The robotics industry is growing fast, and it can be hard to keep up with the latest developments and innovations. Yet supply chain managers still need to decide which operations they should automate and understand how that automation will affect staffing and worker training. To help provide a clearer picture of where automation is headed, we brought together five experts from leading robotics companies.
Q: What is the current state of the robotics industry?
Luther Webb: The warehouse robotics industry is strong, innovation continues, and investors remain positive as the industry crosses the next phase of evolution from product centricity to the delivery of profits on revenue.
Kevin Reader:There is considerable growth projected for the robotics industry—17.64% globally, from $114.7 billion annually in 2023 to a projected $258.3 billion in 2028. The largest market is the Asian Pacific market, and the fastest growing market is the North American market.
More appropriate, perhaps, is the question “What is a robot?” since the term has been overused by venture capital companies and marketing departments and has come to represent an array of technologies, from goods-to-person to AMR [autonomous mobile robot]-type devices, that are more specialized and more appropriately termed “transport application devices.”
Brian Pulfer: The robotics industry still seems to be in growth mode, and I believe that growth is on two fronts. First, the number of deployments of robotics projects is continually increasing within the distribution and warehousing vertical. Second, the research and development work for new types of robotic solutions is leading to the introduction of options for many different facets of operations. There are a few robotics offerings that have become mature and trusted, such as AMRs, while there are other offerings that are still developing.
Q: How has the recent slowing in warehouse investments affected new automation projects?
Luther Webb: Large new automation projects have slowed as economic conditions have customers concentrating on getting back to operational best practices that drive efficiency and effectiveness in existing operations. These include extending the life of current assets and upgrading subsystems that provide a quick return on investment and realization of benefits.
Steven Hogg:We are seeing that implementations of fixed warehouse automation solutions are slowing as retailers and manufacturers grapple with capital expenditure limitations. This has led to a growing appetite for scalable technologies like mobile automation, which come in at a price point under $20 million. These offer swift deployment and a rapid return on investment.
Thomas Meyer-Jander:Our experience has shown that the downturn has had no immediate impact on robotics tenders or projects. In individual cases, the decision-making process on the part of the customer is delayed and more concrete [total cost of ownership] calculations are being made.
Q: For companies just beginning their automation journey, what are the easiest operations to automate?
Steven Hogg:The easiest operations to automate are the monotonous, hard-to-staff processes that don’t require dynamic decision-making. By employing automation, companies can reassign employees to more challenging tasks, improving employee safety and job satisfaction. Automating these operations improves the bottom line in obvious ways, like reducing production costs, but also in less apparent ways, such as reducing the time and resources spent onboarding new and seasonal employees.
Thomas Meyer-Jander:Customers who want to enter into automation often require standardized solutions with short installation times and seamless integration into existing systems. According to our experiences, AMR solutions for picking and shuttle systems for bins or pallets are particularly suitable for operations seeking an easy entry with a manageable level of resources.
Brian Pulfer: I believe the easiest area to attack is the transitory elements. The distance traveled and overall steps of a warehouse associate are very significant when considering productivity. The ability to reduce this element has a large impact from a budgetary standpoint for any operation.
Luther Webb:The wide range of solutions focused on piece picking allows companies—both large and small—to enter into automation with ground-level technologies like “follow-me” and “meet-me” AMRs that can be installed within some existing rack configurations and using robotics-as-a-service financing models.
Q: Does a move to automation change the level of skills needed for workers who must interact with the new systems?
Brian Pulfer:I do not believe that it has a significant impact on the skills needed. When many of these technologies are being considered, you hear the term “cobot” or “helper” being utilized as these systems really provide assistance to the current associates. Most warehouse associates over the last 10 to 20 years have become very familiar dealing with conveyors, RF (radio-frequency) devices, tablets, etc., and a lot of these robotic solutions are utilizing similar applications—and in many cases, are even simplifying the interaction between the associate and the system. In today’s world, almost everyone is comfortable with most of these technologies in their personal lives, which translates to the warehouse.
Thomas Meyer-Jander: Of course, the introduction of automation technologies expands the range of tasks for the workers. It is then less about directly carrying out the picking or storage process than about controlling and monitoring the automation—in some ways, a collaboration between man and machine. In particular, the physical strain on the worker is reduced, which improves working conditions and reduces the susceptibility to errors. The ergonomic factor at the workplace also plays an important role in automation.
Q: How are artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) impacting robotics design and operations?
Steven Hogg:Artificial intelligence allows for greater autonomy in the operation and improves the robot’s recognition and adaptability, which allows for a wider range of products to be handled by automation. This flexibility is critical for a system design that requires a vision system to handle thousands of SKUs (stock-keeping units) in an e-commerce setting or in distribution centers.
Kevin Reader:Particularly with the “tasks of the hands,” artificial intelligence has a major impact on the success of robotic applications and is especially important when considering the success of a prototype or test application.
Luther Webb: The impact that AI and machine learning is having is most evident with AMR guidance; the product identification used in piece-picking robots and automated packing systems; and the improvements that have been made to grippers that have improved the range of form factors and speed of piece-picking robots.
Q: How does staff training need to be adjusted for associates who will work with today’s robotic systems?
Steven Hogg:An often-overlooked factor that significantly impacts a new automated system’s success is employee acceptance and utilization. In staff training sessions, it’s crucial to explain how automation will benefit employees and share plans for repurposed roles. Opening lines of communication with operators enables them to provide feedback on workflows, leading to improved utilization and ROI.
Thomas Meyer-Jander:Despite automation technology, employees remain a company’s most important asset. As innovation continues, employees need regular training to keep up. Training staff to apply innovations and new technologies is a strategic investment that can result in improved efficiency, competitiveness, employee satisfaction, and overall business success. It enables successful companies to harness the full potential of technological advancements and adapt to the ever-changing business landscape.
Brian Pulfer: I do not believe that it needs to be adjusted significantly, but what we are seeing more and more is the use of technology in training, which is a significant development. The use of interactive software, virtual reality, etc., in training is helping associates become comfortable with the technology before they ever hit the warehouse floor and start to engage with the robotic solution.
Q: With more automation being implemented every year, what will distribution centers look like 10 years from now?
Luther Webb:I think we will see a network of smaller distribution centers (DCs) closer to the final mile. These DCs will use automation that requires less space, is quick to deploy, and is simple to maintain.
Kevin Reader:Applications will be simplified, and there will be fewer applications to deal with. Software will take on a more important role, vis-à-vis flexibility, the ability to change, overall operations, and the results that can be achieved. There will also be a proliferation of AI tools to manage operations and resources.
Steven Hogg:With the advances in AI, machine learning, and vision systems, additional opportunities for robotic automation in distribution centers continue to evolve. These technological advances will drive continued growth in DCs, with most of the core material handling operations managed by robotic automation.
Thomas Meyer-Jander: The distribution center will likely undergo further significant transformations over the next 10 years driven by advancements in technology, automation, and evolving supply chain demands. Automation will play a central role, with a wide range of tasks being performed by robots, autonomous vehicles, and other automated systems. Robots, both large and small, will collaborate with human workers in a more integrated manner. Collaborative robots will work alongside humans, enhancing efficiency and safety. AI and ML will be used extensively to optimize warehouse operations, and AI algorithms will manage inventory. Autonomous vehicles will move goods within the warehouse, and drones will probably be used for aerial inventory scans and monitoring. Sustainable practices will be a priority. In addition, some warehouses may incorporate 3D printing capabilities to produce spare parts on site.
Businesses are cautiously optimistic as peak holiday shipping season draws near, with many anticipating year-over-year sales increases as they continue to battle challenging supply chain conditions.
That’s according to the DHL 2024 Peak Season Shipping Survey, released today by express shipping service provider DHL Express U.S. The company surveyed small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) to gauge their holiday business outlook compared to last year and found that a mix of optimism and “strategic caution” prevail ahead of this year’s peak.
Nearly half (48%) of the SMEs surveyed said they expect higher holiday sales compared to 2023, while 44% said they expect sales to remain on par with last year, and just 8% said they foresee a decline. Respondents said the main challenges to hitting those goals are supply chain problems (35%), inflation and fluctuating consumer demand (34%), staffing (16%), and inventory challenges (14%).
But respondents said they have strategies in place to tackle those issues. Many said they began preparing for holiday season earlier this year—with 45% saying they started planning in Q2 or earlier, up from 39% last year. Other strategies include expanding into international markets (35%) and leveraging holiday discounts (32%).
Sixty percent of respondents said they will prioritize personalized customer service as a way to enhance customer interactions and loyalty this year. Still others said they will invest in enhanced web and mobile experiences (23%) and eco-friendly practices (13%) to draw customers this holiday season.
The practice consists of 5,000 professionals from Accenture and from Avanade—the consulting firm’s joint venture with Microsoft. They will be supported by Microsoft product specialists who will work closely with the Accenture Center for Advanced AI. Together, that group will collaborate on AI and Copilot agent templates, extensions, plugins, and connectors to help organizations leverage their data and gen AI to reduce costs, improve efficiencies and drive growth, they said on Thursday.
Accenture and Avanade say they have already developed some AI tools for these applications. For example, a supplier discovery and risk agent can deliver real-time market insights, agile supply chain responses, and better vendor selection, which could result in up to 15% cost savings. And a procure-to-pay agent could improve efficiency by up to 40% and enhance vendor relations and satisfaction by addressing urgent payment requirements and avoiding disruptions of key services
Likewise, they have also built solutions for clients using Microsoft 365 Copilot technology. For example, they have created Copilots for a variety of industries and functions including finance, manufacturing, supply chain, retail, and consumer goods and healthcare.
Another part of the new practice will be educating clients how to use the technology, using an “Azure Generative AI Engineer Nanodegree program” to teach users how to design, build, and operationalize AI-driven applications on Azure, Microsoft’s cloud computing platform. The online classes will teach learners how to use AI models to solve real-world problems through automation, data insights, and generative AI solutions, the firms said.
“We are pleased to deepen our collaboration with Accenture to help our mutual customers develop AI-first business processes responsibly and securely, while helping them drive market differentiation,” Judson Althoff, executive vice president and chief commercial officer at Microsoft, said in a release. “By bringing together Copilots and human ambition, paired with the autonomous capabilities of an agent, we can accelerate AI transformation for organizations across industries and help them realize successful business outcomes through pragmatic innovation.”
Census data showed that overall retail sales in October were up 0.4% seasonally adjusted month over month and up 2.8% unadjusted year over year. That compared with increases of 0.8% month over month and 2% year over year in September.
October’s core retail sales as defined by NRF — based on the Census data but excluding automobile dealers, gasoline stations and restaurants — were unchanged seasonally adjusted month over month but up 5.4% unadjusted year over year.
Core sales were up 3.5% year over year for the first 10 months of the year, in line with NRF’s forecast for 2024 retail sales to grow between 2.5% and 3.5% over 2023. NRF is forecasting that 2024 holiday sales during November and December will also increase between 2.5% and 3.5% over the same time last year.
“October’s pickup in retail sales shows a healthy pace of spending as many consumers got an early start on holiday shopping,” NRF Chief Economist Jack Kleinhenz said in a release. “October sales were a good early step forward into the holiday shopping season, which is now fully underway. Falling energy prices have likely provided extra dollars for household spending on retail merchandise.”
Despite that positive trend, market watchers cautioned that retailers still need to offer competitive value propositions and customer experience in order to succeed in the holiday season. “The American consumer has been more resilient than anyone could have expected. But that isn’t a free pass for retailers to under invest in their stores,” Nikki Baird, VP of strategy & product at Aptos, a solutions provider of unified retail technology based out of Alpharetta, Georgia, said in a statement. “They need to make investments in labor, customer experience tech, and digital transformation. It has been too easy to kick the can down the road until you suddenly realize there’s no road left.”
A similar message came from Chip West, a retail and consumer behavior expert at the marketing, packaging, print and supply chain solutions provider RRD. “October’s increase proved to be slightly better than projections and was likely boosted by lower fuel prices. As inflation slowed for a number of months, prices in several categories have stabilized, with some even showing declines, offering further relief to consumers,” West said. “The data also looks to be a positive sign as we kick off the holiday shopping season. Promotions and discounts will play a prominent role in holiday shopping behavior as they are key influencers in consumer’s purchasing decisions.”
Third-party logistics (3PL) providers’ share of large real estate leases across the U.S. rose significantly through the third quarter of 2024 compared to the same time last year, as more retailers and wholesalers have been outsourcing their warehouse and distribution operations to 3PLs, according to a report from real estate firm CBRE.
Specifically, 3PLs’ share of bulk industrial leasing activity—covering leases of 100,000 square feet or more—rose to 34.1% through Q3 of this year from 30.6% through Q3 last year. By raw numbers, 3PLs have accounted for 498 bulk leases so far this year, up by 9% from the 457 at this time last year.
By category, 3PLs’ share of 34.1% ranked above other occupier types such as: general retail and wholesale (26.6), food and beverage (9.0), automobiles, tires, and parts (7.9), manufacturing (6.2), building materials and construction (5.6), e-commerce only (5.6), medical (2.7), and undisclosed (2.3).
On a quarterly basis, bulk leasing by 3PLs has steadily increased this year, reversing the steadily decreasing trend of 2023. CBRE pointed to three main reasons for that resurgence:
Import Flexibility. Labor disruptions, extreme weather patterns, and geopolitical uncertainty have led many companies to diversify their import locations. Using 3PLs allows for more inventory flexibility, a key component to retailer success in times of uncertainty.
Capital Allocation/Preservation. Warehousing and distribution of goods is expensive, draining capital resources for transportation costs, rent, or labor. But outsourcing to 3PLs provides companies with more flexibility to increase or decrease their inventories without any risk of signing their own lease commitments. And using a 3PL also allows companies to switch supply chain costs from capital to operational expenses.
Focus on Core Competency. Outsourcing their logistics operations to 3PLs allows companies to focus on core business competencies that drive revenue, such as product development, sales, and customer service.
Looking into the future, these same trends will continue to drive 3PL warehouse demand, CBRE said. Economic, geopolitical and supply chain uncertainty will remain prevalent in the coming quarters but will not diminish the need to effectively manage inventory levels.
That result came from the company’s “GEP Global Supply Chain Volatility Index,” an indicator tracking demand conditions, shortages, transportation costs, inventories, and backlogs based on a monthly survey of 27,000 businesses. The October index number was -0.39, which was up only slightly from its level of -0.43 in September.
Researchers found a steep rise in slack across North American supply chains due to declining factory activity in the U.S. In fact, purchasing managers at U.S. manufacturers made their strongest cutbacks to buying volumes in nearly a year and a half, indicating that factories in the world's largest economy are preparing for lower production volumes, GEP said.
Elsewhere, suppliers feeding Asia also reported spare capacity in October, albeit to a lesser degree than seen in Western markets. Europe's industrial plight remained a key feature of the data in October, as vendor capacity was significantly underutilized, reflecting a continuation of subdued demand in key manufacturing hubs across the continent.
"We're in a buyers' market. October is the fourth straight month that suppliers worldwide reported spare capacity, with notable contractions in factory demand across North America and Europe, underscoring the challenging outlook for Western manufacturers," Todd Bremer, vice president, GEP, said in a release. "President-elect Trump inherits U.S. manufacturers with plenty of spare capacity while in contrast, China's modest rebound and strong expansion in India demonstrate greater resilience in Asia."