For many retailers, omnichannel commerce is new and uncharted territory. But consultant Kerry W. Coin has been there, and now offers some guidance on how retailers can master a strategy that's fraught with supply chain challenges.
The advent of omnichannel commerce is changing almost every aspect of how retailers serve their customers—from the way they take customers' orders to how and when they fill and deliver those orders.
Omnichannel commerce refers to retailers' efforts to seamlessly integrate their store and e-commerce selling channels. By doing so, they enable customers to shop by any channel they choose and even use more than one channel to execute a single transaction. As retailers begin to simultaneously serve the Internet, catalog, and store sales channels, some are discovering that they must change their distribution operations to meet the unique supply chain challenges associated with that strategy.
Among the supply chain professionals who have successfully navigated those challenges is Kerry W. Coin. To restart his consulting practice, Coin retired from his position as senior vice president and chief logistics officer at Ann Inc. While at Ann Inc., a U.S. $2.5 billion fashion retailer operating more than 1,000 stores under the Ann Taylor and Loft brands, he worked on the development of a supply chain strategy for serving four retail store channels and two e-commerce sites.
Coin has a broad background in supply chain management. Over the course of his career he has worked in apparel, retail food services, consumer products, and management consulting. His consulting firm, The Kerma Group LLC, is dedicated to helping clients in the retail sector.
In a recent interview with Editor James Cooke, Coin discussed some of the issues facing retailers when they get into omnichannel commerce, and how they can adapt their supply chains to support an omnichannel strategy.
Name: Kerry W. Coin Title: Principal and co-founder Organization: The Kerma Group LLC Education: Bachelor of Science in mathematics and physics, Truman State University; Master of Science in applied mathematics and computer science from Southern Illinois University Business Experience: Senior vice president, chief logistics officer, Ann Inc.; vice president operations, AnnTaylor.com and vice president supply chain development, Ann Taylor Inc.; vice president retail and fulfillment, 1-800-FLOWERS.com; principal, A.T. Kearney CSCMP Member: Since 2013
Why are so many retailers pursuing an omnichannel commerce strategy these days?
One of the largest investments any retailer makes is product inventory. However, no matter how adept its planners are at planning and allocating this investment across the various points of sale, they will be wrong. Consequently, they will have too much at location A and not enough at location B, which causes two basic issues: First, a customer will be frustrated, and second, a sale will be lost. Omnichannel can serve as a "safety net," mitigating the risk of allocation error because it lets retailers service cross-channel demand from any source of inventory.
All inventory will be sold sooner or later, albeit at a successive series of markdowns, which erode margin. Given the fact that in many businesses a single percentage of margin can more than cover the cost of shipping and processing, omnichannel provides a means by which a retailer can provide the best possible service at the best possible margin.
The omnichannel strategy becomes even more compelling when you add improvements to customer service to these inventory management and margin benefits. The ability for a customer to buy anywhere and have product delivered anywhere or picked up in a store is a true customer-centric strategy that facilitates a win-win relationship between the retailer and its customer.
What changes must a distribution center (DC) make to its operations to serve both brick-and-mortar stores and online orders?
Depending upon a particular retailer's strategy for implementing omnichannel, a DC may not need to make many, if any changes. However, many retailers have not yet begun to balance inventory availability across selling channels—brick and mortar stores, Internet, and catalogue. Consequently, the migration to an omnichannel capability may highlight the need for a different cross-channel allocation of the retailer's inventory investment.
One approach gaining favor among retailers with seasonal stores is to migrate from a primarily "100-percent push" model to more of a demand replenishment model, where some percentage of seasonal product is held back for secondary allocations based upon local store or Internet demand during the season. The key question here regards inventory held at the DC for Internet sales. Since this channel is growing so much faster than the other sales channels, and it is less costly to fulfill a customer order from a DC than from a store, it may be tempting to allocate more inventory to this channel at the risk of cannibalizing store inventory to the point of diminishing store-level selections.
Some smart people have argued for a basic reduction in DC capacity by effectively replacing the traditional DC with a number of expanded brick-and-mortar stores equipped to service local demand for omnichannel orders. They maintain that this approach can mitigate the rapid growth in direct-to-consumer fulfillment. Although I can't see how to make that work out financially, there are indeed some real benefits to this approach other than those mentioned above. For example, parcel carriers can provide one- to two-day delivery to 97 percent of the U.S. population with as few as four well-placed fulfillment nodes. These nodes could be used to service retail locations more promptly with replenishment inventory as well.
What changes do retail stores have to make in their operations in order to pick items off the shelf to fill online orders?
Most retailers will need to reorient and train their hourly staff on a new set of operating procedures and systems. There will need to be a change in the processes utilized to accept an order and to assure the inventory is indeed available to fulfill the customer's order. This is the hardest part, operationally, of meeting the commitment to the customer. Retail store-level inventory accuracy is notoriously low due to a number of factors. Consequently, the inventory management system may indicate the SKU (stock-keeping unit) is available at a store when it is not actually available or may not easily be located at the store. In these cases, the retailer must have triage processes, which allow them to source the item from an alternative location.
Given even a modicum of success, there will need to be dedicated space for staging, packing, and labeling orders for shipment. Arrangements need to be made with parcel carriers to have systemic capability for processing moderate to large volumes of parcels and for reliable pickup times.
Does an omnichannel strategy require a retailer to work differently with its suppliers? If so, how?
Typically, there are a few strategic supply chain partners that need to be fully engaged in the retailer's omnichannel initiative. As described above, the parcel partner is integral to the effectiveness of the retailer's initiative. Similarly, on the software side, a few providers have emerged as leaders in the management of brokering and parsing orders to fulfillment locations. The near real-time availability of inventory by location being so essential, your systems integration partner—and, of course, your internal information technology team—will undoubtedly be called upon to help work through the synchronization of inventory views across the store and DC locations. If you utilize third- party logistics partners as part of your current fulfillment solution, they, too will need a seat at the table, as omnichannel will impact their operations, particularly where reverse logistics is concerned.
How do distributed order management systems help retailers gain inventory visibility? Are there any drawbacks to using this type of software?
The visibility to and management of cross-network inventory is essential to a successful omnichannel effort in a multiunit retailing network. Whether this capability is accomplished via purchased software or internally developed applications, it is a necessity.
I've always looked at the distributed order management application as a "user" of one's cross-channel inventory management application. Historically, multiunit retailers have had separate inventory management systems and practices, which for accuracy's sake are specific to the channel requirements. For instance, in the Internet channel, SKU-level, real-time accuracy is an absolute requirement for fulfilling a customer order, and systems and processes have evolved that routinely assure accuracy in excess of 99 percent. Not so in the retail store environment, where accuracy at the SKU level is far, far lower.
So, the dilemma comes when a retailer believes that there is inventory available at a location and it is not—or, just as bad, thinks there is no inventory and there is. This is one of the major reasons for the renewed interest in radio frequency identification (RFID) technology for retail locations. Retailers simply cannot rely on semiannual or annual physical inventories as the assurance of inventory availability in an omnichannel world.
And, a word of caution here: Please begin this journey with the end in mind. That is, carefully plan how to address the overall cross-channel inventory and order management requirements of an omnichannel strategy up front. This is not one of those initiatives you should undertake with a piecemeal design.
Can retail store workers be expected to fill orders with the same degree of accuracy as distribution center workers? Can store picking ever achieve "perfect order" metrics?
I may be a bit of a contrarian here. Those of us in supply chain operations frequently underestimate the abilities of store workers. Given the proper positioning of the initiative or customer focus; well thought-out processes such as scan and pack validation; incentives such as labor hours and bonus considerations; and training, store workers can certainly fulfill orders as accurately as DC staff—but not necessarily as cost-effectively.
How do you think retailers will handle same-day delivery for online orders?
Personally, I don't see the same-day delivery requirement as being as important as do some others in retailing. Of course, most of my experience is in the branded specialty retail sector, where seasonal allotment of inventory may preclude the feasibility of this capability.
What advice would you give a supply chain executive who has been assigned to set up an omnichannel strategy?
My advice would be, first and foremost, to make sure your entire executive leadership is aligned on the importance and necessity of the initiative. This starts with the chief executive officer (CEO), whose vision and support is essential. Given support from the top, make sure the initiative has the proper governance. Rigorous and candid project management through your project management office is a must. Since an omnichannel program by its very nature touches almost every functional area of the enterprise, a senior executive steering committee is a necessity. The project team must be built from the "best and brightest" from your supply chain operation, information technology group, store operations, change management organization, Internet operations, finance, and those key partners described above.
Of course, any initiative of this size and scope is best implemented incrementally, via a series of pilot projects before full rollout. It's always best to validate the business impacts of these sorts of strategic initiatives, and to confirm and refine plans based on the real-world impact of just how all the moving parts align. Experienced, outside support can be helpful.
Just 29% of supply chain organizations have the competitive characteristics they’ll need for future readiness, according to a Gartner survey released Tuesday. The survey focused on how organizations are preparing for future challenges and to keep their supply chains competitive.
Gartner surveyed 579 supply chain practitioners to determine the capabilities needed to manage the “future drivers of influence” on supply chains, which include artificial intelligence (AI) achievement and the ability to navigate new trade policies. According to the survey, the five competitive characteristics are: agility, resilience, regionalization, integrated ecosystems, and integrated enterprise strategy.
The survey analysis identified “leaders” among the respondents as supply chain organizations that have already developed at least three of the five competitive characteristics necessary to address the top five drivers of supply chain’s future.
Less than a third have met that threshold.
“Leaders shared a commitment to preparation through long-term, deliberate strategies, while non-leaders were more often focused on short-term priorities,” Pierfrancesco Manenti, vice president analyst in Gartner’s Supply Chain practice, said in a statement announcing the survey results.
“Most leaders have yet to invest in the most advanced technologies (e.g. real-time visibility, digital supply chain twin), but plan to do so in the next three-to-five years,” Manenti also said in the statement. “Leaders see technology as an enabler to their overall business strategies, while non-leaders more often invest in technology first, without having fully established their foundational capabilities.”
As part of the survey, respondents were asked to identify the future drivers of influence on supply chain performance over the next three to five years. The top five drivers are: achievement capability of AI (74%); the amount of new ESG regulations and trade policies being released (67%); geopolitical fight/transition for power (65%); control over data (62%); and talent scarcity (59%).
The analysis also identified four unique profiles of supply chain organizations, based on what their leaders deem as the most crucial capabilities for empowering their organizations over the next three to five years.
First, 54% of retailers are looking for ways to increase their financial recovery from returns. That’s because the cost to return a purchase averages 27% of the purchase price, which erases as much as 50% of the sales margin. But consumers have their own interests in mind: 76% of shoppers admit they’ve embellished or exaggerated the return reason to avoid a fee, a 39% increase from 2023 to 204.
Second, return experiences matter to consumers. A whopping 80% of shoppers stopped shopping at a retailer because of changes to the return policy—a 34% increase YoY.
Third, returns fraud and abuse is top-of-mind-for retailers, with wardrobing rising 38% in 2024. In fact, over two thirds (69%) of shoppers admit to wardrobing, which is the practice of buying an item for a specific reason or event and returning it after use. Shoppers also practice bracketing, or purchasing an item in a variety of colors or sizes and then returning all the unwanted options.
Fourth, returns come with a steep cost in terms of sustainability, with returns amounting to 8.4 billion pounds of landfill waste in 2023 alone.
“As returns have become an integral part of the shopper experience, retailers must balance meeting sky-high expectations with rising costs, environmental impact, and fraudulent behaviors,” Amena Ali, CEO of Optoro, said in the firm’s “2024 Returns Unwrapped” report. “By understanding shoppers’ behaviors and preferences around returns, retailers can create returns experiences that embrace their needs while driving deeper loyalty and protecting their bottom line.”
Facing an evolving supply chain landscape in 2025, companies are being forced to rethink their distribution strategies to cope with challenges like rising cost pressures, persistent labor shortages, and the complexities of managing SKU proliferation.
1. Optimize labor productivity and costs. Forward-thinking businesses are leveraging technology to get more done with fewer resources through approaches like slotting optimization, automation and robotics, and inventory visibility.
2. Maximize capacity with smart solutions. With e-commerce volumes rising, facilities need to handle more SKUs and orders without expanding their physical footprint. That can be achieved through high-density storage and dynamic throughput.
3. Streamline returns management. Returns are a growing challenge, thanks to the continued growth of e-commerce and the consumer practice of bracketing. Businesses can handle that with smarter reverse logistics processes like automated returns processing and reverse logistics visibility.
4. Accelerate order fulfillment with robotics. Robotic solutions are transforming the way orders are fulfilled, helping businesses meet customer expectations faster and more accurately than ever before by using autonomous mobile robots (AMRs and robotic picking.
5. Enhance end-of-line packaging. The final step in the supply chain is often the most visible to customers. So optimizing packaging processes can reduce costs, improve efficiency, and support sustainability goals through automated packaging systems and sustainability initiatives.
That clash has come as retailers have been hustling to adjust to pandemic swings like a renewed focus on e-commerce, then swiftly reimagining store experiences as foot traffic returned. But even as the dust settles from those changes, retailers are now facing renewed questions about how best to define their omnichannel strategy in a world where customers have increasing power and information.
The answer may come from a five-part strategy using integrated components to fortify omnichannel retail, EY said. The approach can unlock value and customer trust through great experiences, but only when implemented cohesively, not individually, EY warns.
The steps include:
1. Functional integration: Is your operating model and data infrastructure siloed between e-commerce and physical stores, or have you developed a cohesive unit centered around delivering seamless customer experience?
2. Customer insights: With consumer centricity at the heart of operations, are you analyzing all touch points to build a holistic view of preferences, behaviors, and buying patterns?
3. Next-generation inventory: Given the right customer insights, how are you utilizing advanced analytics to ensure inventory is optimized to meet demand precisely where and when it’s needed?
4. Distribution partnerships: Having ensured your customers find what they want where they want it, how are your distribution strategies adapting to deliver these choices to them swiftly and efficiently?
5. Real estate strategy: How is your real estate strategy interconnected with insights, inventory and distribution to enhance experience and maximize your footprint?
When approached cohesively, these efforts all build toward one overarching differentiator for retailers: a better customer experience that reaches from brand engagement and order placement through delivery and return, the EY study said. Amid continued volatility and an economy driven by complex customer demands, the retailers best set up to win are those that are striving to gain real-time visibility into stock levels, offer flexible fulfillment options and modernize merchandising through personalized and dynamic customer experiences.
Geopolitical rivalries, alliances, and aspirations are rewiring the global economy—and the imposition of new tariffs on foreign imports by the U.S. will accelerate that process, according to an analysis by Boston Consulting Group (BCG).
Without a broad increase in tariffs, world trade in goods will keep growing at an average of 2.9% annually for the next eight years, the firm forecasts in its report, “Great Powers, Geopolitics, and the Future of Trade.” But the routes goods travel will change markedly as North America reduces its dependence on China and China builds up its links with the Global South, which is cementing its power in the global trade map.
“Global trade is set to top $29 trillion by 2033, but the routes these goods will travel is changing at a remarkable pace,” Aparna Bharadwaj, managing director and partner at BCG, said in a release. “Trade lanes were already shifting from historical patterns and looming US tariffs will accelerate this. Navigating these new dynamics will be critical for any global business.”
To understand those changes, BCG modeled the direct impact of the 60/25/20 scenario (60% tariff on Chinese goods, a 25% on goods from Canada and Mexico, and a 20% on imports from all other countries). The results show that the tariffs would add $640 billion to the cost of importing goods from the top ten U.S. import nations, based on 2023 levels, unless alternative sources or suppliers are found.
In terms of product categories imported by the U.S., the greatest impact would be on imported auto parts and automotive vehicles, which would primarily affect trade with Mexico, the EU, and Japan. Consumer electronics, electrical machinery, and fashion goods would be most affected by higher tariffs on Chinese goods. Specifically, the report forecasts that a 60% tariff rate would add $61 billion to cost of importing consumer electronics products from China into the U.S.