For many retailers, omnichannel commerce is new and uncharted territory. But consultant Kerry W. Coin has been there, and now offers some guidance on how retailers can master a strategy that's fraught with supply chain challenges.
The advent of omnichannel commerce is changing almost every aspect of how retailers serve their customers—from the way they take customers' orders to how and when they fill and deliver those orders.
Omnichannel commerce refers to retailers' efforts to seamlessly integrate their store and e-commerce selling channels. By doing so, they enable customers to shop by any channel they choose and even use more than one channel to execute a single transaction. As retailers begin to simultaneously serve the Internet, catalog, and store sales channels, some are discovering that they must change their distribution operations to meet the unique supply chain challenges associated with that strategy.
Among the supply chain professionals who have successfully navigated those challenges is Kerry W. Coin. To restart his consulting practice, Coin retired from his position as senior vice president and chief logistics officer at Ann Inc. While at Ann Inc., a U.S. $2.5 billion fashion retailer operating more than 1,000 stores under the Ann Taylor and Loft brands, he worked on the development of a supply chain strategy for serving four retail store channels and two e-commerce sites.
Coin has a broad background in supply chain management. Over the course of his career he has worked in apparel, retail food services, consumer products, and management consulting. His consulting firm, The Kerma Group LLC, is dedicated to helping clients in the retail sector.
In a recent interview with Editor James Cooke, Coin discussed some of the issues facing retailers when they get into omnichannel commerce, and how they can adapt their supply chains to support an omnichannel strategy.
Name: Kerry W. Coin Title: Principal and co-founder Organization: The Kerma Group LLC Education: Bachelor of Science in mathematics and physics, Truman State University; Master of Science in applied mathematics and computer science from Southern Illinois University Business Experience: Senior vice president, chief logistics officer, Ann Inc.; vice president operations, AnnTaylor.com and vice president supply chain development, Ann Taylor Inc.; vice president retail and fulfillment, 1-800-FLOWERS.com; principal, A.T. Kearney CSCMP Member: Since 2013
Why are so many retailers pursuing an omnichannel commerce strategy these days?
One of the largest investments any retailer makes is product inventory. However, no matter how adept its planners are at planning and allocating this investment across the various points of sale, they will be wrong. Consequently, they will have too much at location A and not enough at location B, which causes two basic issues: First, a customer will be frustrated, and second, a sale will be lost. Omnichannel can serve as a "safety net," mitigating the risk of allocation error because it lets retailers service cross-channel demand from any source of inventory.
All inventory will be sold sooner or later, albeit at a successive series of markdowns, which erode margin. Given the fact that in many businesses a single percentage of margin can more than cover the cost of shipping and processing, omnichannel provides a means by which a retailer can provide the best possible service at the best possible margin.
The omnichannel strategy becomes even more compelling when you add improvements to customer service to these inventory management and margin benefits. The ability for a customer to buy anywhere and have product delivered anywhere or picked up in a store is a true customer-centric strategy that facilitates a win-win relationship between the retailer and its customer.
What changes must a distribution center (DC) make to its operations to serve both brick-and-mortar stores and online orders?
Depending upon a particular retailer's strategy for implementing omnichannel, a DC may not need to make many, if any changes. However, many retailers have not yet begun to balance inventory availability across selling channels—brick and mortar stores, Internet, and catalogue. Consequently, the migration to an omnichannel capability may highlight the need for a different cross-channel allocation of the retailer's inventory investment.
One approach gaining favor among retailers with seasonal stores is to migrate from a primarily "100-percent push" model to more of a demand replenishment model, where some percentage of seasonal product is held back for secondary allocations based upon local store or Internet demand during the season. The key question here regards inventory held at the DC for Internet sales. Since this channel is growing so much faster than the other sales channels, and it is less costly to fulfill a customer order from a DC than from a store, it may be tempting to allocate more inventory to this channel at the risk of cannibalizing store inventory to the point of diminishing store-level selections.
Some smart people have argued for a basic reduction in DC capacity by effectively replacing the traditional DC with a number of expanded brick-and-mortar stores equipped to service local demand for omnichannel orders. They maintain that this approach can mitigate the rapid growth in direct-to-consumer fulfillment. Although I can't see how to make that work out financially, there are indeed some real benefits to this approach other than those mentioned above. For example, parcel carriers can provide one- to two-day delivery to 97 percent of the U.S. population with as few as four well-placed fulfillment nodes. These nodes could be used to service retail locations more promptly with replenishment inventory as well.
What changes do retail stores have to make in their operations in order to pick items off the shelf to fill online orders?
Most retailers will need to reorient and train their hourly staff on a new set of operating procedures and systems. There will need to be a change in the processes utilized to accept an order and to assure the inventory is indeed available to fulfill the customer's order. This is the hardest part, operationally, of meeting the commitment to the customer. Retail store-level inventory accuracy is notoriously low due to a number of factors. Consequently, the inventory management system may indicate the SKU (stock-keeping unit) is available at a store when it is not actually available or may not easily be located at the store. In these cases, the retailer must have triage processes, which allow them to source the item from an alternative location.
Given even a modicum of success, there will need to be dedicated space for staging, packing, and labeling orders for shipment. Arrangements need to be made with parcel carriers to have systemic capability for processing moderate to large volumes of parcels and for reliable pickup times.
Does an omnichannel strategy require a retailer to work differently with its suppliers? If so, how?
Typically, there are a few strategic supply chain partners that need to be fully engaged in the retailer's omnichannel initiative. As described above, the parcel partner is integral to the effectiveness of the retailer's initiative. Similarly, on the software side, a few providers have emerged as leaders in the management of brokering and parsing orders to fulfillment locations. The near real-time availability of inventory by location being so essential, your systems integration partner—and, of course, your internal information technology team—will undoubtedly be called upon to help work through the synchronization of inventory views across the store and DC locations. If you utilize third- party logistics partners as part of your current fulfillment solution, they, too will need a seat at the table, as omnichannel will impact their operations, particularly where reverse logistics is concerned.
How do distributed order management systems help retailers gain inventory visibility? Are there any drawbacks to using this type of software?
The visibility to and management of cross-network inventory is essential to a successful omnichannel effort in a multiunit retailing network. Whether this capability is accomplished via purchased software or internally developed applications, it is a necessity.
I've always looked at the distributed order management application as a "user" of one's cross-channel inventory management application. Historically, multiunit retailers have had separate inventory management systems and practices, which for accuracy's sake are specific to the channel requirements. For instance, in the Internet channel, SKU-level, real-time accuracy is an absolute requirement for fulfilling a customer order, and systems and processes have evolved that routinely assure accuracy in excess of 99 percent. Not so in the retail store environment, where accuracy at the SKU level is far, far lower.
So, the dilemma comes when a retailer believes that there is inventory available at a location and it is not—or, just as bad, thinks there is no inventory and there is. This is one of the major reasons for the renewed interest in radio frequency identification (RFID) technology for retail locations. Retailers simply cannot rely on semiannual or annual physical inventories as the assurance of inventory availability in an omnichannel world.
And, a word of caution here: Please begin this journey with the end in mind. That is, carefully plan how to address the overall cross-channel inventory and order management requirements of an omnichannel strategy up front. This is not one of those initiatives you should undertake with a piecemeal design.
Can retail store workers be expected to fill orders with the same degree of accuracy as distribution center workers? Can store picking ever achieve "perfect order" metrics?
I may be a bit of a contrarian here. Those of us in supply chain operations frequently underestimate the abilities of store workers. Given the proper positioning of the initiative or customer focus; well thought-out processes such as scan and pack validation; incentives such as labor hours and bonus considerations; and training, store workers can certainly fulfill orders as accurately as DC staff—but not necessarily as cost-effectively.
How do you think retailers will handle same-day delivery for online orders?
Personally, I don't see the same-day delivery requirement as being as important as do some others in retailing. Of course, most of my experience is in the branded specialty retail sector, where seasonal allotment of inventory may preclude the feasibility of this capability.
What advice would you give a supply chain executive who has been assigned to set up an omnichannel strategy?
My advice would be, first and foremost, to make sure your entire executive leadership is aligned on the importance and necessity of the initiative. This starts with the chief executive officer (CEO), whose vision and support is essential. Given support from the top, make sure the initiative has the proper governance. Rigorous and candid project management through your project management office is a must. Since an omnichannel program by its very nature touches almost every functional area of the enterprise, a senior executive steering committee is a necessity. The project team must be built from the "best and brightest" from your supply chain operation, information technology group, store operations, change management organization, Internet operations, finance, and those key partners described above.
Of course, any initiative of this size and scope is best implemented incrementally, via a series of pilot projects before full rollout. It's always best to validate the business impacts of these sorts of strategic initiatives, and to confirm and refine plans based on the real-world impact of just how all the moving parts align. Experienced, outside support can be helpful.
The practice consists of 5,000 professionals from Accenture and from Avanade—the consulting firm’s joint venture with Microsoft. They will be supported by Microsoft product specialists who will work closely with the Accenture Center for Advanced AI. Together, that group will collaborate on AI and Copilot agent templates, extensions, plugins, and connectors to help organizations leverage their data and gen AI to reduce costs, improve efficiencies and drive growth, they said on Thursday.
Accenture and Avanade say they have already developed some AI tools for these applications. For example, a supplier discovery and risk agent can deliver real-time market insights, agile supply chain responses, and better vendor selection, which could result in up to 15% cost savings. And a procure-to-pay agent could improve efficiency by up to 40% and enhance vendor relations and satisfaction by addressing urgent payment requirements and avoiding disruptions of key services
Likewise, they have also built solutions for clients using Microsoft 365 Copilot technology. For example, they have created Copilots for a variety of industries and functions including finance, manufacturing, supply chain, retail, and consumer goods and healthcare.
Another part of the new practice will be educating clients how to use the technology, using an “Azure Generative AI Engineer Nanodegree program” to teach users how to design, build, and operationalize AI-driven applications on Azure, Microsoft’s cloud computing platform. The online classes will teach learners how to use AI models to solve real-world problems through automation, data insights, and generative AI solutions, the firms said.
“We are pleased to deepen our collaboration with Accenture to help our mutual customers develop AI-first business processes responsibly and securely, while helping them drive market differentiation,” Judson Althoff, executive vice president and chief commercial officer at Microsoft, said in a release. “By bringing together Copilots and human ambition, paired with the autonomous capabilities of an agent, we can accelerate AI transformation for organizations across industries and help them realize successful business outcomes through pragmatic innovation.”
That result came from the company’s “GEP Global Supply Chain Volatility Index,” an indicator tracking demand conditions, shortages, transportation costs, inventories, and backlogs based on a monthly survey of 27,000 businesses. The October index number was -0.39, which was up only slightly from its level of -0.43 in September.
Researchers found a steep rise in slack across North American supply chains due to declining factory activity in the U.S. In fact, purchasing managers at U.S. manufacturers made their strongest cutbacks to buying volumes in nearly a year and a half, indicating that factories in the world's largest economy are preparing for lower production volumes, GEP said.
Elsewhere, suppliers feeding Asia also reported spare capacity in October, albeit to a lesser degree than seen in Western markets. Europe's industrial plight remained a key feature of the data in October, as vendor capacity was significantly underutilized, reflecting a continuation of subdued demand in key manufacturing hubs across the continent.
"We're in a buyers' market. October is the fourth straight month that suppliers worldwide reported spare capacity, with notable contractions in factory demand across North America and Europe, underscoring the challenging outlook for Western manufacturers," Todd Bremer, vice president, GEP, said in a release. "President-elect Trump inherits U.S. manufacturers with plenty of spare capacity while in contrast, China's modest rebound and strong expansion in India demonstrate greater resilience in Asia."
Even as the e-commerce sector overall continues expanding toward a forecasted 41% of all retail sales by 2027, many small to medium e-commerce companies are struggling to find the investment funding they need to increase sales, according to a sector survey from online capital platform Stenn.
Global geopolitical instability and increasing inflation are causing e-commerce firms to face a liquidity crisis, which means companies may not be able to access the funds they need to grow, Stenn’s survey of 500 senior e-commerce leaders found. The research was conducted by Opinion Matters between August 29 and September 5.
Survey findings include:
61.8% of leaders who sought growth capital did so to invest in advanced technologies, such as AI and machine learning, to improve their businesses.
When asked which resources they wished they had more access to, 63.8% of respondents pointed to growth capital.
Women indicated a stronger need for business operations training (51.2%) and financial planning resources (48.8%) compared to men (30.8% and 15.4%).
40% of business owners are seeking external financial advice and mentorship at least once a week to help with business decisions.
Almost half (49.6%) of respondents are proactively forecasting their business activity 6-18 months ahead.
“As e-commerce continues to grow rapidly, driven by increasing online consumer demand and technological innovation, it’s important to remember that capital constraints and access to growth financing remain persistent hurdles for many e-commerce business leaders especially at small and medium-sized businesses,” Noel Hillman, Chief Commercial Officer at Stenn, said in a release. “In this competitive landscape, ensuring liquidity and optimizing supply chain processes are critical to sustaining growth and scaling operations.”
With six keynote and more than 100 educational sessions, CSCMP EDGE 2024 offered a wealth of content. Here are highlights from just some of the presentations.
A great American story
Author and entrepreneur Fawn Weaver closed out the first day of the conference by telling the little-known story of Nathan “Nearest” Green, who was born into slavery, freed after the Civil War, and went on to become the first master distiller for the Jack Daniel’s Whiskey brand. Through extensive research and interviews with descendants of the Daniel and Green families, Weaver discovered what she describes as a positive American story.
She told the story in her best-selling book, Love & Whiskey: The Remarkable True Story of Jack Daniel, His Master Distiller Nearest Green, and the Improbable Rise of Uncle Nearest. That story also inspired her to create Uncle Nearest Premium Whiskey.
Weaver discussed the barriers she encountered in bringing the brand to life, her vision for where it’s headed, and her take on the supply chain—which she views as both a necessary cost of doing business and an opportunity.
“[It’s] an opportunity if you can move quickly,” she said, pointing to a recent project in which the company was able to fast-track a new Uncle Nearest product thanks to close collaboration with its supply chain partners.
A two-pronged business transformation
We may be living in a world full of technology, but strategy and focus remain the top priorities when it comes to managing a business and its supply chains. So says Roberto Isaias, executive vice president and chief supply chain officer for toy manufacturing and entertainment company Mattel.
Isaias emphasized the point during his keynote on day two of EDGE 2024. He described how Mattel transformed itself amid surging demand for Barbie-branded items following the success of the Barbie movie.
That transformation, according to Isaias, came on two fronts: commercially and logistically. Today, Mattel is steadily moving beyond the toy aisle with two films and 13 TV series in production as well as 14 films and 35 shows in development. And as for those supply chain gains? The company has saved millions, increased productivity, and improved profit margins—even amid cost increases and inflation.
A framework for chasing excellence
Most of the time when CEOs present at an industry conference, they like to talk about their companies’ success stories. Not J.B. Hunt’s Shelley Simpson. Speaking at EDGE, the trucking company’s president and CEO led with a story about a time that the company lost a major customer.
According to Simpson, the company had a customer of their dedicated contract business in 2001 that was consistently making late shipments with no lead time. “We were working like crazy to try to satisfy them, and lost their business,” Simpson said.
When the team at J.B. Hunt later met with the customer’s chief supply chain officer and related all they had been doing, the customer responded, “You never shared everything you were doing for us.”
Out of that experience, came J.B. Hunt’s Customer Value Delivery framework. The framework consists of five steps: 1) understand customer needs, 2) deliver expectations, 3) measure results, 4) communicate performance, and 5) anticipate new value.
Next year’s CSCMP EDGE conference on October 5–8 in National Harbor, Md., promises to have a similarly deep lineup of keynote presentations. Register early at www.cscmpedge.org.
2024 was expected to be a bounce-back year for the logistics industry. We had the pandemic in the rearview mirror, and the economy was proving to be more resilient than expected, defying those prognosticators who believed a recession was imminent.
While most of the economy managed to stabilize in 2024, the logistics industry continued to see disruption and changes in international trade. World events conspired to drive much of the narrative surrounding the flow of goods worldwide. Additionally, a diminished reliance on China as a source for goods reduced some of the international trade flow from that manufacturing hub. Some of this trade diverted to other Asian nations, while nearshoring efforts brought some production back to North America, particularly Mexico.
Meanwhile trucking in the United States continued its 2-year recession, highlighted by weaker demand and excess capacity. Both contributed to a slow year, especially for truckload carriers that comprise about 90% of over-the-road shipments.
Labor issues were also front and center in 2024, as ports and rail companies dealt with threats of strikes, which resulted in new contracts and increased costs. Labor—and often a lack of it—continues to be an ongoing concern in the logistics industry.
In this annual issue, we bring a year-end perspective to these topics and more. Our issue is designed to complement CSCMP’s 35th Annual State of Logistics Report, which was released in June, and includes updates that were presented at the CSCMP EDGE conference held in October. In addition to this overview of the market, we have engaged top industry experts to dig into the status of key logistics sectors.
Hopefully as we move into 2025, logistics markets will build on an improving economy and strong consumer demand, while stabilizing those parts of the industry that could use some adrenaline, such as trucking. By this time next year, we hope to see a full recovery as the market fulfills its promise to deliver the needs of our very connected world.