must respect the need for each role and actively work to encourage one another in their natural roles. How should you deal with each of these people? To start, recognize that a team will not have its ideas and recommendations heard and approved without the salesperson, but the salesperson may not be the quality-control person. The quality-control person may be somewhat irritating, always pushing for details and refinements, but he or she ensures that the team is not brushing past important aspects of a problem. The team would work hard but never produce a report without a decision maker who keeps an eye on the bottom line, even though the decision maker may be misunderstood as insensitive. In addition, the team needs at least one, but probably many, loyal workers. These are the people who do the analyses, are always in the meetings and on time, and keep the lid on disagreements. They may also stay in analysis forever unless drawn to a conclusive point by the decision makers and salespeople. Don't ask a loyal worker person to give a presentation; he or she would rather just leave the team. Always recognize the salesperson, and let the quality control person show the numbers. The decision maker may be impatient with the team, so keep on point.
Specifically tasked
A team needs a very clear charter or purpose. The purpose statement should be a formal one with a good deal of joint thought going into its development at the very early stages of the team's life, such as days one and two. In market-savvy S&OP, each team has sole responsibility for one market segment. The purpose is defined by looking to the go-to-market strategy and the specific benefits defined in the strategy. Each team member should have one page that has the purpose statement written at the top, followed by the quantified goals/benefits, the names of the team members, the team's sponsor or responsible executive, the basic approach to be taken to do the business of the team, and a timeline to establish the monthly processes and to accomplish near-term and longer-term goals.
Jointly accountable
The team should be seen as a cohesive unit with each member accountable in tangible ways. In many cases, compensation systems need to be changed to fully realize this aspect of the team. Certainly, the team makes joint presentations to senior management and jointly defends recommendations. Team members cannot sit back and say, "Well, I don't agree, but you guys go ahead anyway." There also needs to be accountability between team members. Each person must be willing to submit to the authority of the team and become a team member in good standing.
Disciplined in approach
Discipline is composed of time commitment, meeting protocol, structure, and an ordered approach.
First, a time commitment is required. The process design must define how much time will normally be required each month from team members, and then the team members must arrange their schedules to meet those commitments. The strongest S&OP teams have essentially 100 percent attendance at meetings by senior members and the profit-center executive. The monthly cycle of multistep S&OP processes must be clearly stated and religiously followed. Market-savvy S&OP has a palpable rhythm and cadence that actually frees up more time than it consumes.
Second, a meeting protocol is essential. Cell phones, e-mail, etc., must be completely banned at team meetings. Having executives pull out for an important conference call or another meeting must be rare occurrences. This is a matter of respect for colleagues and the team priorities. People must come on time and prepared. Reports should be distributed or available on the team's shared website well ahead of the meeting in time for a proper review.
Third, a meeting structure is needed. The meetings should be scheduled months in advance, have specific agendas published at least a week in advance of the actual meeting dates, and have a stated time limit and a formal note-taking and follow-up process. A detailed, written record of the proceedings is a requirement. The output of the market-savvy S&OP process each month is very likely to require the electronic equivalent of a full four-inch, three-ring binder.
Finally, an ordered approach to the team's work is necessary. If the team is charged with developing a new path for one of the processes involved in S&OP, the ordered approach to the team's work will be more like a project in nature. If the team holds a group meeting monthly on an ongoing basis to lead a process such as S&OP monthly planning, the ordered approach is to follow the process design and to continually work on improving the process.
The first condition, time commitment, requires a generic structure. I have worked with the High Performance Management System (HPMS) developed by Richard C. Palermo Sr. in the 1970s and 1980s while he led Xerox Corporation to success in earning the Malcolm Baldrige National Quality Award. I have seen Palermo's system used very effectively in several major companies, with spectacular results. (You can pick up a book about HPMS for a thorough reading and understanding. I recommend Leadership ... A Return to Common Sense, by Richard C. Palermo Sr., published by Strategic Triangle Inc.) In essence, the practice starts with setting a vision, selecting a destination for the overall business, then selecting high-impact, revolutionizing things to implement. You can look at these revolutionizing things as the "vital few." Palermo points out that for a business to be successful, it must have excellence in three areas, as follows:
A Successful Business = Satisfied Customers + Motivated Employees + Satisfied Shareholders
One right thing or revolutionary idea needs to be defined for each of the three areas of a successful business stated in the equation above. A job ticket is then written for each of those ideas. The job ticket has eight major steps—always the same steps for each thing you choose to be one of the vital few things you do. The eight steps are as follows:
1. Write a purpose statement for the project with a quantified goal, if possible.
Define the major work steps, using the generic group at a minimum.
Select a team leader with passion about the project, a sponsor from senior management, and team members.
Document the current state, including doing benchmarking internally and externally.
Define the future state.
Develop a transition plan and gain approval from senior management to implement it.
Implement with high quality.
Monitor results.
These eight steps are always in the plan of work; some specific substeps will likely be needed as well. The first six steps should be completed in about six weeks, or at most nine weeks. Team members should be asked to devote a minimum of 25 percent of their time to the project during steps one through six, and very likely 50 percent or more.
The team approach is always founded on analytics. In HPMS, full participation by team members is required, and analytics are the rule. Teams, whether they are ongoing S&OP teams or project teams, work best when they have a foundation in facts rather than opinions. The effective team has an abundance of proper analytics upon which to draw conclusions and make decisions.
Editor's Note:The Market-Drive Supply Chain: A Revolutionary Model for Sales and Operations Planning in the New On-Demand Economy is available in both hardcover and electronic editions from Amazon.com, Barnes & Noble, and other booksellers.
First, 54% of retailers are looking for ways to increase their financial recovery from returns. That’s because the cost to return a purchase averages 27% of the purchase price, which erases as much as 50% of the sales margin. But consumers have their own interests in mind: 76% of shoppers admit they’ve embellished or exaggerated the return reason to avoid a fee, a 39% increase from 2023 to 204.
Second, return experiences matter to consumers. A whopping 80% of shoppers stopped shopping at a retailer because of changes to the return policy—a 34% increase YoY.
Third, returns fraud and abuse is top-of-mind-for retailers, with wardrobing rising 38% in 2024. In fact, over two thirds (69%) of shoppers admit to wardrobing, which is the practice of buying an item for a specific reason or event and returning it after use. Shoppers also practice bracketing, or purchasing an item in a variety of colors or sizes and then returning all the unwanted options.
Fourth, returns come with a steep cost in terms of sustainability, with returns amounting to 8.4 billion pounds of landfill waste in 2023 alone.
“As returns have become an integral part of the shopper experience, retailers must balance meeting sky-high expectations with rising costs, environmental impact, and fraudulent behaviors,” Amena Ali, CEO of Optoro, said in the firm’s “2024 Returns Unwrapped” report. “By understanding shoppers’ behaviors and preferences around returns, retailers can create returns experiences that embrace their needs while driving deeper loyalty and protecting their bottom line.”
Facing an evolving supply chain landscape in 2025, companies are being forced to rethink their distribution strategies to cope with challenges like rising cost pressures, persistent labor shortages, and the complexities of managing SKU proliferation.
1. Optimize labor productivity and costs. Forward-thinking businesses are leveraging technology to get more done with fewer resources through approaches like slotting optimization, automation and robotics, and inventory visibility.
2. Maximize capacity with smart solutions. With e-commerce volumes rising, facilities need to handle more SKUs and orders without expanding their physical footprint. That can be achieved through high-density storage and dynamic throughput.
3. Streamline returns management. Returns are a growing challenge, thanks to the continued growth of e-commerce and the consumer practice of bracketing. Businesses can handle that with smarter reverse logistics processes like automated returns processing and reverse logistics visibility.
4. Accelerate order fulfillment with robotics. Robotic solutions are transforming the way orders are fulfilled, helping businesses meet customer expectations faster and more accurately than ever before by using autonomous mobile robots (AMRs and robotic picking.
5. Enhance end-of-line packaging. The final step in the supply chain is often the most visible to customers. So optimizing packaging processes can reduce costs, improve efficiency, and support sustainability goals through automated packaging systems and sustainability initiatives.
That clash has come as retailers have been hustling to adjust to pandemic swings like a renewed focus on e-commerce, then swiftly reimagining store experiences as foot traffic returned. But even as the dust settles from those changes, retailers are now facing renewed questions about how best to define their omnichannel strategy in a world where customers have increasing power and information.
The answer may come from a five-part strategy using integrated components to fortify omnichannel retail, EY said. The approach can unlock value and customer trust through great experiences, but only when implemented cohesively, not individually, EY warns.
The steps include:
1. Functional integration: Is your operating model and data infrastructure siloed between e-commerce and physical stores, or have you developed a cohesive unit centered around delivering seamless customer experience?
2. Customer insights: With consumer centricity at the heart of operations, are you analyzing all touch points to build a holistic view of preferences, behaviors, and buying patterns?
3. Next-generation inventory: Given the right customer insights, how are you utilizing advanced analytics to ensure inventory is optimized to meet demand precisely where and when it’s needed?
4. Distribution partnerships: Having ensured your customers find what they want where they want it, how are your distribution strategies adapting to deliver these choices to them swiftly and efficiently?
5. Real estate strategy: How is your real estate strategy interconnected with insights, inventory and distribution to enhance experience and maximize your footprint?
When approached cohesively, these efforts all build toward one overarching differentiator for retailers: a better customer experience that reaches from brand engagement and order placement through delivery and return, the EY study said. Amid continued volatility and an economy driven by complex customer demands, the retailers best set up to win are those that are striving to gain real-time visibility into stock levels, offer flexible fulfillment options and modernize merchandising through personalized and dynamic customer experiences.
Geopolitical rivalries, alliances, and aspirations are rewiring the global economy—and the imposition of new tariffs on foreign imports by the U.S. will accelerate that process, according to an analysis by Boston Consulting Group (BCG).
Without a broad increase in tariffs, world trade in goods will keep growing at an average of 2.9% annually for the next eight years, the firm forecasts in its report, “Great Powers, Geopolitics, and the Future of Trade.” But the routes goods travel will change markedly as North America reduces its dependence on China and China builds up its links with the Global South, which is cementing its power in the global trade map.
“Global trade is set to top $29 trillion by 2033, but the routes these goods will travel is changing at a remarkable pace,” Aparna Bharadwaj, managing director and partner at BCG, said in a release. “Trade lanes were already shifting from historical patterns and looming US tariffs will accelerate this. Navigating these new dynamics will be critical for any global business.”
To understand those changes, BCG modeled the direct impact of the 60/25/20 scenario (60% tariff on Chinese goods, a 25% on goods from Canada and Mexico, and a 20% on imports from all other countries). The results show that the tariffs would add $640 billion to the cost of importing goods from the top ten U.S. import nations, based on 2023 levels, unless alternative sources or suppliers are found.
In terms of product categories imported by the U.S., the greatest impact would be on imported auto parts and automotive vehicles, which would primarily affect trade with Mexico, the EU, and Japan. Consumer electronics, electrical machinery, and fashion goods would be most affected by higher tariffs on Chinese goods. Specifically, the report forecasts that a 60% tariff rate would add $61 billion to cost of importing consumer electronics products from China into the U.S.
That strategy is described by RILA President Brian Dodge in a document titled “2025 Retail Public Policy Agenda,” which begins by describing leading retailers as “dynamic and multifaceted businesses that begin on Main Street and stretch across the world to bring high value and affordable consumer goods to American families.”
RILA says its policy priorities support that membership in four ways:
Investing in people. Retail is for everyone; the place for a first job, 2nd chance, third act, or a side hustle – the retail workforce represents the American workforce.
Ensuring a safe, sustainable future. RILA is working with lawmakers to help shape policies that protect our customers and meet expectations regarding environmental concerns.
Leading in the community. Retail is more than a store; we are an integral part of the fabric of our communities.
“As Congress and the Trump administration move forward to adopt policies that reduce regulatory burdens, create economic growth, and bring value to American families, understanding how such policies will impact retailers and the communities we serve is imperative,” Dodge said. “RILA and its member companies look forward to collaborating with policymakers to provide industry-specific insights and data to help shape any policies under consideration.”