Supply chain reinvention: Three vital principles for building a risk-resilient, sustainable future
The global upheaval of the past few years has highlighted how vulnerable our supply chains are to disruption. To holistically manage and mitigate business risk, companies need to re-examine their traditional supply chain processes and adopt a comprehensive digital supply chain strategy. Here’s how to lay a proper foundation for this effort.
For decades, the focus for supply chain executives has been relatively straightforward: reduce costs and increase efficiency.
However, the global upheaval of the past few years—from COVID-19, geopolitical conflicts, and other disruptions—has brought into stark relief a newer, more complicated reality: The supply chain is vulnerable and business risk is high. Whether due to port closures, materials and labor shortages, or economic impacts like rising inflation and fluctuating demand, we are in a moment of unprecedented pressures.
These pressures are, frankly, not going away anytime soon. In fact, a CNBC survey found that 61% of logistics managers say the supply chain is still not operating normally—and most of them say they don’t expect it to do so until 2024 or even later.1 Similarly 82% of supply chain leaders surveyed by Coupa Software say challenges will stay the same or worsen over the next six to 12 months.2
So, what are decision-makers to do? U.S.-based supply chains are undeniably out of sync, and in order to survive, these executives must find real, lasting solutions to today’s pressing challenges. This isn’t just about business continuity; it’s about future growth, revenue, and overall success.
To navigate contemporary challenges and build more resilient supply chains, leaders must embrace a thoughtful and comprehensive digital supply chain strategy. At a foundational level, this digital strategy should be built on three key principles:
connect every process,
contextualize every decision, and
enable collaboration across a company’s ecosystem.
This is about more than simply implementing new digital technologies—it’s a full, end-to-end reimagining of the supply chain, all contained in one interoperable, process-driven solution strategy. Supply chain leaders must reinvent their traditional processes and transform their approach. This will not only assist in extracting risk out of the process but in embedding sustainability into it. This will show that a better, more agile, and more resilient future is very much possible.
How we got here
Before I dive into the three vital principles for digital supply chain strategy success, let’s talk about how we got here.
Supply chains have historically been viewed as a cost center. As a result, managing them called for a steady focus on optimizing cost efficiency and maximizing profit. This meant that many companies excelled in their core competencies but outsourced the rest. Suppliers were selected based primarily on cost, and manufacturing was often moved to areas of the globe that had lower material and labor costs.
Recent supply chain disruptions—whether due to the pandemic, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the Suez Canal blockage, or some other event—exposed the inherent risks of this traditional way of thinking. Rocketing prices, inventory shortages, and empty shelves have become not only more common but downright frequent. Why did this happen? Because traditional supply chain and planning approaches have proven to be ineffective when variability arises, due to a lack of real-time visibility into evolving trends across the enterprise (such as market demand, resource availability, and raw material prices).
The other vital factor in this discussion is our growing climate crisis. Every year, we are using more resources than the planet can sustainably provide. The harmful effects—on climate, biodiversity, and even social inequality—are only increasing. This is one of the reasons why, as we rethink our approach to the supply chain, we must transition from a low-cost, streamlined approach to one that is risk-resilient and sustainable.
Where we are going
What will this risk-resilient and sustainable future look like? It’s not something we can approach in a piecemeal way. If you try to take several small bites at the apple, you’ll be exposing wide swaths of your organization to unnecessary risk for years to come. Functional business areas will remain disconnected and operate as distinct entities, rather than key cogs in a whole machine of interoperable business processes.
To properly address these foundational issues, supply chains need to evolve beyond cost considerations and embrace wider business issues of speed, customer service, risk, and sustainability. This means focusing on alleviating risk and building resiliency to shock and disruption, while still addressing critical sustainability mandates. Otherwise, decisions will be made in functional isolation, based on history and static operation rather than in-the-moment, information-driven action.
Investing in foundational digital tools and technology is a key enabler of this supply chain reinvention. But to be successful, we must rethink how we’re fabricating our digital supply chain strategy. To do so, start with these three principles.
Principle #1: Connect every process
To build a resilient and sustainable supply chain, you must start with an enterprise-wide lens. You can accomplish this by digitally integrating the supply chain from end to end—design to planning to manufacturing to logistics to maintenance to service. This end-to-end visibility is absolutely vital.
For instance, look to integrate design and production engineering. Build an approach where engineering bills of materials or recipes are managed through a consistent digital thread and handed over to the manufacturing team. A well-connected supply chain is one where custom orders are managed through variant configuration in an integrated manufacturing environment. It’s one where production engineering can easily communicate last-minute changes to the shop floor. It’s one that enables raw materials and parts supplied to the production lines to be orchestrated between manufacturing execution and warehouse management systems, eliminating waste hiding in functional siloes and driving profitability.
Going a step further, all of these business functions can provide even greater visibility and foresight by implementing cutting-edge artificial intelligence (AI) tools that can detect and analyze activities across the extended supply chain. This level of visibility will improve supply chain resilience by allowing companies to take preventative actions to mitigate bottlenecks.
The widespread elimination of data disconnects and process siloes enables some key benefits for the enterprise, including:
Accelerating the pace of innovation, individualization of products, and manufacturing, which will help get products out the door—and revenue in the door—faster;
Effective evaluation and prediction of supply, inventory, and performance issues, which helps reduce downtime and disruption;
Continuous feedback loops across business functions, which enables continuous improvement and innovation; and
Sustainability being engrained into every step of the process, helping to consistently reduce emissions, waste, and environmental impact.
How to set all of this into motion? An integrated business planning (IBP) process that embraces product development tools and IBP supply chain solutions can go a long way toward connecting every process. An effective IBP process that brings together both financial and operational stakeholders can break down the siloes that currently exist throughout the planning and decision-making process. It moves the decision-making process into a single place and ensures that data is easily available for all. Furthermore, it creates transparent plans with clear priorities, synchronized functional siloes, investment in organizational and cultural change, and the involvement of your broader partner ecosystem.
Principle #2: Contextualize every decision
In order to create risk-resilient and sustainable supply chains, leaders need to base their decisions on data and information that is not only accurate and up-to-date but also contextualized. A good digital strategy will bring together accurate, in-the-moment operational data with always-up-to-date business information. The accuracy of what you put into your system—your data acquisition—is paramount, but so too is your data analysis. Let’s consider three examples from very different parts of your supply chain.
To properly execute demand planning, you need to have a complete picture of daily demand; only then can you make decisions that will optimize profitability, deliver high customer service levels, and enable accurate supply planning. Creating a complete picture, however, requires going beyond merely reporting sales data to providing a context for that data. A good AI tool, for example, can help automatically identify meaningful demand thresholds and raise alerts when anomalies are detected.
Contextualizing decisions can also help you better maintain and manage your assets. A proper digital strategy for the lifecycle management of assets would not only gather and report sensor data, inspection results, and historical maintenance records but also analyze that data and form correlations. It would leverage AI, the internet of things, and rule-based frameworks to enable not only prescriptive maintenance (fixing the asset after it breaks) but also predictive maintenance (fixing it before it breaks).
Finally, digital technologies can help refine product design decisions by providing data around the usage of critical materials, energy consumption, and emissions. This type of context will help companies eliminate waste and ensure their products meet both regulatory requirements and their own sustainability goals.
Turning toward the future, intelligent technologies can help you contextualize your operational and business data, which will enable you to:
Operate as one business and avoid gaps, inaccuracies, and mistakes that would otherwise slow you down and increase costs, and
Embed sustainability into your day-to-day operations and processes, offering compliance transparency and decision guidance while proactively managing your goals.
Principle #3: Enable collaboration
A truly successful supply chain strategy is one that also creates dynamic, digital connections across all suppliers, contract manufacturers, logistics partners, and service providers. It’s all about collaboration.
What would this look like? Working closely with shippers and carriers, for instance, to help optimize logistics processes, increase on-time deliveries, and mitigate supply risk. Or empowering operators, manufacturers, and service providers, for example, with a single digital network for resiliency and transparency.
This kind of close collaboration has many other benefits, including:
Full visibility into every partner’s capabilities, capacity, and performance, making it easy to plan with precision and confidence;
Coordination with partners to ensure that available supply meets market demand to provide on-time, in-full delivery;
Strategic discovery and approval of partners to quickly and efficiently pivot when necessary; and
Coordination amongst partners in sustainability priorities and requirements.
An eye towards tomorrow
These three principles are vital steps to building a risk-resilient and sustainable supply chain. Once your design, manufacturing, logistics, maintenance, and service processes are connected and providing you the context you need to make effective decisions, you will finally be able to respond to disruptions in real time and connect your organization to an entire ecosystem of partners and collaborators.
The magnitude of the shift from after-the-fact reactions to in-the-moment actions—and even in-advance prediction—cannot be understated. It’s a move from ordinary to extraordinary, from automation to business-changing transformation. It’s about turning agility, resiliency, and sustainability from pie-in-the-sky, C-suite dreams into grounded, operational realities.
As a result, your supply chain will become more nimble, and you’ll see costs, profits, and customer service capabilities all trending in the right direction. You’ll see risk fading into your rearview mirror, and you’ll see sustainability and success rising just above the horizon.
Businesses are cautiously optimistic as peak holiday shipping season draws near, with many anticipating year-over-year sales increases as they continue to battle challenging supply chain conditions.
That’s according to the DHL 2024 Peak Season Shipping Survey, released today by express shipping service provider DHL Express U.S. The company surveyed small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) to gauge their holiday business outlook compared to last year and found that a mix of optimism and “strategic caution” prevail ahead of this year’s peak.
Nearly half (48%) of the SMEs surveyed said they expect higher holiday sales compared to 2023, while 44% said they expect sales to remain on par with last year, and just 8% said they foresee a decline. Respondents said the main challenges to hitting those goals are supply chain problems (35%), inflation and fluctuating consumer demand (34%), staffing (16%), and inventory challenges (14%).
But respondents said they have strategies in place to tackle those issues. Many said they began preparing for holiday season earlier this year—with 45% saying they started planning in Q2 or earlier, up from 39% last year. Other strategies include expanding into international markets (35%) and leveraging holiday discounts (32%).
Sixty percent of respondents said they will prioritize personalized customer service as a way to enhance customer interactions and loyalty this year. Still others said they will invest in enhanced web and mobile experiences (23%) and eco-friendly practices (13%) to draw customers this holiday season.
The practice consists of 5,000 professionals from Accenture and from Avanade—the consulting firm’s joint venture with Microsoft. They will be supported by Microsoft product specialists who will work closely with the Accenture Center for Advanced AI. Together, that group will collaborate on AI and Copilot agent templates, extensions, plugins, and connectors to help organizations leverage their data and gen AI to reduce costs, improve efficiencies and drive growth, they said on Thursday.
Accenture and Avanade say they have already developed some AI tools for these applications. For example, a supplier discovery and risk agent can deliver real-time market insights, agile supply chain responses, and better vendor selection, which could result in up to 15% cost savings. And a procure-to-pay agent could improve efficiency by up to 40% and enhance vendor relations and satisfaction by addressing urgent payment requirements and avoiding disruptions of key services
Likewise, they have also built solutions for clients using Microsoft 365 Copilot technology. For example, they have created Copilots for a variety of industries and functions including finance, manufacturing, supply chain, retail, and consumer goods and healthcare.
Another part of the new practice will be educating clients how to use the technology, using an “Azure Generative AI Engineer Nanodegree program” to teach users how to design, build, and operationalize AI-driven applications on Azure, Microsoft’s cloud computing platform. The online classes will teach learners how to use AI models to solve real-world problems through automation, data insights, and generative AI solutions, the firms said.
“We are pleased to deepen our collaboration with Accenture to help our mutual customers develop AI-first business processes responsibly and securely, while helping them drive market differentiation,” Judson Althoff, executive vice president and chief commercial officer at Microsoft, said in a release. “By bringing together Copilots and human ambition, paired with the autonomous capabilities of an agent, we can accelerate AI transformation for organizations across industries and help them realize successful business outcomes through pragmatic innovation.”
Census data showed that overall retail sales in October were up 0.4% seasonally adjusted month over month and up 2.8% unadjusted year over year. That compared with increases of 0.8% month over month and 2% year over year in September.
October’s core retail sales as defined by NRF — based on the Census data but excluding automobile dealers, gasoline stations and restaurants — were unchanged seasonally adjusted month over month but up 5.4% unadjusted year over year.
Core sales were up 3.5% year over year for the first 10 months of the year, in line with NRF’s forecast for 2024 retail sales to grow between 2.5% and 3.5% over 2023. NRF is forecasting that 2024 holiday sales during November and December will also increase between 2.5% and 3.5% over the same time last year.
“October’s pickup in retail sales shows a healthy pace of spending as many consumers got an early start on holiday shopping,” NRF Chief Economist Jack Kleinhenz said in a release. “October sales were a good early step forward into the holiday shopping season, which is now fully underway. Falling energy prices have likely provided extra dollars for household spending on retail merchandise.”
Despite that positive trend, market watchers cautioned that retailers still need to offer competitive value propositions and customer experience in order to succeed in the holiday season. “The American consumer has been more resilient than anyone could have expected. But that isn’t a free pass for retailers to under invest in their stores,” Nikki Baird, VP of strategy & product at Aptos, a solutions provider of unified retail technology based out of Alpharetta, Georgia, said in a statement. “They need to make investments in labor, customer experience tech, and digital transformation. It has been too easy to kick the can down the road until you suddenly realize there’s no road left.”
A similar message came from Chip West, a retail and consumer behavior expert at the marketing, packaging, print and supply chain solutions provider RRD. “October’s increase proved to be slightly better than projections and was likely boosted by lower fuel prices. As inflation slowed for a number of months, prices in several categories have stabilized, with some even showing declines, offering further relief to consumers,” West said. “The data also looks to be a positive sign as we kick off the holiday shopping season. Promotions and discounts will play a prominent role in holiday shopping behavior as they are key influencers in consumer’s purchasing decisions.”
Third-party logistics (3PL) providers’ share of large real estate leases across the U.S. rose significantly through the third quarter of 2024 compared to the same time last year, as more retailers and wholesalers have been outsourcing their warehouse and distribution operations to 3PLs, according to a report from real estate firm CBRE.
Specifically, 3PLs’ share of bulk industrial leasing activity—covering leases of 100,000 square feet or more—rose to 34.1% through Q3 of this year from 30.6% through Q3 last year. By raw numbers, 3PLs have accounted for 498 bulk leases so far this year, up by 9% from the 457 at this time last year.
By category, 3PLs’ share of 34.1% ranked above other occupier types such as: general retail and wholesale (26.6), food and beverage (9.0), automobiles, tires, and parts (7.9), manufacturing (6.2), building materials and construction (5.6), e-commerce only (5.6), medical (2.7), and undisclosed (2.3).
On a quarterly basis, bulk leasing by 3PLs has steadily increased this year, reversing the steadily decreasing trend of 2023. CBRE pointed to three main reasons for that resurgence:
Import Flexibility. Labor disruptions, extreme weather patterns, and geopolitical uncertainty have led many companies to diversify their import locations. Using 3PLs allows for more inventory flexibility, a key component to retailer success in times of uncertainty.
Capital Allocation/Preservation. Warehousing and distribution of goods is expensive, draining capital resources for transportation costs, rent, or labor. But outsourcing to 3PLs provides companies with more flexibility to increase or decrease their inventories without any risk of signing their own lease commitments. And using a 3PL also allows companies to switch supply chain costs from capital to operational expenses.
Focus on Core Competency. Outsourcing their logistics operations to 3PLs allows companies to focus on core business competencies that drive revenue, such as product development, sales, and customer service.
Looking into the future, these same trends will continue to drive 3PL warehouse demand, CBRE said. Economic, geopolitical and supply chain uncertainty will remain prevalent in the coming quarters but will not diminish the need to effectively manage inventory levels.
That result came from the company’s “GEP Global Supply Chain Volatility Index,” an indicator tracking demand conditions, shortages, transportation costs, inventories, and backlogs based on a monthly survey of 27,000 businesses. The October index number was -0.39, which was up only slightly from its level of -0.43 in September.
Researchers found a steep rise in slack across North American supply chains due to declining factory activity in the U.S. In fact, purchasing managers at U.S. manufacturers made their strongest cutbacks to buying volumes in nearly a year and a half, indicating that factories in the world's largest economy are preparing for lower production volumes, GEP said.
Elsewhere, suppliers feeding Asia also reported spare capacity in October, albeit to a lesser degree than seen in Western markets. Europe's industrial plight remained a key feature of the data in October, as vendor capacity was significantly underutilized, reflecting a continuation of subdued demand in key manufacturing hubs across the continent.
"We're in a buyers' market. October is the fourth straight month that suppliers worldwide reported spare capacity, with notable contractions in factory demand across North America and Europe, underscoring the challenging outlook for Western manufacturers," Todd Bremer, vice president, GEP, said in a release. "President-elect Trump inherits U.S. manufacturers with plenty of spare capacity while in contrast, China's modest rebound and strong expansion in India demonstrate greater resilience in Asia."