To succeed today, third-party logistics companies will need to respond to three trends: the rising importance of omnichannel fulfillment, warehouse space constraints, and the drive toward digitalization.
Rachel Trindade is the chief marketing officer at Extensiv (formerly known as 3PL Central), which delivers connected commerce omnichannel solutions that integrate systems for warehouse, inventory, and order management.
AFTER YEARS OF DISRUPTION AND UNCERTAINTY, warehousing and third-party logistics providers (3PLs) ended 2022 on several positive notes as the market stabilized. 3PLs reported continued confidence due to new customer acquisition, e-commerce growth, and significant upticks in profitability, according to Extensiv’s annual “2023 State of the Third-Party Logistics (3PL) Industry Report” and its recent “3PL Warehouse Benchmark Report.”
These reports explore the state of the 3PL and warehousing industries, identifying the innovative approaches businesses are undertaking to adapt to the new normal. The reports found that even amid concerns over inflation, a recession, labor shortages, and global uncertainty, 3PLs outperformed in terms of order volumes versus the preceding years. More than 90% of 3PLs reported increased order volumes in 2022, up from 2021 when 85% reported increased volumes and 2020 when 79% reported increased volumes. New customer acquisition is the most significant driver of order volume growth, with 81% of respondents citing it as a primary reason, followed by diversifying fulfillment types (42%) and increases in e-commerce ordering (31%).
3PLs also saw higher revenues as many leveraged increased market demand to boost profitability. When surveyed about their financial performance over the past year, 81% reported improvement, with 38% reporting a significant growth of more than 25% in profitability. Meanwhile, 31% indicated moderate growth in profitability ranging from 10% to 24%.
Amidst these positive developments, the 3PL industry also faces challenges. Top among them (perhaps unsurprisingly due to upward pressure on warehousing rents and a tight labor market): managing costs, finding and retaining workers, and operational efficiency.
Three key trends reveal how 3PLs must embrace the opportunities presented by these market changes to help their customers optimize their supply chains: omnichannel fulfillment, space constraints, and digital automation.
1. Omnichannel fulfillment
Customers today expect to have a unified shopping experience across all of a company’s retail channels, whether it's online, in a physical store, or any combination of the two, such as “buy online pickup in store” (BOPIS) or curbside and locker pickup. To support their clients’ sales channels, 3PLs need to embrace an omnichannel fulfillment strategy. Extensiv’s survey showed that 3PLs supporting omnichannel fulfillment saw 13% more growth than those offering more limited fulfillment. Furthermore, 18% of 3PLs performing omnichannel fulfillment saw a 50% increase in profitability over the prior year, which is 33% higher than the 17% average increase for 3PLs that do not offer omnichannel fulfillment.
A successful omnichannel fulfillment strategy requires:
● Real-time channel performance monitoring that provides visibility and evaluation of key performance indicators (KPIs).
● A single platform to manage cross-channel fulfillment, which increases efficiency and consistency across all channels.
● Streamlined returnsmanagement or reverse logistics capabilities. Prioritizing reverse logistics in an omnichannel strategy is a realistic goal that aligns with a greater mission to remove friction from whatever parts of the fulfillment process matter most to consumers.
There are many benefits to having a robust omnichannel fulfillment strategy. First, having cross-channel fulfillment can help streamline and improve order management across all channels, simplifying the process from warehousing to packing to delivery. It also improves customer and consumer satisfaction. Omnichannel fulfillment meets the disparate needs of consumers through their preferred channels, while making brands look good and creating a loyal consumer base.
2. Space constraints
A significant challenge that may limit 3PL growth is the current scarcity of warehouse space due to low vacancies and high rents. Over a third (35%) of 3PLs who responded to our survey think finding available warehouse space will be one of their biggest challenges. Currently, 20% of 3PLs report operating beyond 100% capacity (a 33% increase from 2021), while almost 40% report capacity of 90% to 99%. (See Figure 1.) Nearly 2 out of 5 (39%) 3PLs report that adding warehouses in new locations is one of the most significant opportunities in the coming year. These challenges are exacerbated by the fact that brands are asking 3PLs to warehouse slow-moving inventory surpluses.
3PLs are undertaking a variety of approaches to tackle space constraints, including:
● Pricing long-term storage at a higher rate to persuade customers to reduce the stock of slow-moving inventory and preserve valuable warehouse space.
● Using “micro-warehouse” space in densely populated urban areas. Micro-warehousing helps 3PLs expand available square footage by adding smaller warehouses to their real estate portfolio. This strategy also allows them to get inventory closer to consumers, significantly decreasing delivery times and costs.
3. Digital automation
Digital automation is the foundation for establishing continued effective and efficient processes within the supply chain. Businesses are leaning into it: 93% of shippers reported that data-driven decision-making, made possible by digital automation, is critical to the success of supply chain management.
Although there’s widespread recognition that automation can streamline operations and boost productivity, technology implementation and integration continue to vex 3PLs. In 2021, 42% said technology implementation was their most pressing business challenge. The 2022 survey showed effectively no improvement in this area, as that number only dropped by 1%, down to 41%. Implementing the right technology stack—one that aligns easily with target industries and creates flexible and scalable workflows—is at the heart of this task. It requires a holistic approach that doesn’t rely on a sole piece of software, like a warehouse management system (WMS), to solve the problem single-handedly. A holistic approach instead builds an entire digital ecosystem that is primed to cut hard and soft costs, increase visibility, and improve the consumer experience.
The technologies with the highest current implementation are WMS, with 87% of 3PLs having implemented it; order management systems (52%); mobile barcode scanning (51%); and electronic data interchange (44%). For 2023 and beyond, 3PLs plan to focus on technologies that support increased profitability and operational efficiency. The top three planned implementations are billing and invoicing (32%), mobile barcode scanning (27%), and reporting and analytics (27%).
To retain happy customers and consumers, 3PLs need to evaluate technologies to build a long-lasting digital foundation. Many tools that have already been implemented haven’t been fully used or optimized. Many 3PLs would benefit from training employees to get the most out of those automation investments. Only when technology and teams complement each other do businesses see increased productivity and revenue growth.
Moving forward
Mid-2023 finds 3PLs looking to optimize their omnichannel fulfillment processes, leverage digital automation, and create innovative warehousing strategies to respond to capacity constraints. Continued proactive management and leaning into automation will mitigate these challenges while positioning 3PLs to weather other market impacts, including labor shortages, inflation, and a potential recession.
First, 54% of retailers are looking for ways to increase their financial recovery from returns. That’s because the cost to return a purchase averages 27% of the purchase price, which erases as much as 50% of the sales margin. But consumers have their own interests in mind: 76% of shoppers admit they’ve embellished or exaggerated the return reason to avoid a fee, a 39% increase from 2023 to 204.
Second, return experiences matter to consumers. A whopping 80% of shoppers stopped shopping at a retailer because of changes to the return policy—a 34% increase YoY.
Third, returns fraud and abuse is top-of-mind-for retailers, with wardrobing rising 38% in 2024. In fact, over two thirds (69%) of shoppers admit to wardrobing, which is the practice of buying an item for a specific reason or event and returning it after use. Shoppers also practice bracketing, or purchasing an item in a variety of colors or sizes and then returning all the unwanted options.
Fourth, returns come with a steep cost in terms of sustainability, with returns amounting to 8.4 billion pounds of landfill waste in 2023 alone.
“As returns have become an integral part of the shopper experience, retailers must balance meeting sky-high expectations with rising costs, environmental impact, and fraudulent behaviors,” Amena Ali, CEO of Optoro, said in the firm’s “2024 Returns Unwrapped” report. “By understanding shoppers’ behaviors and preferences around returns, retailers can create returns experiences that embrace their needs while driving deeper loyalty and protecting their bottom line.”
Facing an evolving supply chain landscape in 2025, companies are being forced to rethink their distribution strategies to cope with challenges like rising cost pressures, persistent labor shortages, and the complexities of managing SKU proliferation.
1. Optimize labor productivity and costs. Forward-thinking businesses are leveraging technology to get more done with fewer resources through approaches like slotting optimization, automation and robotics, and inventory visibility.
2. Maximize capacity with smart solutions. With e-commerce volumes rising, facilities need to handle more SKUs and orders without expanding their physical footprint. That can be achieved through high-density storage and dynamic throughput.
3. Streamline returns management. Returns are a growing challenge, thanks to the continued growth of e-commerce and the consumer practice of bracketing. Businesses can handle that with smarter reverse logistics processes like automated returns processing and reverse logistics visibility.
4. Accelerate order fulfillment with robotics. Robotic solutions are transforming the way orders are fulfilled, helping businesses meet customer expectations faster and more accurately than ever before by using autonomous mobile robots (AMRs and robotic picking.
5. Enhance end-of-line packaging. The final step in the supply chain is often the most visible to customers. So optimizing packaging processes can reduce costs, improve efficiency, and support sustainability goals through automated packaging systems and sustainability initiatives.
That clash has come as retailers have been hustling to adjust to pandemic swings like a renewed focus on e-commerce, then swiftly reimagining store experiences as foot traffic returned. But even as the dust settles from those changes, retailers are now facing renewed questions about how best to define their omnichannel strategy in a world where customers have increasing power and information.
The answer may come from a five-part strategy using integrated components to fortify omnichannel retail, EY said. The approach can unlock value and customer trust through great experiences, but only when implemented cohesively, not individually, EY warns.
The steps include:
1. Functional integration: Is your operating model and data infrastructure siloed between e-commerce and physical stores, or have you developed a cohesive unit centered around delivering seamless customer experience?
2. Customer insights: With consumer centricity at the heart of operations, are you analyzing all touch points to build a holistic view of preferences, behaviors, and buying patterns?
3. Next-generation inventory: Given the right customer insights, how are you utilizing advanced analytics to ensure inventory is optimized to meet demand precisely where and when it’s needed?
4. Distribution partnerships: Having ensured your customers find what they want where they want it, how are your distribution strategies adapting to deliver these choices to them swiftly and efficiently?
5. Real estate strategy: How is your real estate strategy interconnected with insights, inventory and distribution to enhance experience and maximize your footprint?
When approached cohesively, these efforts all build toward one overarching differentiator for retailers: a better customer experience that reaches from brand engagement and order placement through delivery and return, the EY study said. Amid continued volatility and an economy driven by complex customer demands, the retailers best set up to win are those that are striving to gain real-time visibility into stock levels, offer flexible fulfillment options and modernize merchandising through personalized and dynamic customer experiences.
Geopolitical rivalries, alliances, and aspirations are rewiring the global economy—and the imposition of new tariffs on foreign imports by the U.S. will accelerate that process, according to an analysis by Boston Consulting Group (BCG).
Without a broad increase in tariffs, world trade in goods will keep growing at an average of 2.9% annually for the next eight years, the firm forecasts in its report, “Great Powers, Geopolitics, and the Future of Trade.” But the routes goods travel will change markedly as North America reduces its dependence on China and China builds up its links with the Global South, which is cementing its power in the global trade map.
“Global trade is set to top $29 trillion by 2033, but the routes these goods will travel is changing at a remarkable pace,” Aparna Bharadwaj, managing director and partner at BCG, said in a release. “Trade lanes were already shifting from historical patterns and looming US tariffs will accelerate this. Navigating these new dynamics will be critical for any global business.”
To understand those changes, BCG modeled the direct impact of the 60/25/20 scenario (60% tariff on Chinese goods, a 25% on goods from Canada and Mexico, and a 20% on imports from all other countries). The results show that the tariffs would add $640 billion to the cost of importing goods from the top ten U.S. import nations, based on 2023 levels, unless alternative sources or suppliers are found.
In terms of product categories imported by the U.S., the greatest impact would be on imported auto parts and automotive vehicles, which would primarily affect trade with Mexico, the EU, and Japan. Consumer electronics, electrical machinery, and fashion goods would be most affected by higher tariffs on Chinese goods. Specifically, the report forecasts that a 60% tariff rate would add $61 billion to cost of importing consumer electronics products from China into the U.S.
That strategy is described by RILA President Brian Dodge in a document titled “2025 Retail Public Policy Agenda,” which begins by describing leading retailers as “dynamic and multifaceted businesses that begin on Main Street and stretch across the world to bring high value and affordable consumer goods to American families.”
RILA says its policy priorities support that membership in four ways:
Investing in people. Retail is for everyone; the place for a first job, 2nd chance, third act, or a side hustle – the retail workforce represents the American workforce.
Ensuring a safe, sustainable future. RILA is working with lawmakers to help shape policies that protect our customers and meet expectations regarding environmental concerns.
Leading in the community. Retail is more than a store; we are an integral part of the fabric of our communities.
“As Congress and the Trump administration move forward to adopt policies that reduce regulatory burdens, create economic growth, and bring value to American families, understanding how such policies will impact retailers and the communities we serve is imperative,” Dodge said. “RILA and its member companies look forward to collaborating with policymakers to provide industry-specific insights and data to help shape any policies under consideration.”