Adrian Gonzalez is the president of Adelante SCM, a peer-to-peer learning, networking, and research community for supply chain and logistics professionals.
If I had to describe the state of the third-party logistics (3PL) industry in one word, it would be convergence. Convergence refers to the merging of distinct technologies, industries, or devices into a unified whole. And that is exactly what is happening in this industry on two fronts.
The first involves the convergence of fragmented logistics services with integrated logistics solutions. This has been happening for many years, primarily via mergers and acquisitions. It is a path toward fulfilling the traditional definition (and promise) of a 3PL. Here is the Council of Supply Chain Management Professionals' definition:
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[Figure 1] Third-party logistics net revenues by segmentEnlarge this image
A firm that provides multiple logistics services for use by customers. Preferably, these services are integrated, or "bundled" together by the provider. These firms facilitate the movement of parts and materials from suppliers to manufacturers, and finished products from manufacturers to distributors and retailers. Among the services they provide are transportation, warehousing, cross-docking, inventory management, packaging, and freight forwarding.
This convergence of services and broader solutions has also led logistics service providers to drive new growth by expanding globally to support clients across different geographic regions and by targeting new vertical industries, such as health care and energy. Here are just a few examples of this type of expansion from the first half of 2014, in the form of headlines from press releases:
Transplace and Celtic Expand Intermodal Services in Mexico
XPO Logistics Completes Acquisition of Pacer International
Menlo Launches Freight Brokerage Service in Europe
Coyote Logistics and Access America Transport to Merge
UPS Continues Global Healthcare Expansion with Purchase of UK Healthcare Logistics Innovator
The trend toward the convergence of logistics services, coupled with the trend toward geographic and vertical industry expansion, will certainly continue in the months and years ahead as 3PLs fend off the risk of commoditization by positioning themselves as one-stop-shops or end-to-end solution providers. (Figure 1 shows the growth pattern for some of the major 3PL service segments.)
But there's another convergence taking place in the market, one that's driven by the changing needs and expectations of customers. This second convergence is transforming the very definition and value proposition of 3PLs. What we are seeing is the convergence of business models, specifically the business models of service providers, technology companies, and consulting firms.
There already are examples of logistics service providers offering their own software-as-a-service applications (C.H. Robinson and Transplace, to name two), and some consulting firms and software vendors are providing managed services (enVista, Transportation Insight, and LeanLogistics, for example). But that was just the beginning. In recent months, Amazon has embedded itself in Procter & Gamble (P&G) warehouses to fulfill online orders. Google has invested in its own fleet of vehicles to provide delivery services to consumers. And Uber has launched UberRUSH, a local delivery service that lets consumers use a mobile app to arrange for foot or bicycle messengers to pick up and deliver items weighing 30 pounds or less.
Simply put, the traditional definition of a third-party logistics provider is stale and limiting. It's becoming more outmoded every day as innovations in technology and business models continue to transform the competitive landscape. Logistics service providers that focus solely on the convergence of services and ignore the convergence of business models will, at best, limit their growth potential, and at worst, cease to exist.
What business are you in?
What business are you in? That's a question every 3PL needs to ask itself today. As Anthony J. Tjan, chief executive officer and founder of the venture capital firm Cue Ball, wrote in a Harvard Business Review blog post titled "The First Strategic Question Every Business Must Ask," "It seems like a straightforward question, and one that should take no time to answer. But the truth is that most company leaders are too narrow in defining their competitive landscape or market space. They fail to see the potential for 'non-traditional' competitors, and therefore often misperceive their basic business definition and future market space."
That will likely sound familiar to many 3PL executives. But others are following the convergence path, not just providing customers with integrated logistics services like transportation management and warehousing, but also offering technology and business management services.
Some 3PLs, for example, provide software applications, trading partner connectivity, and data-quality management services that provide customers with timely, accurate, and complete visibility to supply chain events, information, and intelligence. Others provide thought leadership and advice, giving their customers new ideas that will help them make smarter and faster decisions about their supply chain networks, strategy, and practices. Some have risk management capabilities to help customers minimize or eliminate supply chain risks and, more importantly, to help them recover from supply chain disruptions more quickly and with less impact.
There are 3PLs that provide all of those things, yet most don't view themselves from those perspectives. But perhaps they should, because all of those services represent opportunities to differentiate themselves from the competition.
Focus on outcomes
What does this all mean for manufacturers and retailers looking for a logistics solution provider?
The first step remains the same: They have to clearly define their desired outcomes. But when it comes to finding the right partner to help them reach those objectives, they need to take a fresh look at the market—beyond the traditional labels of 3PL, software vendor, and consultant. The reality is that manufacturers and retailers have a diversity of options today, and regardless of how it may be labeled, the best outsourcing partner is the one that can provide the right mix of technology, services, and advice to help customers achieve their desired outcomes.
Manufacturers and retailers also have to recognize that the traditional way of managing 3PL relationships—viewing them as suppliers, with short-term agreements that are focused on providing the lowest-cost solution—is also becoming stale and limiting. To reach higher levels of performance and benefits, manufacturers and retailers need to start engaging in true collaboration and exploring vested relationships with their partners. ("Vested," a business model and methodology developed by the University of Tennessee, refers to outsourcing relationships that reward both partners for achieving mutually beneficial outcomes.)
And that would be the ultimate manifestation of convergence: 3PLs and customers developing a joint business plan and shared vision statement that align with the objectives and desired outcomes of the end customers, which in many cases are consumers like you and me.
The practice consists of 5,000 professionals from Accenture and from Avanade—the consulting firm’s joint venture with Microsoft. They will be supported by Microsoft product specialists who will work closely with the Accenture Center for Advanced AI. Together, that group will collaborate on AI and Copilot agent templates, extensions, plugins, and connectors to help organizations leverage their data and gen AI to reduce costs, improve efficiencies and drive growth, they said on Thursday.
Accenture and Avanade say they have already developed some AI tools for these applications. For example, a supplier discovery and risk agent can deliver real-time market insights, agile supply chain responses, and better vendor selection, which could result in up to 15% cost savings. And a procure-to-pay agent could improve efficiency by up to 40% and enhance vendor relations and satisfaction by addressing urgent payment requirements and avoiding disruptions of key services
Likewise, they have also built solutions for clients using Microsoft 365 Copilot technology. For example, they have created Copilots for a variety of industries and functions including finance, manufacturing, supply chain, retail, and consumer goods and healthcare.
Another part of the new practice will be educating clients how to use the technology, using an “Azure Generative AI Engineer Nanodegree program” to teach users how to design, build, and operationalize AI-driven applications on Azure, Microsoft’s cloud computing platform. The online classes will teach learners how to use AI models to solve real-world problems through automation, data insights, and generative AI solutions, the firms said.
“We are pleased to deepen our collaboration with Accenture to help our mutual customers develop AI-first business processes responsibly and securely, while helping them drive market differentiation,” Judson Althoff, executive vice president and chief commercial officer at Microsoft, said in a release. “By bringing together Copilots and human ambition, paired with the autonomous capabilities of an agent, we can accelerate AI transformation for organizations across industries and help them realize successful business outcomes through pragmatic innovation.”
Census data showed that overall retail sales in October were up 0.4% seasonally adjusted month over month and up 2.8% unadjusted year over year. That compared with increases of 0.8% month over month and 2% year over year in September.
October’s core retail sales as defined by NRF — based on the Census data but excluding automobile dealers, gasoline stations and restaurants — were unchanged seasonally adjusted month over month but up 5.4% unadjusted year over year.
Core sales were up 3.5% year over year for the first 10 months of the year, in line with NRF’s forecast for 2024 retail sales to grow between 2.5% and 3.5% over 2023. NRF is forecasting that 2024 holiday sales during November and December will also increase between 2.5% and 3.5% over the same time last year.
“October’s pickup in retail sales shows a healthy pace of spending as many consumers got an early start on holiday shopping,” NRF Chief Economist Jack Kleinhenz said in a release. “October sales were a good early step forward into the holiday shopping season, which is now fully underway. Falling energy prices have likely provided extra dollars for household spending on retail merchandise.”
Despite that positive trend, market watchers cautioned that retailers still need to offer competitive value propositions and customer experience in order to succeed in the holiday season. “The American consumer has been more resilient than anyone could have expected. But that isn’t a free pass for retailers to under invest in their stores,” Nikki Baird, VP of strategy & product at Aptos, a solutions provider of unified retail technology based out of Alpharetta, Georgia, said in a statement. “They need to make investments in labor, customer experience tech, and digital transformation. It has been too easy to kick the can down the road until you suddenly realize there’s no road left.”
A similar message came from Chip West, a retail and consumer behavior expert at the marketing, packaging, print and supply chain solutions provider RRD. “October’s increase proved to be slightly better than projections and was likely boosted by lower fuel prices. As inflation slowed for a number of months, prices in several categories have stabilized, with some even showing declines, offering further relief to consumers,” West said. “The data also looks to be a positive sign as we kick off the holiday shopping season. Promotions and discounts will play a prominent role in holiday shopping behavior as they are key influencers in consumer’s purchasing decisions.”
That result came from the company’s “GEP Global Supply Chain Volatility Index,” an indicator tracking demand conditions, shortages, transportation costs, inventories, and backlogs based on a monthly survey of 27,000 businesses. The October index number was -0.39, which was up only slightly from its level of -0.43 in September.
Researchers found a steep rise in slack across North American supply chains due to declining factory activity in the U.S. In fact, purchasing managers at U.S. manufacturers made their strongest cutbacks to buying volumes in nearly a year and a half, indicating that factories in the world's largest economy are preparing for lower production volumes, GEP said.
Elsewhere, suppliers feeding Asia also reported spare capacity in October, albeit to a lesser degree than seen in Western markets. Europe's industrial plight remained a key feature of the data in October, as vendor capacity was significantly underutilized, reflecting a continuation of subdued demand in key manufacturing hubs across the continent.
"We're in a buyers' market. October is the fourth straight month that suppliers worldwide reported spare capacity, with notable contractions in factory demand across North America and Europe, underscoring the challenging outlook for Western manufacturers," Todd Bremer, vice president, GEP, said in a release. "President-elect Trump inherits U.S. manufacturers with plenty of spare capacity while in contrast, China's modest rebound and strong expansion in India demonstrate greater resilience in Asia."
Even as the e-commerce sector overall continues expanding toward a forecasted 41% of all retail sales by 2027, many small to medium e-commerce companies are struggling to find the investment funding they need to increase sales, according to a sector survey from online capital platform Stenn.
Global geopolitical instability and increasing inflation are causing e-commerce firms to face a liquidity crisis, which means companies may not be able to access the funds they need to grow, Stenn’s survey of 500 senior e-commerce leaders found. The research was conducted by Opinion Matters between August 29 and September 5.
Survey findings include:
61.8% of leaders who sought growth capital did so to invest in advanced technologies, such as AI and machine learning, to improve their businesses.
When asked which resources they wished they had more access to, 63.8% of respondents pointed to growth capital.
Women indicated a stronger need for business operations training (51.2%) and financial planning resources (48.8%) compared to men (30.8% and 15.4%).
40% of business owners are seeking external financial advice and mentorship at least once a week to help with business decisions.
Almost half (49.6%) of respondents are proactively forecasting their business activity 6-18 months ahead.
“As e-commerce continues to grow rapidly, driven by increasing online consumer demand and technological innovation, it’s important to remember that capital constraints and access to growth financing remain persistent hurdles for many e-commerce business leaders especially at small and medium-sized businesses,” Noel Hillman, Chief Commercial Officer at Stenn, said in a release. “In this competitive landscape, ensuring liquidity and optimizing supply chain processes are critical to sustaining growth and scaling operations.”
With six keynote and more than 100 educational sessions, CSCMP EDGE 2024 offered a wealth of content. Here are highlights from just some of the presentations.
A great American story
Author and entrepreneur Fawn Weaver closed out the first day of the conference by telling the little-known story of Nathan “Nearest” Green, who was born into slavery, freed after the Civil War, and went on to become the first master distiller for the Jack Daniel’s Whiskey brand. Through extensive research and interviews with descendants of the Daniel and Green families, Weaver discovered what she describes as a positive American story.
She told the story in her best-selling book, Love & Whiskey: The Remarkable True Story of Jack Daniel, His Master Distiller Nearest Green, and the Improbable Rise of Uncle Nearest. That story also inspired her to create Uncle Nearest Premium Whiskey.
Weaver discussed the barriers she encountered in bringing the brand to life, her vision for where it’s headed, and her take on the supply chain—which she views as both a necessary cost of doing business and an opportunity.
“[It’s] an opportunity if you can move quickly,” she said, pointing to a recent project in which the company was able to fast-track a new Uncle Nearest product thanks to close collaboration with its supply chain partners.
A two-pronged business transformation
We may be living in a world full of technology, but strategy and focus remain the top priorities when it comes to managing a business and its supply chains. So says Roberto Isaias, executive vice president and chief supply chain officer for toy manufacturing and entertainment company Mattel.
Isaias emphasized the point during his keynote on day two of EDGE 2024. He described how Mattel transformed itself amid surging demand for Barbie-branded items following the success of the Barbie movie.
That transformation, according to Isaias, came on two fronts: commercially and logistically. Today, Mattel is steadily moving beyond the toy aisle with two films and 13 TV series in production as well as 14 films and 35 shows in development. And as for those supply chain gains? The company has saved millions, increased productivity, and improved profit margins—even amid cost increases and inflation.
A framework for chasing excellence
Most of the time when CEOs present at an industry conference, they like to talk about their companies’ success stories. Not J.B. Hunt’s Shelley Simpson. Speaking at EDGE, the trucking company’s president and CEO led with a story about a time that the company lost a major customer.
According to Simpson, the company had a customer of their dedicated contract business in 2001 that was consistently making late shipments with no lead time. “We were working like crazy to try to satisfy them, and lost their business,” Simpson said.
When the team at J.B. Hunt later met with the customer’s chief supply chain officer and related all they had been doing, the customer responded, “You never shared everything you were doing for us.”
Out of that experience, came J.B. Hunt’s Customer Value Delivery framework. The framework consists of five steps: 1) understand customer needs, 2) deliver expectations, 3) measure results, 4) communicate performance, and 5) anticipate new value.
Next year’s CSCMP EDGE conference on October 5–8 in National Harbor, Md., promises to have a similarly deep lineup of keynote presentations. Register early at www.cscmpedge.org.