Agilent Technologies' "control tower"—an information hub linking the instrument maker with its suppliers to provide inventory visibility—has helped the company deftly model parts availability, manage order promising, and counteract parts shortages during a natural disaster.
In 2011, when the worst flooding in decades swamped Thailand, many of the manufacturing plants that produce electronic parts and components in that country were forced to suspend operations. That left many of their customers—mostly large international manufacturers—without critical parts needed to fill orders. But not Agilent Technologies Inc. Although Agilent's contract manufacturer in Thailand was out of commission, the testing-equipment maker was able to fill most of the orders that normally would have included items produced by that supplier. That's because Agilent had a resource its competitors didn't have: a "control tower" it had installed a year earlier for its Electronic Measurement Group (EMG).
The control tower is an information hub that links Agilent with its suppliers to provide visibility of the inventory in its supply chain, at both the company's own locations and at the sites of its contract manufacturers and their suppliers. The control tower's staff uses simulation software to model the impact of parts shortages on production and devise a plan to solve any problems. In the case of the Thai floods, the company used that software to rapidly identify shortages so that alternative sources for parts could be quickly found, or in some cases to permit the redesign of parts. "The control tower helps us to be able to capture all components during a shortage so we can come up with risk-mitigation actions," says Michael Tan, Agilent's EMG Supply Chain Operations Director.
Inventory unknowns
Agilent Technologies was created in 1999 when Hewlett-Packard spun off its test and measurement instrument business from its computer business. Headquartered in Santa Clara, California, Agilent Technologies reported US $6.9 billion in revenue in 2012. The Electronic Measurement Group (EMG) is one of four groups within the company, and it's the most profitable one, with US $3.3 billion in revenue in 2012. EMG sells products like oscilloscopes, spectrum analyzers, and network analyzers that are used in such industries as aerospace, defense, communications, and computers. The group has 9,000 customers worldwide. (In September 2013, Agilent Technologies announced plans to make the Electronic Measurement Group a separate, publicly traded company.)
To make 5,000 different types of electronic instruments, EMG works with 1,100 suppliers, 52 percent of which are based in Asia. Although the measurement group operates some of its own factories, it relies on strategic contract manufacturers to make 70 percent of its products. On average EMG ships 70,000 units each month to customers.
Agilent's inbound supply chain spans the globe and requires the coordination of parts flows between its own factories and those of its contract manufacturers. For example, Agilent technology centers in the United States and Germany make integrated circuits. Contract manufacturers in Asia incorporate those components into what Tan refers to as printed-circuit assembly boxes. But Agilent's main manufacturing plant, in Penang, Malaysia, also incorporates the integrated circuits into microcircuit assemblies found in electronic instruments.
All of those factories, both in-house and contract, keep their own inventories of parts to support production. Each plant also has its own suppliers, which keep their own stockpiles of inventory.
The whereabouts and availability of inventory in Agilent's extended global supply chain became a concern in 2009. That's when the economic downturn subsided and business began to pick up again. Cutbacks in production and the demise of some suppliers during the recession had led to parts shortages throughout the electronics industry. As a result, when Agilent needed to ramp up production, it "had some challenges" in locating parts that were in short supply, Tan says.
Compounding the problem was the fact that Agilent needed accurate information about parts availability from its suppliers in order to make delivery commitments to key customers and win business, yet it had no way to get that critical information quickly. One reason was that Agilent, its contract manufacturers, and their suppliers were using different information systems. While Agilent relies on Oracle's technology to keep tabs on production, many of its contract manufacturers and suppliers use enterprise resource planning software from SAP. Because the different information systems in the supply chain were not linked, if Agilent wanted to determine whether it had all the necessary inventory to make an order delivery-time commitment to a customer, it could take three to four weeks to get an answer from all the parties involved.
Simulation saves the day
To solve this problem, Agilent decided to construct a control tower that would give the instrument maker visibility into inventory holdings down to the supplier level in as many nodes in its supply chain as possible. For this vertical supply chain integration project, it bought RapidResponse software from Kinaxis, a vendor of enterprise supply chain software solutions. Besides facilitating supply chain visibility, the software handles demand, supply, and inventory planning as well as what-if analyses, among other functions.
In 2011, Agilent got the control tower up and running with three contract manufacturers and two of its own technology center facilities. Since that time, the control tower's scope has expanded in stages. Currently, it extends to five contract manufacturers and five Agilent-owned sites. Three of the contract manufacturers are in Malaysia, one is in Thailand, and one is in California. Agilent's own facilities linked to the tower include its plants in Penang, Malaysia, and in Santa Clara, California. The tower is also linked to technology centers located in California and Colorado in the United States, and one in Germany.
Staff members who oversee the control tower's operation work out of Agilent's main facility in Penang. There are two teams involved: one conducts the analysis, while the other manages data governance to ensure that all linked locations provide correct, high-quality information.
The suppliers transmit information to the tower on a daily basis. As of this writing, the control tower has visibility of more than 94 percent of all parts used in the EMG supply chain. The tower uses this information to create a complete picture of Agilent's supply chain, which the company employs to manage both daily operations and crisis situations. The information is displayed on computer screens formatted in customized worksheets that show purchase orders, plan, and supply allocation. Tan says the customized worksheets allow Agilent to monitor part-by-part shortages throughout different levels of the supply chain via weekly projected balances based on demand.
The control tower is routinely used to simulate the impact of a major sales event on production. "Our sales engineers want to be able within a half day to come back to a customer and say whether we can support them and get the product in a four-week shipment time," Tan explains.
Whenever a major customer deal is in the offing, the control tower helps Agilent to determine an accurate commitment date for product delivery. It does so by simulating the parts requirements. The simulation allows Agilent to check with its manufacturers and suppliers to determine parts availability, including whether production would encounter any parts shortages. If the simulation reveals possible problems with the availability of components, Agilent can then work with its suppliers to source the part on the open market or obtain it from other distributors. In some cases, the company has re-engineered the product to use an alternative part when the original version was unavailable.
Tan says that the control tower can very quickly predict the revenue impact from any possible deal as well as the company's ability to meet a delivery date before promising it to a customer. "Because of the wide range of products, it was quite a challenge to do this manually in the past within a short time," he says. "The control tower lets you know how much you have on hand and how fast you can get these parts into the factory that produces the product for the final customer."
Since setting up the control tower, Agilent has speeded up its response time for customer order promises. In the past, turnaround time for demand propagation took three to four weeks, as the instrument maker had to contact manufacturers and suppliers involved in a particular order and wait for their responses to determine parts availability for production. Now turnaround time is a week or less.
The control tower also helps Agilent with crisis management, such as when the floods in Thailand affected its contract manufacturer there. The tower simulates the constraints facing a manufacturer or supplier when an unforeseen event disrupts the supply chain. It enables a bottoms-up modeling through the supplier levels to identify the total impact of a disruption on sales orders, forecasts, and safety stock for the various products. It also lets Agilent prioritize the allocation of constrained materials to meet critical demand on the basis of the greatest business benefit. "Because of this tool we are able to quickly simulate gaps [in supply]," said Tan.
As a result of this capability, Agilent was able to minimize disruption for its customers during and after the floods. In some cases it found other sources for parts that it normally would buy from its Thai supplier. In other cases, it redesigned the product or engaged in "value engineering," a technique that involves identifying acceptable substitute parts.
A winning concept
For the control tower to provide inventory visibility, Agilent's supply chain partners must furnish clean, accurate data. The original owner of the data—whether it's Agilent's procurement team or a supplier—is responsible for accuracy and timely updates. "When new products are introduced, the bill of materials needs to be set up correctly at each level," Tan says. "That's why governance is important. Any change needs to be communicated throughout all levels of the supply chain."
Because the control tower needs accurate data for its parts calculations, Tan says, the company must work closely with contract manufacturers and their suppliers. For any data-sharing effort to succeed, he adds, all parties involved must benefit. "It is very important to collaborate to ensure that the data sharing will help [manufacturers and suppliers] as well," he says. "They have to realize that they are linking to systems to let them know their shortages. Then they can see the benefits of linking to the control tower."
Given Agilent's positive experience, would Tan recommend that other companies with complex supply chains consider the use of a control tower to manage inbound supply? He's a firm believer in the concept. For one thing, he says, end-to-end supply chain visibility on a single platform will give companies the ability to manage their supply chains across regions and across time zones. "This will help the company to perform proactive and effective collaboration with suppliers and also enable speed in decision making in the shortest turnaround time," he says. That's key for avoiding unnecessary inventory and expediting costs. But just as importantly, he adds, "it will enable the company to win deals as well as provide customers the best customer experience in terms of delivery responsiveness."
Businesses are cautiously optimistic as peak holiday shipping season draws near, with many anticipating year-over-year sales increases as they continue to battle challenging supply chain conditions.
That’s according to the DHL 2024 Peak Season Shipping Survey, released today by express shipping service provider DHL Express U.S. The company surveyed small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) to gauge their holiday business outlook compared to last year and found that a mix of optimism and “strategic caution” prevail ahead of this year’s peak.
Nearly half (48%) of the SMEs surveyed said they expect higher holiday sales compared to 2023, while 44% said they expect sales to remain on par with last year, and just 8% said they foresee a decline. Respondents said the main challenges to hitting those goals are supply chain problems (35%), inflation and fluctuating consumer demand (34%), staffing (16%), and inventory challenges (14%).
But respondents said they have strategies in place to tackle those issues. Many said they began preparing for holiday season earlier this year—with 45% saying they started planning in Q2 or earlier, up from 39% last year. Other strategies include expanding into international markets (35%) and leveraging holiday discounts (32%).
Sixty percent of respondents said they will prioritize personalized customer service as a way to enhance customer interactions and loyalty this year. Still others said they will invest in enhanced web and mobile experiences (23%) and eco-friendly practices (13%) to draw customers this holiday season.
The practice consists of 5,000 professionals from Accenture and from Avanade—the consulting firm’s joint venture with Microsoft. They will be supported by Microsoft product specialists who will work closely with the Accenture Center for Advanced AI. Together, that group will collaborate on AI and Copilot agent templates, extensions, plugins, and connectors to help organizations leverage their data and gen AI to reduce costs, improve efficiencies and drive growth, they said on Thursday.
Accenture and Avanade say they have already developed some AI tools for these applications. For example, a supplier discovery and risk agent can deliver real-time market insights, agile supply chain responses, and better vendor selection, which could result in up to 15% cost savings. And a procure-to-pay agent could improve efficiency by up to 40% and enhance vendor relations and satisfaction by addressing urgent payment requirements and avoiding disruptions of key services
Likewise, they have also built solutions for clients using Microsoft 365 Copilot technology. For example, they have created Copilots for a variety of industries and functions including finance, manufacturing, supply chain, retail, and consumer goods and healthcare.
Another part of the new practice will be educating clients how to use the technology, using an “Azure Generative AI Engineer Nanodegree program” to teach users how to design, build, and operationalize AI-driven applications on Azure, Microsoft’s cloud computing platform. The online classes will teach learners how to use AI models to solve real-world problems through automation, data insights, and generative AI solutions, the firms said.
“We are pleased to deepen our collaboration with Accenture to help our mutual customers develop AI-first business processes responsibly and securely, while helping them drive market differentiation,” Judson Althoff, executive vice president and chief commercial officer at Microsoft, said in a release. “By bringing together Copilots and human ambition, paired with the autonomous capabilities of an agent, we can accelerate AI transformation for organizations across industries and help them realize successful business outcomes through pragmatic innovation.”
Census data showed that overall retail sales in October were up 0.4% seasonally adjusted month over month and up 2.8% unadjusted year over year. That compared with increases of 0.8% month over month and 2% year over year in September.
October’s core retail sales as defined by NRF — based on the Census data but excluding automobile dealers, gasoline stations and restaurants — were unchanged seasonally adjusted month over month but up 5.4% unadjusted year over year.
Core sales were up 3.5% year over year for the first 10 months of the year, in line with NRF’s forecast for 2024 retail sales to grow between 2.5% and 3.5% over 2023. NRF is forecasting that 2024 holiday sales during November and December will also increase between 2.5% and 3.5% over the same time last year.
“October’s pickup in retail sales shows a healthy pace of spending as many consumers got an early start on holiday shopping,” NRF Chief Economist Jack Kleinhenz said in a release. “October sales were a good early step forward into the holiday shopping season, which is now fully underway. Falling energy prices have likely provided extra dollars for household spending on retail merchandise.”
Despite that positive trend, market watchers cautioned that retailers still need to offer competitive value propositions and customer experience in order to succeed in the holiday season. “The American consumer has been more resilient than anyone could have expected. But that isn’t a free pass for retailers to under invest in their stores,” Nikki Baird, VP of strategy & product at Aptos, a solutions provider of unified retail technology based out of Alpharetta, Georgia, said in a statement. “They need to make investments in labor, customer experience tech, and digital transformation. It has been too easy to kick the can down the road until you suddenly realize there’s no road left.”
A similar message came from Chip West, a retail and consumer behavior expert at the marketing, packaging, print and supply chain solutions provider RRD. “October’s increase proved to be slightly better than projections and was likely boosted by lower fuel prices. As inflation slowed for a number of months, prices in several categories have stabilized, with some even showing declines, offering further relief to consumers,” West said. “The data also looks to be a positive sign as we kick off the holiday shopping season. Promotions and discounts will play a prominent role in holiday shopping behavior as they are key influencers in consumer’s purchasing decisions.”
Third-party logistics (3PL) providers’ share of large real estate leases across the U.S. rose significantly through the third quarter of 2024 compared to the same time last year, as more retailers and wholesalers have been outsourcing their warehouse and distribution operations to 3PLs, according to a report from real estate firm CBRE.
Specifically, 3PLs’ share of bulk industrial leasing activity—covering leases of 100,000 square feet or more—rose to 34.1% through Q3 of this year from 30.6% through Q3 last year. By raw numbers, 3PLs have accounted for 498 bulk leases so far this year, up by 9% from the 457 at this time last year.
By category, 3PLs’ share of 34.1% ranked above other occupier types such as: general retail and wholesale (26.6), food and beverage (9.0), automobiles, tires, and parts (7.9), manufacturing (6.2), building materials and construction (5.6), e-commerce only (5.6), medical (2.7), and undisclosed (2.3).
On a quarterly basis, bulk leasing by 3PLs has steadily increased this year, reversing the steadily decreasing trend of 2023. CBRE pointed to three main reasons for that resurgence:
Import Flexibility. Labor disruptions, extreme weather patterns, and geopolitical uncertainty have led many companies to diversify their import locations. Using 3PLs allows for more inventory flexibility, a key component to retailer success in times of uncertainty.
Capital Allocation/Preservation. Warehousing and distribution of goods is expensive, draining capital resources for transportation costs, rent, or labor. But outsourcing to 3PLs provides companies with more flexibility to increase or decrease their inventories without any risk of signing their own lease commitments. And using a 3PL also allows companies to switch supply chain costs from capital to operational expenses.
Focus on Core Competency. Outsourcing their logistics operations to 3PLs allows companies to focus on core business competencies that drive revenue, such as product development, sales, and customer service.
Looking into the future, these same trends will continue to drive 3PL warehouse demand, CBRE said. Economic, geopolitical and supply chain uncertainty will remain prevalent in the coming quarters but will not diminish the need to effectively manage inventory levels.
That result came from the company’s “GEP Global Supply Chain Volatility Index,” an indicator tracking demand conditions, shortages, transportation costs, inventories, and backlogs based on a monthly survey of 27,000 businesses. The October index number was -0.39, which was up only slightly from its level of -0.43 in September.
Researchers found a steep rise in slack across North American supply chains due to declining factory activity in the U.S. In fact, purchasing managers at U.S. manufacturers made their strongest cutbacks to buying volumes in nearly a year and a half, indicating that factories in the world's largest economy are preparing for lower production volumes, GEP said.
Elsewhere, suppliers feeding Asia also reported spare capacity in October, albeit to a lesser degree than seen in Western markets. Europe's industrial plight remained a key feature of the data in October, as vendor capacity was significantly underutilized, reflecting a continuation of subdued demand in key manufacturing hubs across the continent.
"We're in a buyers' market. October is the fourth straight month that suppliers worldwide reported spare capacity, with notable contractions in factory demand across North America and Europe, underscoring the challenging outlook for Western manufacturers," Todd Bremer, vice president, GEP, said in a release. "President-elect Trump inherits U.S. manufacturers with plenty of spare capacity while in contrast, China's modest rebound and strong expansion in India demonstrate greater resilience in Asia."