Intelligent workflows: orchestrating the intersection of AI and humans
Digitalization tools—such as control towers, dashboards, and digital workers—have greatly improved supply chain processes. But humans still sit at the center, deciding who or what performs what task or makes which decision. Intelligent workflows may change all that.
Robert Glenn Richey, Jr. is the Harbert Eminent Scholar in supply chain management at Auburn University and editor in chief of the Journal of Business Logistics.
Ian Slazinik is an assistant professor of logistics and supply chain management at the Air Force Institute of Technology at Wright-Patterson Air Force Base near Dayton Ohio.
No one would deny that managing a global supply chain is an increasingly difficult task. Today’s supply chain managers have to contend with significant disruptions—such as those caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, trade tensions, and natural disasters—as well as growing complexity from forces such as omnichannel retailing and increased customization. Many experts believe that to effectively manage this difficult terrain, companies have no choice but to harness the potential of digital technologies such as data analytics, artificial intelligence (AI), and robotic process automation (RPA).
At Auburn University, we have been studying how companies engage in this process of supply chain digital transformation. Toward this end, we conducted a focus group with 15 industry partners and interviewed an additional six individuals who are actively involved in supply chain digital transformation efforts. Our exploration focused on how these organizations deploy and utilize technology to achieve their transformation goals and how they are integrating technology and human resources to address supply chain challenges. (For more information on our methodology, see the sidebar “About this study” below.)
These experts spoke with us about the lessons learned from their digital transformation efforts while exploring what we see as the final phase of the journey: leveraging digital technologies to change the value proposition for the organization and redesigning processes so that the responsibility for execution lies primarily on technology instead of human workers.
We believe that to achieve this final stage, companies will need to embrace what are known as intelligent workflows or the purposeful planning of interactions between humans and technology. Intelligent workflows are a blending of technology and human workers that offer a comprehensive approach to orchestrating automation, AI, human workers, and system integration across entire business processes. They go beyond the realm of human-led AI and simple automation. They place technology at the center of end-to-end process execution, allowing humans to focus on providing high-value subject matter expertise.
What is digital transformation?
Digital transformation is a multiple-stage process by which organizations encapsulate, assess, and then shape their use of data and digital technologies to create additional value for themselves, their partners, and their customers. The process comprises three arguably sequential steps: digitization, digitalization, and digital transformation.1
These steps are often confused with each other, but we define them in the following manner. Digitization, sometimes called digital encapsulation, is converting existing data and documents into a digital format to accurately represent the physical world. In this stage, data is not altered or analyzed, it is merely encoded. Digitalization, predicated upon digitization, is altering processes, organizational structures, or decision-making architectures to leverage improved data capture, analysis, and information dissemination. Finally, digital transformation fundamentally changes the process to fully leverage these new digital technologies within and across firms. Digital transformation ultimately affects how the organization creates value within its supply network. The table in Figure 1 provides more detail about the different phases of digital transformation and the technologies involved.
The majority of the companies involved in our study are in the midst of a digital transformation effort but have not yet entered the final stage. Most had already taken the first step of digitizing their data, seeing it as essential to company survival. As one participant said: “Digitization of the supply chain is a requirement for being able to be an omnichannel retailer in the future. You’ve got to know what you have. You’ve got to know where it is with [a] high degree of accuracy. Or you’re dead.”2
Many of our participating companies had also moved beyond digitizing their data and into the digitalization phase. At this stage, they are using digital technologies to augment business processes but have not fundamentally transformed them. They are providing their human managers with tools—such as dashboards, inventory trackers, alerting systems, and even RPA and bots—to improve the efficiency and effectiveness of their processes. The human managers, however, are still central to the execution of the process. For example, alerts may bring a situation to a manager’s attention when a predefined digital metric is tripped, but it is still up to the manager to act. Similarly, dashboards may be collecting data from multiple sources in one place, but managers still have to interpret and act upon that data.
Only a couple of companies in our study had entered the third phase. One company was actively using intelligent workflows to orchestrate the execution of supply chain processes, and another was building the processes and infrastructure needed to do so.
Limits of digitalization
While many of the companies involved in our study were in the digitalization phase, most of the experts we talked to were already well aware of the limitations of digitalization tools. For example, our experts quickly pointed out that the information presented through sprawling dashboards can be overwhelming for decision makers, who struggled to find the correct information at the point of need.“I was never short of information or dashboards. It was like walking into the Louvre. There's artwork everywhere, but at the end of the day, you walk out like, ‘Wow. Awesome.’ But not sure what the hell to do about it.”
Human managers are still needed to evaluate the significance of the data presented through the dashboards. “We’re already digitized; we keep too much data. We have so many dashboards all over the place that no one looks at them. So, what we’re trying to do is not just be digitized but cognitive in our approach.”
While dashboards and control towers help consolidate information, they often lack flexibility and are only adaptable through human intervention. For example, the human manager/expert asks questions and then uses dashboards and control towers to evaluate additional data before deciding on a solution. The efficiency of this process can be improved through AI, usually in the form of machine learning (ML), to evaluate and combine extensive and complex data to generate predictions based on numerous decision alternatives. But even then, a great deal of human involvement is needed. There are still some number of cases for which the model’s predictions are not correct. Human subject matter experts (SMEs) are still required to focus human attention on cases that would otherwise be mishandled and to generate new training data that can be used to retrain the AI model to improve performance.
Additionally, humans are needed to detect when the conditions under which the model was trained have changed. For example, a machine learning model that predicts transit times trained under pre-COVID conditions would likely perform poorly under disrupted COVID conditions.
Similar limitations exists when it comes to using bots, digital workers, or decision engines to automate traditional human work. This type of RPA (sometimes called intelligent process automation) seeks to automate discrete, repetitive tasks, such as reading data elements from specific, fixed cells within a spreadsheet. Although digital workers are very efficient in carrying out discrete tasks, their ability to complete tasks can vary significantly.
At this point in time, our experts say that automated technology acting independently from human input could only work in specific scenarios. Most real-world processes exist within an extensive, complex context that also involves human users/interactions and integration with other systems. As one participant said, “The prescriptive part is tough because it requires an intimate knowledge of the business you're trying to affect.”A human manager/expert is needed to use their intuitive or “tacit” knowledge in combination with the AI.
Indeed, in most cases, even an AI-enabled control tower still requires a human to orchestrate a business process through its multiple steps. Even in a digitalization environment where existing processes are optimized with technology, there are still steps that require varying degrees of human review/action or the ability to pull data from or push updates to other systems (such as an enterprise resource planning systems). Technology may be able to act independently within the larger process, but a human will still be needed to provide coordination across multiple steps in the process.
However, if this orchestration piece could be automated, even greater efficiencies would be gained. “We have a limited amount of people, and we aren’t going to get more people. That’s the reality. So how do we make the people we have more effective to solve the things we need to solve?”
Digital transformation into intelligent workflows
As described earlier, intelligent workflows refer to the orchestration of process automation, AI, and human experts across an end-to-end business process.
An intelligent workflow implementation plan would provide parameters for the integration of all of the interactions that need to occur among digital workers, human workers, AI, and other IT systems in order to complete an end-to-end business process. Technology would now be handling all the administrative details of ferrying work through the tasks that comprise the business process. For example, RPA (or digital workers) would handle discrete, repetitive, well-defined task work. AI would handle cognitive tasks, such as decision-making and natural language interaction or content capture (for example, extracting information from scanned documents). Finally, human experts would support the overall intelligent workflow through ongoing quality assurance, handling cases that automation/AI cannot manage and investigating/resolving issues where automation/AI is unsuccessful. Human experts would also provide feedback to improve the process automation and AI for continual improvement of the intelligent workflow.
In this scenario, the human worker becomes a supporting actor in the workflow. Although their skills are crucial to the ongoing success and improvement of the workflow, they are not directly responsible for working through the end-to-end business process. That responsibility is now assumed by the workflow orchestration service, the intelligent workflow.
The study participants that are already considering intelligent workflows describe some version of the vision outlined above. Their first steps toward that goal may be similar to the ones that the oil and gas company Shell is taking, as described in a recent Harvard Business Review article.3 Shell has begun reengineering its supply chain, manufacturing, and maintenance processes so that they are enabled by AI. For example, the company is automating its inspection processes, using robots and drones to monitor Shell’s energy and chemical plants, pipelines, offshore facilities, and wind and solar farms. According to the article, “Some Shell facilities are so large that it would previously have taken years to inspect everything manually—now drones and robots are being introduced to automate these processes and help shorten the cycle time.” Human inspectors and technicians play more of a support role, spending their time prioritizing projects, performing more advanced verification, annotating images to improve inspection algorithms, and managing the training processes for ML models.
As they redesign their processes, some of our study participants are also exploring how worker skills will be affected by this transition. Because administrative tasks and workflow management are increasingly automated, the human skills required will focus more on subject matter domain knowledge and process analysis/design.
Some participants reported that workers have said that their contributions feel more significant when their expertise is more effectively utilized. Employees engaged with intelligent workflows may feel their role becomes increasingly strategic and innovative as a result.
Long road ahead
As they described the digital transformation journey, our study participants were clear that the process was lengthy—often lasting multiple years—and involved all levels of the organization. Our experts told us that it is important to take a deliberate approach to transformation that recognizes the importance of employee buy-in and proper encapsulation of data.
As we analyzed the information we gathered from the study participants, it became evident that digitalization improved the speed and quality of decision-making not just by increasing visibility and data sharing across the supply network, but also by improving the decision-making processes themselves. It also was clear that even as organizations used more AI, there is still a key role for human workers. Companies still need to draw on humans’ tacit knowledge to assess the recommendations made by AI and to provide feedback to the process automation and AI portions of the intelligent workflow.
Where do we go from here? Further discussion is needed to investigate how the relationships among partners within a supply network influence the application of technology/information to achieve transparency, security, and responsiveness. Additionally, there is still more to be learned about how intelligent workflows can orchestrate automation, AI/ML (including emerging generative AI technologies), and human interactions across end-to-end processes.
Authors’ Note: We are incredibly appreciative of the insights from our diverse participants. We also want to thank Auburn University’s Center for Supply Chain Innovation and Auburn’s RFID Laboratory for their insights.
Notes:
1. P. C. Verhoef, T. Broekhuizen, Y. Bart, A. Bhattacharya, J.Q. Dong, N. Fabian, and M. Haenlein, “Digital transformation: A multidisciplinary reflection and research agenda,” Journal of Business Research, 122 (2021): 889-901.
2. Quotes throughout this article are from our industry expert interviews and focus group participants.
3. T.H. Davenport, M. Holweg, and D. Jeavons, “How AI Is Helping Companies Redesign Processes,” Harvard Business Review, (March 2, 2023): https://hbr.org/2023/03/how-ai-is-helping-companies-redesign-processes
About this study
Information was collected through a focus group and semi-structured interviews with various leaders in organizations that have experienced unique digital transition initiatives. Many of these leaders spent the years before our project navigating their respective digital transformations and were anxious to share lessons learned.
Expert Panel: A focus group was conducted with 15 industry partners that lasted over an hour. Our questions focused on the most pertinent issues of digital transformation efforts and helped to identify specific areas to explore further in targeted interviews.
Interviews: Interviews were also conducted with six industry participants involved with supply chain digital transformation efforts. These interviews allowed us to dig deeper into the specific and unique thought processes involved in digital transformations. Because this research drew from supply chain experts from a broad array of logistics service providers, retailers, distributors, and manufacturers, we were able to develop an informed perspective on digital transformation practices. Interacting with industry experts led to insights into digital transformation norms and practices.
Just 29% of supply chain organizations have the competitive characteristics they’ll need for future readiness, according to a Gartner survey released Tuesday. The survey focused on how organizations are preparing for future challenges and to keep their supply chains competitive.
Gartner surveyed 579 supply chain practitioners to determine the capabilities needed to manage the “future drivers of influence” on supply chains, which include artificial intelligence (AI) achievement and the ability to navigate new trade policies. According to the survey, the five competitive characteristics are: agility, resilience, regionalization, integrated ecosystems, and integrated enterprise strategy.
The survey analysis identified “leaders” among the respondents as supply chain organizations that have already developed at least three of the five competitive characteristics necessary to address the top five drivers of supply chain’s future.
Less than a third have met that threshold.
“Leaders shared a commitment to preparation through long-term, deliberate strategies, while non-leaders were more often focused on short-term priorities,” Pierfrancesco Manenti, vice president analyst in Gartner’s Supply Chain practice, said in a statement announcing the survey results.
“Most leaders have yet to invest in the most advanced technologies (e.g. real-time visibility, digital supply chain twin), but plan to do so in the next three-to-five years,” Manenti also said in the statement. “Leaders see technology as an enabler to their overall business strategies, while non-leaders more often invest in technology first, without having fully established their foundational capabilities.”
As part of the survey, respondents were asked to identify the future drivers of influence on supply chain performance over the next three to five years. The top five drivers are: achievement capability of AI (74%); the amount of new ESG regulations and trade policies being released (67%); geopolitical fight/transition for power (65%); control over data (62%); and talent scarcity (59%).
The analysis also identified four unique profiles of supply chain organizations, based on what their leaders deem as the most crucial capabilities for empowering their organizations over the next three to five years.
First, 54% of retailers are looking for ways to increase their financial recovery from returns. That’s because the cost to return a purchase averages 27% of the purchase price, which erases as much as 50% of the sales margin. But consumers have their own interests in mind: 76% of shoppers admit they’ve embellished or exaggerated the return reason to avoid a fee, a 39% increase from 2023 to 204.
Second, return experiences matter to consumers. A whopping 80% of shoppers stopped shopping at a retailer because of changes to the return policy—a 34% increase YoY.
Third, returns fraud and abuse is top-of-mind-for retailers, with wardrobing rising 38% in 2024. In fact, over two thirds (69%) of shoppers admit to wardrobing, which is the practice of buying an item for a specific reason or event and returning it after use. Shoppers also practice bracketing, or purchasing an item in a variety of colors or sizes and then returning all the unwanted options.
Fourth, returns come with a steep cost in terms of sustainability, with returns amounting to 8.4 billion pounds of landfill waste in 2023 alone.
“As returns have become an integral part of the shopper experience, retailers must balance meeting sky-high expectations with rising costs, environmental impact, and fraudulent behaviors,” Amena Ali, CEO of Optoro, said in the firm’s “2024 Returns Unwrapped” report. “By understanding shoppers’ behaviors and preferences around returns, retailers can create returns experiences that embrace their needs while driving deeper loyalty and protecting their bottom line.”
Facing an evolving supply chain landscape in 2025, companies are being forced to rethink their distribution strategies to cope with challenges like rising cost pressures, persistent labor shortages, and the complexities of managing SKU proliferation.
1. Optimize labor productivity and costs. Forward-thinking businesses are leveraging technology to get more done with fewer resources through approaches like slotting optimization, automation and robotics, and inventory visibility.
2. Maximize capacity with smart solutions. With e-commerce volumes rising, facilities need to handle more SKUs and orders without expanding their physical footprint. That can be achieved through high-density storage and dynamic throughput.
3. Streamline returns management. Returns are a growing challenge, thanks to the continued growth of e-commerce and the consumer practice of bracketing. Businesses can handle that with smarter reverse logistics processes like automated returns processing and reverse logistics visibility.
4. Accelerate order fulfillment with robotics. Robotic solutions are transforming the way orders are fulfilled, helping businesses meet customer expectations faster and more accurately than ever before by using autonomous mobile robots (AMRs and robotic picking.
5. Enhance end-of-line packaging. The final step in the supply chain is often the most visible to customers. So optimizing packaging processes can reduce costs, improve efficiency, and support sustainability goals through automated packaging systems and sustainability initiatives.
That clash has come as retailers have been hustling to adjust to pandemic swings like a renewed focus on e-commerce, then swiftly reimagining store experiences as foot traffic returned. But even as the dust settles from those changes, retailers are now facing renewed questions about how best to define their omnichannel strategy in a world where customers have increasing power and information.
The answer may come from a five-part strategy using integrated components to fortify omnichannel retail, EY said. The approach can unlock value and customer trust through great experiences, but only when implemented cohesively, not individually, EY warns.
The steps include:
1. Functional integration: Is your operating model and data infrastructure siloed between e-commerce and physical stores, or have you developed a cohesive unit centered around delivering seamless customer experience?
2. Customer insights: With consumer centricity at the heart of operations, are you analyzing all touch points to build a holistic view of preferences, behaviors, and buying patterns?
3. Next-generation inventory: Given the right customer insights, how are you utilizing advanced analytics to ensure inventory is optimized to meet demand precisely where and when it’s needed?
4. Distribution partnerships: Having ensured your customers find what they want where they want it, how are your distribution strategies adapting to deliver these choices to them swiftly and efficiently?
5. Real estate strategy: How is your real estate strategy interconnected with insights, inventory and distribution to enhance experience and maximize your footprint?
When approached cohesively, these efforts all build toward one overarching differentiator for retailers: a better customer experience that reaches from brand engagement and order placement through delivery and return, the EY study said. Amid continued volatility and an economy driven by complex customer demands, the retailers best set up to win are those that are striving to gain real-time visibility into stock levels, offer flexible fulfillment options and modernize merchandising through personalized and dynamic customer experiences.
Geopolitical rivalries, alliances, and aspirations are rewiring the global economy—and the imposition of new tariffs on foreign imports by the U.S. will accelerate that process, according to an analysis by Boston Consulting Group (BCG).
Without a broad increase in tariffs, world trade in goods will keep growing at an average of 2.9% annually for the next eight years, the firm forecasts in its report, “Great Powers, Geopolitics, and the Future of Trade.” But the routes goods travel will change markedly as North America reduces its dependence on China and China builds up its links with the Global South, which is cementing its power in the global trade map.
“Global trade is set to top $29 trillion by 2033, but the routes these goods will travel is changing at a remarkable pace,” Aparna Bharadwaj, managing director and partner at BCG, said in a release. “Trade lanes were already shifting from historical patterns and looming US tariffs will accelerate this. Navigating these new dynamics will be critical for any global business.”
To understand those changes, BCG modeled the direct impact of the 60/25/20 scenario (60% tariff on Chinese goods, a 25% on goods from Canada and Mexico, and a 20% on imports from all other countries). The results show that the tariffs would add $640 billion to the cost of importing goods from the top ten U.S. import nations, based on 2023 levels, unless alternative sources or suppliers are found.
In terms of product categories imported by the U.S., the greatest impact would be on imported auto parts and automotive vehicles, which would primarily affect trade with Mexico, the EU, and Japan. Consumer electronics, electrical machinery, and fashion goods would be most affected by higher tariffs on Chinese goods. Specifically, the report forecasts that a 60% tariff rate would add $61 billion to cost of importing consumer electronics products from China into the U.S.